Lurker > Ashethan

MrSmartGuy posted...

....... no Russell Wilson to the Broncos option? Or is that too obvious a #1 and we're voting for #2?

Probably should've had Khalil Mack on there too. But that's why we've got the other option. I guess it's my inner anagram. Did leave off Deshaun watson on purpose, though. He's suspended for an odd 11 games,.

Instead of doing my Other Picks league this year, I've decided to try something new. All are welcome to join. How do you do that? Simple. Post a pick in this topic. That's it. Pretty simple, right?

What is the NFL Point Prediction League?
Each week you will predict how many points two teams will score for that week. You will earn 1 point for each point you are off, with lower scores being better. The two teams do not have to be facing each other. They can, but they don't have to!

Example:

User A: Jets 14 points
User B: Jets 10 points
Results: Jets 13 points

User A scores 1 point
User B scores 3 points

Rules:

1. Each week, you will be predicting the score for two teams. These two teams do NOT have to be facing one another.
2. You cannot pick a team twice, until you've picked for all other teams. At which point you can predict them a second time but never a third time. A spreadsheet will be available to list available teams for you. There is an exception for week 14. If you've already picked for all teams except for 5 or 6 on a BYE during that week, you may repeat your teams a week early, but then cannot pick repeat teams again until week 18. (Or one in week 17 as the case may be)
3. If you miss a week, you will be automatically given the worst score of the week +7. So if the worst score in a week is a combined 22, you will be given 29 points.
4. The Top 12 pickers will move on to the playoffs.
5. Each week there will be a tiebreaker Triple Threat. You can predict the result of 0, 1, 2, or 3 of those games. You will then earn tiebreaker points based on how many you get right. For each you get right, you earn 10 points. For each you get wrong you lose 30 points. If you get every one you predict correct, your points will be doubled. This means if you go 1/1 you get 20 points. If you go 2/2 you get 40 points. And if you go 3/3 you get 60 points. But if you go 2/3 you lose 10 points. And if you go 1/2 you lose 20 points. And if you go 0/1 you lose 30 points. You do not have to pick any of them. Doing so, however, will earn you 0 points.
6. There will also be a final tiebreaker in week 18. Any further ties will be decided by the record against playoff teams (If you've picked them twice, those scores will be halved. So if you get +3 and +7, your score will be considered 5, not 10)
7. A Score Prediction must be posted before the game starts. Tiebreakers must be posted before those games start. The Thursday Night game will never be part of the tiebreaker so as to give everyone time to pick a tiebreaker.

The spreadsheet will obviously not be available this week, as nobody has made picks and it's unnecessary. We'll see if there's enough interest for this. If anything is confusing, please feel free to ask.

Week 1 Schedule:
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
San Francisco 49ers @ Chicago Bears
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals
Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens @ New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Washington Commanders
Cleveland Browns @ Carolina Panthers
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans
New York Giants @ Tennessee Titans
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Kansas City Chiefs @ Arizona Cardinals
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks

Tiebreaker Triple Threat:
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Washington Commanders

Lots of fans have agreed to root against the Browns all year, even when playing divisional rivals. Even some Browns fans have turned on the team for signing Watson.

Giving 10% to church and 10% to Donald Trump is a deal breaker for me.

I might host something a bit different this year. Something less time consuming. Not sure if people'd be interested though.

Essentially you predict the score of two teams each week (you can't pick the same team twice until week 17). They don't have to be playing each other. Then you get points based on the differential, with lower scores being better.

So you might say:
Chiefs - 24
Browns - 10

And then the Chiefs go and score 28 points, and the Browns score 17.

You'd then get 11 points for the week.

Someone else might have
Jets - 14
Bills - 34

And then the Jets go and score 21 points, and the Bills score 28. They'd have 13 points.

And the standings would look like this:

1st - User A: 11 points
2nd - User B: 13 points

Crescent-Moon posted...

Hasn't it been ~20 for the last 3-4 years now?

We actually had 27 in 2019. Down to 17 last year.

Crescent-Moon posted...

Where do most of the people on your league even come from? The only place I ever see half of them post is in your topics

Some are old friends. Runemistress is my wife. I tend to rope people into it so we have a decent number, but even that's been going down lately. Which is another reason I might not do it this year. I feel it's becoming kind of redundant.

