Board 8 > ~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 14 feat. Batman (-28), The Last of Us (-60)

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MZero11
04/08/20 1:00:42 PM
#1:


You can sign-up now or anytime during the contest. Regardless, you will be given $1000 to bet on matches as you see fit. If at any time you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 but beware you can enter the negatives. The user with the most money at the end will be crowned the winner and receive a game of their choice (within reason) courtesy of your host (unless I win, then the prize will go to the runner-up).

Basically this works like sports betting with spreads, if you're familiar with that. Here's an example line:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (-40) vs The Outer Worlds

If you bet on BotW, it would have to beat TOW by 40%, meaning it would have to get at least 70% of the vote (70-30 = 40). If you bet on TOW (+40) it needs to score at least 30.01% of the vote (69.99 - 30.01 = 39.98) to keep the difference in percentage, or spread, within 40 points.

So someone with $1000 bets $500 on BotW

BotW 73.12%
TOW 26.88%

BotW covers! The bet is doubled and returned for a profit of $500 and the player is now at $1500

ALTERNATE UNIVERSE

BotW 63.1%
TOW 36.9%

TOW covers! All BotW bets are lost and said player is now at $500. Even though BotW won, it didn't win by enough.

Back for this contest is 4-match days, meaning parlays are back too! For those unfamiliar, you can earn more by combining your bets, but if one is wrong you lose the whole thing. So let's say

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (-40) vs The Outer Worlds
Halo: Reach (-10) vs Life Is Strange

If you bet $100 on each of these individually and win, you earn a $100 profit on each, for a total of $200. However, if you parlay and both win you will get x3, meaning you win a $300 profit. However, if either match is wrong you lose the entire bet. 3 and 4 match parlays will give higher payouts, but you risk losing it all if any match in the parlay is wrong.

2-Match Parlay: 3 to 1 ($100 bet = $300 profit)
3-Match Parlay: 7 to 1 ($100 bet = $700 profit)
4-Match Parlay: 15 to 1 ($100 bet = $1500 profit)

You can choose any combination of parlays and single bets you want.

Today's Matches
Batman: Arkham City (-28) vs. Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (Batman with 64%)
BioShock Infinite (-30) vs. Terraria (Bioshock with 65%)
Diablo III (-38) vs. Zero Escape: Virtue's Last Reward (Diablo with 69%)
The Last of Us (-60) vs. Crusader Kings II (TLOU with 80%)

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MZero, to the extreme
I'm a cheater at videogames - ertyu
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AndywoodCubeGmr
04/08/20 1:08:30 PM
#2:


$1000 on Bioshock, Diablo, TLOU
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ZeldaTPLink
04/08/20 1:09:13 PM
#3:


212k on Diablo
150k on Terraria and The Last of Us
100k on Diablo, Terraria and The Last of Us
50k on Diablo, Terraria, The Last of Us and Xenoblade
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charmander6000
04/08/20 1:39:49 PM
#4:


25% on Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (+28)
25% on BioShock Infinite (-30)
25% on Diablo III (-38)
25% on The Last of Us (-60)

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Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 41/48
Today's Picks: DS, DBFZ, Yakuza 0, MGSV
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SeabassDebeste
04/08/20 1:55:40 PM
#5:


80K on diablo
30K on TLOU/bioshock/diablo PARLAY
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squexa
04/08/20 1:57:41 PM
#6:


Half on TLOU

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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_SecretSquirrel
04/08/20 2:21:36 PM
#7:


75% parlay on BioShock, Diablo III, Last of Us

25% on Xenoblade II

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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner.
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Lightning Strikes
04/08/20 2:38:35 PM
#8:


MAX parlay on Terraria, Diablo III and The Last of Us.

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-hotdogturtle--
04/08/20 3:16:03 PM
#9:


$2,000,000 parlay on The Last of Us + Diablo 3

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With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
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pirate109
04/08/20 4:24:47 PM
#10:


MAX on TLOU

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oo
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SuperNiceDog
04/08/20 4:37:47 PM
#11:


5500 on Batman: Arkham City

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SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
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Ngamer64
04/08/20 4:40:41 PM
#12:


10% on Batman: AC
15% on Terraria
10% on Diablo III
45% on The Last of Us

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Advo bested even The Show hosts in 2018, yowza!
board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats
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Kotetsu534
04/08/20 4:54:58 PM
#13:


HALF parlay on Xenoblade Chronicles 2, Bioshock Infinite, Diablo III and The Last of Us

Let's see, XBC2 v Arkham City. XBC2 managed to get 10% with SMO and BOTW in the poll - it shouldn't struggle to avoid being doubled by AC if it can do that. I think there's even an outside shot it wins this match!

