Current Events > "Labor is being paid first again. Shareholders get leftovers"

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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:03:57 PM
#1:


https://www.vox.com/new-money/2017/4/29/15471634/american-airlines-raise

American Airlines agreed this week to do something nice for its employees and arguably foresighted for its business by giving flight attendants and pilots a preemptive raise, in order to close a gap that had opened up between their compensation and the compensation paid by rival airlines Delta and United.

Wall Street freaked out, sending American shares plummeting. After all, this is capitalism and the capital owners are supposed to reap the rewards of business success.

“This is frustrating. Labor is being paid first again,” wrote Citi analyst Kevin Crissey in a widely circulated note. “Shareholders get leftovers.”...

JP Morgan’s Jamie Baker was even more scathing than Crissey.

"We are troubled by AAL's wealth transfer of nearly $1 billion to its labor groups,” he wrote, suggesting that the move was not just contestable as a matter of business strategy, but somehow obviously illegitimate.

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SGT_Conti
05/01/17 8:08:20 PM
#3:


Doesn't labour normally get paid first? Like, that's the idea?
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#2
Post #2 was unavailable or deleted.
ZombiePelican
05/01/17 8:09:51 PM
#4:


Godnorgosh posted...
Balrog0 posted...
We are troubled by AAL's wealth transfer of nearly $1 billion to its labor groups,” he wrote, suggesting that the move was not just contestable as a matter of business strategy, but somehow obviously illegitimate.


Bring back the fucking guillotine, damn.

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Ryangrad
05/01/17 8:09:55 PM
#5:


SGT_Conti posted...
Doesn't labour normally get paid first? Like, that's the idea?

Yes. As they should.

This reaction is hilarious.
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averagejoel
05/01/17 8:10:38 PM
#6:


good. ideally, the company would be 100% owned by its employees.
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SK8T3R215
05/01/17 8:11:44 PM
#7:


Ryangrad posted...
SGT_Conti posted...
Doesn't labour normally get paid first? Like, that's the idea?

Yes. As they should.

This reaction is hilarious.


How? Shareholders are annoyed that they are giving raises prior to their contracts being up instead of either reinvesting or distributing that amount over the upcoming period.
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ElatedVenusaur
05/01/17 8:14:27 PM
#8:


SK8T3R215 posted...
Ryangrad posted...
SGT_Conti posted...
Doesn't labour normally get paid first? Like, that's the idea?

Yes. As they should.

This reaction is hilarious.


How? Shareholders are annoyed that they are giving raises prior to their contracts being up instead of either reinvesting or distributing that amount over the upcoming period.

No, they're just mad because they'll make marginally less money now relative to before.
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Mal_Fet
05/01/17 8:16:56 PM
#9:


Anyone who doesn't know why what AA did was dumb had no idea what shares are or how they work.
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:17:49 PM
#10:


ElatedVenusaur posted...
SK8T3R215 posted...
Ryangrad posted...
SGT_Conti posted...
Doesn't labour normally get paid first? Like, that's the idea?

Yes. As they should.

This reaction is hilarious.


How? Shareholders are annoyed that they are giving raises prior to their contracts being up instead of either reinvesting or distributing that amount over the upcoming period.

No, they're just mad because they'll make marginally less money now relative to before.


I think, reading the analysis, the problem is less about what it is going to do in the short-term and more about the long-term implications of a company renegotiating with unions prior to their contract being up.

"Unfortunately the American move today has emboldened unions probably across the entire space. It's led them to believe you can come back mid-contract [and] ask for whatever you want," Baker said on CNBC's "Halftime Report" Tuesday. "And that in turn makes that march toward higher multiples, not impossible, but a little bit more challenging."
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CruelBuffalo
05/01/17 8:17:58 PM
#11:


Mal_Fet posted...
Anyone who doesn't know why what AA did was dumb had no idea what shares are or how they work.

Great analysis.
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:18:18 PM
#12:


Mal_Fet posted...
Anyone who doesn't know why what AA did was dumb had no idea what shares are or how they work.


I'm pretty sure it's a little more complicated than that, but please elaborate Mal_Fet
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SK8T3R215
05/01/17 8:18:24 PM
#13:


ElatedVenusaur posted...
SK8T3R215 posted...
Ryangrad posted...
SGT_Conti posted...
Doesn't labour normally get paid first? Like, that's the idea?