Crescent-Moon posted...

Anyone have a clue if the pick 'em leagues are coming this year? Feels kinda overdue.

Still wondering if I'm going to do mine this year or not. My oldest daughter is heading off to college, which means I'm going to take a couple days off to go with her, and not sure I'll have time for the league that week or not. If I do decide to though, the topic will probably go up midnight on Thursday EST.

Emeraldegg posted...

I will be doing mine yeah, but still what, another week of preseason? I kinda want to wait till that's done with cause I don't really want another major injury to happen and have a ton of people switching since that's more work.

Preseason is over. THere's only three weeks of preseason now. (THANKFULLY)

Why can't I buy this yet? Doesn't it come out tomorrow?

I liked Tommy the best because he had the dragon flute, and the talking saber. That dun-dun-dun-duh-dun was the best tbqh

Reg posted...

Even with Smith this would be very high. Without him (and thus, with a sub-replacement level LT), I wouldn't take Dallas above .500

Cowboys have a pretty easy schedule. Giants twice. Commanders twice. (Nobody should have faith in Carson Wentz). Jaguars. Lions. Texans. Bears. I don't think the Eagles are that good either. Also don't think Matt Ryan will do much for Indianapolis.

They do 100% lose in the first round of the playoffs though.

Crescent-Moon posted...

3 wins for the Saints?

Zero faith in Dennis Allen doing much with that team.

My quick take record prediction, with little to no thought put into it.

AFC EAST:
Bills: 15-2
Patriots: 11-6
Dolphins: 8-9
Jets: 5-12

AFC North:
Bengals: 12-5
Ravens: 12-5
Browns: 6-11
Steelers: 5-12

AFC South:
Titans: 12-5
Colts: 8-9
Jaguars: 5-12
Texans: 1-15

AFC West:
Chiefs: 13-4
Broncos: 11-6
Chargers: 11-6
Raiders: 9-8

NFC East:
Cowboys: 13-4
Eagles: 11-6
Commanders: 7-10
Giants: 3-14

NFC North:
Packers: 14-3
Vikings: 12-5
Lions: 4-13
Bears: 3-14

NFC South:
Buccaneers: 11-6
Panthers: 8-9
Saints: 3-14
Falcons: 1-16

NFC West:
Rams: 13-4
49ers: 12-5
Cardinals: 11-6
Seahawks: 2-15

Top 10 picks:

1. Falcons
2. Texans
3. Seahawks
4. Giants
5. Saints
6. Bears
7. Lions
8. Jaguars
9. Steelers
10. Jets

Giants are in serious need of help, but I feel like the Falcons and Seahawks are the top contenders for the Top Pick this year.

Jacksonville's defense and better coaching overall should give them more wins than last season.
Jets are going to depend on the development of Zach Wilson. Could be back by week 1.
Lions will probably win a few games they absolutely shouldn't.
Texans are probably the third contender for Top Pick after offloading their garbage.

No, Vrabel doesn't count. He never coached under Belichick, just played under him.

SHINE_GET_64 posted...

Matt Patricia

One day. One day people will learn: Do not hire people under the Belichick coaching tree. DaBoll may be an exception, but he's bounced around enough. But time will tell!

For men? 18 is fine. Forced conscription demands it. Can't send someone to war against their will and NOT allow them to vote.

For women? Well... what age do we start forced birth? Because there's your answer.

Should be $230 million. Since that's what they're paying Watson.

Mystical Ninja starring Goemon
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCM5nN2tkuE

Peace___Frog posted...

I think he wants fresh vegetables and thought it would be great to blame the high prices on democrats. But he's in the organic part of the store... and looks like he's never once shopped for anything

He probably hasn't.

Cavedweller2000 posted...

I have never played a single Metroid game and I got it in 2 because of the metacritic score

I played Metroid Prime for like... 20 minutes 20 years ago and I got it in 1 on a whim.

Crescent-Moon posted...

What's interesting about the Jets is I've heard that Jets over 5.5 wins is one of the most popular over/under betting lines this year.

I mean I think only two teams are under that with 4.5 for the Texans and Falcons. Of which one just lost their QB (somehow that didn't knock Seattle down there), and the other are the utterly dysfunctional Texans.

Leonhart4 posted...

Would you rather rename the team the Hutchison Lions or the Detroit Hutchisons?

