Lurker > LeonhartFour

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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 8:09:30 PM
#115
Huh, the Second Chance Contest is basically an Oracle Contest.

too bad I suck at the Oracle
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 8:09:02 PM
#150
oh man the Second Chance Contest is basically an Oracle Contest

time for the Crew to step up their game and dominate
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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 8:03:16 PM
#114
Augh, now I'm over 100 spots off the leaderboard.

No chance of making it now.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 8:01:21 PM
#436
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 8:00:45 PM
#434
UltimaterializerX posted...

Is there a way to check anything fun if BOTW = OOT?


Well, that's difficult because it relies on a lot of stuff being constant from 2015 and that clearly hasn't been the case!
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:58:56 PM
#146
transcience posted...
heres a retroactive hottest take - the Draven stuff was infinitely better than any of the Pokemon stuff


I feel like this is a no brainer. At least Draven was only once per round!
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:56:20 PM
#144
I wonder if I had given up on betting against Pokemon at that point! I know I had given up on Draven losing by then!
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:45:32 PM
#136
I mean I don't mind if you want to get some of my biggest misses too because I'm sure there are plenty of them!

but yeah I do miss the Brawl Fighting League
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:40:25 PM
#134
I feel like we gotta bring Melee vs. Brawl out of the archive since that was the big match from GOTD1 everyone was looking forward to!
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:33:11 PM
#428
transience posted...
here, I'll play. what does Shovel Knight = Cuphead look like?

or RDR1 = RDR2?


Shovel Knight = Cuphead:

Super Mario Odyssey - 50.00%
Persona 4 Golden - 35.72%
Red Dead Redemption - 35.13%
Grand Theft Auto V - 34.96%
Devil May Cry 5 28.69%
Shovel Knight 27.19%
Cuphead - 27.19%
Octopath Traveler 26.99%
Undertale 25.22%
Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze 24.44%
Dragons Dogma 19.36%
XCOM 2 - 17.62%
FTL: Faster Than Light - 15.88%
Ghost Trick: Phantom Detective - 14.85%
Baba Is You - 14.50%
Mortal Kombat 11 14.03%

RDR1 = RDR2:

Portal 2 50.00%
Persona 4 Golden - 47.31%
Red Dead Redemption - 46.52%
Red Dead Redemption 2 46.52%
Grand Theft Auto V - 46.30%
Animal Crossing: New Leaf 39.44%
Kingdom Hearts III 37.64%
Cuphead - 36.80%
Tomb Raider 34.71%
Street Fighter V 26.41%
Disco Elysium 24.04%
XCOM 2 - 23.34%
FTL: Faster Than Light - 21.03%
Ghost Trick: Phantom Detective - 19.66%
Baba Is You - 19.20%
Dying Light 17.31%
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:22:06 PM
#131
Yeah, there are some changes in bracket placement I would've made, but it's definitely been entertaining. At the very least, it's setting up some pretty good matches toward the end of the bracket, which is what you want.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:19:49 PM
#424
Okay, time for some X-Stat requests:

If BOTW triples DQXI:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 50.00%
Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age - 25.00%
Monster Hunter: World - 23.36%
Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice - 20.65%
Final Fantasy XV 19.76%
Bravely Default: Flying Fairy - 19.65%
Hollow Knight 19.59%
Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch - 17.11%
Halo: Reach 15.14%
The Outer Worlds 14.98%
Tales of Berseria 14.57%
Bastion - 14.05%
The Walking Dead: A Telltale Games Series - 13.42%
Life is Strange 13.28%
What Remains of Edith Finch 10.02%
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky SC - 9.67%

