Lurker > LusterSoldier

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 9:22:24 PM
#451
Legends and Loser Bracket, Round 3 and later

Link vs. Cloud Strife
Registered Vote Result:
Link - 5849 (61.27%)
Cloud Strife - 3697 (38.73%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Link - 6065 (59.11%)
Cloud Strife - 4196 (40.89%)

This is the first time Link has done better with registered users in this contest, around 2% better compared to the anonymous users.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 9:11:19 PM
#440
squexa posted...
Bonus polls I want to see:

Link/Zelda (assuming Zelda loses to Mario)
Tifa/Cloud
Ganon/Seph (Got Villains finals rematch, alternatively Bowser/Seph and Bowser/Ganon will be great as well)
Mega Man/Mega Man X (need to settle this debate)


My idea was for some bonus polls involving only Noble Niners that have never faced each other in a 1v1 match. That requirement limits the pool of potential matches to the following:

Cloud/Mega Man
Crono/Samus
Crono/Sephiroth
Mario/Sonic
Mega Man/Samus
Sephiroth/Sonic

Mario/Sonic is the obvious match that most people want. I'd also choose Crono/Sephiroth to get a better read on Sephiroth's strength (and how he compares to Cloud). Cloud/Mega Man could technically happen in the Loser bracket if everything goes right, so it could be removed from consideration if Mega Man beats Crono.

However, we would have to avoid using the same character in more than one match if we're going to run multiple matches at the same time.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 9:03:00 PM
#437
CaptainOfCrush posted...
Yuri_LowelI posted...
Back then Snake was the #2 on the site for sure.

There was never a time here when this applied to Snake.


Maybe in 2013, based on the Link/Snake bonus match. But it's hard to say if that bonus match really represented Snake's actual strength that year or if Snake was stronger than usual in that match due to his recent match against Draven.

But 2013 probably wouldn't have been a good year for Nintendo if that contest didn't get run over by rallies. 2013 was during a time when the site had soured on the Wii for a few years and the site wasn't in the mood to embrace the Wii U either. Nintendo's most popular characters probably would have been weaker that year based on the site's overall opinion of Nintendo at the time.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicIf It Were Up to Board 8 Legends Semis: Solid Snake vs. Samus Aran
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 8:28:21 PM
#21
Samus
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 8:20:54 PM
#409
@creativename

Okay, I think I have all of the match pictures for every match since the contest resumed after the Thanksgiving break.

I cannot fit all of the match picture URLs into a single post, but you can find all of them right here:

https://pastebin.com/GBMSd1e6
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 9 - Tifa Shocks Seph, GotY Announcement, Time to Retire Link? w/ KP
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 7:49:22 PM
#8
I'll download this right now, but I'll listen to it later tonight.

Zelda is currently in the process of possibly defeating a third Noble Niner, with even more blood possibly on her hands after Link sends her to the Loser bracket. Zelda could upset Samus in the Loser bracket, but it requires Samus to defeat Snake to avoid a rematch. Then Zelda gets a crack at Cloud if she makes it that far in Losers.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 7:37:13 PM
#387
Lopen posted...
Random note these vote totals are ass.

Everyone is playing Smash clearly.


I think the sucky vote totals aren't just limited to this match, because vote totals seemed to collapse during the previous match. We were actually on pace to surpass 30000 votes based on our vote totals at the 12 hour point. We were at 19798 votes after 12 hours, and still only finished at 29353 votes. That means 67.45% of our votes were submitted during the first 12 hours, which is unusually high. A normal match with the 7:00 PM EST start time gets roughly 63.50% of the total votes during the first 12 hours, so the last match was either frontloaded, or the vote totals collapsed during the second half.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 7:33:36 PM
#383
creativename posted...
Lopen posted...
I'd help you if I could but why would I of all people have pic links dude

Crap. I meant @LusterSoldier !

Damn L names.


