Board 8 > NFL Offseason Discussion Topic

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Football
02/12/24 5:02:31 PM
#51:


the 2nd overtime would have had a 2 minute warning, and I believe there would have been a 2nd halftime break

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Leonhart4
02/12/24 5:13:06 PM
#52:


Who performs during the second halftime break?

I guess Taylor Swift is right there.

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th3l3fty
02/12/24 6:48:02 PM
#53:


Forceful_Dragon posted...
Players didn't need to know. Shanahan and advisors knew and they were focused on being the first to get the ball in a proper sudden death if both teams scored the same # of points.

sounds to me like the Niners were woefully unprepared to deal with the Chiefs

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Forceful_Dragon
02/12/24 7:00:28 PM
#54:


Nah

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Thorn
02/12/24 7:02:43 PM
#55:


Yeah, I think Shanahan's logic here is bad - just as I commented on it in real time. The team that gets the ball second just has every strategic advantage. They know what they need to do do on offense so they're in four down territory the whole way until they get where they need to go. And it falls apart when you realize that unless the 49ers score first and get the two-point conversion, the Chiefs have the option to proactively go for two and take away the opportunity for the sudden death to even matter.

The X-Factor is, and I don't know if a coach would ever admit it, is if they know their defense is just totally gassed and needs some time to recover and not to be put right back on the field if they kick it.

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ExThaNemesis
02/12/24 7:15:46 PM
#56:


Romo said that his defense was probably tired and he wanted to give them time to rest up so they could get a stop. Which to be fair, they had gotten stops most of the game.

It's just with the game on the line and all that

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Leonhart4
02/12/24 7:36:22 PM
#57:


The logic for taking the ball first is that if it's still tied after the first two possessions, you're in control in a sudden death scenario.

They lost that advantage the second they kicked the FG though. You gave Mahomes the ball knowing that he ends the game with a TD.

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theawesomestevr
02/12/24 7:37:38 PM
#58:


ExThaNemesis posted...
Romo said that his defense was probably tired and he wanted to give them time to rest up so they could get a stop. Which to be fair, they had gotten stops most of the game.

It's just with the game on the line and all that

Apparently though, Shanahan said after the game that the logic is that they wanted to have the ball 3rd, not that he was trying to rest the defense. Also, with 3 timeouts given to you for the new OT, I feel like if that was the case, maybe the 49ers should have been using some of those, especially by the end of KC's drive inside the 10 if they really thought the defense was gassed.
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Thorn
02/12/24 7:42:23 PM
#59:


Leonhart4 posted...
The logic for taking the ball first is that if it's still tied after the first two possessions, you're in control in a sudden death scenario.
Right, I know, but like I said even that is at the mercy of the second team. If the 49ers score a TD and the Chiefs follow suit, if they don't like their odds of getting a stop in sudden death they can just go for 2 with Mahomes and end it. Likewise, knowing that a FG puts them in sudden death they may be more willing to go for it on fourth down in situations where had they gotten the ball first they feel they "have to" just kick the FG.

And I don't really know that that's advantage 49ers. Again, if Shanahan knows his defense is tired and probably can't stop them if he puts them right back on the field after the end of regulation drive then I get it. And maybe he can't come out and say that so he's using other reasons to answer the question when it comes up - I'm just saying I don't think those answers hold up too well!

Unless the analytics really suggest you should take the ball first but I'd be pretty surprised. Again, the new playoff OT rules strike me as basically College OT and I feel like they game theory'd that out to "you want the ball second" and I don't know why that'd change in the NFL outside some real outlier situations that I don't think apply but will permit might exist.

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GranzonEx
02/12/24 7:45:22 PM
#60:


It all comes down to having the better QB. You can receive first but have Purdy which negates any advantage you can have.