If FFXV = KH3 = FFXIV:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 50.00%
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim - 31.91%
Portal 2 - 26.25%
Mario Kart 8 - 24.92%
Red Dead Redemption - 24.42%
Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 20.71%
Uncharted 4: A Thief's End - 20.51%
Final Fantasy XV 19.76%
Kingdom Hearts III - 19.76%
Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn - 19.76%
Hollow Knight 19.59%
Tomb Raider - 18.22%
Journey - 15.97%
Halo: Reach 15.14%
The Outer Worlds 14.98%
Tales of Berseria 14.57%
Street Fighter V - 13.87%
Life is Strange 13.28%
Disco Elysium - 12.62%
Crypt of the NecroDancer - 11.25%
Fate/Grand Order - 10.79%
Subnautica - 10.21%
What Remains of Edith Finch 10.02%
Dying Light - 9.09%
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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:06:10 PM
#113
Made it up to August in Persona 4 Golden now! I've maxed Nanako and Dojima's S. Links, so I can focus on reading now (and the speed reading book comes out early in the month to make things easier too!). The Platinum is finally in sight!
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TopicThe Last of Us 2 Spoiler Topic (SPOILERS IN THIS TOPIC)
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 7:02:43 PM
#35
CaptainOfCrush posted...

eww people like JOEL???


the same people who think the ending is good
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 6:59:12 PM
#406
_SecretSquirrel posted...

Yeah, Mario Kart 64 is not taking down the top players in this contest. It might take down some of the weaker entries in the top 16, but if Goldeneye can't beat Skyrim (even with Skyrim losing a bit of luster, I don't think that result flips), I don't think think Mario Kart 64 can beat one of the top tier entrants in this contest like Dark Souls.


But it could probably get within 55/45 now.

I would like to see Mario Kart 64 get a legit chance to shine in a contest someday.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 12:09:28 PM
#274
UltimaterializerX posted...
Nier fans can call out Pokemon fans as being awful all day, but Pokemon fans arent resorting to nsfw cartoon porn to rally votes.


you act like this is beneath them

people who have Pokemon in their bracket might do it if Pokemon were actually in danger of losing
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TopicRecommend one game that lost in Round 3.
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 11:35:18 AM
#10
Super Mario Galaxy 2 is the best Nintendo game ever made.
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Topic* GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two *
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 11:27:03 AM
#81
COVID-19 has the most permutations oh no

they all depend on Dark Souls getting to the finals though so we're probably okay

...right?
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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 11:17:14 AM
#103
Finished up the Void Quest dungeon in Persona 4 Golden.

I like that they show you what happens when someone doesn't actually "face themselves." The Shadow just vanishes. It should also be your first big hint (along with the fact that the game keeps going...!) that Mitsuo isn't really the killer. I also like that Mitsuo's Shadow basically looks just like him. The boss fight is pretty fun, too, especially with the chiptune version of I'll Face Myself that they added in Golden.
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 11:11:59 AM
#114
TopicSuggestion for bonus polls during break: play-off matches against pre-2010 games
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 11:04:47 AM
#8
We shouldn't have bonus matches involving games that are still in the contest.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 10:49:39 AM
#263
MechanicalWall posted...
So what does Mk8 gets on MGSV if DkS = Skyrim


Currently, 53.64%
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 10:48:51 AM
#262
Edith Finch is at 10.02% on Breath of the Wild, so here's basically what Breath of the Wild needs on the top games for each division for the worst games in each division to finish below it:

Mass Effect 2 - 70.74%
Resident Evil 2 - 57.35%
Smash Ultimate - 66.53%
Mario Odyssey - 64.29%
Persona 4 Golden - 75.31%
Xenoblade - 76.77%
Witcher 3 - 50.15%
God of War - 66.78%
Persona 5 - 64.27%
Portal 2 - 71.06%
Dark Souls - 64.69%
The Last of Us - 72.40%
Skyrim - 68.69%
Pokemon - 72.23%

So if I had to guess, dead last in the X-Stats will probably be INSIDE or Return of the Obra Dinn. It would largely depend on how much stronger Witcher 3 is than RE2. Witcher 3 would have to get at least 57.52% on RE2 for Obra Dinn > INSIDE, so it'll be tight!
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 10:40:47 AM
#260
MechanicalWall posted...
that's only if you back MK8 over MGSV by a decent margin...


And I do! I think MGSV vs. Uncharted 4 is more debatable than MGSV vs. Mario Kart 8.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 10:39:47 AM
#259
The quest for dead last in the X-Stats!

