Board 8 > NFL Week 11 Discussion Topic

(+) Yeah! (+)

Featuring the first Thursday night game of the year people actually want to watch!

And probably the last!

(Well maybe Seahawks/Cowboys)

Mandrews down

Along with my fantasy season

my fantasy season was already pretty bleak but this might be the nail

Llama down

NFL is meaningless

Looks like Lamar is fine

give it time

he won't make it to the postseason

Questionable holding call

I'll allow it

Also not looking good for Burrow there, probably done for the game

Not looking good for my Bengals pick

The gods hate afc north qbs

Except Kenneth Pickett

Although forcing the Steelers to keep playing him might be their punishment

The gods forget Pickett exists, much like everyone else

Every time I see a backup QB come in I am grateful that Chad Henne was awesome for us.

https://youtu.be/hPow6Mm9F70?si=oAyJJyGDKEwdJK4t

I was gonna put a buncha points on Baltimore because I thought they'd win by double digits then totally forgot

Oops. 3.5 was way too low of a line though.

The Ravens blowing that game to the Browns was absolutely the worst thing possible for the Bengals. The Ravens blow games, and then they blow teams out. Never considered picking against them here.

3.5 was only too low because the Bengals haven't had a QB for half the game

OBJ down

siggggggghhhh

llama and obj will probably be okay with the 10 day rest, one game, then bye week

but mandrews is donezo for the year

which has always been like 75% of our offense, and if llama tries to keep running he's going to blow some part of his leg out again

so typical ravens season

Also, I never saw this coming, but... Houston has turned into a team that should make the playoffs at this point. Their tiebreakers are solid, and their upcoming schedule isn't hard (They currently have a better CR and SOV than everyone at 5 losses) This is a team that can and should reach 10 wins if they put everything together. Their tiebreakers are so good right now that even 9 wins could be enough to get them the 7 seed.

What's even crazier is there's absolutely a chance that Houston and Indy could be playing each other in week 18 for a playoff spot. Indy has a notably harder upcoming schedule, but they already beat Houston once. All they'd have to do is stay within a game of them, even if Houston wrenches the division from the Jaguars. The thing is.. I don't think the Colts will, but it'd be fun for the much beleaguered AFC South to crash the party.

Still think the Browns are a playoff team. I also had them as a playoff team before the season started. The Browns are basically just an actually competent form of the Jets with coaching that knows what it's doing. They will comfortably slide into the playoffs and have locked it up before week 18. Will the Browns play to win in a meaningless week 18 game if it means trying to knock out the Bengals? I don't know.

Bengals are probably baked, but it's not as bad as the Bills. Save the victory over Buffalo, they have one of the worst tiebreaker situations you'll ever see, albeit a partially fixable one later. 0-3 in Division and 1-5 in Conference, with a loss to Houston (All other playoff contenders are 3 conference losses at worst). Given they can't tiebreak their way out of a paper bag, this means the Bengals will have to end ahead of a bevy of other teams, or win a series of key upcoming games. Every team left on their schedule is a playoff team with the exception of the playoff-relevant Colts. What helps the Bengals is many of those wildcard-relevant teams are AFC. Two against the Steelers, one against the Browns, one against the Colts. Even winning all four of those games might not be enough to get them in, but it's critical for them to win them all. They can't take any more damage in comparison to the teams they've fighting with.

Bills are definitely baked. 2-5 in Conference is as bad as Cincinnati's. Their only "playoff relevant" win was over the Raiders (who are about to play some much better teams overall and die). Their tiebreakers are awful, with minimal ability to fix it, and they lost way too many games in the easy part of their schedule. The upcoming schedule is brutal and they will likely find themselves at 6-8, which is near-elimination for them. Two of these losses being NFC losses would still likely leave them behind teams like Houston and Pittsburgh for a tiebreaker, if they could even catch either of them. Barring seismic shifts in other teams, the Bills can't make the playoffs unless they have at least 10 wins, or the Dolphins completely implode, and I just don't see it. The Bills more likely to lose 10 games than they are to make the playoffs at this point, and that's wild. If that actually happens, I expect more firings.

Biggest wild card is the Steelers. They're a bad team, but they're 6-3... With a blowout loss to the Texans, which could haunt them. Their division record is 2-0, and their conference record is a sparkling 4-2. All this team has to do is keep doing what they've been doing and they're in. This feels like an inexplicably 9-8 or 10-7 team that will tiebreak almost every other team on the planet so long as they don't get swept by the Bengals.

NFC has such a clear playoff picture outside of the South and who actually wins the divisions. Eagles/Lions/49ers/Seahawks/Cowboys/Vikings are all playoff teams, and they are all notably better than every other team in the conference.

