Current Events > MLB Playoff topic

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 12:06:20 AM
#201:


Oh god he defends Dave Roberts too

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 12:06:55 AM
#202:


Dodgers would have at least 3 rings with a competent manager.

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Zithers
10/12/23 12:09:24 AM
#203:


managers are largely there to keep the clubhouse together and do what the FO wants them to do

it isnt like roberts was mismanaging the bullpen or w/e people typically use against managers. their SPs were all garbage (which everyone knew to begin with) and then the bats went cold. what is roberts supposed to do. "hey mookie... can you get a hit bro? freddie?" it was just a bad three games. firing a manager off THREE games where players played like shit out of 165 is insane.

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ShineboxPhil
10/12/23 12:11:26 AM
#204:


Winning the world series isn't for everyone.
Unlike the Houston Astros who are the best...

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Freddie_Mercury
10/12/23 12:11:41 AM
#205:


no step on sneks

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 12:14:22 AM
#206:


Zithers posted...
managers are largely there to keep the clubhouse together and do what the FO wants them to do

it isnt like roberts was mismanaging the bullpen or w/e people typically use against managers. their SPs were all garbage (which everyone knew to begin with) and then the bats went cold. what is roberts supposed to do. "hey mookie... can you get a hit bro? freddie?" it was just a bad three games. firing a manager off THREE games where players played like shit out of 165 is insane.

>keep the clubhouse together
>100 win teams keep choking in the NLDS

sounds like hes doing his job!

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Cornmuffins
10/12/23 12:15:21 AM
#207:


Butterfiles posted...


Didn't read any of this bs but I agree Roberts is doing a great job as manager and should definitely keep his job!

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 12:16:37 AM
#208:


"Roberts didn't mismanage the bullpen...this time!"

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Zithers
10/12/23 12:19:11 AM
#209:


SayHeyyShohei posted...
>keep the clubhouse together
>100 win teams keep choking in the NLDS

sounds like hes doing his job!

again i dont think youre aware of how probabilities and baseball randomness work.

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 12:19:55 AM
#210:


Zithers posted...
again i dont think youre aware of how probabilities and baseball randomness work.

the true randomness of the astros making 7 straight ALCS ah yes

i dont think you know how multi interpretation of statistics work. you just follow the most popular narrative

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Delirious_Beard
10/12/23 12:20:41 AM
#211:


Roberts has done tons of stupid shit In the playoffs over the years but you cant really put this one on him

the state of their arms just doomed them, especially after Kershaw couldnt even go one inning. Having to rely on Lynn who is probably the most homer prone pitcher around was never going to work

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Zithers
10/12/23 12:49:39 AM
#212:


SayHeyyShohei posted...
the true randomness of the astros making 7 straight ALCS ah yes

i dont think you know how multi interpretation of statistics work. you just follow the most popular narrative

what can i say - the highly improbable happens all the time mr shohei

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 4:19:41 AM
#213:


Zithers posted...
what can i say - the highly improbable happens all the time mr shohei

this literally makes no sense

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GuerrillaSoldier
10/12/23 4:35:48 AM
#214:


Zithers posted...
the highly improbable happens all the time
lmao


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Cynrascal
10/12/23 4:48:35 AM
#215:


The Dodgers are the Cowboys of the MLB. They are hyped up at the start of the season and they crash and burn in some fashion.

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Zithers
10/12/23 12:31:21 PM
#216:


SayHeyyShohei posted...
this literally makes no sense

a triple is the most unlikely thing to happen during a PA. less likely than hitting into an out, striking out, a walk, hitting a single or double or homer....

712 triples were hit this season

is it starting to make sense

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Dat_Cracka_Jax
10/12/23 12:50:29 PM
#217:


Zithers posted...
a triple is the most unlikely thing to happen during a PA. less likely than hitting into an out, striking out, a walk, hitting a single or double or homer....

712 triples were hit this season

is it starting to make sense
I think it's your phrase. If something happens all the time, then it's not highly improbable

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Zithers
10/12/23 1:00:55 PM
#218:


Dat_Cracka_Jax posted...
I think it's your phrase. If something happens all the time, then it's not highly improbable

maybe. point stands tho. the least likely thing to happen will happen a shitload of times. there were 40,118 non triple hits and 41,843 strikeouts. only 721 triples. pretty big difference. still lots of triples tho dude. you gotta admit.

kind of like how the dbacks beating the dodgers in 3 was the least likely to happen. or mookie and freddie going 1-21. and they combined for 5 batted balls going 95+ mph but none of those managed to be a hit. brandon pfaadt being perfect through 4. all of this is pretty unlikely.

