Board 8 > People on the Second Chance leaderboard - what are your final 3 picks?

(+) Yeah! (+)

Semis - Zelda 63%
Semis - Witcher 55%
Finals - Zelda 57%

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BOTW - 68%
Witcher - 52%
Zelda - 67%

...that last one's gonna cost me
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Breath of the Wild 59%
Witcher 51%
BOTW 58%

BOTW hasn't lost as much strength against stronger competition as I expected.


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I have
BOTW def. SSBU - mid 60s
Witcher 3 def. Skyrim - mid 50s
BOTW def. Witcher 3 - lower 60s
TB - 19000s

I have Skyrim def. Witcher 3 in my main bracket (but Im further down), so Ill be falling off at least one of the two leaderboards.

I wonder if Paulg and Camdens predictions in the Oracle thread reflect their actual contest entries? Paulg has a pretty large lead right now so he wont be easy to beat.

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Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 75%
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - 60%
Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 60%

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BotW > Smash Ultimate - 65%
Witcher 3 > Skyrim - 53%
BotW > Witcher 3 - 60%

Have Skyrim > Witcher 3 on main bracket so I expect myself to fall off the leaderboard day after tomorrow whereas I like my chances of staying on the second chance leaderboard unless Witcher 3 really obliterates Skyrim tomorrow.

iGenesis posted...

Paulg has a pretty large lead right now so he wont be easy to beat.

Edit: If Paulgs entry in the BOP thread was his final submission, and assuming hes eligible for prizes, Im mathematically eliminated because I trail him by 7 points & the maximum total difference between our final 3 is only 6%.

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iGenesis posted...

I wonder if Paulg and Camdens predictions in the Oracle thread reflect their actual contest entries? Paulg has a pretty large lead right now so he wont be easy to beat.

I've got...

Zelda - 63
Witcher - 55
Zelda - 62

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Camden posted...

I've got...

Zelda - 63
Witcher - 55
Zelda - 62

Ok, in that case, Im mathematically eliminated by you as well (by 1 pt.)

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I can't beat paulg either. I can break even with him if Zelda gets 62+ in the final, but I'm not feeling good about that at this point.

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BotW - 67
W3 - 51
BotW - 63

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BotW - 58
W3 - 54
BotW - 59

Messed up as I didnt take SFF into consideration

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I just realized I'm actually on that leaderboard as well.

don't worry I got no chance of winning

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BotW - 66%
The Witcher 3 - 53%
BotW - 61%

With how beastly Witcher has looked, it'll probably exceed my prediction in the Skyrim match and may have a good chance of breaking 40% on BotW in the finals.
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BotW- 66
TW3- 55
BotW- 60

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66
62
57

Looks like I'm planning on western SFF to be a lot stronger than everyone else.

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29th place here. I got

64 for BotW
55 for Witcher 3
60 for BotW


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My current Second Chance bracket results:

https://i.imgur.com/dYVvDBd.png

Looking pretty good so far on today's match, though Witcher 3 might exceed my pick by like 1% or 2%.
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As lightning_guy

BotW 65
Witcher 3 54
BotW 60

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Too bad the prize pool here is only $250/100/50/25/25. I think this is much harder than the main bracket.

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On track for a perfect pick today, but I think I'm too far back.

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I'm on track for a 49 and ditto

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Chansey posted...

My current Second Chance bracket results:

https://i.imgur.com/dYVvDBd.png

Looking pretty good so far on today's match, though Witcher 3 might exceed my pick by like 1% or 2%.

lol, I just realized that I had Skyrim instead of Witcher 3 yesterday. I thought I had picked Witcher, but I must have moved the slider in the wrong direction when filling out my entry and didn't realize it at the time. The whole "slider" thing for picking winners is an awful idea as it's prone to mistakes. It should first be "pick a winner", then have a separate slider solely for choosing the percentage only.

The only chance I have at having an account finish on the leaderboard if is Witcher 3 gets a successful rally to win its match, in which case one of my other accounts finishes on the leaderboard.
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Im on the leaderboard now, so I can post! I have BOTW at 60%. Would love it if the percentage could just freeze now.

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I'm currently in 8th. My last pick is BotW with 61%. Even if I get perfect I suspect that's not enough to make prizes.

Board8_BOP is currently in 5th place. Last pick is BotW with 63%. It's a fun bracket so it can safely be ignored for trying to figure out who wins a prize.
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Congratulations to @paulg235 and @LastHeroDrew for dominating this contest! Congratulations to @Camden for outscoring me by 1 point, as I realized a few days ago I could not beat him.

If all 3 of you are prize-eligible, then the tiebreaker between me and @th3l3fty is irrelevant; both of us would walk away with $25. Otherwise, my tiebreaker was 19,587, and the actual unweighted vote count was 20,488, for a difference of 901.

This would be my first contest prize in over 10 years, after a heartbreaker last year when I missed out on 10th place due to the tiebreaker. I submitted my bracket in between office meetings and put a random 7-digit number, thinking there was no chance of a multi-way tie in the largest bracket ever (CBX had 150 matches.) Needless to say, I took the tiebreaker seriously this year.

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Thanks for the congrats, but I'm ineligible for the prize as I don't live in NA. Still feels good getting top two (I'm not sure if tiebreakers have been used to break ties yet, so can't say if I got 1st).

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I put 31,713 for my tiebreaker, which was apparently way too high since we weren't using the registered bonus? Not sure if I read that and forgot or just completely glossed over it. Glad I'm sitting by myself because I probably wasn't beating any other tiebreaker outside of someone who forgot to put something down.

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Finished #10 but accidentally left this as a Fun bracket. Ah well.

Percentages:
68
55
56

How were the prizes being given out on this contest again?

Congrats everyone!

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Congrats!

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HaRRicH posted...

How were the prizes being given out on this contest again?

First Place: a $250 gift certificate
Second Place: a $100 gift certificate
Third Place: a $50 gift certificate
Fourth-Sixth Place: a $25 gift certificate
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Thanks TRE -- might not have even won a prize anyway, and I guess I could still be as low as #13 after tiebreakers. Still, beats my previous best of #23 in 2007 so I'll take it!

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Finished 31st. I knew I wasn't winning prizes with how high I had BOTW, but that's good enough for me.

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Tied for 6th?

Thought I would do worse because I didn't research the %s that hard.

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Tied for 47th, which I will take. I also left my bracket as fun by accident, though I did mark my (very poorly performing) main bracket as prize.

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Finished 18th. Only fell four spots after only getting a 43 yesterday; not too bad!

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It just feels so surreal after all these years of participating,
To actually end a contest on the final leaderboard and tie for first on the other bracket,
I'm completely shocked.

And even though it doesnt now, my last 3 picks were:
65%
54%
58%

Not taking SFF into consideration cost me a potential top 10 finish but wouldn't have mattered as I'm not from NA

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