Board 8 > B8 NFL Ladder Contest 2022 Week 18

(+) Yeah! (+)

A few ground rules:
-Please say which level you are on when you post your pick. In most cases it will be obvious, but this makes it easier for me to record the picks.
-The deadline to make a pick is before the official kick-off time of the game in question. You cannot pick a game that has already started. Some levels may have different deadlines, so read carefully.
-The deadline to answer the bonus question is at the start of games on Sunday (1 PM ET).
-Please don't edit your picks. If you'd like to change, please do so in a clearly labeled new post.
-I get my spreads from an online site providing lines from several sources, both in Vegas and out. Although these sources may continue to change their lines throughout the week, the ones I post in the topic are frozen and final for our purposes.
-You may use bonus points to skip any level after it is guaranteed you cannot pass it (at the end of the week's games, typically). You may only skip the level before I have posted the next week's topic. The price for skipping is in proportion to the level you are skipping. Skipping level 1 would take 1 bonus point, level 2 will take 2, level 5 will take 5. So on and so forth.

Explanation of Levels:

Level 1: Pick a winner. Simply pick one team to win their game. If they win, you go on to level 2.

Level 2: Pick an Underdog to win. You must pick a team that is an underdog to win their game. Underdogs will always be the team listed second.

Level 3: Level 3: 2 Games with Spread. Using the spreads I provide, pick 2 games. You must get both correct to move on. Spreads work by giving (-) or getting (+) points. The team that is the favorite to win "gives" points to the underdog. If you choose the favorite to win, they must still win after "giving" those points to the underdog. If you choose the underdog, you would be correct if they win the game after "getting" those points. For example, if a game says "Giants (-2.5) vs. Cowboys," if you pick the Giants, they must actually win the game by at least three points; if you pick the Cowboys, you would win if they actually won the game or lost by two points or less.

Level 4: 2 Game differentials. Pick two games and specify them to have a score differential of either 10+ or 5-. Make sure to specify which you pick, if you pick a score to be 10+ and the score ends up 3 apart, you do not advance. You do not need to pick the winner, as long as the differential is correct, it does not matter which team wins.

Level 5: 2 Over/Unders: I will now provide over/unders for each game. This number relates to the final score. You must choose 2 of the games and decide whether the final score will be OVER the number I provided or UNDER the number I provided. You must get both of these correct to advance.

Level 6: Pleaser: Pick one team to win using the spread, but with the pleaser, you lose 6 points on the spread. In other words, add six points in whichever direction makes it harder to win. For example, a (-2.5) spread becomes (-8.5), a (+3.5) becomes a (-2.5) spread, etc.

Level 7: QB, RB, WR: Pick 1 player to throw a touchdown pass, 1 player to rush for a touchdown, and 1 player to catch a touchdown pass. They must all be from different teams, and must also combine for at least 4 touchdowns in their respective positions. Typically you will be picking a QB, RB, and WR, but you may pick players from other positions to fill those roles (i.e. a TE or RB to get a receiving touchdown). You must make it clear what role you are picking the players for if it is not the standard QB/RB/WR or QB/RB/TE. If the player gets a touchdown in a different way (i.e. your rusher getting a receiving touchdown), it does not count.

Level 8: 5 Game Teaser: This is the opposite of level 6. Instead of losing 6 points on each spread, you actually gain 6 points on each spread. But you have to get all 5 games right to move on. So a team favored by 9.5 will now only have to win by 3.5, a team that is getting 2.5 points will now be getting 8.5 points.

Level 9: Rank 'Em: Pick starting quarterbacks and rank them in order of passing yards they will have this week, from most to least. You must get the entire order correct. TWO CHOICES: You may rank three quarterbacks whose team wins the game, OR any four quarterbacks. All selected quarterbacks must start their game. You must pick all players at once; you cannot make a partial pick to complete later.

Level 10: Obstacle Course: For this level, you are trying previous levels (although some of them are easier than before): You must SUCCESSFULLY pick one team to win, one team to win with the spread, one team to score 28 or more/14 or less, one over/under, one player to score a non-passing touchdown, AND quarterback to throw for at least 280 yards. You can't pick the same team more than once.

TIEBREAKER: This is where the bonus points you have acquired throughout the season come into play. For every bonus point you have, you may attempt a level you have previously passed. You can only "redeem" each bonus point once, but you may spread them out however you choose amongst the remaining weeks (oops). You cannot attempt the same level more than once in the same week (although you can attempt similar levels with the same pick, i.e. Level 3 and Level 6). For each level you pass, you will get points equal to the level number passed (i.e. if you submit a Level 4 pick and get it right, that's 4 points). The total accumulation of these points will be the tiebreaker between anyone tied at the highest level at the end of the season.

