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#301 | Post #301 was unavailable or deleted. |
StartTheMachine 11/04/20 12:41:30 AM #302: |
How is the mail-in ballot count so huge in PA to begin with? They just implemented it early on a statewide level and had everything in place to execute that sort of system? So a majority of people chose to vote that way?
Jeez that would be nice if elections could just always be done like that. I had to wait in a 2 hour line in fucking Tennessee to vote for Biden. Would've been nice to just mail something in. But I would've been too paranoid of my vote not being counted in an election like this. --- - Blur - Welcome to your Divinity. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Suprak the Stud 11/04/20 12:41:42 AM #303: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
Nate Silver is legitimately the biggest fraud in all of prognostication. That isn't 538 though that's NYT! He's just tweeting a picture and I was too lazy to crop a picture myself. --- Moops? "I thought you were making up diseases? That's spontaneous dental hydroplosion." ... Copied to Clipboard!
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UshiromiyaEva 11/04/20 12:41:46 AM #304: |
fuming posted...
I wonder if the needle is taking into account the fact that Trump has somewhat improved his performance with minority voters, with the only group he has gained being with white men, and that the margin he gains in those counties could be less than 2016. I don't really know how it works. I don't think anyone has done any modeling for how the minority correlates with mail in voting. I doubt we'll even start seeing those models unless mail I'm become a new norm for 2024 as well. If you mean just in general, almost all the regular voting has been counted up and Atlanta basically splash damaged blue all around itself, so.... --- ACAB ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#305 | Post #305 was unavailable or deleted. |
StartTheMachine 11/04/20 12:44:00 AM #306: |
269-269 would be fucking hysterical
--- - Blur - Welcome to your Divinity. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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fuming 11/04/20 12:44:12 AM #307: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
If Biden wins Georgia (which will be very tight regardless), there is a path for him to win the election without PA. my map will be vindicated, even if only through the electoral vote ... Copied to Clipboard!
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UshiromiyaEva 11/04/20 12:44:25 AM #308: |
Metal_DK posted...
georgia was the last state east of the mississippi called in 2016 fwiw. It won't be called tonight anyways. Again, completing of mail-in counting for GA is expected by Wednesday afternoon by the people saying it will be done EARLY. The actual, technical word on the street is Friday, I believe. I think we'll know by tomorrow afternoon even if people don't want to call it, though. --- ACAB ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#309 | Post #309 was unavailable or deleted. |
charmander6000 11/04/20 12:45:49 AM #310: |
Ten states remain uncalled
Let's assume Biden takes Arizona and Maine while Trump gets Alaska, North Carolina and Texas To win, Biden needs either Pennsylvania + Michigan or Georgia OR Win three of any combination of Georgia/Michigan/Nevada/Pennsylvania/Wisconsin --- Congratulations to azuarc for winning the guru challenge ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ChaosTonyV4 11/04/20 12:45:51 AM #311: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
Nate Silver is legitimately the biggest fraud in all of prognostication. He is quite literally the only one with a shred of trustworthiness. --- Phantom Dust. "I'll just wait for time to prove me right again." - Vlado ... Copied to Clipboard!
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fuming 11/04/20 12:45:55 AM #312: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
What actually happens in this case? Trump likely wins because 26/50 state legislations are controlled by Republicans. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Hbthebattle 11/04/20 12:46:10 AM #313: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
What actually happens in this case?the house gets it... but each state delegation gets a vote --- Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD Guru! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Suprak the Stud 11/04/20 12:46:17 AM #314: |
Trump wins if it is 269-269. It goes to house of reps, but by individual states in the house of reps.
Yes, it is weird. --- Moops? "I thought you were making up diseases? That's spontaneous dental hydroplosion." ... Copied to Clipboard!
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xp1337 11/04/20 12:46:28 AM #315: |
StartTheMachine posted...
269-269 would be fucking hystericaldon't you dare speak this evil into existence --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Suprak the Stud 11/04/20 12:47:09 AM #316: |
"Your patience is great! Let's walk over here now."
Not exactly the end of the Biden speech I was hoping for at the beginning of the day but hey could be worse I guess. --- Moops? "I thought you were making up diseases? That's spontaneous dental hydroplosion." ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Dancedreamer 11/04/20 12:47:35 AM #317: |
StartTheMachine posted...
