Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361

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ctesjbuvf
05/13/20 8:10:53 AM
#353:


_SecretSquirrel posted...
It's really the exact opposite. Europe LOVES Witcher 3. I don't think there's a single entity it would lose the dead zone to.

Well, BotW actually won those hours today, although only by about 200 votes.

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#354
Post #354 was unavailable or deleted.
LamarJackson
05/13/20 8:22:30 AM
#355:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Isnt Witcher 3 set in Europe?

And a popular novel series dating back to the late 80s, and has had TV series in Poland. And of course its made by a Polish dev.

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#356
Post #356 was unavailable or deleted.
Safer_777
05/13/20 8:25:13 AM
#357:


Witcher 3 is set in a fictional world actually. But it takes a lot of stuff from Slav mythology and medieval Europe.

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LamarJackson
05/13/20 8:28:11 AM
#358:


Its about as close to medieval Europe as it gets without actually calling it Europe. The different countries are all based on the different powers of the time, it has the church in power, and all the kinda stuff you'd expect from that setting is there in spades.

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ZeldaTPLink
05/13/20 8:29:27 AM
#359:


So this is Witcher's natural strength, not just some rally?

If so it's impressive.

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deeewooh
05/13/20 8:32:37 AM
#360:


There's a rally on the front page of the witcher subreddit

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ctesjbuvf
05/13/20 8:37:12 AM
#361:


It's not far off, but it probably does slightly worse without it.

So yeah, it's legit now, and I look forward to seeing it again in the future.

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ZeldaTPLink
05/13/20 8:37:44 AM
#362:


deeewooh posted...
There's a rally on the front page of the witcher subreddit

Well there always is.

I take it it's not enough to be what caused this huge night swing, right?

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transience
05/13/20 8:38:46 AM
#363:


this poll is going to have the most votes by a pretty significant margin

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xyzzy
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squexa
05/13/20 8:39:17 AM
#364:


Yeah there's definitely rallies for Witcher:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Witcher3/comments/gitztj/the_witcher_3_is_the_final_for_game_of_the_decade/

Like with the Persona rallies, it's hard to say exactly how much impact it's having.

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LamarJackson
05/13/20 8:39:36 AM
#365:


transience posted...
this poll is going to have the most votes by a pretty significant margin

Theres speculation that since Kotaku made an article about an old Gamefaqs guide being updated, its bringing far more people to the site then normal.

https://kotaku.com/persona-2-guide-written-in-2011-gets-one-hell-of-an-u-1843430262

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Sharinnegan
05/13/20 8:40:22 AM
#366:


unless i'm missing something...

there's 3 rally threads on witcher reddit for this match, and they all pretty much got completely ignored. the one that got most traction has 10 upvotes.

this is pretty much Witcher's natural strength.

Edit: Oh..its on the witcher 3 sub...that sub isn't very active and the topic didnt get much traction either. i doubt thats making much difference.
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transience
05/13/20 8:40:59 AM
#367:


I love that update so much

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xyzzy
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ZeldaTPLink
05/13/20 8:41:08 AM
#368:


Sharinnegan posted...
unless i'm missing something...

there's 3 rally threads on witcher reddit for this match, and they all pretty much got completely ignored. the one that got most traction has 10 upvotes.

this is pretty much Witcher's natural strength.

There's one in the Witcher 3 subreddit that got 37 upvotes, but I think that's the biggest one.

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WesternMedia
05/13/20 8:57:45 AM
#369:


Lightning Strikes posted...
WTF

...No? Not even remotely? What would even make somebody say that.


Colonialization especially regarding India and China. It's not a stretch to say that lingering animosity from those times still remain. From what I've seen they're the most acceptable racial targets after the Romani.
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ZeldaTPLink
05/13/20 8:58:59 AM
#370:


Well I'm sure UK has considerable levels of xenophobia but I'm not sure if those are particularly higher than in other developed countries, to the point of influencing a contest result.

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ShatteredElysium
05/13/20 9:06:06 AM
#371:


The Witcher did post something on Facebook, just not contest related.

They posted to say the GotY edition was available for 70% off on PSN right now. 57 comments, 241 likes on it right now. Posted 30 mins ago. So probably wouldn't have had enough traction to overturn the result unless that sort of interaction is consistent through the day

Edit: Link - https://www.facebook.com/9659019330/posts/10157845822974331/
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Sharinnegan
05/13/20 9:08:58 AM
#372:


its irrelevant if it doesn't link to gamefaqs or at least mentions it.
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ShatteredElysium
05/13/20 9:11:43 AM
#373:


I know. They did the same thing on Twitter. Was more mentioning it to show that they were active on social media today. So the chances of them doing anything for this contest are practically zero.

https://mobile.twitter.com/witchergame/status/1260548245773783041
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ShatteredElysium
05/13/20 9:14:39 AM
#374:


If someone wanted to do something, they could post in the comments on Twitter / Facebook linking the match and saying it's currently up for GotD. Probably doesn't get a lot of traction but that's probably the closest you could get to having something on their main social media
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MechanicalWall
05/13/20 9:34:54 AM
#375:


Yo Witcher 3 is keeping this pretty respectable, all things considered. We've seen a lot of strong characters and games fold way harder to the LAW than this in the past.

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LinkMarioSamus
05/13/20 9:56:46 AM
#376:


Stupid question: How many games in this field beat Shadow of the Colossus?

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HaRRicH
05/13/20 9:59:58 AM
#377:


It could have gotten me to purchase it on the Switch if they had that same discount there.....

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shane15
05/13/20 10:01:44 AM
#378:


WesternMedia posted...
Colonialization especially regarding India and China. It's not a stretch to say that lingering animosity from those times still remain. From what I've seen they're the most acceptable racial targets after the Romani.


