Current Events > Holy shit, Biden imploded

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Coastal_elite
02/12/20 6:19:47 PM
#51:


CableZL posted...
Eh, I wouldn't say that's true. Minorities have been voting for white democrats for decades.

you're not wrong. But that changed now. Other than biden (because of the obama connection) they won't vote for any non-minority candidate now.
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CableZL
02/12/20 6:20:49 PM
#52:


Coastal_elite posted...
you're not wrong. But that changed now. Other than biden (because of the obama connection) they won't vote for any non-minority candidate now.
What are you basing that on?

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iPhone_7
02/12/20 6:32:56 PM
#53:


Biden polls well with non-white voters and the first couple of states to have their primaries/caucus are some of the whitest, not very representative of the country.

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NatsuSama
02/12/20 6:39:43 PM
#54:


Tyranthraxus posted...
Hillary Clinton 91% chance of winning.
That's not how probability works.....

If someone says theres a 91% chance it will snow tomorrow.....its not a "aahaa" moment just because it rained instead. A 9% chance it doesnt snow is still there.

Anything less than 100% means the person didnt make an absolute statement.

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KINDERFELD
02/12/20 6:46:32 PM
#55:


I'm surprised someone so far left is doing so well.

Guess this country has truly had its fill of Trump.

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#56
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MaxEffingBemis
02/12/20 6:53:01 PM
#57:


shockthemonkey posted...
ROD was convinced during the early primaries that people would only vote for their own race, probably shouldnt take him very seriously.
Oh fuck I didnt realize that was ROD. I was about to engage with him too

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glitteringfairy
02/12/20 6:55:42 PM
#58:


KINDERFELD posted...
I'm surprised someone so far left is doing so well.

Guess this country has truly had its fill of Trump.

As if this speaks for the whole country. Don't get your hopes up.

Never Trumpers and democrats have had their fill, but they've been throwing a tantrum for almost four years now so that's nothing new.

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Umbreon
02/12/20 6:55:47 PM
#59:


Cable is rod?

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This is a mobile account, forgive any errors. ~DYL~
12-18-19: Donald Trump has been impeached.
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Tyranthraxus
02/12/20 6:56:42 PM
#60:


Coastal_elite posted...
you're not wrong. But that changed now. Other than biden (because of the obama connection) they won't vote for any non-minority candidate now.
That's ridiculous. Minorities are showing in huge support for both Bernie and Biden.

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#61
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Umbreon
02/12/20 7:00:58 PM
#62:


shockthemonkey posted...
coastal is


K. I don't follow alts, just wanted to make sure the right poster was tagged.

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12-18-19: Donald Trump has been impeached.
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Tyranthraxus
02/12/20 7:06:09 PM
#63:


NatsuSama posted...
That's not how probability works.....

If someone says theres a 91% chance it will snow tomorrow.....its not a "aahaa" moment just because it rained instead. A 9% chance it doesnt snow is still there.

Anything less than 100% means the person didnt make an absolute statement.
That's not what I'm referring to. A statement of probability is an absolute statement unto itself. If I dump a thousand pachinko balls into a machine and one hole has a "50%" chance of getting 1 ball I expect approximately 500 of the balls I dropped to go in that hole. If that doesn't happen, then either the probability is wrong or something interfered with the balls getting to that hole.

Biden did not pick up a number of voters proportional to the people who voted for him on polls. So either people lied on the polls or they didn't go out to vote. (Or the poll data was fudged, unlikely but wouldn't be surprised)

Hillary being rated 91% chance to win doesn't mean she had support of 91% of the people. She had over 50% and got over 50% of the votes. She just didn't win and one of the reasons is because people were so sure she would win that they didn't vote.

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It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha."
https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv
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Balrog0
02/12/20 7:10:06 PM
#66:


Bloomberg is the only thing between Bernie and the nomination

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TommyG663513
02/12/20 7:21:00 PM
#67:


Tyranthraxus posted...
That's not what I'm referring to. A statement of probability is an absolute statement unto itself. If I dump a thousand pachinko balls into a machine and one hole has a "50%" chance of getting 1 ball I expect approximately 500 of the balls I dropped to go in that hole. If that doesn't happen, then either the probability is wrong or something interfered with the balls getting to that hole.

Biden did not pick up a number of voters proportional to the people who voted for him on polls. So either people lied on the polls or they didn't go out to vote. (Or the poll data was fudged, unlikely but wouldn't be surprised)

Hillary being rated 91% chance to win doesn't mean she had support of 91% of the people. She had over 50% and got over 50% of the votes. She just didn't win and one of the reasons is because people were so sure she would win that they didn't vote.