Schedule: (Favorites listed first; home team in CAPS)

Saturday, January 7th (4:30/8:15 PM ET)
Kansas City (-9.5) @ LAS VEGAS 52.5
JACKSONVILLE (-6.5) vs Tennessee 39.5

Sunday, January 8th
1 PM
CINCINNATI (-7.5) vs Baltimore 40.5
ATLANTA (-4.5) vs Tampa Bay 40.5
BUFFALO (-6.5) vs New England 42.5
Minnesota (-7.5) @ CHICAGO 43.5
INDIANAPOLIS (-2.5) vs Houston 37.5
MIAMI (-1.5) vs New York Jets 38.5
NEW ORLEANS (-3.5) vs Carolina 41.5
PITTSBURGH (-2.5) vs Cleveland 40.5
4 PM
DENVER (-2.5) vs Los Angeles Chargers 39.5
PHILADELPHIA (-13.5) vs New York Giants 43.5
SAN FRANCISCO (-13.5) vs Arizona Cardinals 40.5
SEATTLE (-5.5) vs Los Angeles Rams 41.5
Dallas (-6.5) @ WASHINGTON 40.5
8 PM
GREEN BAY (-4.5) vs Detroit 49.5

Bonus Question: Whos running this next year?

Based on a quick scan, I think two picks, Han and Crescent's, depended on the outcome of the Bengals/Bills game as far as whether they advanced or not. The big thing here is that, with Koala at Level 10 and no one else at Level 9, he technically should have clinched a victory already unless I allow Crescent to advance to Level 9 due to having every other game correct

I think the best way to handle this is just to let them both advance (and open the door for a little drama in Week 18) but I am open to suggestions and opinions

Thorn and I had a question about skipping Level 7 at the end of the last topic

Drama!?

Force them both to play a neutral site game.

Level 6: Seattle (-11.5)

Leonhart4 posted...

Thorn and I had a question about skipping Level 7 at the end of the last topic

Oops I thought I answered that. You both have 6 bonus points after correctly picking last week's bonus

Crescent-Moon posted...

Drama!?

As in, if you don't advance to Level 9 Koala's victory is already clinched

Level 6:
Vikings - 13.5 yeah, I'm doing something crazy

Level 6: Chargers -3.5

MZero posted...

Oops I thought I answered that. You both have 6 bonus points after correctly picking last week's bonus

...Darn.

Oh well.

Level 7:
QB - Patrick Mahomes
RB - Derrick Henry
WR - Davante Adams

All today let's go.

Tiebreaker/Bonus Points:

Level 1: Chiefs
Level 2: Lions
Level 3: CINCINNATI (-7.5), PITTSBURGH (-2.5)
Level 4: Chiefs/Raiders, 49ers/Cardinals both 10+
Level 5: Dallas/Washington OVER, Broncos/Chargers UNDER
Level 6: PITTSBURGH (-8.5)

How many bonus points do I even have I suck at bonus questions

Level 7:

QB - Patrick Mahomes
RB - Derrick Henry
WR - JaMarr Chase

Bonus: Not me

Level 7
QB: Josh Allen
RB: Christian McCaffrey
WR: Jerick McKinnon

Level 7:
QB: Patrick Mahomes
RB: Jamaal Williams
WR: Tyler Lockett

Level 5 for posterity
Minnesota @ CHICAGO OVER 43.5
PHILADELPHIA vs New York Giants OVER 43.5

There's a Mahomes TD

I just want to pass Level 7

I just want to know how many tiebreaker points I have since it's not posted in this topic or the last one.

Level 10
KommunistKoala******

Level 9
Crescent-Moon****

Level 8
MysteriousStan****
pronouncemyname***
Suprak the Stud**

Level 7
Cody11533*****
DpOblivion**
fortybelowsummer****
foxhead84**
HBJDubs**
Leonhart4******
Mewtwo59*****
MMXcalibur*****
MZero***
Paratroopa1****
Reg****
Sir Chris****
StifledSilence*****
SwiftyDC******
terpaholic****
TheArkOfTurus***
Thorn******
ZeroSignal620******

Level 6
5tarscream*
Bartz****
Camden*****
HanOfTheNekos*******
KCF0107********
Whiskey_Nick*****

Level 5
davidponte****
Runemistress***
Stripperiffic
th3l3fty****
theawesomestevr******
thekitchensink****

Level 4
Dancedreamer***
Eddv
LiquidOshawott**
VengefulKaelee**
Xuxon****

Level 3
Wicklebee*
WiggumFan267

Level 2
Arti*****
Evil_REmade*
greengravy294*
hockeydude15*
MaxedOutRyu*
mccheyne*

Level 1
changmas*
guffguy89
Jukkie
KokoroAkechi*
wallmasterz**

Level 8:

Cincinnati(-1.5)
Buffalo (-0.5)
Minnesota (-1.5)
Houston (+8.5)
Dallas (-0.5)

I think level 8 is the best I have ever done so I consider this a success.