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FlyEaglesFly24
10/12/23 1:04:41 PM
#219:


So are we getting a rerun of last year? I dont think I can stomach having three runs to the finals in one year and losing all three of them.

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Zithers
10/12/23 7:17:48 PM
#220:


do any of you play ootp btw? and have interest in joining an online league?

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 7:42:49 PM
#221:


Zithers posted...
maybe. point stands tho. the least likely thing to happen will happen a shitload of times. there were 40,118 non triple hits and 41,843 strikeouts. only 721 triples. pretty big difference. still lots of triples tho dude. you gotta admit.

kind of like how the dbacks beating the dodgers in 3 was the least likely to happen. or mookie and freddie going 1-21. and they combined for 5 batted balls going 95+ mph but none of those managed to be a hit. brandon pfaadt being perfect through 4. all of this is pretty unlikely.

your logic is all over the place

the amount of triples that occured this year is the exact probability of how likely a triple is to occur based on league average. things aren't simultaneously improbable and probable at the same time. none of what youre saying makes any sense

in a 3 game sample size, it is incredibly likely for either team to win 3 games in a row, almost 50/50. not sure what youre trying to prove with this either

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Zithers
10/12/23 8:10:45 PM
#222:


SayHeyyShohei posted...
your logic is all over the place

the amount of triples that occured this year is the exact probability of how likely a triple is to occur based on league average. things aren't simultaneously improbable and probable at the same time. none of what youre saying makes any sense

in a 3 game sample size, it is incredibly likely for either team to win 3 games in a row, almost 50/50. not sure what youre trying to prove with this either

the logic is fine.

anyway there is not a 50% chance of a team winning 3 games in a row. assuming you have a 50% chance of winning any single game, .5 * .5 * .5 = .125. personally i do not think 12.5% is almost 50/50. in fact, 10 of 89 division series have ended with a sweep, which is, let me do some math here - 11.2%. so closer to my math than your 50/50.

my logic > your logic. qed.

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 8:11:52 PM
#223:


youre calculating something completely different

I said theres basically a 50/50 chance of either team winning 3 in a row. Keep up

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Zithers
10/12/23 8:14:09 PM
#224:


SayHeyyShohei posted...
youre calculating something completely different

I said theres basically a 50/50 chance of either team winning 3 in a row. Keep up

what is the calculation to determine this

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 8:20:34 PM
#225:


Zithers posted...
what is the calculation to determine this

take the probability of one team sweeping
now take the probability of the other team sweeping

they are virtually the same despite one team being better

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Zithers
10/12/23 8:26:13 PM
#226:


no clue what you are talking about. not seeing any 50/50 stuff anywhere. brain is currently in free fall trying to understand what is happening rn

go braves

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 8:30:52 PM
#227:


Zithers posted...
no clue what you are talking about. not seeing any 50/50 stuff anywhere. brain is currently in free fall trying to understand what is happening rn

go braves

of course your brain is in free fall, you have a georgia state education preventing you from understanding basic shit

if theres a 12.5% chance of one team sweeping, and a slightly less than 12.5% chance of the other team sweeping...the odds of either team sweeping the other when theres a sweep is virtually 50/50

Its basic fucking math

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EyeWontBeFooled
10/12/23 8:37:53 PM
#228:


SayHeyyShohei posted...
of course your brain is in free fall, you have a georgia state education preventing you from understanding basic shit

if theres a 12.5% chance of one team sweeping, and a slightly less than 12.5% chance of the other team sweeping...the odds of either team sweeping the other when theres a sweep is virtually 50/50

Its basic fucking math
Mother fucking WHAT, mate?

If a sweep has occured, one of the two teams beat ~12.5% odds to win 3 games in a row. Not 50/50. The two teams don't hug and share a sweep, you know?

Tagging you as Quad Erat Demonstratum.

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SayHeyyShohei
10/12/23 8:40:47 PM
#229:


Omg you have to be fucking trolling

One team (the better team likely) has a 12.5% chance of sweeping

The other team has a slightly less than 12.5% chance of sweeping

~12.5+~12.5=~25. 50% of ~25 is ~12.5.

