Lurker > pyresword

+ Ar Tonelico: Melody of Elemia | EXEC_PAJA/.#Orica extracting. | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FxDhCyalpRE
+ Nier | Kaine ~ Salvation | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=viDKam_hmGM
+ League of Legends | Kindred, the Eternal Hunters | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aB_DbCpFvHA
+ Utawarerumono: Zan | Fuantei na Kamisama Extreme Version | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3iT730ZG214
+ Xenoblade Chronicles X | z5m20i12r04a28 | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KzCoX2ctkU
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Dammit Nicholas Cage.
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Oh woops. Putting Advokaiser in my sig like this until I think of something more clever

I will be there...eventually.
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Emeraldegg posted...

What is meant by "active" in this case? Is it cause the white rooks are kind of locked in more by their own other pieces? Does a player typically want their rooks in the same column?

Yeah "active" just means free to move around the board, and in this case I'm saying white's rooks aren't as active because he's got other pieces in the way.

I'd say a lot of times connected rooks is good, but mostly because it provides you with an avenue by which to easily activate your rooks and infiltrate the opponent's position while making it harder to challenge them. Incidentally though, I put this position into a computer and one of its top choices is Re8, which is not a move I totally see the appeal of. It controls both open files, but it's not super clear to me that that is worthwhile.
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Yeah to be clear about one thing: I said the position was "probably drawn", but I do think black is clearly the one fighting for a win whereas white is fighting to maintain a draw.
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transcience posted...

black is winning here because its pawns are connected and can protect each other. at first glance, black can play c3, d4 and protect with the rook/play Nc6 to defend the base point. the rooks can pick off those pawns and itll be over soon thereafter. you can see moves like Rg2 causing huge problems for white, locking down his pieces to defend threats everywhere.

Can black hold onto the pawns if white responds to c3 by playing d4 himself? I didn't look to closely at it but this seemed sketchy to me.

If there is a way for black to hold the pawns here this is probably the best plan

Edit: No I don't really think he can because playing d4 also immediately threatens Rxc3 and I don't think there's a way to stop it.
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Tag. Speaking in general I play quite a bit of chess. Not so much over-the-board, but I've got probably thousands of games online through the years. Current username is Estelle_Bright on lichess. (For those that don't know, lichess.org is free and easy site to play chess on that has people of all skill levels up to and including top grandmasters. Chess24 and chess.com I believe are also good but I don't have experience with those myself)

I'm not great at rook endgames but I'll try and offer my thoughts about this position.

- I feel like black has a stronger position here because rooks are already aligned and pawns are more consolidated. Is that a valid take?

This looks like a position that should be drawn but I'd probably favor black if anything. The main benefits I see are that for the moment black has more active rooks and a better pawn structure (isolated pawns=bad as a general rule), though for various reasons I think in this specific position they don't generate as much concrete advantage as they typically do. In particular, the d3 pawn is ready to undermine blacks pawn majority and allow white to connect his rooks in the process

- Most "obvious" move that jumps out to my instinctive play is rook to g1. Then white either trades rooks, pinning its knight, or moves rook to d2, also pinning its knight.

There's a few different plans I see here and it's not immediately obvious to me which is best (I'm not good at rook endgames...), but here's my thoughts

--Rg1 does look reasonable. It trades off white's good rook (though I would probably respond Kc2 as white) and for the moment leaves white's knight passive if he accepts the trade. However, I think it also might be that black wants to maximize the value of having 2 active rooks while he has the chance, and trading now might lead the game more straightforwardly into a draw.

--I can see some merit to Rg2 and immediately start threatening his pawns. Black can also defend his weaker backward pawns with R8g5, so actually because of that I'm thinking this might be my favored move. My main worry for black is being able to hold onto these pawns that are behind other pawns and far from his king, but once I found this Rg5 idea it makes me a lot more comfortable with this plan and black's position in general.

--Another thing I'm thinking about is trying to get black's king and knight into the game and provide more defense of the d5 and b6 pawns, so something like Kc7 or Nd7/Nd6. I feel like black might have the opportunity to immediately exploit his stronger rooks though with one of the other options.

- White's D pawn...I'm kind of fine with it being in the D file because it's inhibiting the white rooks in a way. Does that stance make sense?

Generally yes, but in this position white's probably going to trade it off pretty quickly anyways. (Side note: Putting rooks behind passed pawns is very strong and is not something you should be happy about, but this is not a passed pawn so that doesn't matter)
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Jakyl25 posted...

