Current Events > Former DNC head agrees. Diverse states need to move ahead of Iowa and NH.

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CruelBuffalo
02/14/21 1:04:58 PM
#1:


https://twitter.com/wpjenna/status/1361010916012228609

Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina should be the first 3 primaries.

No caucuses.
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Balrog0
02/14/21 1:06:40 PM
#2:


I don't think two southern states should be first

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CruelBuffalo
02/14/21 1:07:15 PM
#3:


Balrog0 posted...
I don't think two southern states should be first


North Carolina is southern in quotes, but could change North Carolina to Maryland.
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AngelsNAirwav3s
02/14/21 1:08:15 PM
#4:


Bernie had a commanding lead in the first few primaries, and Biden still crushed him after South Carolina. What would changing the state order have done? Just have Biden be the front runner from the start?

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CruelBuffalo
02/14/21 1:10:12 PM
#5:


AngelsNAirwav3s posted...
Bernie had a commanding lead in the first few primaries, and Biden still crushed him after South Carolina. What would changing the state order have done? Just have Biden be the front runner from the start?


He didnt have a commanding lead. He ran neck and neck with Pete in Iowa, and also had a close race in his neighboring state. The only impressive race he ran was Nevada.
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Balrog0
02/14/21 1:10:55 PM
#6:


I mean I wouldn't say I've spent a ton of time in the area but I've gone from dc to Atlanta and it gets real southern way before you hit north Carolina lol

I still would ideally like to see it rotate

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CruelBuffalo
02/14/21 1:12:20 PM
#7:


1. Georgia
2. Colorado
3. Nevada
4. Maryland

There. Would like to add Hawaii but travel time would be terrible and my list above is already hard and terrible. We are only gonna have wealthy fundraising candidates get into the race even with my suggestion unless we break it down to be smaller. Nevada and Maryland?
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Bobby_Lee
02/14/21 1:13:02 PM
#8:


As an Asian, I'm still voting for Trump tho.
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CruelBuffalo
02/14/21 1:14:33 PM
#9:


Bobby_Lee posted...
As an Asian, I'm still voting for Trump tho.


Lol who is this? 2pacevellis alt?
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Bobby_Lee
02/14/21 1:15:11 PM
#10:


CruelBuffalo posted...


Lol who is this? 2pacevellis alt?


I don't like like 99% of rap, so no.
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ElatedVenusaur
02/14/21 1:15:17 PM
#11:


AngelsNAirwav3s posted...
Bernie had a commanding lead in the first few primaries, and Biden still crushed him after South Carolina. What would changing the state order have done? Just have Biden be the front runner from the start?
Not really: he won Iowa and New Hampshire narrowly. His biggest victory by far was in Nevada, a margin sufficiently threatening that the party decided he needed to be stopped.

It's almost impossible to model how the order would affect things(other than that he still wins huge in Nevada), because momentum is absolutely a vital factor in primaries. People like to vote for winners, or just don't vote at all if they perceive their favored candidate as losing by the time their state comes up.

My own suggestions:
1) Caucuses are dumb and bad and should be abolished yesterday
2) Having fixed states going first is dumb and bad, even if they're more diverse than Iowa and New Hampshire. Rotate them, and try to get a representative sample of the voting public between the first 3-4.
3) Based on the fact that Bernie won California quite handily and still lost overall, you don't necessarily need to hold the big states back.
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iPhone_7
02/14/21 1:15:56 PM
#12:


How about all the states have their primaries at the same time

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Antifar
02/14/21 1:17:17 PM
#13:


I get the impulse here, and it's a change for the better. But if everyone agrees there's a distorting effect due to which states go first, shouldn't we be holding every state's primary on the same day, rather than just distorting it in a new direction?

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KILBOTz
02/14/21 1:17:40 PM
#14:


iPhone_7 posted...
How about all the states have their primaries at the same time


That. Give everyone an equal say. As quickly as candidates drop out, late primaries basically get no say, often down to 2 candidates.

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ElatedVenusaur
02/14/21 1:17:48 PM
#15:


iPhone_7 posted...
How about all the states have their primaries at the same time
That would probably be even more "the party decides" than it is now.
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lilORANG
02/14/21 1:18:11 PM
#16:


All primaries should be on the same day.
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CommonJoe
02/14/21 1:19:32 PM
#17:


lilORANG posted...
All primaries should be on the same day.


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Heavy_D_Forever
02/14/21 1:19:47 PM
#18:


lilORANG posted...
All primaries should be on the same day.