Sure, I'll work on digging up those picture URLs.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 7:29:29 PM
#379
@creativename

We switch back to 2 matches per day starting tomorrow. Important poll IDs for the last few days of the contest:

7380 - Switch back to 2 matches per day
7384 - Switch back to 1 match per day
7387 - Final match of the contest
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 7:25:55 PM
#368
Totally forgot to post this yesterday:

Legends and Losers Bracket, Round 2

Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Solid Snake
Registered Vote Result:
Sonic the Hedgehog - 3941 (42.87%)
Solid Snake - 5252 (57.13%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Sonic the Hedgehog - 4117 (41.71%)
Solid Snake - 5753 (58.29%)

Samus Aran vs. Tifa Lockheart
Registered Vote Result:
Samus Aran - 5433 (59.09%)
Tifa Lockheart - 3762 (40.91%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Samus Aran - 5691 (57.65%)
Tifa Lockheart - 4181 (42.35%)

Snake actually did worse with registered users, which was a bit odd given MGS characters usually held up pretty well among registered users and Snake wasn't facing a true Nintendo character either.

Samus and Tifa both did worse with registered and anonymous users in the rematch compared to the original match.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub

I'll do Link/Cloud later tonight once the discussion from today's match slows down a bit.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 7:06:47 PM
#312
The early vote totals on this match are the lowest ever recorded during this entire contest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic* Character Battle X First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 7:02:26 PM
#159
4th vote, 1st for Mario
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 8:02:14 AM
#257
Based on our vote totals right now, we're on pace to break 30000 votes (probably will finish around 31000 votes). This would be our first match since the break to get above 30000 votes.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge - Losers Round 2 + Winners Round 3
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 6:35:12 AM
#171
Mario - 52.54%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 9
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 2:33:09 AM
#414
Interesting comparison for Snake/Samus and Zelda/Mario:

If Sephiroth = Sonic, Mario gets 52.02% on Snake

Some people have considered Sephiroth to be the weakest Noble Niner, but this comparison shows there isn't too much room for Sephiroth to be weaker than Sonic while making sure Mario is still stronger than Snake. This also has implications for Zelda/Mario as Snake/Zelda were pretty much equal. If Samus does outperform that projection, it would likely support the idea of rSFF in Samus/Mario.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 1:43:43 AM
#246
red sox 777 posted...
Alright, so it's 1:40, and Cloud is still not managing to cut percentage. I guess I was wrong that he would get a lot of it back. Would be nice if he could salvage 40% though.


Cloud did get his first lead cut at 1:05 AM, so he has gotten that out of the way.

We're not really far enough into the night vote for Cloud to be gaining percentage consistently. I wouldn't expect that to happen until 3:00 AM at the earliest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Battle Challenge [Round 3 and on Picks]
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 1:05:20 AM
#196
Remaining picks for Legends Round 3 and Losers Round 3:

Mario
Crono
Samus Aran
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew Guest Sign-ups
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 1:00:31 AM
#31
A new match has just opened up:

Zelda vs. Mario - spooky96

Mega Man vs. Crono - Luster Soldier
Solid Snake vs. Samus Aran -

As a reminder, Zelda/Mario will be a 1 match day, but then we switch back to 2 matches per day with Mega Man/Crono and Snake/Samus running at the same time.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 12:29:56 AM
#235
I imagine Skyward Sword has a chance of getting in just because it's a console Zelda and because the GotD field will be fairly weak on average.

The interesting thing about the next GotD is that we should see 4 mainline Pokemon games (BW, XY, SM, Gen 8) in the contest. The last GotD had GSC, RSE, and DPP in the bracket.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/07/18 12:13:07 AM
#226
Persona 5 was almost doubled by BotW in the 2017 GotY poll, but it should have a better playrate by the time we get to GotD, so it may be even stronger by then.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 11:51:06 PM
#222
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Other games likely to finish highly in the next GotD include Skyrim and Mass Effect 2. And...I honestly don't even know what the fourth member of our Final Four would be assuming the bracket is set up properly to get the four best games all alive then. Odyssey? Smash Ultimate?


