Board 8 > ~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 16 feat. Pokemon (-54), NieR (-36)

(+) Yeah! (+)

You can sign-up now or anytime during the contest. Regardless, you will be given $1000 to bet on matches as you see fit. If at any time you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 but beware you can enter the negatives. The user with the most money at the end will be crowned the winner and receive a game of their choice (within reason) courtesy of your host (unless I win, then the prize will go to the runner-up).

Basically this works like sports betting with spreads, if you're familiar with that. Here's an example line:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (-40) vs The Outer Worlds

If you bet on BotW, it would have to beat TOW by 40%, meaning it would have to get at least 70% of the vote (70-30 = 40). If you bet on TOW (+40) it needs to score at least 30.01% of the vote (69.99 - 30.01 = 39.98) to keep the difference in percentage, or spread, within 40 points.

So someone with $1000 bets $500 on BotW

BotW 73.12%
TOW 26.88%

BotW covers! The bet is doubled and returned for a profit of $500 and the player is now at $1500

ALTERNATE UNIVERSE

BotW 63.1%
TOW 36.9%

TOW covers! All BotW bets are lost and said player is now at $500. Even though BotW won, it didn't win by enough.

Back for this contest is 4-match days, meaning parlays are back too! For those unfamiliar, you can earn more by combining your bets, but if one is wrong you lose the whole thing. So let's say

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (-40) vs The Outer Worlds
Halo: Reach (-10) vs Life Is Strange

If you bet $100 on each of these individually and win, you earn a $100 profit on each, for a total of $200. However, if you parlay and both win you will get x3, meaning you win a $300 profit. However, if either match is wrong you lose the entire bet. 3 and 4 match parlays will give higher payouts, but you risk losing it all if any match in the parlay is wrong.

2-Match Parlay: 3 to 1 ($100 bet = $300 profit)
3-Match Parlay: 7 to 1 ($100 bet = $700 profit)
4-Match Parlay: 15 to 1 ($100 bet = $1500 profit)

You can choose any combination of parlays and single bets you want.

Today's Matches
Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version (-54) vs. Night in the Woods (Pokemon with 77%)
Celeste (-16) vs. Rayman Legends (Celeste with 58%)
Divinity: Original Sin II (-30) vs. Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft (Divinity with 65%)
NieR: Automata (-36) vs. Bayonetta 2 (NieR with 68%)

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half on rayman
half on night in the woods

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25% on Night in the Woods (+54)
25% on Rayman Legends (+16)
25% on Divinity: Original Sin II (-30)
25% on Bayonetta 2 (+36)

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Hmmm...

1000 parlay Rayman, Pokemon and Bayonetta please.


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50% on nier
30% on nier, divinity, pokemon parlay

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20% parlay on Pokemon and Bayonetta

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1000k on Celeste
800k on Bayonetta and Divinity
500k on Celeste, Divinity and Pokemon
400k Celeste, Divinity, Bayonetta and Pokemon

$5000 parlay Rayman/Bayonetta 2
$5000 parlay Pokemon/Divinity
$2500 parlay Rayman/Bayonetta 2/Pokemon/Divinity
$2000 parlay Night in the Woods/Celeste/Nier

Yeah, I bet on both sides as insurance in case the primary bets didn't work out. Is that allowed?

5000 on Rayman Legends

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$10,000,000 on Pokemon HGSS

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MAX parlay on Pokemon, Divinity, and Bayonetta

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MAX on Pokemon

MAX parlay on Celeste, Divinity, and Bayonetta 2

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$2000 parlay on Pokemon, Rayman, and Bayonetta

$1500 on Rayman

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55% on Pokemon/Divinity parlay
20% on Pokemon
20% on Divinity
5% on Pokemon/Divinity/Bayonetta parlay


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MAX on Bayonetta 2, Pokemon, Divinity and Celeste

1. Pokemon will kill Night in the Woods. It lost to Edith Finch and we saw what FFXV did to it.
2. Bayo 1 held up to ALBW fairly well so Bayo 2 (albeit weaker) should hold up alright to Nier.
3. Hearthstone got 9% on OoT in 2015, in a year when OoT was a bit off and HS's reputation was probably quite a bit stronger. It'll get killed by anything the site recognises... and it probably recognises Divinity 2?
4. Rayman Legends lost to Diablo 3 in its polls and its brand hasn't gone anywhere good in the last half-decade. Celeste beat Dead Cells when it wasn't sharing polls with SSBU and has that "recent cool indie on the Switch" vibe going for it. (Also silly people nominated the wrong Rayman! Origins was a way better game, although I still think it would lose here.)

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Doesn't Legends contain the entirety of Origins in it as unlockable levels?

90% on Pokemon. Don't feel good about any of the others.

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Half on Night in the Woods

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75% on Pokemon
25% on Bayonetta 2, Divinity, Celeste Parlay

That was a parlay for the record.

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CHANGE

30% on Pokemon
30% on Divinity
30% on Divinity, pokemon parlay

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Half on a parlay on Pokmon and Divinity.

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Half on Divinity

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Half parlay on Pokemon, Divinity, and Bayonetta

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10% on Pokemon HG/SS
20% on Celeste
10% on Divinity: Original Sin II
25% on Bayonetta 2


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Max on Pokemon, Nier, Divinity

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HALF parlay on Pokemon/Divinity II/Bayonetta 2

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$200,000 on Pokemon

Indies built me up and now they're gonna let me down. Oh well, been fun.

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Yup, I'm back down to zero to end this round.

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Another nailbiter.

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