Whats the count for both

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html

From April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010, CDC estimated there were 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304 hospitalizations (range: 195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths (range: 8868-18,306) in the United States due to the (H1N1)pdm09 virus

Of course I'm assuming he's talking specifically about the H1N1 pandemic in 2009, but there are other strains of H1N1 (notably the Spanish Flu was H1N1 which the CDC estimates as having killed 675,000 in the US), and also even the 2009 strain I believe still circulates today--it's just that we have a vaccine and treatment now
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HeroDelTiempo17 posted...

That's not a silver lining, that would be making it way more easily spreadable. <_<

We're already in a regime where estimates are that 1/5 to 1/2 of the population is going to get it so I think the low mortality rate would be a net benefit, in this case.
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LordoftheMorons posted...

Well were not even talking about deaths. Youre not going to die without severe symptoms, and it typically doesnt take many weeks to become symptomatic. Im extremely curious how theyre estimating that 1% of the population has it.

Make what you will of this article but it sounds like a pretty sketchy estimate to me. Probably better is to check out the CDC report they cite if you can find it but I don't have the time to do that now.

https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/continuing-coverage/coronavirus/ohio-department-of-health-says-100-000-ohioans-are-carrying-coronavirus

"We know now, just the fact of community spread says that at least 1%, at the very least 1% of our population is carrying this virus in Ohio today," said Dr. Amy Acton, Director of ODH. "We have 11.7 million people."

"Whenever you know of 2 people that have it due to community spread, then you can assume that 1% of your population has it," said ODH Press Secretary Melanie Amato, citing a 2017 Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report from the CDC.

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LordoftheMorons posted...

Apparently the Ohio department of health thinks that there are more than 100,000 people in the state with the coronavirus. There are currently 5 confirmed cases in the state and "dozens" of suspected cases.

There is no way that estimate is possibly true. You would have way more people with severe symptoms.

Hmmm, taking this another way...

If their reasoning that 1% of the population must have the disease is accurate, I suppose what this would necessarily imply is that the virus has far more mild or asymptomatic cases than anybody realizes, which would be some silver lining.

Personally I'm still going with the "estimate is way off" hypothesis though.
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LordoftheMorons posted...

Apparently the Ohio department of health thinks that there are more than 100,000 people in the state with the coronavirus. There are currently 5 confirmed cases in the state and "dozens" of suspected cases.

There is no way that estimate is possibly true. You would have way more people with severe symptoms.

There's almost certainly significantly more than 5 people infected, but yeah I don't think I buy a number quite that high either, especially because the only evidence given in the article I found is that 2 of the cases didn't have a known source. (ie. community spread)

But, Ohio didn't really start testing in significant quantities until last weekend so I think it could easily be that it's spreading in places they're unaware of.
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LordoftheMorons posted...

Uhh....

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1238190610223370241

Being tested for disease would be a sign of weakness. Image matters a lot for people like Trump.

It's also probably a lie though.

Edit: Probably worded this poorly. "Image" on some level matters a lot to every leader, but I'm saying Trump specifically cares about projecting an image that shows no form of weakness or hesitation.
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I don't know what other states are doing, but I will say I've been pretty happy with the Ohio response, especially given how early it is relative to the number of cases identified so far (5 as of today).

It did take them a long time to get access to the test, but I'm not sure how at fault Ohio is for that.
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HeroDelTiempo17 posted...

https://twitter.com/AnaCabrera/status/1238126303238410243?s=19

cool

Let's wait and see how many people die first so we can figure out how to spend as little possible.
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LordoftheMorons posted...

the federal government will have to

I have some bad news for you.
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I'm reading that Harvard not only transitioned to online classes, but is kicking its students out of the dorms, which seems pretty fucked up to me.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/10/harvard-gives-students-5-days-to-evacuate-dorms-over-coronavirus-fears.html
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I don't know what type of anime you are looking for, but I think The Promised Neverland is very good and also has relatively broad appeal.

I'm also a huge fan of the Trails series, if you're into that type of long, story/dialogue-heavy experience
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NFUN posted...

In the grand scheme of things, I prefer a plot of mass-manipulation of a society with their fingers in every pie

I don't think I particularly feel the same way here, but then again I have somewhat mixed feelings on Ouroboros's role in the series in general.
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plasmabeam posted...

So basically it's weaponized hypnotism?

I think it's explicitly described this way at some point, but that's my understanding either way.

plasmabeam posted...

I still think it cheapens their actions.

Yeah I mean this is a fair reaction. I'm just pushing back on the idea that they've created a villain who can convert anyone he wants into a mindless pawn.
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Wonder if Trump has thought of the idea to cancel the 2020 election on the basis that it's too dangerous to allow such large gatherings of people at the ballot box in the midst of a pandemic.
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LordoftheMorons posted...

I saw that Harvard joined Stanford, Berkeley, and Amherst in switching to online lectures (Im sure there are other colleges I havent heard about too); good on all of them.