Yes. As they should.

This reaction is hilarious.


How? Shareholders are annoyed that they are giving raises prior to their contracts being up instead of either reinvesting or distributing that amount over the upcoming period.

No, they're just mad because they'll make marginally less money now relative to before.


Well that is what I said as they can't reinvest or distribute that, and now they have to factor in additional expenses in their valuation models which drove the price down.
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Antifar
05/01/17 8:19:07 PM
#14:


Happy May Day
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wah_wah_wah
05/01/17 8:19:56 PM
#15:


Balrog0 posted...
Mal_Fet posted...
Anyone who doesn't know why what AA did was dumb had no idea what shares are or how they work.


I'm pretty sure it's a little more complicated than that, but please elaborate Mal_Fet

He's not very good at that
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#16
Post #16 was unavailable or deleted.
Balrog0
05/01/17 8:20:09 PM
#17:


SK8T3R215 posted...
Well that is what I said as they can't reinvest or distribute that, and now they have to factor in additional expenses in their valuation models which drove the price down.


I really think the short-term implications here are much less important than anything else.

Unless you're saying this adds uncertainty to their models because that is true.

But I don't think the main worry is about the immediate cost increase of labor
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ZombiePelican
05/01/17 8:20:37 PM
#18:


Mal_Fet posted...
Anyone who doesn't know why what AA did was dumb had no idea what shares are or how they work.

So a few rich assholes can't afford DirecTV on their 5th Yacht, cry me a fucking river
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:22:28 PM
#19:


to me the fact taht this is being considered separate from an investment is kinda interesting

you have to keep your wages competitive even when unions aren't telling you to directly
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Mal_Fet
05/01/17 8:23:19 PM
#20:


ZombiePelican posted...
Mal_Fet posted...
Anyone who doesn't know why what AA did was dumb had no idea what shares are or how they work.

So a few rich assholes can't afford DirecTV on their 5th Yacht, cry me a fucking river

Right, because everyone who invested in stocks is a zillionaire.

Christ, none of you have any clue at all how the stock market works.
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Solar_Crimson
05/01/17 8:23:38 PM
#21:


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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:24:04 PM
#22:


Mal_Fet posted...
Right, because everyone who invested in stocks is a zillionaire.

Christ, none of you have any clue at all how the stock market works.


you've definitely shown me how much you understand itt
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SK8T3R215
05/01/17 8:24:16 PM
#23:


DuranOfForcena posted...
yeah, they might actually be forced to sell one of their vacation homes in order to maintain their lifestyle

oh, the humanity


You obviously have no idea how analysts value companies.

Balrog0 posted...
I really think the short-term implications here are much less important than anything else.

Unless you're saying this adds uncertainty to their models because that is true.

But I don't think the main worry is about the immediate cost increase of labor


I mean it affects short term and long term valuation as now their upcoming earnings will be lower and forecasting this over the longer term they will have to factor in larger labor costs so the return on their shares will be lower, thus the price falling.
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3rd_Best_Master
05/01/17 8:25:17 PM
#24:


Mal_Fet posted...
ZombiePelican posted...
Mal_Fet posted...
Anyone who doesn't know why what AA did was dumb had no idea what shares are or how they work.

So a few rich a******s can't afford DirecTV on their 5th Yacht, cry me a f***ing river

Right, because everyone who invested in stocks is a zillionaire.

Christ, none of you have any clue at all how the stock market works.

How many posts like this are you going to make until you just explain what you're talking about?
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butthole666
05/01/17 8:27:56 PM
#25:


Capitalism is the greatest plague mankind has ever faced.
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:28:22 PM
#26:


a smaller share of americans have any moeny invested in the stock market than ever

http://www.gallup.com/poll/190883/half-americans-own-stocks-matching-record-low.aspx

Although Americans in all income groups are less likely to have stock investments now than before the Great Recession, middle-class Americans have been the most likely to flee the market. Nearly three in four middle-class Americans, with annual household incomes ranging from $30,000 to $74,999, said they invested money in the stock market in 2007. Today, only half report having stock investments. This 22-percentage-point drop is more than double the changes seen in stock investing among higher and lower income groups.


only 50% of those making between 30k and 75k have money in the stock market, but 80% of those making more than 75k a year do
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wah_wah_wah
05/01/17 8:29:20 PM
#27:


3rd_Best_Master posted...
Mal_Fet posted...
ZombiePelican posted...
Mal_Fet posted...
Anyone who doesn't know why what AA did was dumb had no idea what shares are or how they work.

