Board 8 > Dota 2 Mafia 2 Topic 6 - Allegedy a Team Game of Mafia

Topic List
Page List: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ... 10
Isquen
09/10/22 2:10:13 PM
#1:


The Living
1 - changmas
2 - ctesjbuvf
3 - HanOfTheNekos
4 - hbthebattle
5 - htaeD
6 - Kirby321
7 - Lopen
8 - MZero
9 - Obellisk
10 - PoppyTheNinja
11 - red13n
12 - UltimaterializerX

The Dead
1. [LD1] Sultan - MAFIA Elusive Roleblocker
2. [KN1] Corrik - TOWN Roshan Hater
3. [KN1] Lea - TOWN Miller Ninja Item Thief

With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.

[4] hb - Ulti, MZero, Poppy, Han
[2] Poppy - Lopen, Chang
[1] Kirby - Ctes, (Lopen)
[1] Ulti - hb, (Lopen)
[1] Red - Kirby, (Han), (Death)
[0] Chang - (Kirby), (Han)

Day actions are due by 6 PM EST tonight, a little under four hours from now; if you have already used yours today by visiting the shop, for today only, you may retroactively purchase an item if you decided not to.

End of Day will occur at 8 PM EST, a little under six hours from now.

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changmas
09/10/22 2:14:05 PM
#2:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Mafia 101 - You do not hunt for a Godfather lynch before proof of such presents itself. We havent even proof of a cop yet.

the existence of a miller is a very strong argument for the existence of a godfather

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Lopen
09/10/22 2:15:55 PM
#3:


Okay guys

While I think it's clearly Poppy, I am willing to vote any of the following people today as a compromise. This is my preference in descending order.

Poppy - Vote. Always pay attention to Corrik's vote.
Kirby - Cult Leader
Ulti - We're in the endgame now

MZero is also obvscum who gave up his positioning but should not be lynched as there is MZero chance Corrik targeted him.

Or you guys can just kill Hb whatever. I'm done until closer till deadline. Under no circumstances will I vote anyone else.

Have fun playing the game.

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PoppyTheNinja
09/10/22 2:17:48 PM
#5:


changmas posted... isn't that exactly what you were suggesting about myself and red yesterday?
i mean, i thought you were scum because i couldn't see you doing much. and if that's your playstyle, okay, i can't necessarily know that, but i think "this person doesn't look like they're trying to find scum" is generally a pretty good basic read to make. ultimately regardless i think you did warm up and start doing stuff and are unaligned with sultan anyway.

i think that's a fair bit different than "you used a lot of quotes and that's scummy" - that type of argument is just downright insulting and makes me feel attacked for how i choose to present my viewpoints to the thread. but i don't think lopen is arguing in good faith anymore

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Lopen
09/10/22 2:19:15 PM
#6:


Don't reduce my argument to that Poppy

I'm attacking you primarily because you claimed Corrik left no hints (obviously he left hints on Kirby)
Secondarily for flopping on whether I'm town or flailing scum (what)
Your posting style is a distant third

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#7
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htaeD
09/10/22 2:20:12 PM
#8:


I dont necessarily agree that Poppy has to be town just because he called for a scanner to target him.
We have no idea what kind of power scum has in their arsenal to counter scanning.

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PoppyTheNinja
09/10/22 2:23:06 PM
#10:


i'm gonna dig back to topic 3 and pull the quotes i find relevant:

Hbthebattle posted... ##Vote: Kirby
Well, never let it be said I'm a quitter

Hbthebattle posted... look im not going to be around for the last hour of EoD so I'm going to miss any specials or insanity
I think it's smartest to put the vote on the person I think is likeliest to be scum and then hope for the best

Hbthebattle posted... I don't think he's looked particularly good so I wouldn't be opposed to his lynch.
(this one re: sultan)

TheSultanOfSlam posted... Ill move from Kirby just trying too decide Honestly

Question han If you had a vote to use who would you use it on.

The reason I'm hesitant on HB is he tunneled alot like is that nessisarily a scum thing to do??

