Hey everyone, it’s Contest time again! You know what that means!
The Contest Analysis Crew is back once again! Our goal is to go through this entire contest to determine the best rivalry in gaming. We will analyze and predict each match, and of course, you will read the write-ups and laugh at us when we’re wrong. So without further ado, here’s the Introduction!
Mario/Bowser vs Jim/Queen - PaulG235 Conker/Poo vs Ike/Black Knight - SuorGenoveffa Kirby/MK vs Jill/Nemesis - yoblazer Sonic/Robotnik vs Catherine/Katherine - superangelo128
X/Zero vs Falcon/Shadow - Black Turtle Guybrush/LeChuck vs Bartz/Gilgamesh - Mr3790 DK/K Rool vs Ezio/Rodrigo - Luis Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs Leon/Ada - Cokes
Red/Blue vs Raynor/Kerrigan - XIII Luigi/Waluigi vs Cecil/Golbez - War Ryu/Ken vs Ratchet/Nefarious - UltimaterializerX Fox/Wolf vs Yuna/Seymour - Luster Soldier
Samus/Ridley vs Kid/Guy - Menji76 Terra/Kefka vs Vyse/Galacian - GrapefruitKing Chris/Wesker vs Dan/Sagat - pjbasis Tidus/Jecht vs Big Boss/The Boss - Kotetsu534
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Moltar Status: rivals let's do this Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Fortunately for our loyal readers, I'm once again boarding this Crew by force. Enjoy!
The "Rivalry Rumble"
Well now! Hate the format (would have preferred to see randomized tag teams, a phrase I never thought I'd type), really hated SB's approach to the season (kicking out Mario/Sonic and other B8 rallies because our choices "aren't their real rivals"), and frankly I'm not all that crazy about this bracket either. First 6 divisions are decent, but the last two are essentially a "wasted potential" graveyard... and don't get me started on denying us Cloud vs Mario in favor of setting up the dullest Championship imaginable.
But enough negativity! At least we get a Contest in 2011, at least it'll only last 45ish days, and at least there's one potential twist this season, namely SmartVoterFAQs, aka Rivalries Matter. I think we're going to see results that differ quite noticeably from what you'd except in a standard tag team or series versus series scenario. I'm expecting these results to hinge more heavily on iconic status, nostalgia, and the in-game rivalries themselves than your generic x-stat values would dictate. Now, whether those factors are going to be enough to turn sure losses into straight up wins for our underdogs remains to be see, but at the very least it should keep us on our toes in the Oracle!
And as for the matches themselves, well,
Mario vs Earthworm Jim
Hey look it's Mario and Bowser, kicking off the dullest path to a Championship Match since 2006 Zelda! They'll obviously start their long run with a huge blowout, but where this final number ends up could be rather telling. 90% blowouts appear to be a thing of the past; heavy favorites have been consistently anti-voted in the past couple of years. But was that just because voters have been so sure of easy Character Battle wins for Link and Cloud, and will switching to a new format shake their confidence somewhat?
Got to imagine Mario's such a guaranteed winner that he's held back at least a little... that combined with the perhaps underrated joke appeal of a heroic worm and something with a slug for a butt ought to keep him and Bowser at least somewhat grounded, I'd say.
Mario with 81.83%
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thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle!
LeonhartFour posted... LOL Ngamer refuses to face his shame
Odd, not quite sure what this could be referencing. The only shameful showing I've noticed recently was when one Crew member stopped sending writeups after Final Fantasy X was eliminated...
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thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com You should search for The Show, the cool podcast featuring Guru Champ Black Turtle!
From: Ngamer64 | #011 The only shameful showing I've noticed recently was when one Crew member stopped sending writeups after Final Fantasy X was eliminated...
Mostly because I didn't have any internet access on the day of the match, but feel free to try to twist this to make me look bad!
Last contest I had my own topic for analysis, but if no one minds I'll just post them here this time around.
(1) Mario/Bowser vs. (8) Earthworm Jim/Queen Slug-for-a-Butt
Mario/Bowser, unfortunately, have no interesting matches lined up (barring some theoretical craziness in the final), so there's no immediate reason to care how they do here. Yet, this match will set the standard for contest blowouts. A lot of oracles have them reaching for the mid to high 80s, but I find that unlikely, for a few reasons. The vote-ins will have, as usual, helped to rid the bracket of the worst of the fodder - let's remember here that this pair did get 8% in a 12-way, which requires a certain degree of pull. Lower votals, joke pull, the match being in the night, and increasing apathy to contests should all help the EJ crew avoid complete humiliation.
Mario vs. Bowser with 81.56% of the vote.
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)