So a few rich a******s can't afford DirecTV on their 5th Yacht, cry me a f***ing river

Right, because everyone who invested in stocks is a zillionaire.

Christ, none of you have any clue at all how the stock market works.

How many posts like this are you going to make until you just explain what you're talking about?

He seriously never does it. People like him operate only on appearances and not understanding. You might as well ignore him.
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Mal_Fet
05/01/17 8:30:17 PM
#28:


Balrog0 posted...
Mal_Fet posted...
Right, because everyone who invested in stocks is a zillionaire.

Christ, none of you have any clue at all how the stock market works.


you've definitely shown me how much you understand itt

Why should I have to explain why it's a bad thing to screw over your company's shareholders when none of you can conceptualize anything more complicated than "lol fuck them rich folks with their portfolios n sheit"?
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:30:44 PM
#29:


SK8T3R215 posted...
I mean it affects short term and long term valuation as now their upcoming earnings will be lower and forecasting this over the longer term they will have to factor in larger labor costs so the return on their shares will be lower, thus the price falling.


right

but the bigger issue analysts have is that it opens the door on unions being able to perpetually raise the price of labor, which increases the uncertainty and the risk profile of the investment

which I'm saying is what they're more upset about than the near-term wage increase right now, even projecting it into the future -- renegotations like this make all of their projections less certain

I'm sure both matter.
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tehzeldafanboy
05/01/17 8:31:18 PM
#30:


Balrog0 posted...
Wall Street freaked out, sending American shares plummeting. After all, this is capitalism and the capital owners are supposed to reap the rewards of business success.

“This is frustrating. Labor is being paid first again,” wrote Citi analyst Kevin Crissey in a widely circulated note. “Shareholders get leftovers.”...

What the FUCK

The people doing actual work and actually producing are being paid THEIR dues first??? Oy...
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:31:18 PM
#31:


Mal_Fet posted...
Why should I have to explain why it's a bad thing to screw over your company's shareholders when none of you can conceptualize anything more complicated than "lol fuck them rich folks with their portfolios n sheit"?


isn't that exactly why you should explain it, if you believe that to be true?
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QuantumScript
05/01/17 8:31:19 PM
#32:


averagejoel posted...
good. ideally, the company would be 100% owned by its employees.


This is one of the stupidest things I've ever read. There wouldn't be an economy if every company was like this.
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Axiom
05/01/17 8:32:09 PM
#33:


Lmao. Those people would probably use slave labor if they could get away with it
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Antifar
05/01/17 8:32:56 PM
#34:


Balrog0 posted...
only 50% of those making between 30k and 75k have money in the stock market, but 80% of those making more than 75k a year do

To say nothing about the gaps in how much they have invested.
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Bandit_Keith
05/01/17 8:35:46 PM
#35:


averagejoel posted...
good. ideally, the company would be 100% owned by its employees.

You mean you want them to... seize the means of production...?
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SK8T3R215
05/01/17 8:36:16 PM
#36:


tehzeldafanboy posted...
Balrog0 posted...
Wall Street freaked out, sending American shares plummeting. After all, this is capitalism and the capital owners are supposed to reap the rewards of business success.

“This is frustrating. Labor is being paid first again,” wrote Citi analyst Kevin Crissey in a widely circulated note. “Shareholders get leftovers.”...

What the FUCK

The people doing actual work and actually producing are being paid THEIR dues first??? Oy...


Because they already had a labor agreement in place. This is like coming home and having your wife say "Oh you know how we had that agreement in place to pay the gardener $100 a week? Well I decided to pay him $200 now because the neighbors were paying their gardener more." Shareholders were expecting a return based on the costs in place, now they have more expenses that lower their return on investments, and opens them up to basically having any future labor agreement be renegotiated in the middle of it by doing this.
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:36:54 PM
#37:


Bandit_Keith posted...
averagejoel posted...
good. ideally, the company would be 100% owned by its employees.

