Board 8 > Politics Containment Topic 207: Sinema Vérité

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ChichiriMuyo
11/11/18 4:40:42 AM
#252:


Okay... They are themselves typically made of fabric and not paper which would be cheaper. It makes it harder to remove them without tools such as scissors or a knife. This adds to the cost of your mattress at purchase, but you can rest assured it is a quality mattress. Did you catch the pun? It was very funny.

Like I tried to say, now that I know the joke, I get why it's funny.
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Corrik
11/11/18 9:13:13 AM
#253:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
Okay... They are themselves typically made of fabric and not paper which would be cheaper. It makes it harder to remove them without tools such as scissors or a knife. This adds to the cost of your mattress at purchase, but you can rest assured it is a quality mattress. Did you catch the pun? It was very funny.

Like I tried to say, now that I know the joke, I get why it's funny.

You have made it unfunny. Jokes over guys.
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 3:05:52 PM
#254:


Coconino posted about another 1k votes that went heavily towards Sinema so she's over 30k now.

That isn't that interesting by itself, but it leads me to believe Maricopa will have another drop today. This is a batch that McSally absolutely needs to start cutting into the lead because the county is starting to run out of votes and every batch thus far has cut Sinema's way.
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Moops?
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VintageGin
11/11/18 4:05:59 PM
#255:


Some late thoughts on working the polls for this election:

-It was my first time doing this, but it really struck me how much of our system is dependent on random volunteers being competent. Like, it's crazy to me that something so important could end up being handled by people who are either apathetic or incompetent. It depends so much on people actually giving a shit.

-My polling station was on the UC Berkeley campus and we got a ton of people who had no idea what they were doing-- most people didn't realize that they had an assigned polling place and just came to ours because they happened to be passing by

-As a result we had a fuckton of provisional ballots-- like 90% or more were provisional

-People are really into the "I voted" sticker

-It's pretty exhausting given you're expected to be there from 6 AM to 9 PM (or later depending on how long it takes you to close)

-People can be assholes for no reason, but then again I knew that already
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Hardcore_Adult
11/11/18 4:08:58 PM
#256:


^ Get many Hippies/Libs on that campus who trade on the ideals of their Grandparents who were known to get waccy with the baccy?
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Paratroopa1
11/11/18 4:10:52 PM
#257:


Hardcore_Adult posted...
^ Get many Hippies/Libs on that campus who trade on the ideals of their Grandparents who were known to get waccy with the baccy?

Are you joking
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Hardcore_Adult
11/11/18 4:13:38 PM
#258:


^ I'm a wee bit drunk.
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Corrik
11/11/18 4:58:07 PM
#259:


Yeah. Neab has went to two night kills now likely. I can't see him being town.

##unvote:
##vote: Neab

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Inviso
11/11/18 5:00:37 PM
#260:


And now a conservative is trying to lynch someone yet again!

:P
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Inviso
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Corrik
11/11/18 5:16:03 PM
#261:


Oh geez
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StartTheMachine
11/11/18 5:22:27 PM
#262:


guys I'm pretty sure Chichiri is andymancan and that's why his posts are so bad

was this topic about politics
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 6:38:40 PM
#263:


Maricopa drop is only supposed to be 36k votes today, so regardless it probably isn't enough to call the race. But McSally could really use a good drop.
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Moops?
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 7:09:42 PM
#264:


35.6k new votes and Sinema expanded her lead by 2,224 votes.

I was hoping for a 80k or so vote to really put things away but there is probably still a little too much outstanding to call things. But only 227k or so ballots left outstanding.
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Moops?
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pxlated
11/11/18 7:29:50 PM
#265:


StartTheMachine posted...
guys I'm pretty sure Chichiri is andymancan and that's why his posts are so bad

was this topic about politics


I mean, andy lives in wisconsin and is hard r

Maybe this is some form of trolling but i dont think you're right

Anyway, uhhhhhh, politics something something soros bucks something red bad blue good something something nazis
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Kenri
11/11/18 7:55:47 PM
#266:


StartTheMachine posted...
guys I'm pretty sure Chichiri is andymancan and that's why his posts are so bad

i think they just both have japanese names. i remember chichiri from way back in the day and i've never heard anything relating him to andyman
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 8:20:45 PM
#267:


Pinal added roughly 7k or their remaining 21k votes. McSally only cut the lead by 350 or so votes. It went +14 McSally on election night but only +5 in this update.

