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bloodydeath0 02/02/18 10:53:14 AM #1: |
What are the REALISTIC chances that you will draw it on your 100th draw?
Checkmate, angstheists --- http://i.imgur.com/xHbbYI6.gif http://cdn1.sbnation.com/assets/3386905/G2-Ortiz-Slam.gif Anything too hard in life is not worth doing. -John McGuirk ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ThyCorndog 02/02/18 10:53:51 AM #2: |
are the cards replaced or not?
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bloodydeath0 02/02/18 10:54:35 AM #3: |
Yes
--- http://i.imgur.com/xHbbYI6.gif http://cdn1.sbnation.com/assets/3386905/G2-Ortiz-Slam.gif Anything too hard in life is not worth doing. -John McGuirk ... Copied to Clipboard!
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pieisthebest 02/02/18 10:55:57 AM #4: |
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MysticMismagius 02/02/18 10:56:40 AM #5: |
Then its a 1/100 chance to draw your card on the 100th pull.
The outcome of the previous pulls does not influence the probability of getting a specific outcome. --- I'm not very good at this... ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ThyCorndog 02/02/18 10:57:06 AM #6: |
bloodydeath0 posted...
Yes then it's 1/100. the draws are independent and always have the same probability --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Muffinz0rz 02/02/18 10:58:04 AM #7: |
If the cards are being replaced, then 1/100
If not, then 100/100 --- Not removing this until Pat Benatar is in Super Smash Bros. (Started 8/31/2010) FantaCE Football Squad: ELIMINATED. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KainWind 02/02/18 10:58:48 AM #8: |
Did I complain on gamefaqs first? This is proven to increase odds.
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DevsBro 02/02/18 11:25:47 AM #9: |
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Panthera 02/02/18 11:27:49 AM #10: |
About tree fiddy
--- We clasped our hands, our hands in praise of a conquerors right to tyranny ... Copied to Clipboard!
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bloodydeath0 02/02/18 1:43:44 PM #11: |
KainWind posted...
Did I complain on gamefaqs first? This is proven to increase odds. Correct --- http://i.imgur.com/xHbbYI6.gif http://cdn1.sbnation.com/assets/3386905/G2-Ortiz-Slam.gif Anything too hard in life is not worth doing. -John McGuirk ... Copied to Clipboard!
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AverageCEgal 02/02/18 1:44:42 PM #12: |
there is no statement that states how many cards total there are
the puzzle is unsolbable ... Copied to Clipboard!
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UnholyMudcrab 02/02/18 1:44:55 PM #13: |
I was gonna say it depends on whether you trust in the heart of the cards or not, but you clearly don't if you haven't gotten the right card for 99 straight draws. You're never gonna get that card.
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uwnim 02/02/18 1:47:26 PM #14: |
Muffinz0rz posted...
If the cards are being replaced, then 1/100 Eh, if there are 100 cards and they are not replaced, then on the 100th, it would really be 1/1. First is 1/100, then 1/99, 1/98, etc. --- I want a pet Lavos Spawn. [Order of the Cetaceans: Phocoena dioptrica] ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ThyCorndog 02/02/18 1:47:54 PM #15: |
uwnim posted...
Muffinz0rz posted...If the cards are being replaced, then 1/100 100/100 = 1/1 --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Mizznox 02/02/18 1:50:43 PM #16: |
If the cards are not being replaced, then it depends on the total # of cards. 1/100 doesn't mean there's necessarily one goal card and 100 cards total. Could be 5/401 at that point, or 8/701, etc.
But yeah, if the cards are being replaced, then it's always 1/100. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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hollow_shrine 02/02/18 1:51:40 PM #17: |
bloodydeath0 posted...
What are the REALISTIC chances that you will draw it on your 100th draw? It's 1/100. --- Whatever happened to standards? Whatever happened to bare minimums? https://i.imgtc.com/7UnK3hx.jpg ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Mikablu 02/02/18 1:52:33 PM #18: |
AverageCEgal posted...
there is no statement that states how many cards total there are If there's a 1/100 chance to draw a card, that means there's 100 cards. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DevsBro 02/02/18 1:53:09 PM #19: |
If you have 99 tries to draw a card and you don't draw a card, you should probably get an F in art class.
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Weezy_Tha_Don 02/02/18 1:54:15 PM #20: |
AverageCEgal posted...
there is no statement that states how many cards total there are nice --- http://i.imgur.com/hwZyGuA.jpg - courtesy of the homie United_World I speak my mind, cause biting my tongue hurts. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Bloodychess 02/02/18 1:55:16 PM #21: |
ThyCorndog posted...
are the cards replaced or not? this guy gets it --- To err is human To arr is pirate ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DevsBro 02/02/18 1:56:15 PM #22: |
If there's a 1/100 chance to draw a card, that means there's 100 cards. Not necessarily. Maybe there are 200 cards and 2 of the one you want. Or maybe it's the one on top. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Unsugarized_Foo 02/02/18 1:56:19 PM #23: |
Mikablu posted...
AverageCEgal posted...there is no statement that states how many cards total there are I guess if you have the same card more than once, it'd be x/100x times, thus 100x cards --- "All I have is my balls and my word, and I don't break them for anyone!"-Tony Montana ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Mizznox 02/02/18 2:12:25 PM #24: |
Mikablu posted...
AverageCEgal posted...there is no statement that states how many cards total there are There's a 1/13 chance of drawing an ace in a standard deck of cards. There are more than 13 cards. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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annax0 02/02/18 2:12:31 PM #25: |
there's a 50% chance
you either draw it or you dont --- "I have a splendid taste in music. You're dumb." - Emmassacre ... Copied to Clipboard!