Probability. What is it?

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#68
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Coastal_elite
02/12/20 7:30:05 PM
#69:


CableZL posted...
What are you basing that on?

most recent example? they way they've treated Pete
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Tyranthraxus
02/12/20 7:35:29 PM
#70:


JustMyOpinion posted...
You have no idea how probability works if you think something that's 50% odds not happening 50% of the time would automatically indicate funny business or the probability being wrong.
Sorry but when did something that happens about 50% of the time ever not happen 50% of the time?

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https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv
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#71
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CableZL
02/12/20 8:41:25 PM
#72:


Coastal_elite posted...
most recent example? they way they've treated Pete
That still doesn't quite add up to "minorities won't vote for any non-minority candidate."

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Tyranthraxus
02/12/20 10:11:53 PM
#73:


JustMyOpinion posted...
You ever flip a coin multiple times?
Yeah. Got heads about 50% of the time and tails 50% of the time

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It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha."
https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv
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marthsheretoo
02/12/20 10:38:14 PM
#74:


Coastal_elite posted...
most recent example? they way they've treated Pete

They don't like Pete because they've learned to see through hollow rhetoric like his. Also he has a whole bunch of race issues.

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Coastal_elite
02/12/20 11:01:49 PM
#75:


marthsheretoo posted...
Also he has a whole bunch of race issues.

such as?
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MaxEffingBemis
02/12/20 11:05:44 PM
#76:


Coastal_elite posted...
such as?
Look into it yourself. He fired the first black police chief and fire chief in south bend because of internal affairs issues iirc

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Antifar
02/12/20 11:08:56 PM
#77:


Tyranthraxus posted...
Hillary being rated 91% chance to win doesn't mean she had support of 91% of the people. She had over 50% and got over 50% of the votes.

She got 48% of the vote
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BalanceLost
02/13/20 12:54:04 AM
#78:


MaxEffingBemis posted...
Look into it yourself. He fired the first black police chief and fire chief in south bend because of internal affairs issues iirc
Didnt the police chief get fired because he neglected to tell he and his office were under some sort of federal investigation?

Also, wasnt it so that the fire chief had declared he was gonna retire so Pete hired someone new for the post after the fire chief went into retirement but then the fire chief changed his mind last minute after the replacement was already there?

Im just a Swede so what do I know though?

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#79
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Antifar
02/13/20 7:06:39 AM
#80:


Probability works over a large sample size; two primaries is not that.
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Tyranthraxus
02/13/20 9:19:49 AM
#81:


JustMyOpinion posted...
Exactly 50% every time?
According to JMO, About = Exactly.

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It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha."
https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv
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Tyranthraxus
02/13/20 9:20:31 AM
#82:


Antifar posted...
Probability works over a large sample size; two primaries is not that.
The large sample size is the voters (240k of them), not the primary as a whole.

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It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha."
https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv
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I4NRulez
02/13/20 9:22:51 AM
#83:


Biden was just weird as fuck.

Most people vote with their guts and an eye test. Biden was just constantly being weird and saying weird shit

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Just think. Now you're all set to hunt and kill to your heart's content.
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Coastal_elite
02/13/20 9:35:35 AM
#84:


I4NRulez posted...
Biden was just weird as fuck.

Most people vote with their guts and an eye test. Biden was just constantly being weird and saying weird shit

this double standard amuses me.

No, people don't do a guts and eye test, and here is proof:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uNXgjnBpxGI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KeE8ktg8Gq4

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I4NRulez
02/13/20 11:06:12 AM
#85:


Coastal_elite posted...
this double standard amuses me.

No, people don't do a guts and eye test, and here is proof:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uNXgjnBpxGI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KeE8ktg8Gq4

The dude said things that appealed to who voted for him.

Just because he didn't pass for you doesn't mean that someone didn't like him.

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The night brims with defiled scum,and is permeated by their rotten stench.
Just think. Now you're all set to hunt and kill to your heart's content.
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Coastal_elite
02/13/20 11:13:08 AM
#86:


I4NRulez posted...
The dude said things that appealed to who voted for him.

Just because he didn't pass for you doesn't mean that someone didn't like him.

his hair thing is weird no matter how you slice it, and so are the mannerisms he made for mocking a disabled reporter...
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