Did you get that from Fox news?

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MithosLowell
05/13/20 10:09:01 AM
#379:


LinkMarioSamus posted...
Stupid question: How many games in this field beat Shadow of the Colossus?

beats everything except BOTW smash skyrim witcher persona and dark souls.
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charmander6000
05/13/20 10:09:20 AM
#380:


LinkMarioSamus posted...
Stupid question: How many games in this field beat Shadow of the Colossus?

BotW and Witcher 3 for sure and maybe SSBU depending on how much SFF you think it suffered. After that it depends on how well BotW does against Majora's Mask. If they are about equal then Skyrim/Persona 5/Dark Souls are within striking distance.

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ctesjbuvf
05/13/20 10:10:21 AM
#381:


Odyssey should be considered too

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LinkMarioSamus
05/13/20 10:19:59 AM
#382:


I've been roughly working out the GOTD 1 x-stats myself (I know they're there, I mean like what % each game gets on what). Within individual divisions, SOTC's eightpack seems to be the only weird one. I adjusted it down to 44% on MGS3 - which is 5% lower than what it got and what it's projected to get in 2015 - and that made SOTC's eightpack fit better so we don't get weird stuff like Assassin's Creed > World of Warcraft and The Sims > Animal Crossing.

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Lightning Strikes
05/13/20 10:30:35 AM
#383:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
Well I'm sure UK has considerable levels of xenophobia but I'm not sure if those are particularly higher than in other developed countries, to the point of influencing a contest result.

The UK does have considerable levels of intolerance, but it is also one of the most tolerant in the world. The two are absolutely compatible.

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MZero11
05/13/20 10:39:35 AM
#384:


ShatteredElysium posted...
I know. They did the same thing on Twitter. Was more mentioning it to show that they were active on social media today. So the chances of them doing anything for this contest are practically zero.

https://mobile.twitter.com/witchergame/status/1260548245773783041

Good deal, I just bought it. Thanks!

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BlAcK TuRtLe
05/13/20 10:45:54 AM
#385:


WesternMedia posted...
Colonialization especially regarding India and China. It's not a stretch to say that lingering animosity from those times still remain. From what I've seen they're the most acceptable racial targets after the Romani.

The fuck is happening here

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ExThaNemesis
05/13/20 10:55:41 AM
#386:


Damn, Witcher 3 really holding up well. I wonder if some of this is similar sentiment to Sp2k5 with Sephiroth

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charmander6000
05/13/20 11:02:47 AM
#387:


ExThaNemesis posted...
Damn, Witcher 3 really holding up well. I wonder if some of this is similar sentiment to Sp2k5 with Sephiroth

I'm not seeing it given what Witcher 3 did to its previous opponents.

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ExThaNemesis
05/13/20 11:03:21 AM
#388:


charmander6000 posted...
I'm not seeing it given what Witcher 3 did to its previous opponents.

basing this more off what BOTW did to its previous opponents

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Advokaiser
05/13/20 11:05:45 AM
#389:


*checks matches images*...

Hahahaha! Geralt in the bathtub, let's go!

And who was the genius behind the moon-crashing effect? Did you guys notice it?

@ZenOfThunder This basically means we could actually have GIFs/animated battle images in the future!

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ctesjbuvf
05/13/20 11:23:20 AM
#390:


Allen did the Majora thing, hinting at tomorrow's bonus match.

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squexa
05/13/20 11:25:31 AM
#391:


Not sure what to think of BotW vs MM. I honestly wont be surprised if MM wins and makes the entire bracket look like a joke.

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charmander6000
05/13/20 11:25:36 AM
#392:


ExThaNemesis posted...
basing this more off what BOTW did to its previous opponents

Currently Witcher 3 is expected to get 63.75% against ME2 and 65.72% against DQXI

That puts them around Portal 2/God of War/TLOU/Pokemon HGSS tier which looks fine to me. They were always going to be a step below Skyrim/Dark Souls/Persona 5 IMO.

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plasmabeam
05/13/20 11:52:13 AM
#393:


LinkMarioSamus posted...
Stupid question: How many games in this field beat Shadow of the Colossus?

DEFINITELY:
BOTW, Mario Odyssey, Smash Ultimate
Witcher 3, Skyrim

LIKELY:
Persona 5, Dark Souls, Pokemon HGSS

OUTSIDE SHOT:
God of War, ME2, RE2, SMG2


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MechanicalWall
05/13/20 12:01:20 PM
#394:


SotC went 60-40 with RDR in 2015, which is just about how well Smash Ultimate does on it through XBC as proxy.

There's a chance nothing in this bracket beats it but Zelda and Witcher.

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shane15
05/13/20 12:14:17 PM
#395:


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LeonhartFour
05/13/20 12:15:01 PM
#396:


we said that in 2015 about 2010...!

SOTC was recently free on PSN so if anything that helps it stay strong
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Safer_777
05/13/20 12:19:18 PM
#397:


Really thought Witcher 3 could catch a rally. Oh well.

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squexa
05/13/20 12:20:45 PM
#398:


Some BotW projections:

Projecting through a constant SMG2, BotW is worth ~45% on 2015 FFVII
Projecting through a constant MGSV, BotW is worth ~48% on 2015 ALttP

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MechanicalWall
05/13/20 12:22:13 PM
#399:


Shadow of the Colossus just got a sexy HD remake/remaster/re-something, if anything it may have well risen since 2015!

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shane15
05/13/20 12:23:10 PM
#400:


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LinkMarioSamus
05/13/20 12:28:20 PM
#401:


Mass Effect 2 got 39% on MGS3, while SOTC indirectly got 44%. So much for that.

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Captain_Sorzo
05/13/20 12:29:09 PM
#402:


FF7's probably risen quite a bit due to the remake.

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