I also feel like he has been the lynch leader majority of the dayband nothing has really changed there which makes me feel maybe its wrong and scum is laying low?

I am very weary of the 2 millers and the worse sounding of the 2 is Kirby that is why I haven't moved. I dont think it be lea

Chang I feel is a good option
And Ulti also still seems like a great option

Ulti probably is a "safe" day one option i am sure he is. Scum or 3rd party and not town i dont really see him being town.

I want everyone to tell me why lynching ulti is a bad idea here?

you have 2 lynch candidates. both are in the lead. neither wants to vote the other's wagon despite calling the other scummy for most of the day. the most likely explanation is because they are teammates. qed


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htaeD
09/10/22 2:24:01 PM
#11:


Also personally I cant even begin to untangle this mess between everyone until probably after the flip
So to fix that I guess its time to reanalyze HB and Poppy.

I will say I dont think Kirby has been very vocal today. But it is a weekend...

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Lopen
09/10/22 2:24:30 PM
#12:


By the way

You can't believe Sultan is scum yesterday, call Hb town yesterday
Then flip your stance on Hb based on Sultan's flip if you throught Sultan was scum yesterday

You do realize that doesn't make sense right

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htaeD
09/10/22 2:24:33 PM
#13:


UltimaterializerX posted...

Didnt say this. I just said he scans innocent, so him being scum leaves us with two options.


Fair. But I dont think its only a godfather power that could make him be confident about scans.

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PoppyTheNinja
09/10/22 2:24:56 PM
#14:


Lopen posted...
Don't reduce my argument to that Poppy

I'm attacking you primarily because you claimed Corrik left no hints (obviously he left hints on Kirby)
Secondarily for flopping on whether I'm town or flailing scum (what)
Your posting style is a distant third
  1. i said corrik had no hints IN TOPIC 4. and obviously i'm not going to assume him voting me is a hint because i know i'm town. i haven't reread topic 3 to see if he hinted something else
  2. i thought you were town but your continual bad faith illogical arguments have led me to change my mind. that happens in a game of mafia.

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PoppyTheNinja
09/10/22 2:29:59 PM
#15:


Lopen posted...
By the way

You can't believe Sultan is scum yesterday, call Hb town yesterday
Then flip your stance on Hb based on Sultan's flip if you throught Sultan was scum yesterday

You do realize that doesn't make sense right
no it makes perfect sense

because in a game of mafia, you are working from limited information

from what i had at the time, i thought sultan was a better vote than HB

however, on reviewing the game overnight, i found the interactions between HB and sultan to be suspicious, and opened the day by pushing on that.

i also have found HB's posting today to be scummy as he seems mostly content to not contribute anything of note and just lurk out the pressure. that is INFORMATION I DID NOT HAVE ON DAY 1.

in a game of mafia you have to continually re-assess and re-evaluate reads based on the new information being presented. you are not required to town read someone forever because you read them as town on day 1, and trying to argue that someone is obligated to do so is scummy.

I have presented in clear terms the reasoning for why I think HB is scummy now and you are avoiding actually addressing those arguments to make bad "mind change = scum" accusations

there is zero way you can be this bad at logic if you are town and have been playing the game for any substantial amount of time so you are almost certainly scum

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changmas
09/10/22 2:31:13 PM
#16:


PoppyTheNinja posted...
i mean, i thought you were scum because i couldn't see you doing much. and if that's your playstyle, okay, i can't necessarily know that, but i think "this person doesn't look like they're trying to find scum" is generally a pretty good basic read to make. ultimately regardless i think you did warm up and start doing stuff and are unaligned with sultan anyway.

i think that's a fair bit different than "you used a lot of quotes and that's scummy" - that type of argument is just downright insulting and makes me feel attacked for how i choose to present my viewpoints to the thread. but i don't think lopen is arguing in good faith anymore

this is fair. i understand it's frustrating that lopen sometimes uses nonsensical arguments but that's just part of his personality. but I and most players can separate the wheat from the chaff. And I don't really think anyone took that particular point seriously under consideration, so you shouldn't feel worried that you're going to get lynched over that point in particular