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bloodydeath0 02/03/18 10:53:54 AM #26: |
I said realistic chances
If you dont draw it in 99 tries, but you have a 1% chance of drawing it, then on your 100th draw you have a really high chance of drawing it like probably 60% --- http://i.imgur.com/xHbbYI6.gif http://cdn1.sbnation.com/assets/3386905/G2-Ortiz-Slam.gif Anything too hard in life is not worth doing. -John McGuirk ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Doe 02/03/18 10:54:59 AM #27: |
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AceAttorneyist 02/03/18 11:00:20 AM #28: |
bloodydeath0 posted...
I said realistic chances Nah --- (... D-Do I really inspire this sort of frothing desire from the female masses?) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Tmk 02/03/18 11:01:06 AM #29: |
If there's a deck of 100 cards and you need to draw one specific card in it, and the deck is reshuffled every draw, and you failed to draw the card 99 times, there's a 1% chance you draw the card on your 100th attempt. Additionally, the compound probability of failing to draw that card 100 times in a row is 36.6%. Failing to draw it 200 times in a row would be 13.3%. 300 times in a row, 4.9%.
Meaning it's more likely to fail to draw that card 300 times in a row, than to draw it on your first try. Compound probability: a fun way to figure out ahead of time how fucked you mathematically are before you start farming some rare bullshit in a game. --- I am snazzier, hot, hot rant. Warily slight as. Croak rush, OK? Weirder, almighty make out. ::) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Doe 02/03/18 11:03:58 AM #30: |
Tmk posted...
Meaning it's more likely to fail to draw that card 300 times in a row, than to draw it on your first try. I think your logic is a bit flawed --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Tmk 02/03/18 11:04:17 AM #31: |
Doe posted...
I think your logic is a bit flawed How so? --- I am snazzier, hot, hot rant. Warily slight as. Croak rush, OK? Weirder, almighty make out. ::) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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CapnMuffin 02/03/18 11:11:23 AM #32: |
It means the universe hates you and you should probably give up.
--- "its okay a lizard ate me and elucidated my fate" - MJ_Max on Dark Souls 3DSFC : 0860-3930-2170 | NNID : CapnMuffin | XBGT : Capn Muffin ... Copied to Clipboard!
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littlebro07 02/03/18 11:12:36 AM #33: |
annax0 posted...
there's a 50% chance --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ChouBF 02/03/18 12:00:33 PM #34: |
Mizznox posted...
There's a 1/13 chance of drawing an ace in a standard deck of cards. There are more than 13 cards. That's because there are four aces. -_- If you change it to the odds of getting the ace of hearts, it becomes 1/52, THE NUMBER OF CARDS IN THE FUCKING DECK ISN'T MATH JUST SO FUCKING MAGICAL ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Medussa 02/03/18 12:05:17 PM #35: |
DevsBro posted...
If there's a 1/100 chance to draw a card, that means there's 100 cards. it's implied in the phrasing of the question that there is one success out of 100 cards. If you have a 1/100 chance to draw a card and don't draw it in 99 tries don't get me wrong, it's a good thought. I just don't think it applies here. --- Boom! That's right, this is all happening! You cannot change the channel now! Act now! Venchmen are standing by for your orders! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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dj1200 02/03/18 4:27:45 PM #37: |
AverageCEgal posted...
there is no statement that states how many cards total there are it is... UNSOLBABLE. --- "It was so ridiculous and I have so many feelings about it." -Virtual Energies ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ghettoraider81 02/03/18 4:32:16 PM #38: |
Mikablu posted...
AverageCEgal posted...there is no statement that states how many cards total there are No. There could be 2 identical cards out of 200. That breaks down to 1/100 but if cards are not replaced then the next pull would be 2/199. --- Win, lose, or tie Oakland Raiders til I die! WHY'S THE RUM GONE! S.M.O.K.E my anti sXe ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DocileOrangeCup 02/03/18 4:33:02 PM #39: |
Muffinz0rz posted...
If the cards are being replaced, then 1/100 --- https://i.imgtc.com/usDFlRA.jpg https://i.imgtc.com/GSrk8Nh.jpg https://i.imgtc.com/yo9VSX9.jpg https://i.imgtc.com/BnnNepT.jpg this space for rent (really) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kaname_Madoka 02/03/18 4:33:04 PM #40: |
shut the fuck up
its a 50/50 chance it either happens or it doesnt --- Drawn for me: Volkswagen_Bros, ShinobiNinjaX, Popcorn_Fairy + Nayr626. https://imgur.com/gallery/B4o8m League Summoner Name: DontIoseYourWay (the I is an i) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SophieLuvsTofu 02/03/18 4:37:39 PM #41: |
I'd say like 48/100.
Since the chances are 1/100 but you already went 99 times I'd say your chances are higher than a 1/100 from a fate perspective. But mathly speaking 1/100. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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kingdrake2 02/03/18 4:51:25 PM #42: |
those odd's remind me of the time i tried to farm a world of warcraft mount.
there's something that was called "Deathcharger's Reins" that had a 1% droprate from the final boss. took well over 297 times before it dropped i had some seriously bad luck. --- I'd hate to be that guy. he'll be dodging freak accidents for the rest of his life now. Final Destination rules - RickyTheBAWSE ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Paragon21XX 02/03/18 5:11:13 PM #43: |
If the cards are not replaced after each draw, then the chance that you won't draw it until the 100th try is 1%.
If the cards are replaced, then the chance that it won't be drawn until the 100th attempt is about 63%. But if it's already known that you failed to draw the card 99 times in a row, then the chances are 100% and 1% respectively. --- Hmm... ... Copied to Clipboard!
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