Board 8 > NFL Pickem Topic: Divisional Round

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@fortybelowsummer @LeonhartFour @tgs2 @Camden @Bartzyx @Crescent-Moon @thekitchensink @terpaholic

Welcome final 8 contestants!

Saturday, January 22nd
4:30 PM ET
Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans
8 PM
San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers

Sunday, January 23rd
3 PM
Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6:30 PM
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs

Tiebreaker 1: How many Passing TDs will there be in BUF/KC?
Tiebreaker 2: What will be the distance of the longest FG in the entire round?
Tiebreaker 3: How many Rushing yds will Tennessee accrue?

Bengals
Bills
Rams
Niners

11
57
53

tag for later

Emeraldegg posted...

Tiebreaker 1: How many Passing TDs will there be in BUF/KC?

This is the exact TB1 I expected!

Though, after giving it some thought,TB1 being attached solely to the last game means wild last second swings in the standings.

Could enter the game 3-0 and exit the game at #1 in the standings, at 4-0 and not even advancing, or possibly even in dead last. Fun?

It's not like anyone is actually taking the 49ers or Rams here. Everyone's going to be 3-0 or 2-1 heading in.

Who says no one is taking the Rams

Tagging. Time to horribly botch the Tiebreakers.

tgs2 posted...

Tagging. Time to horribly botch the Tiebreakers.

Hell yeah. Somebody has to carry my torch

Every game makes me nervous

Leonhart4 posted...

Every game makes me nervous

Barring anything major changing, I had my picks already decided for this round back on Monday.

So basically, I have the opposite feeling, and that's what makes me nervous!

Like I put my 16 on Tampa and didn't look back, but I'm seeing the picks in that game are roughly 50/50. There is essentially nothing that could happen short of Brady suddenly being out of the game that could actually make me take the Rams.

(I think so little of this team that I didn't even take them to beat the Cardinals, after all)

Bucs/Rams could be like the Super Bowl last year where people were like "how important is a healthy offensive line anyway" and it took one drive to answer that question

If their important players wind up playing, then they probably win, but Brady vs. Stafford is probably the thing that would make you most confident in them.

I have now made all of my picks with minimal confidence

If wirfs is out then the rams win.

Picks for fun

Titans
Packers
Rams
Bills

damn well there's the likely tiebreaker 2... 54 yards from money mac

I almost put that for my tiebreaker too

hopefully I won't need it

I did put that for my TB2!

...Except I'm most likely losing the first game and have to win everything else AND TB1 for it to even matter.

And the 3 people who were on the Bengals are laughing at us for actually believing in Ryan Tannehill~

I wonder if anyone got both of these upsets? I think SF was probably the least likely one.

We have like 2 or 3 people at 1-1 and everyone else is 0-2 hoping to go 2-0 and hit TB1 because it's the only hope.

I have a perfect TB2 right now... Yay?

feeling good about going 0-4 at this point imhotbqh

I think depending on how games tomorrow are skewed, it's possible the highest-ranked 1-3 could make it!

Something like

3-1
2-2
2-2
1-3
1-3
1-3
0-4
0-4

Is unlikely, but possible! I suspect there's a good chance the top 1-3 will be first person out.

Hard to be upset at an 0-2 start when it involves the Packers losing.

Well, it's not like anyone actually picked the 49ers.

Going 2-2 is probably good unless you're hellishly off on the tiebreakers. I feel pretty good about my TB2 staying perfect. If my TB1 is within 1, I'm probably alright at 2-2.

Of course watch me hit a perfect TB1 and TB2 in going 0-4 zzzzzzz

KingButz posted...

I wonder if anyone got both of these upsets? I think SF was probably the least likely one.

Also calling it this is someone who picked the Bengals and Packers.

If Rodgers owns the Bears...but the 49ers own Rodgers...does that mean the 49ers own the Bears...am I 49ers fan now???

If Rams/Bucs has a 6-2 or even the right 5-3 split, and the underdog wins, I think it's theoretically possible to enter the final game with everyone still alive, or with the top 4 already decided no matter what happens!

It'll probably be like 4-4 and eliminate the people who are 0-3 after, though.

Well, at least I got to round 2 this time, and at least I was eliminated in non-soul crushing fashion.

still on pace for 0-4

LeonhartFour posted...

still on pace for 0-4

We have different picks in the last game.

THERE CAN BE

ONLY ONE

(Seriously I'm going to hit TB1 and TB2 perfectly and it won't matter just watch)

Maybe everyone picked the Bucs

I am also on pace for a perfect 0-4.

So basically we might already have 4 who have clinched going into the last game weeeeeeeee

Looks likely since I'm also 0-3 unless Brady repeats 28-3

To have 4 who have already clinched would require all 4 of them to be at 2-1 or better.

With 4 people reporting 0-3, there's a sizeable chance at least one of us isn't eliminated.

On a side note I do believe Bartz is 2-1 by the way he's acted in this topic, so that's one.

Watch someone go 0-4 and advance.

A scenario where a 1-3 advances as I depicted yesterday is possible.

If there's five 0-3s, that's when it gets REALLY interesting.

My current suspicion: we're the only 4, and there will be exactly 1 person we are trying to catch. This means we need to be opposite of them in the last game, win, and hit the tiebreaker.

If we actually do have five 0-3s, then 0-4 still won't make it because our picks are different. Like, I know Leon and I have different picks for the last game.

my 0-4 is suddenly in danger

Rams going to get mad and get a quick TD to ruin that danger~

uh oh

danger danger danger

whew 0-4 still alive

I've um.. Well.. Still got... Tiebreaker #2....

Wow that was nuts! I am sitting at 1-2, gents.

And ladies~

fortybelowsummer posted...

Wow that was nuts! I am sitting at 1-2, gents.

Also what this means is, depending on who you're on, it at least confirms the people on the opposite team aren't eliminated.

Crescent-Moon posted...

On a side note I do believe Bartz is 2-1 by the way he's acted in this topic, so that's one.

I'll just say that I picked all my winners to also cover the spread, so you have a way of checking.

KingButz posted...

I'll just say that I picked all my winners to also cover the spread, so you have a way of checking.

Nope, won't do that. Not in the spirit of the game.

I've got the Bills with 7 as my first TB and 54 as my second TB

That 54 yard run by the Titans late in that game messed up my TB3, though.

Even if I am still alive I likely have to hit that 7 on the nose to even stand a chance.

I've got KC with 8/55/137 as my tiebreakers.