For Division 1: Breath of the Wild needs at least 74.08% on Dragon Quest XI for Trails in the Sky SC to finish last for the division; otherwise, it's What Remains of Edith Finch

For Division 2: Resident Evil 2 needs at least 65.45% on Mass Effect 2 for Fortnite to finish last; otherwise, it's INSIDE

For Division 3: Super Mario Odyssey needs at least 53.14% on Smash Ultimate for Dota 2 to finish last; otherwise it's Mortal Kombat 11

For Division 4: Persona 4 Golden needs at least 52.97% on Xenoblade for Splatoon 2 to finish last; otherwise, it's Baba Is You

For Division 5: The Witcher 3 needs at least 66.68% on God of War for The Talos Principle to finish last; otherwise it's Return of the Obra Dinn

For Division 6: Persona 5 needs at least 59.50% on Portal 2 for Dying Light to finish last; otherwise it's Slay the Spire

For Division 7: Dark Souls needs at least 60.91% on The Last of Us for Crusader Kings II to finish last; otherwise it's The Witness

For Division 8 (at the moment): Skyrim needs at least 55.65% on Pokemon for Night in the Woods to finish last; otherwise it's Subnautica
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TopicThe Outer Worlds? More like The OWNEDer Worlds
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 10:11:31 AM
#54
Metal Gear Solid V? More like Metal Gear SOWNEDlid V

Batman: Arkham City? More like Batman: ArkOWNED City

Mario Kart 8? More like MariOWNED Kart 8

NieR: Automata? More like NieR: OWNEDomata
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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 10:08:32 AM
#102
TopicThe Zen Contest Highlights 2: a hate in time
LeonhartFour
04/27/20 10:07:19 AM
#10
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 10:20:50 PM
#199
5 minute X-Stats (two hours late):

The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 50.00%
Mario Kart 8 46.95%
Uncharted 4: A Thiefs End 38.64%
Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn 37.22%
Journey 25.02%
Crypt of the NecroDancer 21.19%
Fate/Grand Order 16.91%
Subnautica 16.00%

Pokemon HeartGold/SoulSilver Version 50.00%
NieR: Automata 46.95%
Bayonetta 2 29.66%
Divinity: Original Sin II 29.36%
Rayman Legends 28.03%
Celeste 27.78%
Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft 18.08%
Night in the Woods 18.04%

Hearthstone might not even end up being the weakest game in its own eightpack!
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 10:15:11 PM
#196
Trend charts:

Time | Souls | MGSV | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 64.54% | 35.46% | 471 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 64.91% | 35.09% | 3192 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 64.28% | 35.72% | 8206 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 62.62% | 37.38% | 3384 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 61.16% | 38.84% | 4856 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 63.13% | 36.87% | 4719 | (17:00-24:00)

MGSV does best during the European timeframe.

Time | Batman | TLOU | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 51.81% | 48.19% | 469 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 46.96% | 53.04% | 3194 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 45.16% | 54.84% | 8204 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 43.50% | 56.50% | 3384 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 43.50% | 56.50% | 4857 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 44.78% | 55.22% | 4719 | (17:00-24:00)

What a strange early vote.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 10:12:07 PM
#194
Division 7 X-Stats:

Dark Souls 50.00%
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain 36.71%
Yakuza 0 31.39%
Rocket League 22.66%
Dragon Ball FighterZ 21.91%
Dead Cells 20.18%
Hotline Miami 17.01%
The Witness 14.19%

The Last of Us 50.00%
Batman: Arkham City 44.76%
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 40.77%
Diablo III 36.72%
BioShock Infinite 35.97%
Terraria 23.26%
Zero Escape: Virtues Last Reward 22.76%
Crusader Kings II 18.15%

so who's picking Diablo III > BioShock Infinite pre-contest
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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 1:54:11 PM
#83
oh dang looks like either me or Kleenex is getting axed from the Guru today depending on the Pokemon/Automata outcome
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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 1:45:38 PM
#82
Yeah, I have no interest in hard mode based on what I've heard.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1353
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 10:15:25 AM
#385
LinkMarioSamus posted...