The strongest games of 2010-2019 will probably be the following - BotW, SSBU, Skyrim, Mario Odyssey, Mass Effect 2, Kingdom Hearts III, Persona 5, The Witcher 3, Nier: Automata

In the case of KH3, it might be a little premature at this point to call it a strong game without the game coming out yet, but it has the potential of being a Top 10 game in the next GotD contest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic2018 Game Awards Show Discussion Topic (9:00 PM EST / 6:00 PM PST)
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 11:34:53 PM
#242
Pirateking2000 posted...
Joker (Persona 5) confirmed for Smash


If only this reveal happened much earlier, then he wouldn't have lost his match to Claire earlier in the contest.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic2018 Game Awards Show Discussion Topic (9:00 PM EST / 6:00 PM PST)
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 10:14:08 PM
#125
foolm0r0n posted...
Crash Team Racing remake looks very faithful, I'm hype


As long as the remake is able to maintain the original racing/weapon mechanics of the original game. It was pretty fun to fire bombs backwards to neutralize incoming missiles in the original game.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 9:26:18 PM
#206
@INTERWEBUSER posted...
DroneFAQs...Bored Of The Walking...yawn...


You seem to hate Nintendo. Can you confirm if you actually hate Nintendo?
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic2018 Game Awards Show Discussion Topic (9:00 PM EST / 6:00 PM PST)
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 9:01:29 PM
#38
This page lists all of the game award categories and the nominees for each category:

https://www.gamespot.com/articles/the-game-awards-nominees-time-and-stream/1100-6463220/
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 8:41:41 PM
#192
Even if this is the strongest Link we've ever seen, it might not even give Link his biggest ever win over Mario because his SFF powers have gotten much weaker. Link/Mario is usually 62-65% after SFF comes into play.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic2018 Game Awards Show Discussion Topic (9:00 PM EST / 6:00 PM PST)
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 8:31:46 PM
#12
2 other places to watch the Game Awards Show:

https://www.giantbomb.com/chat/
https://www.gamespot.com/videos/the-game-awards-2018-live/2300-6447555/

The Giant Bomb crew won't be talking over top the show like they normally do for the E3 press conferences.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 8:14:34 PM
#165
CaptainOfCrush posted...
I feel like BotW would still need to deal with the anti-modern bias inherent on GameFAQs, but it's probably the one game that could overcome it.


BotW is probably the one game that should have serious strength on this site. We've seen this poll after less than 3 months of BotW:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6722-

At that point, it was already very competitive against games like MM and WW, and solidly ahead of TP. It's possible BotW is being overrated in that poll due to being the newest game, but BotW at its worst shouldn't be expected to lose to TP in a direct match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicIf It Were Up to Board 8 Legends Semis: Link vs. Alucard
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 7:48:32 PM
#16
Alucard
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic* Character Battle X First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 7:31:38 PM
#157
1st vote, 1st for Cloud Strife

d7IIHFU
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 7:26:23 PM
#111
Based on Sonic/Snake and Sonic/Auron, Snake gets 61.20% on Auron. In the direct match, Snake got 61.48% on Auron.

So it appears that Snake/Auron were both equally affected by sprites and the pic disadvantage canceled each other out to give us a pretty normal looking Snake/Auron match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 9
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 7:13:15 PM
#370
LeonhartFour posted...
also for the record Sonic projects Snake to beat Zelda with 51.24%

runback time


Zelda had a sprite picture when she faced Sonic, and it appears that sprites hurt Zelda by about 1%.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 7:03:25 PM
#71
We have rotating match pictures today. Here are all of the match pictures I could find:

https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/link-f-squirrel-4.png
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/link-f-boss-4.png

https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/cloud-f-ulti-4.png
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/cloud-f-ulti-4a.png
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge - Losers Round 2 + Winners Round 3
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 6:59:47 PM
#164
Link - 58.81%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 6:52:43 PM
#59
CaptainOfCrush posted...
I'm willing to give Zelda the benefit of the doubt against Sonic and say that she underperformed slightly due to a bad picture mismatch. If she didn't - which suggests Snake might be a hair stronger indirectly and she just ripped some Nintendo support away from him - it suggests good things for her against Samus and possibly even Mario.


