Board 8 > College Football Ladder Contest Week 10

(+) Yeah! (+)

We're starting to get down to the point where I might have to restructure Level 4...I said at the beginning that I probably would have to do it late in the season. Oh, wait, this shouldn't be too tough...

Rules
- State which level you're on when you make your pick. Usually it should be obvious, but say it anyway.
- Deadline for making a pick is the start of the earliest game that you're picking. This means that if you are on a level that involves picking multiple teams, ALL of your teams are locked as soon as one of your teams has kicked off. If you don't have a pick in by the start of the early games, you can just pick later games, but if you can't make an eligible pick out of the games that haven't started yet, you can't advance that week.
- Conferences featured in games may be imposed at certain levels, but unless otherwise stated, any game(s) featuring two FBS teams are eligible.
- I'll list some marquee games each week, but you're not restricted to these. If you pick other games, make sure that your lines can be verified.

Level 1: Pick one game against the spread.

Level 2: Pick three over/unders; 2 out of three passes.

Level 3: Three-team teaser. Tease the lines six points in your favor, two wins and a push or three wins needed to pass.

Level 4: First! Pick a winless team to get their first win or an undefeated team to suffer their first loss. If you are predicting a favorite to win, they must also cover the spread (a push is sufficient). You may also select "none" if you think that every game between two winless or two undefeated teams will result in the favorite winning but failing to cover the spread and that no other teams will get their first win or suffer their first loss. Also, for this level, you may pick FCS teams to win against any Division I opponent, but in the case of FBS-FCS games, you must be taking the FCS team to win.

Level 5: Pleaser. Pick one team and move the line 7 points to your disadvantage.

Level 6: Triple points pleaser. Pick either three over/unders and move the lines on each 5 points to your disadvantage. 3 out of 3 needed to pass.

Level 6:
jcgamer107
Paratroopa1
TsunamiXXVIII
turbopuns2

Level 5:
KCF0107
ShatteredElysium

Level 4:
5tarscream

Level 3:
kevwaffles

Level 2:
Jakyl25

Level 1:
baubeta
Eddv
SmartMuffin

Marquee Games:
Georgia (-9) @ Kentucky (O/U 44.5)
West Virginia (+2) @ Texas (O/U 58)
Penn State (+10.5) @ Michigan (O/U 53.5)
Notre Dame (-9.5) @ Northwestern (O/U 53.5)
Alabama (-14.5) @ LSU (O/U 54)

Bonus Marquee game that's only relevant to Level 4:

Dartmouth @ Princeton (-7)

Yes, both of those are undefeated teams, which means that the "null" pick can only pass if Princeton wins but fails to cover. And that's the main reason I said I'd rework the level late; I never want a situation where the "null" option is the most appealing.

...oh wow somehow my computer saved all this when I accidentally cut the power right before I was about to press send. I'm doing this on my "backup" laptop, which is so old that it literally can't run when not plugged in. Thought I was going to have to rewrite this.
---

Level 5 (line already teased):

Boston College at Virginia Tech (-5)
---

Level 6:

Marshall @ Southern Miss OVER 52
West Virginia @ Texas OVER 63
Syracuse @ Wake Forest UNDER 70.5
---

tag
---

Level 6

California/Washington State UNDER 45
Notre Dame/Northwestern UNDER 48.5
UCLA/Oregon OVER 67.5

California's defense is underrated and should keep that game nice and messy. Notre Dame's defense is not underrated and should prevent Northwestern from scoring pretty much completely. UCLA and Oregon don't have defenses. That's the best I've got.

Level 6
Nebraska @ Ohio St UNDER 68.5
Air Force @ Army OVER 47.5
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech OVER 83

73.5 seems real high for Ohio St vs one of the worst teams in the Big Ten. Surely OSU's defense isn't that bad. On the flip side, Air Force/Army seems really low, especially since the temperature at kickoff is gonna apparently be in the high 50s. Oklahoma/Texas Tech I feel may eclipse 100, that's 2 teams with good offense and no defense.
---

TsunamiXXVIII posted...

Penn State (+10.5) @ Michigan (O/U 53.5)
Notre Dame (-9.5) @ Northwestern (O/U 53.5)
Alabama (-14.5) @ LSU (O/U 54)

Level 6, over on all these

Well, it's 14-0 Army at halftime, I lose
---

Level 5
Northwestern +2.5

jcgamer107 posted...

Well, it's 14-0 Army at halftime, I lose

Probably, but I'd never call it early on an over because there's always the chance of overtime.

And right now I'm wondering why I felt the need to not go with three overs and instead look for at least one game where I thought the under might work. It's fairly early in the fourth quarter and I can only afford one more touchdown.
---

Oh, right, and though he hasn't posted yet in this topic, I did see 5tar make a safety pick of UTEP for Level 4 back in last week's topic. So I'll count that.
---

And after saying that, it's most likely a failed over that will get me.

Marshall just scored, they're trailing 26-24. I need them to recover an onside kick because USM can run out the clock.
---

Woohoo the battle of two terrible teams comes up super lucky for me in timing. Level 5 here I go
---

Oklahoma/Texas Tech's gonna go way over, damn it I went 2 for 3 again
---

I went 3 for 3 without pleasers - BARELY - but only 1 for 3 with. I did nail that Wazzu/Cal game and I wasn't horribly wrong about the other two but I wasn't quite right enough. I'm surprised Northwestern scored 21 points.

0 for 3 again

Jump
---

Early pick

Illinois (+10) @ Nebraska
---

Bump
---