Getting close...if Sinema even keeps in even in the next Maricopa batch, I think outlets will call it.
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Moops?
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 9:17:08 PM
#268:


https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1061794284427329537

More back of the envelope math!

219.8k outstanding with biggest outstanding votes from
Maricopa - 162k
Pima - 36.3k
Pinal - 14.7k
Coconino - 4.8k
everywhere else only has a couple hundred votes

Sinema currently has a lead of 32,392. McSally's campaign keeps saying the rest of the Maricopa votes will favor her because they group their votes differently and most of the remaining are late "early" votes.

Assuming the other counties play out like Election Day (which would be favorable to McSally since most of these updates trended Sinema).
Gain of 1794 in Pinal for McSally (8056 for McSally and 6262 for Sinema)
Gain of 5191 in Pima for Sinema (20364 for Sinema and 15173 for McSally)
Gain of 1311 in Coconino for Sinema (2981 for Sinema and 1670 for McSally)

So outside counties should favor Sinema to the tune of 4708 votes. I'll subtract 100 or so for McSally due to some extra votes she'll get from the rural counties.

Sinema would have a lead of 37k going into Maricopa with 162k remaining. That means the final votes would need to break down 62.5k for Sinema and 99.5k for McSally or 61.4% to 38.6% in her favor. This +22.8 would be a huge shift from the -3 on Election Day.

Again, possible, but the next update needs to go in McSally's favor by at least +10 or so to have any hope.
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Moops?
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 9:20:11 PM
#269:


Eh make that +15 to +20. She only has 162k left and they have been doing 80k a day outside of today, so if they're reporting half of their remaining votes she really needs to see huge movement tomorrow.
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Moops?
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ChichiriMuyo
11/11/18 9:27:50 PM
#270:


It's possible, but sounds unlikely. However, Maricopa has leaned Republican for a long time, despite being the most urban part of the state. What's interesting to me is that we might elect our first Dem to the senate since DeConcini
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ChaosTonyV4
11/11/18 10:16:38 PM
#271:


Just saw the worst op ed ever, saying Hillary will become a Liberal firebrand and definitely win the Democratic nomination.

I think Im going to be sick.
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LordoftheMorons
11/11/18 10:21:28 PM
#272:


I love Hillary
There is a zero percent chance she wins the nomination (and a very small chance that she even runs)
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#273
Post #273 was unavailable or deleted.
xp1337
11/11/18 10:24:42 PM
#274:


FWIW, Silver moved AZ SEN to Likely D last night (so before all of today's drops) and uh... if anything the drops from today just strength Sinema's case. (Cook Political called it for Sinema after today's Maricopa drop for instance)

all the cool kids are on the AZ Secretary of State race now where despite being called for the republican by some outlets early, is now within a few hundred votes. (The comeback has basically mirrored Sinema's only starting from further back, and actually Dems led here after the Maricopa drop today by like ~150 before Pinal pushed it back)
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xp1337
11/11/18 10:27:41 PM
#275:


Clinton just lives rent-free in all these peoples' heads and isn't gonna run lol.

though "I told you so" would be a fun campaign slogan
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 10:29:07 PM
#276:


Arizona SoS is likely heading to a recount, yeah.

McSally needs a huge Maricopa showing tomorrow. Otherwise I think pretty much all the major outlets will call it.

5 PM MST. BE THERE BE THERE BE THERE
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Moops?
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 10:34:38 PM
#277:


YAVAPAI WITH A SURPRISE BATCH AFTER THEY WERE SUPPOSEDLY DONE!

McSally gains a whopping 123 votes. It went +8 McSally after going +24 on Election Day. Now they're double done. Probably.

smh republican counties always finding more surprise votes out of nowhere.
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Moops?
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Paratroopa1
11/11/18 10:36:39 PM
#278:


Suprak the Stud posted...
YAVAPAI WITH A SURPRISE BATCH AFTER THEY WERE SUPPOSEDLY DONE!