It does seem like Zelda underperformed slightly against Sonic. We've already seen that Snake/Zelda are pretty much equal, but Zelda did about 1% worse against Sonic than Snake did. Sprite pictures appear to have hurt Zelda, but the effect of sprites is roughly a 1% reduction.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topicred13n ranks all 74 Smash Ultimate Characters
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 6:44:39 PM
#286
Panthera posted...
I don't get the Decidueye hype, that thing looks like it just crawled out of a garbage dump and "kinda sorta does ghost arrow stuff" doesn't feel like it would fit as well as a Smash character as pro wrestler cat


The reason people wanted Decidueye more is because of the Pokemon fans. Where as Incineroar has a lot of haters from the Pokemon fanbase, Decidueye is easily the most popular Gen 7 starter within the Pokemon fanbase.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic2018 Game Awards Show Discussion Topic (9:00 PM EST / 6:00 PM PST)
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 6:40:00 PM
#1
Beginning at 9:00 PM EST tonight, the Game Awards Show will begin. In addition to the awards given out to games in a variety of different categories, there will also be game announcements. For some people, the game announcements may be even more interesting than the game awards that are given out tonight.

Links to watch the live stream of the Game Awards Show:


https://mixer.com/thegameawards
https://www.twitch.tv/thegameawards
https://player.twitch.tv/?channel=thegameawards

Other ways of watching the Game Awards:

https://thegameawards.com/how-to-watch/
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topicred13n ranks all 74 Smash Ultimate Characters
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 6:39:21 PM
#283
red13n posted...
#66: Lucina

Have I mentioned there are 4 of these things? Thats a bit much. Lucina is female Marth. There isn't a whole lot else to her as far as Smash is concerned(Yes, there are differences, no, I don't care). She is unlikely to be the last echo or clone hurt in this way here.


I'm fine with Lucina being a playable character. Prior to Lucina's addition to Smash, there were no female characters from Fire Emblem as playable characters yet.

red13n posted...
But Decidueye/Lycanroc/Zeraora were my dream and Incineroar crushed that dream.


I would have been fine with all of those over Incineroar.

NFUN posted...
also lycanroc and zeraora suck ass


Lycanroc would have been pretty good for the game, although Midnight Form is better suited for a playable character than Midday Form.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 9
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 6:27:51 PM
#352
transience posted...
Link should definitely go close to 60 on Cloud but there's just something about the Link/Cloud matchup that makes me pause before going that high.


Some of us thought Link would aim for mid to high 50s back in 2010 based on Cloud looking bad throughout the contest, but then Cloud manages to hold Link under 54% in the final.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge Discussion + Team Sign-Up Topic
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 8:39:47 AM
#492
Camden posted...
So, does everyone else taking Mega Man over Pikachu have a good reason for doing so, or is everyone like me and doing it even though there's no real reason to expect a different outcome?


Pikachu got a rally in the first match, so I picked Mega Man thinking the rally wouldn't show up a second time.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicZelda > Mario?
LusterSoldier
12/06/18 12:30:32 AM
#33
MZero11 posted...
Zelda would do worse against Link than Mario would

Hell she might get SFFed worse than Ganon. She'll have a better perecentage but it might be a bigger underperformance


Zelda won't get SFFed worse than Ganon. The thing with Link/Ganon is that you have a hero/villain match-up, which makes it even harder for voters to make a case for siding with the villain in that match. That won't be the case for Link/Zelda, plus Zelda is a lot stronger than Ganon. 70% is the most I would expect Link to get against Zelda.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP8 - Zelda/Pika Noble Nine Killers + Pic Sabotage!? greatone/MetalMind
LusterSoldier
12/05/18 11:38:52 PM
#157
I posted this in the stats topic earlier:

LusterSoldier posted...
Legends and Loser Bracket, Round 2

Pikachu vs. Mega Man
Registered Vote Result:
Pikachu - 4482 (50.25%)
Mega Man - 4437 (49.75%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Pikachu - 4845 (47.72%)
Mega Man - 5308 (52.28%)

Crono vs. Bowser
Registered Vote Result:
Crono - 4822 (54.06%)
Bowser - 4098 (45.94%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Crono - 5683 (55.96%)
Bowser - 4472 (44.04%)

In the first match, Pikachu got 50.57% in the first match from registered users, but this decreased to 50.25% in the rematch. For anonymous users, it's a different story completely due to the rally in the first match which favored Pikachu. Anonymous users supported Mega Man with only 50.71% in the first match, but this went up to 52.28% in the rematch. It's believed the first rallies started shortly after 9:00 AM (first for Mega Man, and then Pikachu later on). Based on the 9:00 AM results in the first match, Mega Man currently had 51.92% with registered users, which isn't too far off from what Mega Man got in the rematch with the anonymous users.