I'd expect MGSV to at least push for a 60-40. Oh wait no that would mean KH3 is weaker than Yakuza 0, though I wouldn't be surprised if that was the case.


I would be.
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 10:15:02 AM
#69
oh I'm not saying TLOU has a chance to beat Dark Souls next round

but it's probably more like 55/45 than 60/40

I'm just not sold on Dark Souls being a Skyrim killer
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TopicAce Attorney Investigations 2 beated (spoilers)
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 10:12:21 AM
#29
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1353
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 10:09:10 AM
#381
what does MGSV get on KH3

because that's basically what Dark Souls would get on Portal 2 and I don't think I'd expect MGSV to win by a lot
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LeonhartFour
04/26/20 10:07:36 AM
#67
oh hey made it to third place!

but yeah this is a nice recovery for TLOU after that rough start

hopefully we can slow our roll on Dark Souls a bit now that this performance basically mirrors Portal 2/KH3
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TopicThe Zen Contest Highlights - A Curated Collection of Screencapped Crap
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 11:04:00 PM
#472
the one thing I do miss is random people coming to complain every time a Rockstar game or character loses
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TopicThe Zen Contest Highlights - A Curated Collection of Screencapped Crap
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 10:58:13 PM
#470
it's like these people never visit the front page

and they probably don't

SBAllen needs to find ways to engage people better!
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TopicThe Zen Contest Highlights - A Curated Collection of Screencapped Crap
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 10:29:11 PM
#463
Dark Souls would get manhandled by MGS3 and I'd like to see that. I agree with him on that.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1353
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 10:23:19 PM
#366
CaptainOfCrush posted...
Also, I'd take Mario Kart 8 over MGS5 no question, so a doubling would at least reestablish it as the favorite against Dark Souls.

(but it's not getting a doubling lol)


well that's what the question was!
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1353
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 10:22:39 PM
#365
Galaxy 2 should beat MK8 fairly easily even before SFF.

How good is 60% on Uncharted 4 and FFXIV, really? We know they're both for sure weaker than FFXV, which isn't even at 20% on BOTW.
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TopicThe Zen Contest Highlights - A Curated Collection of Screencapped Crap
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 10:20:46 PM
#461
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1353
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 10:18:33 PM
#361
KamikazePotato posted...
So how well does Skyrim have to go against MK8 for people to consider it the favorite against Witcher 3 and Dark Souls?


Doubling bare minimum.
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Topic* GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two *
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 9:14:29 PM
#43
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1353
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 9:03:39 PM
#319
being from the same company doesn't necessarily mean they SFF each other
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TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 3
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 8:54:22 PM
#312
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim - 67.11%
NieR: Automata - 53.44%
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1353
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 8:50:26 PM
#310
MetalmindStats posted...
Ah yes, because one SFF match and one match that puts Nier on par with Suikoden II represent amazing results, don't you know?

There's also no grounds to call HGSS's results to date amazing because we have no gauge on anything it's beaten, but at least it might be a hidden beast after all.


how good is 73% on Celeste really
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1353
LeonhartFour
04/25/20 8:49:45 PM
#309
Trend charts:

Time | Persona 5 | Sonic | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 68.86% | 31.14% | 517 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 68.28% | 31.72% | 3502 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 68.81% | 31.19% | 8303 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 68.63% | 31.37% | 3567 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 67.36% | 32.64% | 5013 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 65.99% | 34.01% | 4714 | (17:00-24:00)

Odd time for the Sonic day vote to show up.

Time | Portal 2 | RDR2 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 55.90% | 44.10% | 517 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 53.74% | 46.26% | 3502 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 53.86% | 46.14% | 8303 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 52.73% | 47.27% | 3567 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 52.40% | 47.60% | 5013 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 54.31% | 45.69% | 4714 | (17:00-24:00)

RDR2 does better during Europe's strongest times, but Portal 2 does better with the day vote.
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