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Lopen
09/10/22 2:32:23 PM
#17:




PoppyTheNinja posted...
well i went to look at corrik's posts in here and there was no hint about who he was targeting so that's pretty useless

PoppyTheNinja posted...
i said corrik had no hints IN TOPIC 4

In topic 4 Corrik had literally 2 posts, one of which was "tag"

[X] DOUBT

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PoppyTheNinja
09/10/22 2:35:40 PM
#18:


"in here" is the operative word

i am reading topic 3 and it also has very little of use

you can accuse me of being lazy and i am 100% guilty but i have no reason to actually lie about that

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Lopen
09/10/22 2:36:19 PM
#19:


Like that's clearly a lie

This is flailing scum personified

I just need some people with the guts to put votes on the high fruit. Are you bad enough to not lynch Hb? Join me and crush this scum.

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htaeD
09/10/22 2:38:46 PM
#20:


I think what Lopen is getting at is that your story would seem inconsistent because it sounded like you read more than topic 4 at first.

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Lopen
09/10/22 2:39:13 PM
#21:


PoppyTheNinja posted...
"in here" is the operative word

You would not mention having looked based on literally two posts, one of which is tag. You would not. More accurately you would say "Corrik's one post during the rush didn't give a hint, I'll keep looking back" if that's what you meant.

You did not attempt to look and were trying to sweep it under the rug because that line leads to scum

Also even a passing read of earlier topics would have had Corrik's incessant rambling about the cult leader in your head I would think

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PoppyTheNinja
09/10/22 2:41:56 PM
#22:


Corrik7 posted... It's important for people to realize that going forward. Lea has a death claim if scum. There is zero reason to worry about it now. It's easier to piece Kirby together as town with how the game falls together if he is and reactions, but this game is so outright weird that things can change quickly. People need to look at these things if I die and things go off the handle quickly.

Corrik7 posted... I haven't argued to lynch Kirby. I am doing exactly what I did last game with Ben's doctor claim. HEY IF I DIE LOOK AT THESE THINGS LATER ON BECAUSE SOMETHING SMELLS HERE. IT COULD BE NOTHING OR EVERYTHING. Basically.

My vote is where it is simply due to not deciding what avenue is best today, not because of what I am pushing. It's important to get everything on the board with Kirby though, because if he isn't town. It could be eventually catastrophic. I am operating Kirby as town due to how many people likely can't be paired with him as scum, though ironically this all kinda falls apart if he is 3rd party I suppose. But, for all intents scum would view the 3rd party as town as well right now. And because he tried some bs host read tags argument to confirm as town slyly. But, it's something town absolutely has to be aware of a a possibility going forward.

Corrik7 posted... I think the arguments are pretty good and need to be kept in the back pocket if things start going sideways for why it is.


logically this would seem to indicate a crumb of kirby but again we know via roleclaims that's not possible unless death/kirby is the team exactly which seems very unlikely. it's just a dead end

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PoppyTheNinja
09/10/22 2:45:51 PM
#23:


atp it feels just as likely there were other role related shenanigans we can't know about that caused corrik to die and basing all arguments around what amounts to a guessing game as opposed to, you know, people's actual posts, is really bad play

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PoppyTheNinja
09/10/22 2:46:49 PM
#24:


Lopen posted...
You would not mention having looked based on literally two posts, one of which is tag. You would not. More accurately you would say "Corrik's one post during the rush didn't give a hint, I'll keep looking back" if that's what you meant.

You did not attempt to look and were trying to sweep it under the rug because that line leads to scum

Also even a passing read of earlier topics would have had Corrik's incessant rambling about the cult leader in your head I would think
i just went back and looked and nope not really

keep trying to deflect from hb though

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Lopen
09/10/22 2:47:32 PM
#25:


Corrik's tirade makes perfect sense on all fronts if you assume he scanned Kirby as Roshan with his day action (very good day action target, miller claim, makes sense) and was trying to townclear with his night action. He made two points during the "if i die look at these things" post. One of which was Kirby, the other was "my vote is where it is"

I know people don't want to assume that that could be possible and that he'd just bag Roshan, but I know Corrik would prefer to lynch Roshan later and try to win the game for town instead. He also needed information to townclear himself and not be an easy mislynch.