Ohio State just announced yesterday they are doing this. My department also cancelled their grad recruiting open house for prospective students which was scheduled for later in the month, and I'd imagine other departments are taking similar actions.
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I think the text makes it pretty unambiguous that the characters are responsible for their own actions. Weissman's mind control can only get people to do things they had an inclination to do anyways, and if I remember everyone or almost everyone acknowledges after the fact that their actions are their own fault.
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All other things being equal, you should play Zero/Ao before Cold Steel. I don't think it's a particularly big deal either way, but I also think the answer is pretty clear.
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Made in Abyss movie tickets pre-ordered.

Subarashii.
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Oh no it's in my state now.
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I keep telling myself I'm going to go over my bracket picks again and put actual thought into them, but then I never do.
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What has Trump actually done to influence US policy as it relates to the disease? Asking mostly out of ignorance.

edit: Or more to the point what even is the US strategy here? I've been following my state health department but haven't really been monitoring the national-level response.
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I don't know exactly what we're talking about, but I believe current estimates are that only something like 1% of infections are truly asymptomatic. Also the main way the virus spreads is by people coughing so it would seem people without a cough aren't infecting nearly as many people anyways.

Of course, I'm sure that a major vehicle for the disease to spread is through people who develop light symptoms or are in the early phases of the infection and don't yet realize they need to see a doctor, and that's effectively nearly the same thing.

But, I don't think this is a disease where the number of carriers of the disease is double the number of people showing symptoms, or something like that.
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Fumino route is the only one that matters anyway.
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I like steelchambers2. Very exciting and fun.

Probably finishes near the middle if I made a ranking list of retirees, but I do appreciate that it was one of the only good ones from last year.
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I'm not trying to make a genuine argument that Biden's healthcare proposal is better than Bernie's, which would be outside the expertise level of anyone in this topic outside of maybe Raiden. (And if forced to choose I would go with Bernie's)

What I'm trying to establish is that "not taking away people's health insurance" is a good thing, which is a proof-by-example that Biden does have benefits which are unique to him among the remaining 2 Democratic candidates with a realistic chance.

Of course, this topic (and myself) would claim that the real world has trade-offs and that the overall effect of Bernie's plan is likely to be better, but that's fundamentally not the point I'm trying to argue.
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Biden is proposing to expand health insurance coverage without taking away coverage people are already happy with.

This is a good thing which Sanders is not doing.
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Well, whether he really is electable or not in the general is another question--however I don't think "electability" is the only thing or even a major factor in driving his current success though.
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I really don't buy the theory that Biden is some false electability bubble being artificially propped up simply because I think the bubble would already have burst after his poor showing in the first couple primaries.
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red sox 777 posted...

It's coarse but frankly, loads of people say way worse things here on a daily basis. I've been called "not a real person" by multiple people recently, for instance.

This is just a factual statement. 90% of the things you post here don't represent your actual beliefs, as a guess.
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Trails SC best video game.
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Well I guess you're right from that perspective.

But like say if I were to insert Karol into the Symphonia cast, I might even rank him 3rd among that list of characters.
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NBIceman posted...

So for a good portion of part 3, hes just kind of there

I mean, if my memory is correct this should probably be a running theme in the Vesperia writeups.

I do like Karol but he'd probably only rank 4th or 5th if I were to rank the Vesperia characters? (not counting the PS3 character or whatever) Game has a really solid cast imo.
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Totally skipped over that part of the opening post I will send something tonight.
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profDEADPOOL posted...

Oh shit does that actually have a translation now? I need.

Well, the first one does. The other two are coming later this year.
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Speaking of yuri I just ordered the first light novel for the Bloom Into You Sayaka spin-off and am very excited.

More yuri always good.
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Oh wait Asbel is the protagonist of Graces. I'm dumb but the comment is still true.
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I think there's only one character in the series I ever controlled in combat who wasn't the main character. (Eleanor)
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LeonhartFour posted...

This is what I've become where my preferred birthday present is just to do nothing.

This has been me for essentially all of my adult life tbh
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I mean, yes. I think the result of the elections is due to Democratic voters rejecting Bernie's policies and ideas.
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"If you're passionate, then you can still vote" is not a valid argument against youth voter suppression and if anything would implicitly argue for that case.
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Corrik7 posted...

To increase... Youth turnout??? How? I would like to know why that being a holiday is more likely to make the young vote.

The hypothesis is that a significant factor in youths not voting is that they are under too much pressure to work that they don't have the time to vote. (Or feel that they don't)
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On a separate note, has there ever been much debate at the national stage on the idea of making voting day a federal holiday? That seems like a good way to dramatically increase youth turnout.
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Still waiting on concrete statements of what the DNC has done that is not kosher.

I expect I'll be waiting quite a while.
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