Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1349

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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 5:36:35 AM
#1:


Seems like we'll need this one before Leon/Ulti gets up.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1349-west-division-round-2-solid-snake-vs-knuckles-the-echidna

Maybe this one wouldn't be much different today?

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~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analyses*~
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~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~
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~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
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~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
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~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA


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_SecretSquirrel
04/21/20 5:39:04 AM
#2:


Remember when every contest would have Knuckles vs. Snake in the second round, seemingly for the hell of it?

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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 5:41:08 AM
#3:


This was Knuckles' worst of the three.

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tennisboy213
04/21/20 6:04:16 AM
#4:


RE2 by the hour:

time | percent | gain/loss | lead/deficit
23:00 | 51.54% | +86 | +86
00:00 | 53.68% | +173 | +259
01:00 | 51.64% | +62 | +321
02:00 | 51.47% | +50 | +371
03:00 | 50.38% | +10 | +381
04:00 | 48.85% | -26 | +355
05:00 | 44.13% | -115 | +240
06:00 | 40.59% | -193 | +47
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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 6:06:04 AM
#5:


Bloodborne had a huge update there.

Lead change probably next update.

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Sharinnegan
04/21/20 6:06:09 AM
#6:


this is interesting because, as more voters wake up , RE2's natural strength being higher will start to become more relevant

but on the other hand the BB subreddit will also just get more active during the day.
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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 6:08:05 AM
#7:


I have a hard time seeing RE2 take this right now. I think Bloodborne has quite a bit fuel if needed and a remake is probably among the harder games left to rally for. And I'd think P4G and HGSS would be easier on top of that.

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Sens-Hangar_18
04/21/20 6:08:10 AM
#8:


All I want for xmas is ME2 vs Skyrim

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ShatteredElysium
04/21/20 6:09:52 AM
#9:


Given where the rally upvotes are now compared to the last Bloodborne rally, this is pretty much over. It got 800+ upvotes last time and is in the 200s now. It still has far too much steam for RE2 to swing this back.

What probably hurt RE2 more was the match starting late so it not having a bigger lead before the rally kicked in. Rally is going to be big enough for it to not matter but would have at least made things more interesting
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Sharinnegan
04/21/20 6:10:17 AM
#10:


ME is kinda laying a huge egg here but i suppose Horizon might be overperforming due to some sort of PS4 exclusive fanbase?
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tennisboy213
04/21/20 6:10:20 AM
#11:


tie
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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 6:10:42 AM
#12:


Tie!

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handsomeboy2012
04/21/20 6:11:07 AM
#13:


Rallies won't be interesting if you know the rallied game will win anyway
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MarquessLaus
04/21/20 6:11:49 AM
#14:


Resident Evil 2 50% 6678
Bloodborne 50% 6678

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_SecretSquirrel
04/21/20 6:15:56 AM
#15:


And there's the actual lead change.

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tennisboy213
04/21/20 6:16:55 AM
#16:


the rally is now the number one topic on the subreddit
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Sharinnegan
04/21/20 6:41:00 AM
#17:


the BB subreddit is actually becoming less active...there were 1k+ people througout the night, now only 850.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/21/20 6:41:23 AM
#18:


ctesjbuvf posted...
I have a hard time seeing RE2 take this right now. I think Bloodborne has quite a bit fuel if needed and a remake is probably among the harder games left to rally for. And I'd think P4G and HGSS would be easier on top of that.

Maybe it has just enough fuel to get close enough for those two hours to have mattered.

Basically Link vs Draven 2020 Edition
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Sharinnegan
04/21/20 6:42:55 AM
#19:


that 70% update though
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handsomeboy2012
04/21/20 6:44:13 AM
#20:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
Maybe it has just enough fuel to get close enough for those two hours to have mattered.

Basically Link vs Draven 2020 Edition
I can imagine what the board will be like if the match ends within, 200 votes?
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_SecretSquirrel
04/21/20 6:45:50 AM
#21:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
Maybe it has just enough fuel to get close enough for those two hours to have mattered.

Basically Link vs Draven 2020 Edition
I dont think the two hours really matter right now. Bloodborne is going to have a huge lead by the time its done, and the rally was going to happen regardless when the match started.

Allen still deserves a little bit of shade for putting himself in a position where not having the correct start time could impact the results of the match, but I think he dodges that bullet for now.

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handsomeboy2012
04/21/20 6:52:14 AM
#22:


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Safer_777
04/21/20 6:52:42 AM
#23:


Well my bracket is officialy dead now with Bloodborne winning. But the real question is would RE2 won without rallies?

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davidponte
04/21/20 6:58:35 AM
#24:


handsomeboy2012 posted...
The rally was locked
https://www.reddit.com/r/bloodborne/comments/g56k44/good_hunter_its_time_to_support_bloodborne_for/?sort=new

Oh shit this is potentially huge. If we assume RE2 is naturally stronger, it can absolutely make up the lost votes.