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Football
02/12/24 7:47:45 PM
#61:


Honestly the only real scenario is one of those games with a stupid wind that has all the scoring going in one direction, then I would take the wind and let the other team decide if they want to kick or receive. (Technically you would defer so you would still get the same choice and get the ball first in the theoretical third OT period)

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theawesomestevr
02/12/24 7:48:17 PM
#62:


The only advantage I see when you take the ball 1st is that if you put the other team in 4th and long, you force the other team's hand to either tie the game with a FG or punt if the game is tied, but you're in that exact scenario yourself if the other team puts you in 4th and long on your opening possession, so to me, it's just dumb the whole way around to receive 1st under the current rules.
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Thorn
02/12/24 7:48:36 PM
#63:


Football posted...
Honestly the only real scenario is one of those games with a stupid wind that has all the scoring going in one direction, then I would take the wind and let the other team decide if they want to kick or receive. (Technically you would defer so you would still get the same choice and get the ball first in the theoretical third OT period)
Yeah, crazy weather was the only reason I could think of off the top of my head.

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Leonhart4
02/12/24 7:51:13 PM
#64:


I agree that the advantages of taking the ball first are minimal. That's the main one, but it assumes the Chiefs wouldn't go for the win, too, and they said they would.

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Thorn
02/12/24 7:51:38 PM
#65:


theawesomestevr posted...
The only advantage I see when you take the ball 1st is that if you put the other team in 4th and long, you force the other team's hand to either tie the game with a FG or punt if the game is tied, but you're in that exact scenario yourself if the other team puts you in 4th and long on your opening possession, so to me, it's just dumb the whole way around to receive 1st under the current rules.
You don't force the other team's hand in that scenario because if a FG ties that means you already scored a FG on your opening possession so punting is simply not an option for them (they would literally lose by default) - they know they have four downs the entire way until they hit FG range and only then do they have to start deciding do they kick a FG and go to sudden death and needing to hold you to a stop or go for it and risk losing right there but possibly winning if they can keep going and get a TD.

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theawesomestevr
02/12/24 8:08:35 PM
#66:


Thorn posted...
You don't force the other team's hand in that scenario because if a FG ties that means you already scored a FG on your opening possession so punting is simply not an option for them (they would literally lose by default)

I think we're saying the same thing. My "or punt if the game is tied" was meant for the scenario that you don't score at all on your 1st possession (whether because of a turnover, punt, missed FG, whatever else), and obviously if you're up by 3, then you're only forcing their hand when in FG range.
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Thorn
02/12/24 8:12:56 PM
#67:


Oh, yeah, I see now. I read it a different way but I see what you meant now.

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Forceful_Dragon
02/12/24 8:17:45 PM
#68:


GranzonEx posted...
It all comes down to having the better QB. You can receive first but have Purdy which negates any advantage you can have.

Are you just a joke of an individual I can put on ignore and never miss anything relevant from for the rest of my life? The anti-purdy takes are pissing me off.

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Forceful_Dragon
02/12/24 8:22:41 PM
#69:


I just don't understand saying patently false things just to hurt other people. Obviously it's working and I need to take a step back, but why say them?

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Leonhart4
02/12/24 8:22:59 PM
#70:


Just take a break from this topic for a couple of days

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Leonhart4
02/12/24 8:23:42 PM
#71:


And also just be grateful you aren't a fan of the Cowboys, Patriots, or Jets

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Thorn
02/12/24 8:25:09 PM
#72:


Anti-Purdy takes are just wrong IMO. He played well, made some incredible plays late, and left the field giving the 49ers the lead on his last drive in regulation and the opening drive of OT.

I don't even put too much of this on Shanahan either. I'm sure there's gameplan stuff he could have done better but this wasn't 28-3 or anything IMO. I think he was dead wrong on the OT decision but that's it.

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Leonhart4
02/12/24 8:26:59 PM
#73:


Nah, Shanahan called a fine game regardless of what Ulti will tell you. I don't think there were any egregious coaching decisions on either side.

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KommunistKoala
02/12/24 8:28:48 PM
#74:


I dunno that 3rd quarter was pretty dookie

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Leonhart4
02/12/24 8:30:24 PM
#75:


Purdy played well early and late. He was shaky in the middle. You can blame that on the line if you want, but the Chiefs did nothing for the first 35-40 minutes and the Niners couldn't capitalize on it. That's partially on Purdy.

