Poll of the Day > Doing a ton of data analysis on the stock market

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Yellow
04/12/21 8:51:17 PM
#1:


I scrape online users' forum posts that share trades and run simulations on them, comparing them against historic data

I store the simulation results on my database, give each user a profile and an accuracy rating.

I wrote 5 different programs just to manage update process and use the data from various sources on my own personal Windows.

I will say this, if you are in the stock market and you are trying to make profit off 5-20% gains, you are doing it incredibly wrong. That's not my opinion, that's a statistical fact. You will make less money period, if you make profit you will make money slower.

If you want in on this, just wait. I'm not ready to share my results yet. However, I have found something similar to what I am doing, and it's much further along. I have a lot of trust in it, because it's literally my entire initial concept, except someone else did it before me. It's a hedge fund run by AI and fed by the community.

https://numer.ai/
(EDIT After looking at the link I posted thoroughly I can say it's not what I think it is, so idk lol.)

My version will be different.

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eating4fun
04/12/21 8:59:55 PM
#2:


$SEARS to the moon

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Clench281
04/12/21 9:00:00 PM
#3:


I trust this 0%

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funkyfritter
04/12/21 9:01:48 PM
#4:


"Trades people decided to post on a public forum" sounds like a very biased sample.

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Clench281
04/12/21 9:04:02 PM
#5:


funkyfritter posted...
"Trades people decided to post on a public forum" sounds like a very biased sample.

This actually wouldn't be a problem so long as you can verify the post was made at essentially the same time as the trade (i.e. it's a prediction), and not "look at this trade I made in the past that did well"

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Yellow
04/12/21 9:09:43 PM
#6:


Clench281 posted...
This actually wouldn't be a problem so long as you can verify the post was made at essentially the same time as the trade (i.e. it's a prediction), and not "look at this trade I made in the past that did well"
Yes, and I know I am being vague. Might as well just tell you I'm scraping them from Stocktwits, but I won't say anything past that about that.

Yes, 99% of them are useless and I won't ever look at them. I will look at the users I can verify as the most profitable.

4000 users and millions of messages so far.

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Yellow
04/12/21 9:12:24 PM
#7:


I am also running a simulation to see what trading strategy is the most profitable on the best users.

Shrimpy gains consistently rank dead last, don't do it. As a matter of fact, I'd go as far as to say it's near completely impossible to make money off shrimpy gains unless you one of the best. Like, top 10% of investors. Those guys went to school, most people don't.

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Mead
04/12/21 9:15:36 PM
#8:


I have developed a proprietary algorithm

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blu
04/12/21 9:29:36 PM
#9:


Yellow posted...
I will say this, if you are in the stock market and you are trying to make profit off 5-20% gains, you are doing it incredibly wrong. That's not my opinion, that's a statistical fact. You will make less money period, if you make profit you will make money slower.


Idk Id be very happy with a 1500% return over 15 years idk why you are knocking on 20% profits
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KJ StErOiDs
04/12/21 9:31:18 PM
#10:


This will be a colorful topic.

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Yellow
04/12/21 9:32:36 PM
#11:


Mead posted...
I have developed a proprietary algorithm
I'm losing my god damn mind in algorithms

I barely leave my room anymore, there's so much work for me to do, I sleep 4 hours a day because I'm so busy with the fucking algorithms

I probably annoy the hell out of anyone I talk to because that's all I want to talk about

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blu
04/12/21 9:32:42 PM
#12:


Mead posted...
I have developed a proprietary algorithm

Me too.

36% salary into 457b until maxed $19000

14% salary into 403b until maxed $19000

$6000 in my IRA

500 weekly into VTSAX

When I hit $12000 in my checking invest $5000 into VTIAX

About 70:25:5 split of US/INT/BND. Rebalance once a year.
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Mead
04/12/21 9:34:18 PM
#13:


blu posted...
Me too.

36% salary into 457b until maxed $19000

14% salary into 403b until maxed $19000

$6000 in my IRA

500 weekly into VTSAX

When I hit $12000 in my checking invest $5000 into VTIAX

About 70:25:5 split of US/INT/BND

dude that is just like, some information

my algorithm can rewrite individual molecules

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funkyfritter
04/12/21 9:37:18 PM
#14:


Yellow posted...
I'm losing my god damn mind in algorithms

I barely leave my room anymore, there's so much work for me to do, I sleep 4 hours a day because I'm so busy with the fucking algorithms

I probably annoy the hell out of anyone I talk to because that's all I want to talk about
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jo18VIoR2xU

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IronBornCorps
04/12/21 9:37:22 PM
#15:


This is interesting, will you only be applying this to the stock market?

I have been coding a lot myself
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Yellow
04/12/21 9:37:41 PM
#16:


blu posted...
Idk Id be very happy with a 1500% return over 15 years idk why you are knocking on 20% profits
I should rephrase this, people who buy and sell stocks with a sell limit of 20% gains are trading badly.

It's slow and inaccurate. Going for *1.6 gains is the the most efficient going by my results.

It's a common thing said by traders to not sell for measly profits and I am also repeating that sentiment.

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Yellow
04/12/21 9:50:07 PM
#17:


IronBornCorps posted...
This is interesting, will you only be applying this to the stock market?

I have been coding a lot myself
Yes

I will create a platform and business structure if I can

But I don't care about money to be honest, I just want it so I can have more time and resources to work on other projects.

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