His victory condition is not to defeat Roshan. His victory condition is to win the game for town. Remember that.

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#27
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Lopen
09/10/22 2:53:05 PM
#28:


PoppyTheNinja posted...
atp it feels just as likely there were other role related shenanigans we can't know about that caused corrik to die and basing all arguments around what amounts to a guessing game as opposed to, you know, people's actual posts, is really bad play

I'm doing both btw

You think I'm making it entirely on the role action is reductive. You have not reacted how someone who is town would react here. You've flipped back and forth on whether I'm bad at the game or scum. Town usually picks one and goes with it.

It's ok. I think the game is solved. I'd almost rather be lynched than Hb just because I know Hb is wrong and there is a roadmap for scum to win by going with all the low hanging fruit.

It really is as simple as Poppy Ulti MZero scum, Kirby roshan though.

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Kirby321
09/10/22 2:54:43 PM
#29:


htaeD posted...
I will say I dont think Kirby has been very vocal today. But it is a weekend...

Was raiding in FFXIV until 2 AM last night and slept in pretty late today. Just finished eating breakfast an hour ago and I'm still trying to catch up lol

I do have comments to say, though, which I will post in a moment.

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Lopen
09/10/22 2:55:46 PM
#30:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Oh and attacking someone who hasnt played with Corrik before because they didnt pick up a Corrik hint is just weak. He is a very difficult player to draw conclusions from.

He only read topic 4, remember. The issue isn't whether he did, but rather whether he tried.

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Obellisk
09/10/22 3:05:18 PM
#31:


Kids had soccer, now out running errands. Will catch uo and be back in a little bit.

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changmas
09/10/22 3:07:33 PM
#32:


Lopen posted...
Corrik's tirade makes perfect sense on all fronts if you assume he scanned Kirby as Roshan with his day action (very good day action target, miller claim, makes sense) and was trying to townclear with his night action. He made two points during the "if i die look at these things" post. One of which was Kirby, the other was "my vote is where it is"

I know people don't want to assume that that could be possible and that he'd just bag Roshan, but I know Corrik would prefer to lynch Roshan later and try to win the game for town instead. He also needed information to townclear himself and not be an easy mislynch.

His victory condition is not to defeat Roshan. His victory condition is to win the game for town. Remember that.

i am 100% vetoing this theory with every fiber of my being. I was even clear on day 1 about the sorts of goodies roshan would drop! If corrik knew who roshan was then he was killing them. End of discussion.


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Kirby321
09/10/22 3:08:34 PM
#33:


My list of comments are copy/pasted, and I'll post them in a moment. But I just have to say something about this, because this is starting to get on my nerves.

Lopen posted...
I know people don't want to assume that that could be possible and that he'd just bag Roshan, but I know Corrik would prefer to lynch Roshan later and try to win the game for town instead. He also needed information to townclear himself and not be an easy mislynch.

You
are
NOT
Corrik!

Stop saying that you know exactly what he would do. You may have known him for a while, but stop putting words into the mouths of dead people like this.

Lopen, you need to realize that you've being incredibly stubborn. You have a good argument that is probably the truth. But it is not airtight.

You don't know the setup. You don't know there's four scum. You don't know the setup is even balanced.

Corrik attempted to meta the setup last game and died for it.

You don't know anything.

Please, I'm tired of this Day being suffocated of you restating the same points over and over again as absolute truths and antagonizing everybody who doesn't agree with your theory (or even if they do agree with but may have some light opposition to it).

I'm willing to agree that Poppy is scum based off Corrik's behavior at the end of the day. But I think we need more data, and waiting until Day 3 before deciding to lynch Poppy is imo the better play right now. You cannot say with absolute certainty that there are four scum, Sultan's Evasive modifier was benign, and that there's no extra kills involved at all in this game. Delayed extra kill is whatever, but that's one possibility out of many.