You mean you want them to... seize the means of production...?


it's kinda weird when this term is applied to service industries imo

let's seize the means of producing ... a flight from houston to orlando (but not the machinery or technology that makes it possible - we get that from another firm's coop)
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SK8T3R215
05/01/17 8:37:02 PM
#38:


Balrog0 posted...
SK8T3R215 posted...
I mean it affects short term and long term valuation as now their upcoming earnings will be lower and forecasting this over the longer term they will have to factor in larger labor costs so the return on their shares will be lower, thus the price falling.


right

but the bigger issue analysts have is that it opens the door on unions being able to perpetually raise the price of labor, which increases the uncertainty and the risk profile of the investment

which I'm saying is what they're more upset about than the near-term wage increase right now, even projecting it into the future -- renegotations like this make all of their projections less certain

I'm sure both matter.


That is true. Also I wonder if the unions will factor this in when they negotiate in two years or if they will just say "The past is the past" and demand their usual increases on top of this.
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voldothegr8
05/01/17 8:37:52 PM
#39:


Balrog0 posted...
Wall Street

This is why we can't have nice things.
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:38:01 PM
#40:


SK8T3R215 posted...
Because they already had a labor agreement in place. This is like coming home and having your wife say "Oh you know how we had that agreement in place to pay the gardener $100 a week? Well I decided to pay him $200 now because the neighbors were paying their gardener more." Shareholders were expecting a return based on the costs in place, now they have more expenses that lower their return on investments, and opens them up to basically having any future labor agreement be renegotiated in the middle of it by doing this.


I mean

it's more like $100 to $105 and/or $108

but I do take your point
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emblem boy
05/01/17 8:44:37 PM
#41:


I expected this to be an Antifar topic
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scoobydoobydont
05/01/17 8:46:02 PM
#42:


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Antifar
05/01/17 8:46:04 PM
#43:


emblem boy posted...
I expected this to be an Antifar topic

I already made a topic about this dope.
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:55:32 PM
#44:


Antifar posted...
emblem boy posted...
I expected this to be an Antifar topic

I already made a topic about this dope.

Sorry, I searched for airline and didn't see anything
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Annihilated
05/01/17 8:57:16 PM
#45:


Balrog0 posted...
Antifar posted...
emblem boy posted...
I expected this to be an Antifar topic

I already made a topic about this dope.

Sorry, I searched for airline and didn't see anything


It's not in your topic either...
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Balrog0
05/01/17 8:59:32 PM
#46:


I'm not saying it was a thorough search
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Antifar
05/01/17 9:00:37 PM
#47:


Balrog0 posted...
Antifar posted...
emblem boy posted...
I expected this to be an Antifar topic

I already made a topic about this dope.

Sorry, I searched for airline and didn't see anything

Ah, it's already purged, and I don't mind seeing this discussed again
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g980
05/01/17 9:28:28 PM
#48:


wow that's an incredibly smug article, I personally hate the author. "This good event that happened naturally within a system I dislike somehow proves the system is bad" ???

if the workers had the political capital to swing this then good on them

I think it's misleading to say that this is paying labor before investors
Labor is *always* paid before shareholders/lenders
but since shareholders are taking on actual risk in the business, why shouldn't they be entitled to corresponding profits?

Balrog your stats on investing seem suspect. Household income of under $75k is on the ass end of middle class, of course they aren't investing.


All that said it was probably a smart move to keep wages competitive regardless of anything else
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Balrog0
05/01/17 10:05:26 PM
#49:


g980 posted...
Balrog your stats on investing seem suspect. Household income of under $75k is on the ass end of middle class, of course they aren't investing


Take it up with Gallup

I think it seems reasonable considering this includes IRAs, 401ks, etc
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Balrog0
05/01/17 10:09:53 PM
#50:


And yeah to me it seems fairly straightforward why you'd want to do this, it is ultimately an investment in your business.

I dunno man I'm not really taking a stance on the action, honestly, I don't care that much

but I think people should keep an ear on how the corporate world thinks and talks about these issues
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