I mean obviously you name them the Hutchison Hutchisons.

If Aidan Hutchison brings the Lions a playoff win, they should give him the key to the city and build a statue of him. Then rename the city Hutchison, Michigan. The team has won all of ONE playoff game in the Super Bowl era. The Texans have 4. The Cardinals have 6.

Only thing I wasn't sure about was Frogs/Toads. No clue what that's about. Am I just super old? But my oldest daughter never learned anything about Frogs Hop, Toads crawl either.

Children reunite after several years to kill their mother

NFL: Oh you gambled? That's a full season suspension!
NFL: Oh you sexually assaulted someone? 6 games seems fair.

"Oh, but what Ridley did could've affected the game!"

Someone wanna remind me how long Tom Brady's suspension was?

swordz9 posted...

.this guy deserves no happiness or safety his entire life tbh

As the father of two girls who are soon to be ten... I agree, if you omit a few words here.

The Left aren't scary. They're gutless. The right appeals to everyone's innate selfishness. The left appeals to everyone's charity, but then doesn't deliver. The Right delivers to the 'right' people, and that's all that really matters to them. Doesn't even matter if they don't personally benefit from it, as long as the people they don't like suffer more than they do.

ChaosTonyV4 posted...

I think it would probably be a better message if local Dems kept getting elected while Democrats at the national level get blown out historically.

Ahh yes, much better message. Let the fascists take over. Fuck over the LGBT, fuck over women, fuck over everyone. Cause it totally worked when Donald Trump won! Why we got progressive candidate Joe Biden as the nominee the next time! Worked out great. If you're a minority, just hold on tight and hope that when the Republicans take back the house, the senate, and then pass voter restriction laws so you can't vote if you're gay, ever had an abortion, or thought about having an abortion (or just had a miscarriage!). I'm sure then we'll finally win! Totally.

Pokemon Iron and Bronze.

TheRock1525 posted...

Right wingers absolutely wanted this.

Of course they did. Centrists will try to tell themselves otherwise. "Yes, I voted for the Leopards Eating People's faces party. But they don't actually want Leopards to eat people's faces! They just say that to get votes. All I care about is them cutting my taxes."

Haven't spoken to him in five years. So that'd be a no. Spending father's day with my kids though.

A few times.

Final Fantasy X when Tidus disappears
Persona 4 Nanako's 'Death'
Suikoden V When Arshtat is overtaken by the rune and kills Ferid
Tales of the Abyss When Luke offers to give up his life for the Replicants
Mass Effect 3 I am the very model of a scientist salarian
Red Dead Redemption 2 Arthur's death. Also his horse's death

Leonhart4 posted...

Brady reportedly will become a lead analyst for Fox after his career is over

So probably around 2030

In 2028. He'll retire at age 50.

BlueCrystalTear posted...

Looking over ESPN's "Best Available" to see who didn't get drafted. Third guy on the list (FS Verone McKinley) was a sophomore. OUCHIES. Guy was too eager. Like most sophomores, he wasn't ready for the NFL.

He was a Redshirt junior, not a Sophomore.

BlueCrystalTear posted...

Why are there punters and kickers being drafted? It's only the 4th round! Wait until at least the 5th, since your guy will probably still be there.

Punters and Kickers being taken early by multiple teams tends to mean a weak draft class (which this was.)

Where is Jack from Harvest Moon

NFL Draft tonight!

Will a QB go in the first round?
Should a QB go in the first round?
And which team makes the pick that makes everyone go "...what?"

This sounds like a good thing for the most part. I mean having game trials would be pretty cool, to be able to try before you buy so you'll know if it's worth it or not.

My controller is the opposite. It won't charge when plugged into the PS4, but will charge when it's in the wall.

Man this topic makes me want Mystical Ninja Starring Goemon on the Switch N64 virtual console.

Gimme Snowboard Kids 2 dammit.

We all know the next game will feature Jennifer Ultimecia.

4/10

The humor was good, but the story lacked any real substance.

Only way to end corruption is for there to be punishment for corruption. Either life imprisonment, or revoke their citizenship.

8/10

Pretty good story, with a few flaws. But for its age, it's fine.

Where is Suezo?!

For those who like Wordle:

https://www.weddlegame.com/

Raymond Holt and Kevin Cozner.