Jeez that would be nice if elections could just always be done like that. I had to wait in a 2 hour line in fucking Tennessee to vote for Biden. Would've been nice to just mail something in. But I would've been too paranoid of my vote not being counted in an election like this. At the very least we need more polling locations like they do in Australia, and more options for people. Federalize it, and appoint a non-partisan commission. --- This isn't funny Dean, the voice says I'm almost out of minutes! ~Alexandra ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Suprak the Stud 11/04/20 12:47:43 AM #318: |
This is why Biden needs NE2. It is the only thing standing between us and chaos in certain scenarios.
--- Moops? "I thought you were making up diseases? That's spontaneous dental hydroplosion." ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#319 | Post #319 was unavailable or deleted. |
#320 | Post #320 was unavailable or deleted. |
charmander6000 11/04/20 12:52:04 AM #321: |
Suprak the Stud posted...
This is why Biden needs NE2. It is the only thing standing between us and chaos in certain scenarios. By my rough count it looks like Biden will win NE2. --- Congratulations to azuarc for winning the guru challenge ... Copied to Clipboard!
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StartTheMachine 11/04/20 12:53:27 AM #322: |
Dancedreamer posted...
At the very least we need more polling locations like they do in Australia, and more options for people. Federalize it, and appoint a non-partisan commission.Agreed big time with all of this, but I don't expect Republican voter suppression tactics to allow these things to happen soon. And it's seriously still so weird that each state basically has its own voting process for federal elections. xp1337 posted... don't you dare speak this evil into existenceWhoops didn't know that would mean a Trump win. Shouldve added the /terrifying addendum I had thought of tacking on at the end! --- - Blur - Welcome to your Divinity. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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fuming 11/04/20 12:53:51 AM #323: |
As I predicted, I believe Biden takes NE2 and Trump takes ME2. Arizona and Michigan are the big shockers to me.
... Copied to Clipboard!
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HeroDelTiempo17 11/04/20 12:55:50 AM #324: |
I can't believe we also have to deal with yet another wave of the "I don't understand polling error and probability so Nate Silver specifically is a liar" takes as the country crumbles
--- I definitely did not forget to put the 2020 GOTD Guru winner, azuarc in my sig! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Paratroopa1 11/04/20 1:00:56 AM #325: |
UshiromiyaEva posted...
Best Silver tweet tonight: he's so done with these Twitter replies.I want to make one thing clear here - the kind of map we're headed towards is NOT the kind of map that I gave 538's model shit for, ever. Georgia and Arizona blue with Florida and NC red, or anything like that - really, any combination only involving swing states - was nothing I considered weird at all. We're headed for a pretty normal map. The kind of shit I gave 538's model shit for spitting out was like, literally the map that had Hawaii and NJ red and Louisiana blue. That kind of shit seriously damaged the model's credibility. That is NOT what is happening tonight, even remotely. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 11/04/20 1:01:29 AM #326: |
HeroDelTiempo17 posted...
I can't believe we also have to deal with yet another wave of the "I don't understand polling error and probability so Nate Silver specifically is a liar" takes as the country crumblesI need to become President so I can force everyone to play Fire Emblem and XCOM until they understand how fucking percentages work. --- It's Reyn Time. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#327 | Post #327 was unavailable or deleted. |
Suprak the Stud 11/04/20 1:06:25 AM #328: |
I finally check the house updates. So far it is a wash. Dems took two republican seats and republicans took two democratic seats.
--- Moops? "I thought you were making up diseases? That's spontaneous dental hydroplosion." ... Copied to Clipboard!
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StartTheMachine 11/04/20 1:06:47 AM #329: |
Welp as I go to bed, turns out my first post of the day was the most relevant.
StartTheMachine posted... I have a feeling that today is just day 1 or what will be election week/month. So if you're anxious right now prepare to get well acquainted with that anxiety! --- - Blur - Welcome to your Divinity. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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banananor 11/04/20 1:07:33 AM #330: |
Trump is up 52 to 46 in Georgia, what are you on about?
--- You did indeed stab me in the back. However, you are only level one, whilst I am level 50. That means I should remain uninjured. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Dancedreamer 11/04/20 1:08:10 AM #331: |
KamikazePotato posted...
I need to become President so I can force everyone to play Fire Emblem and XCOM until they understand how fucking percentages work. Or Dead by Daylight. 4% chance of escape!? HOW DO THESE SURVIVORS DO IT? --- This isn't funny Dean, the voice says I'm almost out of minutes! ~Alexandra ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#332 | Post #332 was unavailable or deleted. |
KamikazePotato 11/04/20 1:09:12 AM #333: |
banananor posted...