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ExThaNemesis
02/12/24 8:36:12 PM
#76:


I am as anti-Purdy as they come but I thought he marginally outplayed Patrick Mahomes for most of the game. Chiefs defense stepped up in a big way.

Most important drive of the game for both teams was right after Mahomes threw that dogshit interception. The 49ers should have taken that short field and gone up 17-3. The Chiefs defense said "nah". Not getting any points at all off the take away there was so bad.

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GranzonEx
02/12/24 9:17:39 PM
#77:


Forceful_Dragon posted...
Are you just a joke of an individual I can put on ignore and never miss anything relevant from for the rest of my life? The anti-purdy takes are pissing me off.
I'm not anti-Purdy. I'm not saying anything to hurt you. This is not personal. I don't believe he has "it". He is not a top 10 QB.

Leonhart4 posted...
And also just be grateful you aren't a fan of the Cowboys, Patriots, or Jets
The Patriots are in a much much worse spot than those other two teams. We don't even have a GM for our upcoming draft. We will be bottom of the NFL for a long ass time lmao.

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Leonhart4
02/12/24 9:24:00 PM
#78:


No, I mean, if you can't handle any 49ers criticism or mockery, be grateful you aren't a fan of one of those three because they get it more than anyone else.

You can throw the Browns in there, too, I suppose.

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GranzonEx
02/12/24 9:25:40 PM
#79:


Oh yea. Feel free to make fun of the Pats. I'll be right there to roast our cheap ass owner.

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Mewtwo59
02/12/24 9:30:50 PM
#80:


To be fair, the Browns actually deserve it after the whole Watson affair.

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Reg
02/12/24 9:32:16 PM
#81:


The Browns wanted an adult at QB and by god, they got one.
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GranzonEx
02/12/24 9:42:35 PM
#82:


Btw here is the top 10 2024 QB

Mahomes
Jackson
Burrow
Stroud
47 y/o Brady on the 49ers

Rodgers if he's healthy
Herbert
Dak
Hurts
Tua


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Mewtwo59
02/12/24 9:52:40 PM
#83:


Now that's some Josh Allen hate

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GranzonEx
02/12/24 9:55:27 PM
#84:


Mr Alien can't play the Mac Jones Patriots in the playoffs every year :(

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Thorn
02/12/24 10:18:56 PM
#85:


GranzonEx posted...
Rodgers if he's healthy
behind that jets line and playing 8+ games at metlife?

that's more unrealistic than the brady hypothetical you have there!

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GranzonEx
02/12/24 11:34:26 PM
#86:


Thorn posted...
behind that jets line and playing 8+ games at metlife?

that's more unrealistic than the brady hypothetical you have there!
If I'm Rodgers I'd be less worried about that Jets line and more worried about the Metlife turf LOL

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Suprak_the_Stud
02/13/24 12:03:13 AM
#87:


Thorn posted...
behind that jets line and playing 8+ games at metlife?

that's more unrealistic than the brady hypothetical you have there!

Now that Rodgers has finally cracked the secrets of anti-ACL tearing crystal technology, the entire league is on notice.

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Leonhart4
02/13/24 12:18:34 AM
#88:


Patrick Mahomes has 3 Super Bowl comeback victories of 10+ points

There have been 4 other such comebacks in the rest of the Super Bowls combined

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MZero
02/13/24 12:38:48 AM
#89:


Leonhart4 posted...
Patrick Mahomes has 3 Super Bowl comeback victories of 10+ points

There have been 4 other such comebacks in the rest of the Super Bowls combined

So the secret is to never go up by 10

or just blow them out like the Bucs

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SHINE_GET_64
02/13/24 1:26:38 AM
#90:


https://twitter.com/VikingsDynasty/status/1756889119001616460?t=9tkGDxoQJgwWZpz_x7oW9g&s=19

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HanOfTheNekos
02/13/24 9:26:30 AM
#91:


GranzonEx posted...
Mr Alien can't play the Mac Jones Patriots in the playoffs every year :(

329 yards 4-0 TD/int against the chiefs in 2021

This year was less (half ass diggs and no wr2 hurts) but if he didn't get bumped on his last pass, we'd be looking at a 200 yard 2 TD game.