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iPhone_7
02/14/21 1:21:11 PM
#19:


ElatedVenusaur posted...
That would probably be even more "the party decides" than it is now.

oh for ****s sake

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Balrog0
02/14/21 1:21:54 PM
#20:


You would probably need a lot of runoffs or to accept a really low overall % threshold for a national primary to work I would think.

Or, alternatively, you let the delegates hash it out when they get to the convention


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Balrog0
02/14/21 1:24:13 PM
#21:


I mean you already have delegates pledged to irrelevant candidates from early states. You would see a lot more if you did every primary at once. Even the way it is, one reason the party elites convinced everyone to back Biden was the idea that a contested convention would be bad pr even if the person with the most delegates still ended up winning

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yutterh
02/14/21 1:25:20 PM
#22:


ElatedVenusaur posted...
That would probably be even more "the party decides" than it is now.

How so? Bernie lost because the DNC was able to realize the kind of threat he was and had amy and pete drop out just for biden can compete. Bernie still would have won if warren dropped out to help bernie. Having it all at once also gives each state a fair chance to vote for their candidate. Since like someone said the last states only get to vote on the people that are left. Would also help candidates with fundraising since they will have more money to spend on the presidency not just being the front runner for the party.

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Ruvan22
02/14/21 1:26:21 PM
#23:


Bobby_Lee posted...
As an Asian, I'm still voting for Trump tho.
Because he ... cut the amount of available immigration slots?
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Bobby_Lee
02/14/21 1:28:48 PM
#24:


Ruvan22 posted...

Because he ... cut the amount of available immigration slots?


I could right a book on why, but here's one big reason:

https://youtu.be/-jIhaQWL-_Q
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COVxy
02/14/21 1:29:58 PM
#25:


ElatedVenusaur posted...
because momentum is absolutely a vital factor in primaries

Is it? Or is it the hot hand of elections?

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ElatedVenusaur
02/14/21 1:30:09 PM
#26:


yutterh posted...
How so? Bernie lost because the DNC was able to realize the kind of threat he was and had amy and pete drop out just for biden can compete. Bernie still would have won if warren dropped out to help bernie. Having it all at once also gives each state a fair chance to vote for their candidate. Since like someone said the last states only get to vote on the people that are left. Would also help candidates with fundraising since they will have more money to spend on the presidency not just being the front runner for the party.
I suppose you're right.

It probably would have gotten us Hillary in 2008, which probably would have kicked the Obama grenade further down the road though...
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#27
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Balrog0
02/14/21 1:31:57 PM
#28:


Lol well keep in mind, old fashioned politicking is why bloomberg didn't jump in until after Biden was obviously limping.

Dude would kill for a national primary

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yutterh
02/14/21 1:36:12 PM
#29:


shockthemonkey posted...
This makes the most sense to me.

Well, ranked choice 1 day primaries make the most sense to me but in terms of realistic changes

People keep talking about ranked choice voting. What exactly is it?

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JBaLLEN66
02/14/21 1:37:37 PM
#30:


Balrog0 posted...
I don't think two southern states should be first

the south is more diverse than your corn bred Iowa Midwestern Arctic hell hole lol

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Balrog0
02/14/21 1:39:36 PM
#31:


I live in the south. Regional diversity is also important, to the extent you want to mirror the electorate

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#32
Post #32 was unavailable or deleted.
yutterh
02/14/21 1:46:18 PM
#33:


shockthemonkey posted...
Instead of voting for 1 person, you rank all the choices. If your first choice isnt viable then your second choice gets your vote, if theyre not viable then it goes to your third, etc.

Gotchas, that's pretty interesting.

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Ruvan22
02/14/21 4:02:00 PM
#34:


Bobby_Lee posted...
I could right a book on why, but here's one big reason:

https://youtu.be/-jIhaQWL-_Q
If it takes you ten minutes to make your argument there's a bit of a problem. What is the point he makes?
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YellowSUV
02/14/21 4:11:36 PM
#35:


It might of changed by now, but a few years ago Illinois was THE most representive state in the entire union (it is the most similar to the overall US population). Keeping the current system to skew towards whites or changing it to skew towards minorities are both terrible ideas.

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TomNook20
02/14/21 4:11:43 PM
#36:


Iowa and New Hampshire are pretty good states to go first, they're politically moderate and often swing states. But there's no reason to have staggered primaries. Do them all at once and use STV or something similar.

