| Board List | |
|---|---|
| Topic | [VGMC] Video Game Music Contest Topic 4 -- Results and Discussion |
| azuarc 05/08/20 11:33:47 PM #330 | I wasn't the one who counted the last votes. Tell lefty or deo or whoever it was. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | The Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc! |
| azuarc 05/08/20 11:31:35 PM #38 | transience posted... I got talked about, huh? maybe I'll tune in for the first time in a number of years. It's right at the beginning. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] Video Game Music Contest Topic 4 -- Results and Discussion |
| azuarc 05/08/20 11:29:34 PM #328 | Results, day 40: Ar-ciel Ar-manaf < Credits, 17-25 Dungeon - Geofront 4 > Moonlight Concert, 29-13 Douwa Kairou > Emil/Karma, 27-15 Ar Nosurge lost because we gave it too much credit. The Liar Princess and the Blind Prince lost because it couldn't bluff its way through this one. Nier lost because it deserved it. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] d41: Beach vs Giant's Cry, Rainbow Road vs Grimoire of Alice |
| azuarc 05/08/20 9:55:02 PM #1 | D1. Wildcard. Pick.
Vote
Links: Contest info - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VNrPnFRI7nJ4PqFiURBW0NWqxvXiuasoq8Sn_O169ss/edit#gid=320804650 Bracket - http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=473292 Discussion and results thread - https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78524521 Bracket playlist - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLW9O9mntH1REnVI_W6yELaDP6Zac8b0Wq ToC playlist - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLW9O9mntH1RE-TQMj19D0k5nm-0zeH12J VGMC compability sheet - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lpX4faqnn_geI0y4i6MrZ2AXpV6SWXoWrIA6_eyx-yM/edit Rules: - Listen to both of the songs. Links have conveniently been provided for both songs. Even if Song A is your favorite of all-time and Song B is from a series you hate... Listen. To. Both. (If I have suspicions your vote is not based on a fair and impartial preference, it will be disqualified.) - Obvious contest rules apply (no alts, one vote per person, no rallying, etc.). - Please make your voting options clear, rather than burying them in text. - Each set of matches lasts 24 hours, even if the new one isnt up by then. (Matches do not begin until at least 10:00 EDT.) - Always vote on the versions of the song provided, not versions from different sources. - If you know ahead of time that you're not going to be around and you want to vote in advance, post your choices in the discussion/bracket topic. - Please do NOT post tallies/score updates in the middle of the match, as this has a tendency to directly influence matches. - You don't have to vote in all the matches, but it'd be cool if you did! . Match 1 Plok! - A Line In The Sand https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mVDFz3xBplI La-Mulana - Giant's Cry https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jB97J5YAbIM Match 2 Super Mario Kart - Rainbow Road https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A-ASMWpeUfI Touhou 5: Mystic Square - The Grimoire of Alice https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6B9umDBE-78 Tournament of Champions bonus match Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Which game was stronger indirectly: Smash Ultimate or Mario Odyssey? |
| azuarc 05/08/20 3:59:40 PM #11 | No option for them being basically equal? --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | The Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc! |
| azuarc 05/08/20 2:50:23 PM #8 | ZeldaTPLink posted... You can't top the barrage of bad predictions I made in the last episode,either! Don't underestimate me! --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | The Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc! |
| azuarc 05/08/20 2:33:16 PM #3 | Oh hey, I forgot how much I hate listening to my own voice. I'm not a stats topic guy, so I'm sure I had a few wild takes, but hopefully I didn't make too big a fool of myself. I had a blast talking to Ng and Yo all night. And if you're wondering about the myriad of pronunciations during the episode, say "cashew bark" before trying to say my name and you'll probably get it right. Thanks once again to you guys, and go vote in VGMC. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] d40: Ar-ciel Ar-manaf vs maimai Credits, Geofront 4 vs Moonlight Concert |
| azuarc 05/08/20 1:27:10 PM #30 | Ar-ciel Ar-manaf Dungeon - Geofront 4 Douwa Kairou --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two * |
| azuarc 05/07/20 10:09:01 PM #303 | I actually just compiled this list for myself, too, except I cut out a bunch of permutations where ME2 or XBC wins another match. https://imgur.com/EFiZKxL --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] Video Game Music Contest Topic 4 -- Results and Discussion |
| azuarc 05/07/20 10:05:13 PM #319 | Results, day 39: The Apex of the World (Rain) > Onboro, 24-22 Variations on a Ra Melody > Arcade Menu, 30-17 Dark Legacy > 1NF3S+@+!0N (Theme of Crabulon), 30-17 The Caligula Effect lost because it fiddled while the contest burned...then remembered that was a different emperor. GTI Club Supermini Festa lost because it was sent on a magical chase. Terraria Calamity Mod lost because it couldn't crab away in time. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] d40: Ar-ciel Ar-manaf vs maimai Credits, Geofront 4 vs Moonlight Concert |
| azuarc 05/07/20 10:00:02 PM #1 | Wild card preference in C4?