Level 8
Cincinnati (-1.5)
Minnesota (-1.5)
Houston (+8.5)
Pittsburgh (+3.5)
Detroit (+10.5)

Level 7:

QB: Josh Allen
RB: Christian McCaffrey
WR: Jamar Chase

Tiebreaker:

Level 1: 49ers
Level 2: Chargers
Level 3:
Chargers (+2.5)
Lions (+4.5)
Level 4:
49ers/Cardinals 10+
Steelers/Browns 5-
Level 6: Buccaneers (-2.5)

Level 5: MIAMI (-1.5) vs New York Jets 38.5 andGREEN BAY (-4.5) vs Detroit 49.5 both UNDER
TB 1: LVL 1 Green Bay
TB 2: LVL 2 Ravens

L7

QB: Josh Allen
RB: Christian McCaffrey
WR: Jamar Chase

Tiebreaker:
Level 1: 49ers
Level 2: Lions
Level 3: Steelers -2.5, Seahawks -5.5
Level 4: Cards/49ers 10+, Vikings/Bears 10+
Level 5: Seahawks/Rams OVER, Broncos/Chargers OVER

Level 10

Win: San Francisco
Spread: Tampa Bay
O/U: Pittsburgh/Cleveland UNDER
>28: Dallas
Touchdown: Stefon Diggs
280 yards: Goff

Change level 10:
Spread to Chargers
Touchdown to Ezekiel Elliot

Tiebreaker

Level 9
Josh Allen > Prescott > Purdy

Level 8
Buffalo
Cincinnati
Dallas
San Francisco
Detroit

Level 7
Qb Josh Allen
Rb Jamaal Williams
Wr Jamarr chase

Level 6
Chargers

Level 5
Pittsburgh Cleveland UNDER
Miami/New York UNDER

Level 4
Dallas/Washington 10+
San Franscico/Arizona 10+

Level 8
CINCINNATI (-1.5)
Minnesota (-1.5)
Los Angeles Chargers (+8.5)
PHILADELPHIA (-7.5)
Dallas (-0.5)

Tiebreaker:
Level 7 - QB Josh Allen, RB Jamaal Williams, WR Justin Jefferson
Level 6 - Chargers (-3.5)

Level 7:

QB: Joe Burrow
RB: Jamal Williams
WR: CeeDee Lamb

Lv.5:
Miami/New York UNDER 38.5
Pittsburgh/Cleveland UNDER 40.5

TBs:
Lv.4: Cincinnati/Baltimore 10+, San Francisco/Arizona 10+
Lv.3: Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5), Seattle (-5.5)
Lv.2: Houston
Lv.1: San Francisco

Level 9:

Burrow>Purdy>Hurts

Level 8:

Bengals
Bills
Cowboys
Seahawks
Vikings

Level 7:

Josh Allen
Dalvin Cook
Ja'Mar Chase

Level 6:

Buccaneers -1.5

Level 5:

Buccaneers/Falcons UNDER
Ravens/Bengals UNDER

Finally got the WR TD on Level 7 but will still fall short once again

Made it to Level 9 last year so a bit of a step back for me, but it was still a lot of fun.

Koala failed level 10, but Burrow's amount of passing yards is super lackluster so I'm not feeling any confidence in hitting level 9 here. Probably won't end up mattering.

A Dallas win away from finally passing level 8. Did not think this level would trip me up but this was like my 4 try at it I think. Definitely better than last year where I spent way too many weeks on level 4. Think level 9 is the further I've gotten so this would tie that if Dallas wins.

Hurts passed Burrow, so I managed to escape the tiebreaker drama

good game! didn't think I'd ever win ladder after multiple bad years of being stuck around 5/6

Made it to Level 8 last year so Level 7 was a step back.=(

Almost ran the table on my tiebreaker Level 1-6 suite though lol. Got the O/Us wrong on Level 5 though.

Oh sweet, finishing the ladder with passing level 8.