Basically, I think every team currently in the playoffs in the AFC is probably going to stay there, and in the NFC those 6 are all going to stay there. Not even going to try to figure out the NFC South.

That turned from a simple remark about Houston to... That.

I do that sometimes~

FFDragon posted...

but mandrews is donezo for the year

welp

I picked up McBride so hopefully Kyler keeps feeding him but this is going to hurt. I had Dobbins too I'm never drafting a Raven again

MZero posted...

welp

I picked up McBride so hopefully Kyler keeps feeding him but this is going to hurt. I had Dobbins too I'm never drafting a Raven again

The question is why has this become so typical for the Ravens

Burrow needs surgery and he's done for the season

Oh well the Bengals already had one foot in the grave but I guess that's that.

That probably helps the Jaguars most of all teams, weirdly enough. Well the Vikings too.

Ifrit posted...

That probably helps the Jaguars most of all teams, weirdly enough. Well the Vikings too.

The Steelers still play them twice.

About the one scenario I could see really threatening the Steelers was getting swept by the Bengals. It's hard to see them missing the playoffs now.

this sucks because the ravens will make the playoffs and get bounced again, dooming us to a lower draft pick with nothing to show for it... again.

FFDragon posted...

this sucks because the ravens will make the playoffs and get bounced again, dooming us to a lower draft pick with nothing to show for it... again.

Trade up if you have a player you've got your eye on. It's not that difficult. Might be costly in terms of picks, but it's better than losing games to get a better draft position and create a culture of losing.

FFDragon posted...

this sucks because the ravens will make the playoffs and get bounced again, dooming us to a lower draft pick with nothing to show for it... again.

How many teams in the AFC can actually beat the Ravens if the Ravens don't beat themselves?

Ifrit posted...

It's not that difficult. Might be costly in terms of picks

for eric decosta, giving away picks might as well be asking him to invent time travel

Crescent-Moon posted...

How many teams in the AFC can actually beat the Ravens if the Ravens don't beat themselves?

i know i'm dooin and gloomin here but this team is so anticlutch I was convinced they were going to lose to *checks notes* Juke Brownies?

FFDragon posted...

i know i'm dooin and gloomin here but this team is so anticlutch I was convinced they were going to lose to *checks notes* Juke Brownies?

3 seed Ravens
6 seed Steelers

PANIC?

Crescent-Moon posted...

How many teams in the AFC can actually beat the Ravens if the Ravens don't beat themselves?

Yeah, but the Ravens aren't going to play 3 games in a row without beating themselves at least once.

Not unless they bring back Joe Elite for another Super Bowl run

Hey what the shit o have burrow on my fantasy team. He's not allowed to be hurt.

Today I get Steelers/Browns, Commies/Giants, and Jets/Bills, before a night game of Vikings/Broncos.

How many points am I actually going to see scored? Will it even make 150?

Vikings/Broncos might get halfway there by itself tbqh

MrSmartGuy posted...

Vikings/Broncos might get halfway there by itself tbqh

All four of those games feel like "First to 20 wins"

Bears fans showing up in Detroit

they must really have hope in Fields

Also this game is all sorts of trap for Houston.

Arizona is better than their record, and Houston gets the Jags rematch next week.

speaking of trap games

my poor lionz

Getting swept by the Giants is gonna get Ron fired.

Browns wasted chances to get their lead on the Steelers higher than 10-0 and lo and behold it's now 10-10 in the 4th.

The Pittsburgh Vikings!

Was at D&D instead of watching the Bears. Lol Lions they're not winning the division.

MysteriousStan posted...

Was at D&D instead of watching the Bears. Lol Lions they're not winning the division.

A loss to the Bears of all teams leaves it wide open to the Vikings, a team I said they needed to be wary about a while ago.

tomlin is going to lead this team to a championship

he can't be stopped

Thorn posted...

tomlin is going to lead this team to a championship

he can't be stopped

13-10 Steelers win upcoming! Browns shank a punt out of bounds for a net of just 25 yards.

And Stroud really needs to stop throwing picks with the lead late in games.

Bengals dropped the TD that should've punished Houston for this. Cardinals might now be so generous.

Uh oh Bears might be Bearsing

Giants might be doing the same!

Washington has 9 sacks wow

Lions are gonna have a chance to take the lead or win the game in these final 2 minutes

Browns receiver drops the ball to give it to the Steelers with 1:50 left this seems right.

Giants fail to put Washington away and punt.

Raiders keep having chances to tie Miami and failing.

Bears are Bears.

Everything seems right.