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Sharinnegan
04/21/20 6:59:20 AM
#25:


thats really weird that they'd lock this rally but not the one before

i think someone here might have reported it falsely lol
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davidponte
04/21/20 6:59:37 AM
#26:


great report imo

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tennisboy213
04/21/20 7:02:26 AM
#27:


RE2 by the hour:

time | percent | gain/loss | lead/deficit
23:00 | 51.54% | +86 | +86
00:00 | 53.68% | +173 | +259
01:00 | 51.64% | +62 | +321
02:00 | 51.47% | +50 | +371
03:00 | 50.38% | +10 | +381
04:00 | 48.85% | -26 | +355
05:00 | 44.13% | -115 | +240
06:00 | 40.59% | -193 | +47
07:00 | 40.07% | -223 | -176

The rally getting taken down saved RE2 from a sub-40% hour
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davidponte
04/21/20 7:04:00 AM
#28:


Pretty sure RE2 cut a single vote on that last update, so the locked rally thread is already making a difference.

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davidponte
04/21/20 7:06:46 AM
#29:


COMEBACK TIME

oh ya

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Lightning Strikes
04/21/20 7:07:12 AM
#30:


Big RE2 cut. You love to see it.

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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 7:07:17 AM
#31:


RE2 made a solid cut there. We have a match!

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GildedFool
04/21/20 7:08:43 AM
#32:


ctesjbuvf posted...
RE2 made a solid cut there. We have a match!
The rally is dead, RE can go back to winning with 52%.

This is over.

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tennisboy213
04/21/20 7:08:48 AM
#33:


You have to think the BB fans will attempt more rallies throughout the day and hope they don't get taken down. If not, RE2 will run away with it.
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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 7:09:13 AM
#34:


Yeah, and I do think they will do that.

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ZeldaTPLink
04/21/20 7:10:30 AM
#35:


I suggest anyone who wants RE2 to win to repport those rallies as soon as you see them.
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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 7:10:57 AM
#36:


Well, this match was close before rallies, so I guess we'll see some stalling.

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ZenOfThunder
04/21/20 7:14:27 AM
#37:


can't wait for ulti's post contest analysis on this one, i am expecting at least 10k words

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handsomeboy2012
04/21/20 7:17:29 AM
#38:


'Salty b8ers reporting rallies'
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ctesjbuvf
04/21/20 7:18:09 AM
#39:


Is the RE2 rally gaining traction or just people starting to wake up that didn't vote right away? That update was huge

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handsomeboy2012
04/21/20 7:19:41 AM
#40:


I think there might be some people who went to sleep when the start was delayed and are only voting now
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davidponte
04/21/20 7:32:38 AM
#41:


Has there been any confirmation about this match ending on time and it just being not a full 24 hours?

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davidponte
04/21/20 7:36:25 AM
#42:


Can somebody link me to the leaderboard page? I voted on my phone when I woke up, so I clicked the X on my computer to make the match disappear in order to not accidentally vote again, and now I can't actually get to any of those pages easily.

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Oxbridge
04/21/20 7:39:36 AM
#43:


davidponte posted...
Can somebody link me to the leaderboard page? I voted on my phone when I woke up, so I clicked the X on my computer to make the match disappear in order to not accidentally vote again, and now I can't actually get to any of those pages easily.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/features/gotd_stats

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#44
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davidponte
04/21/20 7:40:16 AM
#45:


Thanks!

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BlAcK TuRtLe
04/21/20 8:07:53 AM
#46:


metaIslug posted...
People just go to reddit now everytime there's a close match? How petty. I thought rallies were suposed to be funny
How on earth is "hurrrr durrrr I asked people to vote in these stupid contests like a giant sorry" ever funny? It should be pretty telling that the biggest manchild on the board seems to be the only person universally in favour of rallies, and everyone else only supports them when the outcome is in their favour (or when they're a sad basement dwelling turbovirgin rooting for anime titties)

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ZeldaTPLink
04/21/20 8:14:17 AM
#47:


metaIslug posted...
People just go to reddit now everytime there's a close match? How petty. I thought rallies were suposed to be funny

That hiei dude is basically rallying every pick in his bracket, every day.
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Yuri_LowelI
04/21/20 8:17:52 AM
#48:


way to make me2 % go down. Helps my spread


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Yuri_LowelI
04/21/20 8:19:02 AM
#49:


BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
How on earth is "hurrrr durrrr I asked people to vote in these stupid contests like a giant sorry" ever funny? It should be pretty telling that the biggest manchild on the board seems to be the only person universally in favour of rallies, and everyone else only supports them when the outcome is in their favour (or when they're a sad basement dwelling turbovirgin rooting for anime titties)

im surprised you didnt rally for overwatch in the xenoblade natcg

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ZeldaTPLink
04/21/20 8:19:42 AM
#50:


100 vote barrier BREACHED
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