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htaeD
09/10/22 3:08:58 PM
#34:


Okay Hb posted a bit more today than I remembered. But It feels like gaps are missing where there should be content.

I do agree with Lopen that his initial burst of frustration comes across as genuine. But I cant call him town for just that.

He didnt respond to the things Mzero asked about or the Ulti thing Mzero pointed out, which makes it impossible to get a grip on his thought process.

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Kirby321
09/10/22 3:10:31 PM
#35:


Lopen posted...
It's ok. I think the game is solved. I'd almost rather be lynched than Hb just because I know Hb is wrong and there is a roadmap for scum to win by going with all the low hanging fruit.

It really is as simple as Poppy Ulti MZero scum, Kirby roshan though.

You are wrong.

You're not scum

We aren't lynching you, and everyone saying they will lynch you are just frustrated with you

If Poppy flips town, we still aren't gonna lynch you. Play to win, not to make a statement for your own ego.

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#37
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Lopen
09/10/22 3:12:59 PM
#38:


Hb also looks townish because Ulti and Poppy flipped from calling him townlike at end of day 1 to trying to lynch him day 2

In Poppy's case it's supposedly based on a Sultan flip (who he already thought was scum-- why does confirming that then make Hb scum)

Like it's not all what Hb did. It's what the game is doing too.

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Kirby321
09/10/22 3:15:42 PM
#39:


Anyway, here are the comments I collected from catching up.

ctesjbuvf posted...
I can confirm that Kirby indeed moved and went to the shop, that much is certain.

And you wanted to lynch me? Wtf?

ctesjbuvf posted...
And I really wanna lynch Kirby.

You acknowledge Death needs to be lying for Corrik to have killed himself on me. You must be willing to lynch Death, too, yes?

I gave Death my Observer Ward. He used it on me (without anyone telling him to).

I get that you're suspicious of me because Lea flipped Miller, but I'm telling the truth. Death has no reason to lie for me unless we're both scum.

I've used my day and night actions for exclusively items. You've confirmed my N1 and D2 actions yourself. If I'm scum who just lost a roleblocker ally, why would I kill my Miller counterclaim and not use my night action for anything useful?

MZero posted...
also, i don't think anyone has mentioned this yet, but Corrik could have been redirected

I thought about this, but that would mean somebody redirected Corrik to scum. That usually doesn't make sense unless they suspected Corrik was protection of some sort (from scum perspective) or a killing role (from town perspective). I guess third-party would have no qualms redirecting Corrik to scum, though.

... At the time of writing this, though, I didn't see others made the same point >_>

MZero posted...
Corrik targeting Kirby and being redirected makes a ton of sense, actually. But who would redirect him to scum? Does Roshan the 3rd party redirector make sense flavor wise?

The other thing to consider is that Corrik has a day scan for Roshan. I found it incredibly weird that Corrik was all up in my grill but then said I was town by the end of the day. I posit that he used his scan on me.

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htaeD
09/10/22 3:16:15 PM
#40:


The question there is...
why would Ulti not say HB looked scummy day1? Even if it wouldnt help save Sultan, it would at least keep his own 'motives' consistent to set up an HB Lynch tomorrow.
Instead he went out of his way to call HB town.

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Kirby321
09/10/22 3:21:19 PM
#41:


Regarding Ulti's suspicions on Han because of his role, they're worth considering for later.

Han said he's been playing more of a passive/support role this game. That checks out; I don't think Han has been as assertive as he usually is, except for when he and Lopen were having a hissy fit.

That being said... does anyone else find it odd that nobody else has been stunned today? Han was stunned midway through Day 1. And we know it couldn't have been a night action because Night 0 doesn't exist, so it has to be a day action.

Are you guys seeing where I'm getting at here? If the stun wasn't a one-use thing, that means someone visiting the shop today during the day time is our stunner.

Think about it. I don't think any of us knew you could visit the shop during the daytime until Isquen made his post revealing the shop inventory. I think Han was stunned before this point. If the stun was one-use, why use it immediately instead of conserving it for a later time?