Vote
Links: Contest info - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VNrPnFRI7nJ4PqFiURBW0NWqxvXiuasoq8Sn_O169ss/edit#gid=320804650 Bracket - http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=473292 Discussion and results thread - https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78524521 Bracket playlist - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLW9O9mntH1REnVI_W6yELaDP6Zac8b0Wq ToC playlist - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLW9O9mntH1RE-TQMj19D0k5nm-0zeH12J VGMC compability sheet - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lpX4faqnn_geI0y4i6MrZ2AXpV6SWXoWrIA6_eyx-yM/edit Rules: - Listen to both of the songs. Links have conveniently been provided for both songs. Even if Song A is your favorite of all-time and Song B is from a series you hate... Listen. To. Both. (If I have suspicions your vote is not based on a fair and impartial preference, it will be disqualified.) - Obvious contest rules apply (no alts, one vote per person, no rallying, etc.). - Please make your voting options clear, rather than burying them in text. - Each set of matches lasts 24 hours, even if the new one isnt up by then. (Matches do not begin until at least 10:00 EDT.) - Always vote on the versions of the song provided, not versions from different sources. - If you know ahead of time that you're not going to be around and you want to vote in advance, post your choices in the discussion/bracket topic. - Please do NOT post tallies/score updates in the middle of the match, as this has a tendency to directly influence matches. - You don't have to vote in all the matches, but it'd be cool if you did! . Match 1 Ar nosurge - Ar-ciel Ar-manaf https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-Mt2OFEMII maimai MiLK - Credits https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Z6gGfplhpk Match 2 Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet - Dungeon - Geofront 4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tOsekzHN5m0 The Liar Princess and the Blind Prince - Moonlight Concert https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9UzERUD2Zs Tournament of |
| Topic | Bravely Default or Octopath Traveler |
| azuarc 05/07/20 6:30:32 PM #11 | Haven't played either, but BDFF has better music. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two * |
| azuarc 05/07/20 6:29:19 PM #285 | CaptainOfCrush posted... No offense, azuarc, but I gotta rep my boy Of course. Let's see Skyrim against Pokemon before we start drawing conclusions. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] d39: Apex of World vs Onboro, Variations on Ra vs Arcade Menu |
| azuarc 05/07/20 6:23:52 PM #37 | Apex Variations 1NF3S+@+!0N Not super decided on the third match, but I --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Wifebolo plays Ace Attorney Trilogy [progressive spoilers] |
| azuarc 05/07/20 1:38:14 PM #28 | SeabassDebeste posted... investigating with maya for the first time is also great What's the difference? Stop judging things based on narrow-minded cultural assumptions. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two * |
| azuarc 05/07/20 1:36:05 PM #266 | Advokaiser posted... I can't believe I have to rely on a draugr game to stay alive. FTFY. =) And yes, I understood the elimination(s) up above just fine. Just seemed odd to not simply claim Jona was eliminated by the people eliminating me, but I don't know how NewerShadow is running his reports. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Wifebolo plays Ace Attorney Trilogy [progressive spoilers] |
| azuarc 05/07/20 12:58:04 PM #25 | 1-3 was the point where I broke down and used a guide because I couldn't figure out where to go during the investigations. It was just run back and forth across the entire studio 20 times until the game decides you've triggered the next event in the sequence. A shame, too, because once we broke that dam, it was hard to make myself not use a guide for everything else. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Mass Effect trilogy remastered rumoured to be in development. |
| azuarc 05/07/20 12:56:28 PM #34 | Clearly this was as a result of the petitions started on The Show. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | New Xenoblade DE trailer |
| azuarc 05/07/20 12:54:50 PM #7 | Grimlyn posted... *sees Xenoblade in the GotD quarterfinals* It did. It came out of one of the most unpredictable divisions, and not many people had it. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | I just realized, when was the last FPS/TPS where you fight dinosaurs? |