McSally gains a whopping 123 votes. It went +8 McSally after going +24 on Election Day. Now they're double done. Probably.

smh republican counties always finding more surprise votes out of nowhere.

why is our president not outraged about the republicans obviously trying to steal this election in arizona

I cannot think of a reason why he would not speak up about this
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Inviso
11/11/18 10:40:56 PM
#279:


LordoftheMorons posted...
I love Hillary
There is a zero percent chance she wins the nomination (and a very small chance that she even runs)


I love Hillary and thought she would've been a great president when I voted for her.

If she runs again (not even wins the nomination...just if she RUNS again), I will no longer have any respect for her in any sense.
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Inviso
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xp1337
11/11/18 10:41:18 PM
#280:


Speaking of, lot of weird stuff going on in Florida. Like Scott apparently trying to impound the voting machines in Broward/Palm Beach and Palm Beach saying they can't get the recount done in time. Not to mention when he called for law enforcement to act (and they didn't because when reporters asked they said the order was never put in writing)

like i think scott has this but i swear he's acting so weird about it that i almost wonder if he knows something we don't

like dude just let the recount play out and be declared the winner. this stuff only makes me wonder if the machine error theory is real instead of a desperate hope on nelson's part
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Kenri
11/11/18 10:47:51 PM
#281:


xp1337 posted...
though "I told you so" would be a fun campaign slogan

This is funny enough that it would almost be worth the 4 more years of Trump it would cause. <_<
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LordoftheMorons
11/11/18 10:51:32 PM
#282:


"You fuckers just didn't listen"
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TheRock1525
11/11/18 10:52:15 PM
#283:


Hillary 2: Electric Votealoo
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Kenri
11/11/18 10:53:57 PM
#284:


Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu to the polls
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TheRock1525
11/11/18 11:03:01 PM
#285:


Actually it would be Hillary 3, or Hillary with a Vengeance.
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Suprak the Stud
11/11/18 11:39:26 PM
#286:


Paratroopa1 posted...
Suprak the Stud posted...
YAVAPAI WITH A SURPRISE BATCH AFTER THEY WERE SUPPOSEDLY DONE!

McSally gains a whopping 123 votes. It went +8 McSally after going +24 on Election Day. Now they're double done. Probably.

smh republican counties always finding more surprise votes out of nowhere.

why is our president not outraged about the republicans obviously trying to steal this election in arizona

I cannot think of a reason why he would not speak up about this


Don't they care about election integrity?!? These votes just came out of nowhere!

SEND IN THE MARINES
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Moops?
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ChichiriMuyo
11/12/18 12:08:46 AM
#287:


Suprak the Stud posted...
YAVAPAI WITH A SURPRISE BATCH AFTER THEY WERE SUPPOSEDLY DONE!

McSally gains a whopping 123 votes. It went +8 McSally after going +24 on Election Day. Now they're double done. Probably.

smh republican counties always finding more surprise votes out of nowhere.


I lived in Yavapai county and I don't think this out of the ordinary.
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ChichiriMuyo
11/12/18 12:11:53 AM
#288:


Paratroopa1 posted...
Suprak the Stud posted...
YAVAPAI WITH A SURPRISE BATCH AFTER THEY WERE SUPPOSEDLY DONE!

McSally gains a whopping 123 votes. It went +8 McSally after going +24 on Election Day. Now they're double done. Probably.

smh republican counties always finding more surprise votes out of nowhere.

why is our president not outraged about the republicans obviously trying to steal this election in arizona

I cannot think of a reason why he would not speak up about this


Seriously? Trump wants to be the US dictator, not President. You can't overthrow a democracy by standing up for it when your rank and file try to undermine it.
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Paratroopa1
11/12/18 1:18:08 AM
#289:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
Paratroopa1 posted...
Suprak the Stud posted...
YAVAPAI WITH A SURPRISE BATCH AFTER THEY WERE SUPPOSEDLY DONE!

