Board 8 > Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3

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TsunamiXXVIII
10/29/18 7:49:01 PM
#301:


Lopen posted...
Lucina is probably stronger than Lyn. Probably moreso than Auron is vs Rikku at this point.


Agreed, and this is coming from someone tuned in to the Fire Emblem fandom. Lyn probably is one of the fandom's favorite characters for obvious reasons (which is to say, 7 was the first Fire Emblem released in this country. The American fanbase loves Lyn and Hector. IS actually noticed, too, and made Ike to appeal to Hector fans.) Lucina is...polarizing there, I think. She's very popular, but she also gets a fair bit of backlash.

Actually, a lot of characters from Awakening and Fates get backlash because those games gave the series much wider appeal and all of the fans who had been there since the start look down on the newcomers...kind of the way I feel about people who at best "outgrew" Pokmon after Gen I/II and at worst were never Gen I/II fans to begin with that suddenly became "Pokmon fans" when Pokmon Go came out. Or, you know, this site's feelings about almost anything that came out after we started having contests.
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TsunamiXXVIII
10/29/18 7:53:19 PM
#302:


Janus5k posted...
Master Moltar posted...
Lemme just digress for a moment to say it's a little sad in hindsight the strongest Final Fantasy characters in these contests are, without exception, edgelord swordkings.

no respect for Tifa huh


Thank you.

I've been arguing all contest that Tifa is the number three FF character (well, number three FFVII character; I think she still loses to Squall), and I think not being an "edgelord swordking" is part of it. At the very least, it's why she's stood up to SFF from Sephiroth so much better than Vincent.
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ZeldaTPLink
10/29/18 7:59:45 PM
#303:


Imagine being someone who played FE before Smash.
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:00:41 PM
#304:


wow that CT/FFVII board vote

also Ren Amamiya/Joker is listed on the poll results page itself nice
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transcience
10/29/18 8:02:57 PM
#305:


yikes. this is gonna end poorly for me today!
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iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:03:36 PM
#306:


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transcience
10/29/18 8:04:57 PM
#307:


agreed, unless Claire has brackets. seems super unlikely though.
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iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:05:54 PM
#308:


Curious to see how much Vincent goes up from here. I kinda think he still finishes high 50s if he still has the FFVII rise to heaven.

Next update should tell us a lot about how Claire/Joker goes.
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Lopen
10/29/18 8:06:44 PM
#309:


As the voice of hope I will say I think the first five vs first one favored Claire having the bracketz.

I voted Joker despite not knowing who he is and having every bracket reason to prefer Claire winning, I'll just say that. Cause Claire sucks.
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:10:40 PM
#310:


yep looks like Claire wins

also pretty solid showing for Subby here
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ZeldaTPLink
10/29/18 8:10:40 PM
#311:


40 vote barrier is up.
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transience
10/29/18 8:10:42 PM
#312:


yeah, joker's toast

Vincent also looks real bad. real real bad. I wonder how Tifa will look because so far FF7 is 0 for 2. I don't think this is some FF7 early vote.
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xyzzy
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Lopen
10/29/18 8:11:40 PM
#313:


Guess you guys should've kept me around as a sanity check for your pic-- blahaha what.
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:11:43 PM
#314:


CT has a really good early vote to go along with FFVII's bad board vote. Remember that CT went 50/50 for several hours in 2004 before FFVII won with like 58%.
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ZeldaTPLink
10/29/18 8:11:49 PM
#315:


Ladies and gentlemen who are here for the first time, what you are seeing is a legit specimen of a Crew Curse.
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transience
10/29/18 8:12:35 PM
#316:


yeah I was surprised everyone picked the persona dude over the resident evil dude. but hey, we all make mistakes!

Vincent might get to 55 or something but he's not going to the high 50s or 60. this isn't a midnight start time.
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xyzzy
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The_Ctes
10/29/18 8:14:28 PM
#317:


transience posted...
yeah, joker's toast

Vincent also looks real bad. real real bad. I wonder how Tifa will look because so far FF7 is 0 for 2. I don't think this is some FF7 early vote.