| azuarc 05/07/20 12:53:09 PM #6 | I dunno MHW counts, but if it does, it's a solid answer. Certainly no Turok games in ages. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Wifebolo plays Ace Attorney Trilogy [progressive spoilers] |
| azuarc 05/07/20 12:50:00 PM #23 | Just seeing this topic. I happen to also be playing through the original trilogy, but I'm in the third game right now. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two * |
| azuarc 05/07/20 10:12:12 AM #262 | NewerShadow posted... Elims for a Dark Souls+Pokemon HeartGold win: This is funny. Eliminated while eliminating, sure. And you know it's the end of the contest when 3 out of 4 possibilities knock you out of the bracket, and you aren't even super scared about it. Good luck, JONA. We knew it was coming down to this for a while now. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | When playing a big long RPG, do you bother getting the best equipment? |
| azuarc 05/07/20 9:28:10 AM #21 | LeonhartFour posted... so you're not a completionist I think it would be more accurate to say I'm not a masochist. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | yearly weightlifting topic |
| azuarc 05/06/20 11:41:04 PM #68 | Anagram posted... Bicep Curl 100-120 Either you're posting rep counts, or one of those is definitely a typo. There's no way you curl 120 and only squat 30. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | When playing a big long RPG, do you bother getting the best equipment? |
| azuarc 05/06/20 11:39:10 PM #5 | Hell freaking no. I get the things that are reasonable to get, I "mostly" complete the game, and I move on. I'm a completionist in the very broad sense, but I don't bother truly 100%'ing things with silly requirements. Oh, and I hate crafting systems. Fuck crafting. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | You know what's BULLSHIT? The word bimonthly |
| azuarc 05/06/20 11:34:36 PM #11 | For some reason, I saw this title and ready that word as bimothy. As in Timothy with a B. Twice a month is called biweekly. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | The Show EP 6 - Winning the Official $500 Oracle Challenge, w/ Nick and TPLink! |
| azuarc 05/06/20 10:11:18 PM #143 | 90th percentile in the second chance bracket right now is 139/200. Either there's a lot of people picking the matches wrong, or that's an average of 15% away from the actual results...for ninetieth percentile. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two * |
| azuarc 05/06/20 10:06:35 PM #254 | Poor Joely is 11th on the leaderboard, but is already knocked out of the guru. Guru has the top 4 spots locked down, as well as 8th and 9th. (5th and 10th are also B8'ers. I don't know of DarthStarKiller or Heroic_UB_40.) --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] Video Game Music Contest Topic 4 -- Results and Discussion |
| azuarc 05/06/20 10:01:12 PM #310 | Results, day 38: The Least 333sec > Battle! Uxie/Mesprit/Azelf, 27-20 The Ruined City Kishgal > Seto Kaiba, 28-17 steelchambers2 < New World Order, 21-24 Pokemon DPP lost because it tried to win the battle, and lost the war. Yu-Gi-Oh! Forbidden Memories lost because it triggered Ys VI's trap card. Pinball Fantasies lost because it couldn't handle CHiCO's vocals. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] d39: Apex of World vs Onboro, Variations on Ra vs Arcade Menu |
| azuarc 05/06/20 10:00:00 PM #1 | :crab:
Vote
Links: Contest info - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VNrPnFRI7nJ4PqFiURBW0NWqxvXiuasoq8Sn_O169ss/edit#gid=320804650 Bracket - http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=473292 Discussion and results thread - https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78524521 Bracket playlist - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLW9O9mntH1REnVI_W6yELaDP6Zac8b0Wq ToC playlist - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLW9O9mntH1RE-TQMj19D0k5nm-0zeH12J VGMC compability sheet - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lpX4faqnn_geI0y4i6MrZ2AXpV6SWXoWrIA6_eyx-yM/edit Rules: - Listen to both of the songs. Links have conveniently been provided for both songs. Even if Song A is your favorite of all-time and Song B is from a series you hate... Listen. To. Both. (If I have suspicions your vote is not based on a fair and impartial preference, it will be disqualified.) - Obvious contest rules apply (no alts, one vote per person, no rallying, etc.). - Please make your voting options clear, rather than burying them in text. - Each set of matches lasts 24 hours, even if the new one isnt up by then. (Matches do not begin until at least 10:00 