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foreverzero212
02/14/21 4:23:03 PM
#38:


I could see them wanting deep red states to have an even larger role in deciding who the Dem nominee is. Could rake in a lot of funding behind that idea. It's more representative of the ideology of a Biden Democratic Party, as Republicans are good and our friends which should be in power even when they lose.

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Antifar
02/14/21 4:25:10 PM
#39:


Also, gotta add: lotta Democrats come to good ideas the moment they don't have the power to implement them.

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Tyranthraxus
02/14/21 4:26:24 PM
#40:


CruelBuffalo posted...
1. Georgia
2. Colorado
3. Nevada
4. Maryland

There. Would like to add Hawaii but travel time would be terrible and my list above is already hard and terrible. We are only gonna have wealthy fundraising candidates get into the race even with my suggestion unless we break it down to be smaller. Nevada and Maryland?

IMO.

  1. Georgia
  2. Florida (for proximity convenience)
  3. Arizona
  4. Colorado


These 4 states combined will give you.

  • Very high black population
  • Very high homosexual population
  • Large Latino groups with very diverse origins
  • Large independent voter block
  • Rural area that is also kind of Democrat friendly
  • Large urban areas

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CyricZ
02/14/21 4:29:48 PM
#41:


"I have so many reasons to vote for Trump, but I couldn't possibly give you all of them, so I'll just link to Joe Rogan"

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Jeff_Garcia7
02/14/21 4:35:06 PM
#42:


The type of freaks that vote in primaries aren't diverse or representative of anything but the managerial class and boomers that post daily nonsensical walls of text about politics on FB.
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CyricZ
02/14/21 4:40:00 PM
#43:


Wow am I staring at an actual "I'm too cool to vote in primaries" post?

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Tyranthraxus
02/14/21 4:41:53 PM
#44:


Jeff_Garcia7 posted...
The type of freaks that vote in primaries aren't diverse or representative of anything but the managerial class and boomers that post daily nonsensical walls of text about politics on FB.
Maybe for caucuses.

Primary elections have a diverse turnout.


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ScazarMeltex
02/14/21 4:42:52 PM
#45:


Jeff_Garcia7 posted...
The type of freaks that vote in primaries aren't diverse or representative of anything but the managerial class and boomers that post daily nonsensical walls of text about politics on FB.
Ummm....I'm pretty sure that this might be the most ridiculous thing posted today on CE. Which is pretty fucking impressive pal.

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CyricZ
02/14/21 4:47:35 PM
#46:


Don't forget that not an hour ago we had a guy have a manic episode and rage for a good thirty or forty posts against no one in particular.

That was today's metric of "most ridiculous".

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Tyranthraxus
02/14/21 4:52:34 PM
#47:


CyricZ posted...
Don't forget that not an hour ago we had a guy have a manic episode and rage for a good thirty or forty posts against no one in particular.

That was today's metric of "most ridiculous".
That topic was like



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ScazarMeltex
02/14/21 4:53:02 PM
#48:


CyricZ posted...
Don't forget that not an hour ago we had a guy have a manic episode and rage for a good thirty or forty posts against no one in particular.

That was today's metric of "most ridiculous".
Lol I must have missed that one.

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Antifar
02/14/21 4:53:32 PM
#49:


He's exaggerating somewhat but also primary voters do tend to be more engaged than the general public, and a small fraction of registered voters.

Consider South Carolina, which in the general election had 72 percent turnout. Biden received 1,091,000 votes.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_South_Carolina?wprov=sfla1

Less than 600k voted in that state's Democratic primary, about half of Biden's eventual total in the general. And that was a record!
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/1/21159319/south-carolina-2020-democratic-primary-turnout-record

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Jeff_Garcia7
02/14/21 6:11:12 PM
#50:


ScazarMeltex posted...
Ummm....I'm pretty sure that this might be the most ridiculous thing posted today on CE. Which is pretty fucking impressive pal.
And yet I was right. Primaries have pathetic turnout and display an extreme over-representation of the managerial class and cable news obsessed boomers. Once you start following politics more closely you'll understand what I said is well understood and not even controversial.
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CruelBuffalo
02/14/21 6:22:10 PM
#51:


Tyranthraxus posted...


IMO.

1. Georgia
2. Florida (for proximity convenience)
3. Arizona
4. Colorado

These 4 states combined will give you.

* Very high black population
* Very high homosexual population
* Large Latino groups with very diverse origins
* Large independent voter block
* Rural area that is also kind of Democrat friendly
* Large urban areas


Florida is the 3rd biggest state. Its too expensive to be the start. Georgia was already sorta pushing it in size.
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