This means either Han was lying about the stun, or someone who visited the shop today was the stunner. IIRC, that's Ulti, Han, changmas, ctes, and (I think?) Death.

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htaeD
09/10/22 3:25:45 PM
#42:


I mean nobody could use the shop day1, and it wasnt clear that you could simply visit the shop without spending money.
But the stunner may simply be waiting til the last moment this time. Or it was a one-time thing like a special item.

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Lopen
09/10/22 3:30:41 PM
#43:


IF Poppy flips town. I'm going to italicize all of this because I don't want people to take it seriously-- this is only to be used if Poppy flips town and I'm night killed.

Corrik not leaving a hint, zero chance. He basically said he was doing that. Corrik dying from something that isn't his ability, zero chance. Game setup won't work.

I still think MZero is scum regardless. MZero slipped hard by being so sure I'm wrong so as to posit absurd game setup and ability use combinations that make my theories look tame.

Two possibilities.
  1. Corrik would have had to have targeted Ulti (BAD HINT BRO). Ulti is scum. The last scum after Ulti and MZero? I don't know. Figure it out. I actually lean SBell in this fringe case because I think me being allowed to live was due to suspecting Han + Hb and thinking MZero is town.
  2. Death is lying. Corrik in that case did target Kirby, and Death was lying to protect him. So your scum are Death + Kirby + MZero. Ulti is probably Roshan. This one, I can't really believe as plausible.


This is meaningless because Poppy is clearly scum from his thrashing, but yeah.

Now I'm done. Let's lynch Poppy. Never felt better about it now that he's calling me scum and claiming he did Corrik hint research based on one post and a tag.

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Kirby321
09/10/22 3:32:35 PM
#44:


Hmm... I guess it could've been an item.

Why you always gotta be my straight man, Death? I thought I was onto something here ;-;

If this theory does end up catching steam, though, the actual list (if I double-checked correctly is):
  • Ulti
  • Han
  • ctes
  • Lopen
  • Death

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Lopen
09/10/22 3:36:29 PM
#45:


Han got stunned yesterday so you can effectively cross him off.

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Kirby321
09/10/22 3:39:25 PM
#46:


Anyway, I don't really care about the bonus gold; I don't need it to fuel my Mango Mania. However, I think it's more important to deny scum the bonus gold for lynching one of their own.

##Unvote
##Vote: Hb

Don't think I have any qualms with the people on the lynch right now; IIRC, they were on the Sultan train except for Han (who couldn't vote) and MZero (who was on the train Day 1 to begin with).

Poppy, we can always resolve tomorrow, though his early vote on Hb and his vote on Sultan are making me question what really happened with Corrik's N1 targets. If Poppy is scum, he's playing a very impressive game right now.

Ulti I think is Town, though. If he protected Han last night, that checks out with him buying an item today. Though why a Health Salve? Not really sure, especially if he's Bodyguard, but more power to him I guess. Nonetheless, Ulti feels like his usual Town self. Granted, I've never seen him as scum, but his story checks out at least.

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Lopen
09/10/22 3:40:03 PM
#47:


Ulti does not needlessly claim Bodyguard except to confirm himself town

He's not town aligned

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changmas
09/10/22 3:40:10 PM
#48:


Kirby321 posted...
That being said... does anyone else find it odd that nobody else has been stunned today? Han was stunned midway through Day 1. And we know it couldn't have been a night action because Night 0 doesn't exist, so it has to be a day action.

could be an item or my alchemist theory could be true (self-stunned today to make monies)

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changmas
09/10/22 3:42:54 PM
#49:


Kirby321 posted...
This means either Han was lying about the stun, or someone who visited the shop today was the stunner. IIRC, that's Ulti, Han, changmas, ctes, and (I think?) Death.

also I visited at night btw

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Lopen
09/10/22 3:43:38 PM
#50:


Kirby321 posted...
However, I think it's more important to deny scum the bonus gold for lynching one of their own.

I strongly doubt scum get any bonus gold from lynching one of their own

But this is a game that thought killing your own minions to deny the other player gold was a good idea so who knows

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