Also putting Lamar as number 2 on your list but leaving Allen off is laughable because Lamar has shown the same inability to get it done in the end... Except instead of losses to the chiefs and Bengals (which is Allen's postseason career), it's losses to the chiefs, Titans... And Bills! Lamar lost a game to the Bills where they out gained the Bills by 100 yards!

Not trying to hype Allen up as some elite level talent here, but Lamar crumbles under the pressure just as bad as Allen does.

And Tua appears to be bad against good secondaries. Can he win games without having receivers who aren't covered?

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ExThaNemesis
02/13/24 10:09:17 AM
#92:


GranzonEx posted...
Btw here is the top 10 2024 QB

Mahomes
Jackson
Burrow
Stroud
47 y/o Brady on the 49ers

Rodgers if he's healthy
Herbert
Dak
Hurts
Tua

Take what FD said about you and double it for me, pal.

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ExThaNemesis
02/13/24 10:11:11 AM
#93:


The top QB list goes

Mahomes
Allen

who cares, they're all basically dross after that

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KommunistKoala
02/13/24 10:19:38 AM
#94:


I know you only watch 3 games a year Extha but Burrow is easily better than Allen

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LiquidOshawott
02/13/24 10:24:09 AM
#95:


Mahomes
Lamar
Burrow
Allen
Hurts
Stafford
Dak
Herbert
Stroud
Purdy?

something like that but all I really think is Stafford is heavily slept on in these conversations


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GranzonEx
02/13/24 10:30:53 AM
#96:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
329 yards 4-0 TD/int against the chiefs in 2021

This year was less (half ass diggs and no wr2 hurts) but if he didn't get bumped on his last pass, we'd be looking at a 200 yard 2 TD game.

Also putting Lamar as number 2 on your list but leaving Allen off is laughable because Lamar has shown the same inability to get it done in the end... Except instead of losses to the chiefs and Bengals (which is Allen's postseason career), it's losses to the chiefs, Titans... And Bills! Lamar lost a game to the Bills where they out gained the Bills by 100 yards!

Not trying to hype Allen up as some elite level talent here, but Lamar crumbles under the pressure just as bad as Allen does.

And Tua appears to be bad against good secondaries. Can he win games without having receivers who aren't covered?
I think the Ravens are just too young right now. When we had Brady they were the only team that struck fear in us during the playoffs. They were the only team that didn't have that mental block when playing us and always played tough. Give the Ravens another year or two, once they get more discipline on the offensive side I truly believe Lamar Jackson can get multiple SBs.

Allen's problem is he's hot and cold. Diggs is looking like a problem in the locker room now so the Bills will have to address that or Allen will not be sniffing the Chiefs anytime soon.

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GranzonEx
02/13/24 10:33:10 AM
#97:


LiquidOshawott posted...
Mahomes
Lamar
Burrow
Allen
Hurts
Stafford
Dak
Herbert
Stroud
Purdy?

something like that but all I really think is Stafford is heavily slept on in these conversations
I sleep on Stafford because he's getting up there in age and injuries. Yea yea I put Rodgers up there but Rodgers was just that good that I have to give him the benefit of the doubt until he's truly washed.

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Leonhart4
02/13/24 10:34:25 AM
#98:


All this Kirk Cousins disrespect

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MrSmartGuy
02/13/24 10:34:53 AM
#99:


QBs ranked by how much I would want them as my QB next year (with two exceptions), separated into tiers:

Mahomes
-----
Jackson
Burrow
Allen
Stroud
-----
Hurts
Prescott
Herbert
Rodgers (would be much lower than this if I took into account how he's got the Jets organization's balls in a vice)
Stafford
Goff
-----
Lawrence
Tagovailoa
Love
Purdy
Watson (I do not want Watson the person on my team, period)
Cousins
-----
Richardson
Murray
Fields
Mayfield
R. Wilson
G. Smith
Levis maybe
-----
Uh-oh

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neonreaper
02/13/24 10:55:07 AM
#100:


Purdy was fine. If he was better, he might have been the reason that they won. But he wasn't the reason that they lost, either.

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