EDT.) - Always vote on the versions of the song provided, not versions from different sources. - If you know ahead of time that you're not going to be around and you want to vote in advance, post your choices in the discussion/bracket topic. - Please do NOT post tallies/score updates in the middle of the match, as this has a tendency to directly influence matches. - You don't have to vote in all the matches, but it'd be cool if you did! . Match 1 Fire Emblem: Three Houses - The Apex of the World (Rain) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0KjljX4Lqg The Caligula Effect: Overdose - Onboro https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_N6f61cR7pI Match 2 Magical Chase - Variations on a Ra Melody https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8pZnrwOj4eA GTI Club: Supermini Festa! - Arcade Menu https://www.youtube.com/ |
| Topic | * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two * |
| azuarc 05/06/20 9:55:34 PM #253 | I'm not eliminated by GoW+Portal 2? I figure I'm done the moment Witcher loses. Must be one really bizarro path where God of War beats everything and simply nobody has it. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] d38: Least 333sec vs Battle! U/M/A, Ruined City Kishgal vs Seto Kaiba |
| azuarc 05/06/20 3:16:32 PM #38 | Least 333 Seto Kaiba New World Order Neither main bracket match excites me. Very blah four-pack. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | How many new games did you start playing thanks to this contest? |
| azuarc 05/06/20 1:26:53 PM #11 | 1, sort of. It wasn't really because of the contest, but it did happen during the bracket. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | If you can only play one video game series for the rest of your life... |
| azuarc 05/06/20 10:16:34 AM #37 | If saying Warcraft gets me both WoW and Hearthstone, that's a slam dunk pick. I'd also entertain Elder Scrolls/Fallout and Civilization. Basically, I'd want something with a ton of replayability, so either long-running RPGs or strategy games, or some kind of sports or sports-like game. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | yearly weightlifting topic |
| azuarc 05/06/20 2:32:39 AM #66 | crazyray47 posted... I dont know why this guy reminds me of ross from friends He looks a little like Schwimmer in the face, and maybe a pinch in the voice, but that's about the end of the resemblance. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | yearly weightlifting topic |
| azuarc 05/06/20 2:31:53 AM #65 | Convinced myself to at least do a few sets with my dumbbells today. All 20 pounds of 'em. A few OHP and a few doing a chest press while lying on my ottoman. Yeah, I definitely don't have the equipment for this. But tomorrow I'll do a "pull" day and do curls and rows, I guess. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Anyone ever have the MK64 rubberband randomly break? |
| azuarc 05/06/20 2:25:39 AM #9 | Once in a while, but I've never seen it beat times that are actually possible. Seems to happen most often on Bowser Castle, probably because BC is the level most likely to lead to you falling behind the lead AI. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] Video Game Music Contest Topic 4 -- Results and Discussion |
| azuarc 05/06/20 2:22:33 AM #308 | Arti posted... in this topic, azuarc struggles to understand the meaning of the number 8 Except it's not 8. It's VIII. Vee-ee-ee. Also, listen to The Show. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Hearthstone Topic #4: Where Illidan and Millhouse are top tier. |
| azuarc 05/06/20 2:20:34 AM #259 | Tried playing battlegrounds. Went 7th, 8th, 7th. I think I'll stop playing at 2 am from now on. The competition is always fiercer that time of the night. (Only one of those three can I blame myself for, and that was simply because I roped on an important turn.) --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] Video Game Music Contest Topic 4 -- Results and Discussion |
| azuarc 05/05/20 10:04:14 PM #298 | Results, day 37: Akeldama > Main Theme, 25-20 Celestial Resort (Good Karma Mix) > The Best Is Yet To Come, 29-16 Sunshine Coastline < Luna Ascension EX, 20-25 Eastern Mind: The Lost Souls of Tong Nou lost because it could not be resurrected. Metal Gear Solid lost as a harbinger of things to come. Ys 8 lost because wtf there isn't a single word in that title that I understand! What's an ees? And who is dana? --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] d38: Least 333sec vs Battle! U/M/A, Ruined City Kishgal vs Seto Kaiba |
| azuarc 05/05/20 9:59:58 PM #1 | 333 *seconds*? More like...