Crono largely did similar with both registered and anonymous users. In the first match, Crono got 54.28% with registered users, and this only decreased to 54.06% in the rematch. For anonymous users, it was nearly identical - 55.94% in the first match, 55.96% in the rematch.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub


These results suggest that we're not really seeing SmartVoterFAQs (a term Ngamer invented) in action here. The only reason Mega Man pulled off the runback is because the Pikachu rally never showed up a second time. Pikachu also lost a little bit of support from registered users, but I think that's because we got some extra voters who might have missed the first match as it was on the first day after returning from the Thanksgiving break.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1316
LusterSoldier
12/05/18 11:32:55 PM
#478
Legends and Loser Bracket, Round 2

Pikachu vs. Mega Man
Registered Vote Result:
Pikachu - 4482 (50.25%)
Mega Man - 4437 (49.75%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Pikachu - 4845 (47.72%)
Mega Man - 5308 (52.28%)

Crono vs. Bowser
Registered Vote Result:
Crono - 4822 (54.06%)
Bowser - 4098 (45.94%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Crono - 5683 (55.96%)
Bowser - 4472 (44.04%)

In the first match, Pikachu got 50.57% in the first match from registered users, but this decreased to 50.25% in the rematch. For anonymous users, it's a different story completely due to the rally in the first match which favored Pikachu. Anonymous users supported Mega Man with only 50.71% in the first match, but this went up to 52.28% in the rematch. It's believed the first rallies started shortly after 9:00 AM (first for Mega Man, and then Pikachu later on). Based on the 9:00 AM results in the first match, Mega Man currently had 51.92% with registered users, which isn't too far off from what Mega Man got in the rematch with the anonymous users.

Crono largely did similar with both registered and anonymous users. In the first match, Crono got 54.28% with registered users, and this only decreased to 54.06% in the rematch. For anonymous users, it was nearly identical - 55.94% in the first match, 55.96% in the rematch.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge - Losers Round 2 + Winners Round 3
LusterSoldier
12/05/18 11:14:40 PM
#126
Important notice for the next 2 matches:

Link/Cloud and Zelda/Mario will happen on separate days. After Zelda/Mario, we switch back to 2 matches per day for the next 2 days (Round 3 and Round 4 of Losers) before switching back to 1 match per day for the final 6 matches of the contest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 9
LusterSoldier
12/05/18 10:36:22 PM
#321
Based on the current results at 10:35 PM, Snake should have gotten 60.25% on Auron based on Sonic/Snake and Sonic/Auron. So it appears that Snake overperformed by about 1% on Auron, meaning Auron's sprite hurt him more than Snake's sprite.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1316
LusterSoldier
12/05/18 8:32:17 PM
#464
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Amazing that the Pikachu fanbois couldn't get a rally when it really mattered.

Also, screw you Allen for ignoring a bunch of countries on the vote map. I voted from St Lucia today and have no way of knowing where this country stands!


I looked at the source code of these 2 pages to see if there were any votes from St Lucia:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/map?id=7374
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/map?id=7375

However, I couldn't find St Lucia's country code (LC) in the source code, so your votes must have been misidentified as a different country.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew Guest Sign-ups
LusterSoldier
12/05/18 7:19:53 PM
#30
One new match up for grabs, but it's a match that I will be taking myself.

Link vs. Cloud Strife - paulg235
Zelda vs. Mario - spooky96

Mega Man vs. Crono - Luster Soldier
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic* Character Battle X First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
12/05/18 7:08:51 PM
#155
1st vote, 1st for Solid Snake
2nd vote, 2nd for Samus Aran

63RJhkq
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge - Losers Round 2 + Winners Round 3
LusterSoldier
12/05/18 6:59:49 PM
#120
Solid Snake - 57.34%
Samus Aran - 58.46%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
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