McSally gains a whopping 123 votes. It went +8 McSally after going +24 on Election Day. Now they're double done. Probably.

smh republican counties always finding more surprise votes out of nowhere.

why is our president not outraged about the republicans obviously trying to steal this election in arizona

I cannot think of a reason why he would not speak up about this


Seriously? Trump wants to be the US dictator, not President. You can't overthrow a democracy by standing up for it when your rank and file try to undermine it.

thanks for that, luster
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Panthera
11/12/18 1:35:18 AM
#290:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
Paratroopa1 posted...
Suprak the Stud posted...
YAVAPAI WITH A SURPRISE BATCH AFTER THEY WERE SUPPOSEDLY DONE!

McSally gains a whopping 123 votes. It went +8 McSally after going +24 on Election Day. Now they're double done. Probably.

smh republican counties always finding more surprise votes out of nowhere.

why is our president not outraged about the republicans obviously trying to steal this election in arizona

I cannot think of a reason why he would not speak up about this


Seriously? Trump wants to be the US dictator, not President. You can't overthrow a democracy by standing up for it when your rank and file try to undermine it.


I have not heard of this suggestion before, thank you for opening my eyes to the reality that I cannot fathom having missed out on before
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TheRock1525
11/12/18 11:45:39 AM
#291:


This may be the most cross sectional article I've ever seen.

https://www.rawstory.com/2018/11/black-security-guard-stops-shooter-bar-gets-gunned-cop-mistook-criminal/
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VintageGin
11/12/18 11:50:24 AM
#292:


TheRock1525 posted...
This may be the most cross sectional article I've ever seen.

https://www.rawstory.com/2018/11/black-security-guard-stops-shooter-bar-gets-gunned-cop-mistook-criminal/


Fuck
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CelesMyUserName
11/12/18 11:51:23 AM
#293:


fucking god damn fuck
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TheRock1525
11/12/18 11:52:52 AM
#294:


"Only a good guy with a gun can stop a bad guy with a gun."

"Yeah but won't cops get confused when they arrive on the scene trying to identify who's the shooter?"

Crossed with

"I don't get why black people hate the police."

"Maybe it has to do with them being gunned down while doing nothing."
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CelesMyUserName
11/12/18 12:32:52 PM
#295:


https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1061965651470925825

... wha
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Corrik
11/12/18 12:43:56 PM
#296:


CelesMyUserName posted...
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1061965651470925825

... wha

Lololol
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red sox 777
11/12/18 12:50:22 PM
#297:


Hillary could run again, and she would probably win the nomination again. Multiple people will run against her and split the reasonable person vote. Then she'll lose to Trump again. Then she will try again in 2024 and lose again to a different Republican.
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Kenri
11/12/18 12:54:18 PM
#298:


TheRock1525 posted...
This may be the most cross sectional article I've ever seen.

https://www.rawstory.com/2018/11/black-security-guard-stops-shooter-bar-gets-gunned-cop-mistook-criminal/

God this country is fucked up
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LapisLazuli
11/12/18 1:15:42 PM
#299:


CelesMyUserName posted...
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1061965651470925825

... wha


The incredible irony of how the handling of the flag in this is so hardcore un-American.

This is so hariously awful that I'm actually willing to humor the idea that it's actually set up by an anti-Trump group.
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Eddv
11/12/18 1:18:02 PM
#300:


TheRock1525 posted...
Actually it would be Hillary 3, or Hillary with a Vengeance.


I am now dreadibg that the Democratic 2019/2020 primary cycle is going to be revenge of the Romney nomination.

Every time a non Clinton challenger rises, they self destruct. Avenatti Sanders and Warren have already gotten off to head starts.
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Corrik
11/12/18 1:19:08 PM
#301:


Kenri posted...
TheRock1525 posted...
This may be the most cross sectional article I've ever seen.

https://www.rawstory.com/2018/11/black-security-guard-stops-shooter-bar-gets-gunned-cop-mistook-criminal/

God this country is fucked up

This literally happened with the white person in the church in Texas down there a few months ago also.

Going by memory.
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