Trump is up 52 to 46 in Georgia, what are you on about?Georgia has a lot of delayed votes because of reasons Speaking of which, Georgia just took the lead down from 300k to 250k. 13% of total votes remaining to be tallied --- It's Reyn Time. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LordoftheMorons 11/04/20 1:09:17 AM #334: |
banananor posted...
Trump is up 52 to 46 in Georgia, what are you on about?The needle has Biden as the favorite (57% chance to win). Lots of Atlanta vote out I assume? --- Congrats to azuarc, GotD2 Guru champ! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#335 | Post #335 was unavailable or deleted. |
Suprak the Stud 11/04/20 1:13:04 AM #336: |
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1323864823680126977
oh no --- Moops? "I thought you were making up diseases? That's spontaneous dental hydroplosion." ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LordoftheMorons 11/04/20 1:13:39 AM #337: |
NE-02's looking good
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323869854198304775 --- Congrats to azuarc, GotD2 Guru champ! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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pjbasis 11/04/20 1:14:03 AM #338: |
... Copied to Clipboard!
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Corrik7 11/04/20 1:14:06 AM #339: |
I see Tillis called as winner over Cunningham. Is this correct?
--- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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MalcolmMasher 11/04/20 1:16:14 AM #340: |
Trump wins if it is 269-269. It goes to house of reps, but by individual states in the house of reps.
Yes, it is weird. And the Senate would pick the Vice President. Not relevant in this case, as I can't imagine a Republican Senate picking Harris over Pence to serve as Trump's VP - but, if the Senate were controlled by Democrats, they could do exactly that. --- I don't like this duchy. Now, it's an adventurer. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LordoftheMorons 11/04/20 1:16:31 AM #341: |
NE-02 called for Biden by DecisionDeskHQ!
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323869812146245632 This is a huge relief since it kills all plausible (afaik) tie scenarios. --- Congrats to azuarc, GotD2 Guru champ! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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TheRock1525 11/04/20 1:16:48 AM #342: |
So Biden saying he would work with Republicans, if he's elected he's gonna have to work with Republicans.
--- TheRock ~ I had a name, my father called me Blues. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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_stingers_ 11/04/20 1:16:49 AM #343: |
Corrik7 posted...
I see Tillis called as winner over Cunningham. Is this correct? https://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=11/03/2020&county_id=0&office=FED&contest=1374 Yessir --- Congrats Black Turtle! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ChaosTonyV4 11/04/20 1:18:55 AM #344: |
TheRock1525 posted...
So Biden saying he would work with Republicans, if he's elected he's gonna have to work with Republicans. --- Phantom Dust. "I'll just wait for time to prove me right again." - Vlado ... Copied to Clipboard!
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HeroDelTiempo17 11/04/20 1:19:44 AM #345: |
TheRock1525 posted...
So Biden saying he would work with Republicans, if he's elected he's gonna have to work with Republicans. Nothing will get done so I hope he likes executive orders And I hope the 6-3 court likes those orders --- I definitely did not forget to put the 2020 GOTD Guru winner, azuarc in my sig! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Suprak the Stud 11/04/20 1:19:50 AM #346: |
Oh cool so we can't even get a Supreme Court justice seated if Biden pulls this out.
Cunningham may your stupid shriveled penis stay forever cursed. --- Moops? "I thought you were making up diseases? That's spontaneous dental hydroplosion." ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 11/04/20 1:21:08 AM #347: |
I don't think Cunningham ruined things. If nothing else, today has shown that voters don't care whether or not someone is a sexual offender or a deviant.
--- It's Reyn Time. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Dancedreamer 11/04/20 1:21:50 AM #348: |
Suprak the Stud posted...
Oh cool so we can't even get a Supreme Court justice seated if Biden pulls this out. "The American people have spoken. We can't have a hearing on a new Supreme Court Justice if the Senate is the opposite party of the President." --- This isn't funny Dean, the voice says I'm almost out of minutes! ~Alexandra ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Forceful_Dragon 11/04/20 1:22:25 AM #349: |
KamikazePotato posted...
I don't think Cunningham ruined things. If nothing else, today has shown that voters don't care whether or not someone is a sexual offender or a deviant. Do I need to remind you about the absurdly different standards that Democrats and Republicans get held to? --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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TheRock1525 11/04/20 1:22:35 AM #350: |
Problem is that I think Cunningham helped tank Biden. Cunningham was supposed to outpace Biden and instead he got less votes.
--- TheRock ~ I had a name, my father called me Blues. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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