You have to be fucking trolling you cant be this dense

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Zithers
10/12/23 8:44:03 PM
#230:


michael harris is good at starting double plays

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Calwings
10/12/23 10:02:08 PM
#231:


Everyone stop arguing about stupid shit and talk about NICK FUCKING CASTELLANOS

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Zithers
10/12/23 10:24:17 PM
#232:


most intense PA since trout/ohtani in the WBC

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Dat_Cracka_Jax
10/12/23 10:26:00 PM
#233:


That was a great half inning

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Zithers
10/12/23 10:54:25 PM
#234:


if bryce harper is hurt that will make a phillies/dbacks nlcs even more unwatchable than it already is

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Calwings
10/12/23 11:17:33 PM
#235:


Phillies win, and another top seed that got a bye goes down.

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PeteyParker
10/12/23 11:19:03 PM
#236:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/user_image/8/7/3/AAA1pFAAE7Zh.jpg

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FlyEaglesFly24
10/12/23 11:19:27 PM
#237:


Lets Goooooo!

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Shotgunnova
10/12/23 11:19:45 PM
#238:


Looks like Harper made out okay. Would've sucked getting injured in that kind of play. Could've sworn there was a Dodger (Muncy?) who got injured in a similar play a few years ago.

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Delirious_Beard
10/12/23 11:19:51 PM
#239:


Braves have a historic offense and go out starting Kevin pillar

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Zithers
10/13/23 12:19:38 AM
#240:


Delirious_Beard posted...
Braves have a historic offense and go out starting Kevin pillar

eddie rosario cant hit lefties tbf

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Jeff_AKA_Snoopy
10/13/23 12:11:44 PM
#241:


Can I ask a question of the group?

Is it a disservice to the top ranked teams that they don't play in the first round? Baseball is a bit of an everyday sport and does it do teams well to have like, almost a week off before they play their first playoff game?

I'm not suggesting that we should make it easier for those teams or anything but like, have players come out and said the time off affects their game?

Is it a reward for those top ranked teams, after 162 games, to then sit for a week?

Just curious what people think.

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Calwings
10/13/23 1:37:16 PM
#242:


Jeff_AKA_Snoopy posted...
Can I ask a question of the group?

Is it a disservice to the top ranked teams that they don't play in the first round? Baseball is a bit of an everyday sport and does it do teams well to have like, almost a week off before they play their first playoff game?

I'm not suggesting that we should make it easier for those teams or anything but like, have players come out and said the time off affects their game?

Is it a reward for those top ranked teams, after 162 games, to then sit for a week?

Just curious what people think.

I already made the comment earlier in this topic that the 5 days off the top seeds get might be having a negative effect, but I also think 8 LDS series over 2 years of the new format is still too small of a sample size to judge. 5 of 8 top seeds losing after their bye in these first 2 years is more than half, but 4 of those 5 to lose like that are the Dodgers and Braves who already had a reputation for being playoff underachievers even before this new format. It'll take more time, more seasons, and other teams getting the chance to have a first-round bye before we know for sure.

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Zithers
10/13/23 2:35:52 PM
#243:


i dont think it really matters. its two less games you have to win on your way to the world series. i'm sure every team would prefer that.

the issue is that by adding more games and teams you are adding more randomness. which is why the fucking diamondbacks are in the final four. they had a 98 wrc+. they had a 98 era+. why is this team even in the playoffs

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DoctorPiranha3
10/13/23 7:39:56 PM
#244:


Astros don't seem to have a problem with that week off
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Bigbot84
10/13/23 7:43:54 PM
#245:


You're going to trigger all the crybabies in the topic with a statement like that.
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Fin_Dawg_004
10/14/23 8:27:31 PM
#246:


Scherzer hopes to be back for tx at some point this series. Good timing

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Despised
10/14/23 8:55:39 PM
#247:


Lets go Astros, going to be back to back this year

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Zikten
10/15/23 9:34:17 PM
#248:


Astros just had bases loaded and then struck out. Good job Rangers!
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Fin_Dawg_004
10/15/23 9:39:07 PM
#249:


Get rekt verlander!

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StarDestroyer
10/15/23 9:39:14 PM
#250:


2-0

Rangers getting it done.
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