Bioshock Infinite v Terraria. There was a lot of hype and a bit of backlash as I recall for Infinite (I certainly enjoyed it much less than I expected), but it still did alright in the 2013 GOTYs. Terraria lost easily to Bastion. I'll risk Bioshock getting the doubling here, but it might flop.

Diablo III v Zero Escape. I'm a little bit scared by this one. Zero Escape got 21% on ME2 and even if ME2 underperformed there's no way it won't do several points better on D3. D3 was also one of Blizzard's more controversial games so it'll probably get antivoted somewhat - I could see a KH3 style percentage. Still, it's x-stat from 2015 is absolutely awful.

The Last Of Us v Crusader Kings II. CKII was in one poll in this site's history and it got 2%. FTL got 10% and XCOM got 34%. TLoU is probably stronger than when it was doubling Halo 3. Think it joins the 80% club tomorrow.

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Kotetsu534
04/08/20 5:42:16 PM
#14:


Change:

66% parlay on Xenoblade Chronicles 2, Diablo III and The Last of Us

Got cold feet on Bioshock - just no info on Terraria and it's probably pretty strong as far as indies go.

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Yuri_LowelI
04/08/20 5:42:23 PM
#15:


Max on zero escape. People gonna be shocked with this

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Paratroopa1
04/08/20 5:44:33 PM
#16:


1000 on Diablo III

I have slightly cold feet on Diablo III's strength and the other three spreads are pretty good
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Paratroopa1
04/08/20 5:45:58 PM
#17:


Actually nevermind I need to make money

CHANGE

MAX on Diablo III

it should be fine
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hylianknight3
04/08/20 7:07:51 PM
#18:


85% on Diablo III

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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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Master Moltar
04/08/20 7:14:50 PM
#19:


Half parlay on Diablo III and The Last of Us

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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MZero11
04/08/20 7:17:58 PM
#20:


Half parlay on The Last of Us and Xenoblade Chronicles 2

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MZero, to the extreme
I'm a cheater at videogames - ertyu
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MZero11
04/08/20 7:24:51 PM
#21:


CHANGE

$20000 on TLoU
$2000 on XB2/Terraria parlay

---
MZero, to the extreme
I'm a cheater at videogames - ertyu
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MetalmindStats
04/08/20 7:25:52 PM
#22:


$1,060,000 on a two-way parlay on Terraria and The Last of Us.

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"I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do."
You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you!
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TheArkOfTurus
04/08/20 7:48:14 PM
#23:


MAX parlay on Xenoblade, Bioshock, and TLOU

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AxemRedRanger
04/08/20 7:48:53 PM
#24:


Half parlay on the last of us and Bioshock infinite

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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
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Keltiq
04/08/20 7:50:17 PM
#25:


$8,000,000 parlay on Diablo, Last of Us

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tennisboy213
04/08/20 7:50:49 PM
#26:


$30,000 parlay on Xenoblade 2 & TLoU
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Kotetsu534
04/08/20 7:56:06 PM
#27:


I can't afford to leave money on the table... all-in!

33% on TLOU > 80%

So I have two bets on.

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SwiftyDC
04/08/20 7:58:33 PM
#28:


$5M parlay on XC2/Diablo/TLOU

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dilateDChemist
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Agent M
04/08/20 7:59:07 PM
#29:


2500 parlay on TLOU + Diablo
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Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:03:35 PM
#30:


That Diablo start is not encouraging.

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Agent M
04/08/20 9:31:13 PM
#31:


Damn, I forgot to get my bet in until like 2 minutes before the deadline. Really wished I had gone with Xenoblade II instead of Diablo III. I even had skepticism on Diablo III being that capable. Whereas Batman getting near a doubling would be pretty crazy.
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-hotdogturtle--
04/08/20 9:33:55 PM
#32:


Diablo is dead. I should have continued not parlaying.

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