Vote
Links: Contest info - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VNrPnFRI7nJ4PqFiURBW0NWqxvXiuasoq8Sn_O169ss/edit#gid=320804650 Bracket - http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=473292 Discussion and results thread - https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78524521 Bracket playlist - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLW9O9mntH1REnVI_W6yELaDP6Zac8b0Wq ToC playlist - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLW9O9mntH1RE-TQMj19D0k5nm-0zeH12J VGMC compability sheet - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lpX4faqnn_geI0y4i6MrZ2AXpV6SWXoWrIA6_eyx-yM/edit Rules: - Listen to both of the songs. Links have conveniently been provided for both songs. Even if Song A is your favorite of all-time and Song B is from a series you hate... Listen. To. Both. (If I have suspicions your vote is not based on a fair and impartial preference, it will be disqualified.) - Obvious contest rules apply (no alts, one vote per person, no rallying, etc.). - Please make your voting options clear, rather than burying them in text. - Each set of matches lasts 24 hours, even if the new one isnt up by then. (Matches do not begin until at least 10:00 EDT.) - Always vote on the versions of the song provided, not versions from different sources. - If you know ahead of time that you're not going to be around and you want to vote in advance, post your choices in the discussion/bracket topic. - Please do NOT post tallies/score updates in the middle of the match, as this has a tendency to directly influence matches. - You don't have to vote in all the matches, but it'd be cool if you did! . Match 1 GUITARFREAKS 5thMIX & drummania 4thMIX - The Least 333sec https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SRAYSALtrqk Pokemon Diamond/Pearl/Platinum - Battle! Uxie/Mesprit/Azelf https://youtu.be/uD4zs_xaFBQ Match 2 Ys VI: The Ark of Napishtim - The Ruined City Kishgal https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mqn2sWsAGAI |
| Topic | Second Chance stats and results will go live tomorrow |
| azuarc 05/05/20 8:43:00 PM #13 | Thank you for letting us know. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two * |
| azuarc 05/05/20 8:40:50 PM #234 | I think it's a little circumspect that you can do everything else correct, but underestimate, say, Mario vs Smash and overestimate the strength of Skyrim, and torch more points than you could ever possibly make up by predicting every other upset in the contest. You just lost 8+16+16+32 from four wrong picks. Not only do you lose to someone who got singularly those matches correct, but you look terribly next to them, because you're at -72. They could literally miss over a third of rounds 1, 2, and 3 and still come out ahead of you. (That's 24+12+6=42 matches vs your 4.) I've always taken offense to this with March Madness brackets, too, though, and at least the "chip and a chair" mentality is a tiny pinch more likely there. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | in honor of ME2's final victory: who is your favorite squad member? |
| azuarc 05/05/20 8:33:06 PM #43 | Poll results do not surprise me. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | The Show EP 6 - Winning the Official $500 Oracle Challenge, w/ Nick and TPLink! |
| azuarc 05/05/20 8:19:58 PM #133 | wow, a lot of people at the top must have had RE2. I went from 50th to 29th. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | [VGMC] d37: Akeldama vs Tong Nou Main, Celestial Resort vs Best is Yet to Come |
| azuarc 05/05/20 8:13:24 PM #39 | Akeldama The Best is Yet to Come Luna Ascension The first two are easy and easy-ish. The third, I might feel differently tomorrow, but the sound in Luna Ascension is just a bit cleaner, and beyond that the two songs are very very similar. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Girl says her MOM has a CRUSH on her TEACHER!! Who's Hotter Daughter or Mom???? |
| azuarc 05/05/20 11:57:17 AM #5 | Vlado posted... lmfao, imagine voting for the old hag. They're basically the same person, except one has more mature features. I mean, I guess the mom has a few fine lines, but the only thing you're really voting for is the intellectual awareness that one of these people is 20 and the other is old enough to have a 20-year-old. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Probability question |
| azuarc 05/05/20 11:51:07 AM #10 | Tom Bombadil posted... I'd think the odds would be a smidge lower for "at least one person" since if I have four cards that don't match, that means there are four cards elsewhere that are automatically not gonna match, whereas if I had two pairs it wouldn't change anybody else's odds. I actually wrote out a big response to my own post, explaining how I concluded I was wrong and it needs to be XXX and YYY and all these conditional scenarios. But, ultimately, no. View it from each player's perspective individually. Unless you have information that the people dealt ahead of you have or do not have pairs, it doesn't actually matter what they have. You may as well have been the first person dealt. And the first person's likelihood is 12.62%. It's true that if you analyze it sequentially, the likelihood slides up and down based on what happened before, but there are enough eventualities in both directions that it equalizes. For an ultra-simplistic analogy, imagine there are 5 people choosing straws. The first person has a 1/5 chance of drawing the short straw. The second person has a 1/4 chance, but that's in the 4/5 of the time that the short straw is still there, so we multiply and get 1/5. The third person has a 1/3 chance, under the 3/5 of the time the short straw is still there. Still 1/5. Contrast that with the Monty Hall problem where your option to change selections is based on having more information than you had previously. From the players' perspective, nothing has changed the status quo from their initial deal. Therefore, I'm going to conclude that xp's reasoning is correct. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
| Topic | Probability question |
| azuarc 05/05/20 11:23:31 AM #6 | The probability a single person does not have a pair is (24C4*2^4)/48C4 = 10626*16/194580 = 87.38%. That agrees with xp's rendition. As for the "at least one person" version, it's slightly more complicated than the way xp put it because as you take cards from the deck without replacement, it narrows the options a bit for the others, but I would presume that his calculation is accurate enough for most purposes. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; |
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