Both cases are tough to tell though. Waluigi and Magus both have reasons for a solid rise in strength.
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Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
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transience
10/29/18 8:15:21 PM
#318:


Waluigi and Magus both have reasons for a solid rise in strength.

what a sentence

I'm not buying it!
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:15:47 PM
#319:


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transience
10/29/18 8:16:07 PM
#320:


Mewtwo > Tifa get ready
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:17:11 PM
#321:


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KamikazePotato
10/29/18 8:17:52 PM
#322:


I have no faith in anything FF7 but backed Tifa and still feel (mostly) good about it. There are two specific reasons why she never drops in strength
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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Lopen
10/29/18 8:19:21 PM
#323:


Otacon and Jade Curtiss demand their apologies Leonhart

They demand them
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:19:56 PM
#324:


Lopen posted...
Otacon and Jade Curtiss demand their apologies Leonhart

They demand them


they get nothing

this is 2015 CT boost
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:20:28 PM
#325:


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transience
10/29/18 8:21:04 PM
#326:


measuring through Otacon and Jade Curtiss reminds me of Leonhart obsessively measuring through Sam Fisher and Luca Blight
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xyzzy
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Lopen
10/29/18 8:22:07 PM
#327:


Hey I only measured through Otacon and KOS-MOS

I still think Otacon could get a solid 45% on her too.
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:22:17 PM
#328:


transience posted...
measuring through Otacon and Jade Curtiss reminds me of Leonhart obsessively measuring through Sam Fisher and Luca Blight


and it paid off...!

it's not like it was that much effort we had three contests at that point
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KommunistKoala
10/29/18 8:26:17 PM
#329:


alright cancel contests they're garbage
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does anyone even read this
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transcience
10/29/18 8:26:23 PM
#330:


guys

what if Vincent loses to friggin Magus

I need to see Frog to try to gauge this. but hes facing a VN character so yeah we wont know til round 2
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iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:27:10 PM
#331:


Like I said, this would be the biggest fall from grace in contest history (even bigger than Magus himself) if Vincent goes from beating Crono to losing to Magus.

also go go Joker
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Master Moltar
10/29/18 8:27:20 PM
#332:


what is this division
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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transcience
10/29/18 8:27:55 PM
#333:


man casuals wrecked us with Simon
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iphonesience
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Lopen
10/29/18 8:28:29 PM
#334:


I knew I had a bad feeling about this one for a reason

Still think Vincent and Claire will have this one decisively after the first hour but yeah it's pretty wild seeing Vincent get taken to task here even knowing that.
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transcience
10/29/18 8:36:27 PM
#335:


FF7 won the board vote against Chrono Trigger
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:37:07 PM
#336:


transcience posted...
FF7 won the board vote against Chrono Trigger


so it would seem

my word how has Vincent fallen this hard
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transience
10/29/18 8:37:55 PM
#337:


yeah, today is one of the wrongest days I've ever had. I still might get 4/4
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xyzzy
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WarThaNemesis2
10/29/18 8:38:44 PM
#338:


I, for one, am SHOCKED that Vincent Valentine, guy who fell off a massive cliff, has fallen off another massive cliff.
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:39:40 PM
#339:


wait

this makes Mewtwo's win in 2013 look worse now

Tifa > Mewtwo reconfirmed through Vincent's suckiness
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ZeldaTPLink
10/29/18 8:41:05 PM
#340:


Mewtwo is a fraud.
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pjbasis
10/29/18 8:43:09 PM
#341:


maybe this contest has some redemption in it left
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Averia
10/29/18 8:43:42 PM
#342:


Mewtwo might be a fraud.
But FFVII might be a bigger one. All of it.
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:44:27 PM
#343:


Squall might be the strongest FF character period now

I'll take it
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TsunamiXXVIII
10/29/18 8:44:37 PM
#344:


LeonhartFour posted...
wait

this makes Mewtwo's win in 2013 look worse now

Tifa > Mewtwo reconfirmed through Vincent's suckiness


Exactly.

It's not often that a character disappointing makes another character from their game look more likely to win their debated match, but that's exactly the case.
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"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
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lordjers
10/29/18 8:45:59 PM
#345:


Go Claire!
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Backlog: Friday the 13th (C64). Last finished: Splatterhouse (ARC). Friday the 13th (NES). Metal Gear Solid: VR Missions (PS1)
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transience
10/29/18 8:46:14 PM
#346:


haters

go Joker
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
10/29/18 8:46:19 PM
#347:


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transience
10/29/18 9:02:13 PM
#348:


I'm not sure that we've ever had two dead-heat 50/50s before
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xyzzy
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TsunamiXXVIII
10/29/18 9:03:46 PM
#349:


Well this multiple polls at once format hasn't been used that often. Early this decade we used 12-hour matches to speed things up instead, remember?
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"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
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transience
10/29/18 9:09:03 PM
#350:


well yeah of course

this 8pm start time is like the purest form of CT early vote, right? it's night vote + board vote. I wonder how this looks like we hit like 4am and Vincent starts ripping percentage away.
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xyzzy
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