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TopicYou guys just have no concept of fun, do you?
Lopen
11/01/18 10:35:40 PM
#23
Mr Lasastryke posted...
in fairness, draven only won once (possibly not even legitimately) while link won 1000 times. so draven winning again would be slightly more interesting.


I concur. Draven would only be the 135th most interesting winner in the bracket, and the 136th is the one we're probably getting, but oh well.
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Topic[TTCB] Day 26: Ezio/Rosalina v Ocelot/Raiden & Manny/Claire v GlaDOS/Missile
Lopen
11/01/18 10:29:09 PM
#6
Revolver Ocelot (Metal Gear Solid series)
&
Raiden (Metal Gear Solid 2)

GLaDOS (Portal)
&
Missile (Ghost Trick)

Ocelot and Raiden is one of my favorites. Vintage Lethal Lottery at work
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Lopen
11/01/18 10:24:25 PM
#74
I'd like Metal Man vs Metal Sonic honestly.
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TopicIf you could pick one character for the Smash DLC, which one would you pick?
Lopen
11/01/18 10:23:15 PM
#17
Any Character: Master Chief
Realistic: Ryu Hayabusa
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
Lopen
11/01/18 10:19:36 PM
#357
I know some kids who play fortnite and while I've always scoffed at the idea that League of Legends or World of Warcraft playerd were too engrossed in their game to vote I'd believe it for Fortnite.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
Lopen
11/01/18 10:15:22 PM
#352
Yeah I'm not saying no one plays League or it's at any risk of shutting down or anything but it's far from a hot game at this point.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
Lopen
11/01/18 10:10:20 PM
#348
Rallies require people to care. No one cares about League of Legends that much anymore. It's just a thing that exists with tepid enjoyment from the fanbase it still has at this point.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
Lopen
11/01/18 9:12:39 PM
#332
charmander6000 posted...
I thought Draven would have gotten a small boost due to people recognizing him. Guess not. Remember Jak was at around 70% against him before rallies kicked in.


Putting it that way I should've seen this coming.

Draven is bound to be weaker than he was in 2013 due to declining League of Legends relevance and he's being antivoted
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TopicIf It Were Up to Board 8: Seph/Wesker, Richter/Falcon, Ammy/Draven, Lara/Metal
Lopen
11/01/18 8:42:02 PM
#15
Sephiroth
Richter
Amaterasu
Metal Man
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
Lopen
11/01/18 7:10:17 PM
#264
I'm not sure I've ever got a match that was closer than 51-49 right.

Probably because I usually pick the upset and the favorite finds a way to endure somehow.
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 83 [smfffc]
Lopen
11/01/18 7:02:00 PM
#276
sazh
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Lopen
11/01/18 6:14:23 PM
#55
Wesker may not be able to break 75% on many characters but I do feel he can break 75% on sunglasses, at least, so it almost worked

But yeah I don't think Metal Man is touching Protoman. Dr Wily definitely feels like the proper ceiling to me.
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TopicKill My Favorite Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Characters
Lopen
11/01/18 4:29:37 PM
#123
1.Meta Knight
...
77.Kirby


What a thorough victory for Meta Knight.
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Lopen
11/01/18 4:25:04 PM
#44
Lopen's Unofficial Analysisx4

Sephiroth vs Wesker

Sure FFVII gets anti-voted, and sure Resident Evil has held up... reasonably well, but Seph feels like the exact kinda guy to bash Wesker into the dirt. Villain SFF or PSX SFF or whatever, dude's going big. If Tifa can break 70% on firewood Wesker can break 75% on sunglasses.

Sephiroth with 76.88%

Richter Belmont vs. Captain Falcon

Official analyst Lopen is incredibly biased. What a dummy.

Richter Belmont with 79.23%

Amaterasu vs. Draven

I feel you can start with Pac/Sans as a baseline, then consider the following things. 1. Amaterasu seems less suited to being an anti-vote magnet than Pac. 2. Draven is probably weaker than Sans. A lot of the League fanbase doesn't even like this guy, and Draven's pre-rally strength has probably dropped from 2013 because League is less relevant than it was in 2013. 3. Pac is probably stronger than Ammy. All things considered I'm thinking the result is about the same.

Amaterasu with 71.94%

Lara Croft vs Metal Man

Will Lara Croft get some weird nostalgia vote? Will Metal Man get joke votes? I don't know. This was one of the toughest matches in round 1 for me to call and really feels like it could go any direction. Mega Man's looked strong and Lara is old enough that she shouldn't tank despite a relative lack of relevance + being in a series GameFAQs doesn't care for.

I'm just gonna plug in Dr. Wily Villains Contest vs Lara Croft 2013 and put that because I don't have to be good at my job.

Dr. Wily (2005v) VS Lara Croft (2013c)

Dr. Wily has a strength of 21.53.
Lara Croft has a strength of 26.66.

Lara Croft wins with 59.62% of the vote!
A win of 11,278 with 58,611 total votes cast.

That's uh... higher margin than I was expecting. Whatever. I said I'd do it so I'm sticking to it. (IT IS PROBABLY CLOSER THAN THIS)

Lara Croft with 59.62%
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 83 [smfffc]
Lopen
11/01/18 3:54:04 PM
#9
Seymour Guado
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TopicKill My Favorite Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Characters
Lopen
11/01/18 3:36:25 PM
#53
Diddy Kong
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
Lopen
11/01/18 12:58:48 PM
#168
I think this is disappointing for Mewtwo but only if you expect GlaDOS has tanked a decent amount. If you don't, then yeah this is completely fine.
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TopicBesides Piranha Plant, who is your favorite Piranha Plant?
Lopen
11/01/18 12:38:17 PM
#5
Well there we go

"Place Your Bets" being her attack quote was awesome.

Note I'm not sure that's actually what she was saying. Still though I usually used her or Kamek.
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TopicBesides Piranha Plant, who is your favorite Piranha Plant?
Lopen
11/01/18 12:30:40 PM
#3
Which Piranha is the one in Tetris Attack
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Topic~Character Battle X Spread Betting~Day 15 feat. Sephiroth (-44), Amaterasu (-32)
Lopen
11/01/18 12:29:49 PM
#18
Actually

Change:

All but $5000 on Richter Belmont
$5000 on Parlay of Metal Man + Amaterasu + Sephiroth
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Topic~Character Battle X Spread Betting~Day 15 feat. Sephiroth (-44), Amaterasu (-32)
Lopen
11/01/18 12:25:43 PM
#17
MAX on Richter Belmont
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Lopen
11/01/18 11:41:32 AM
#25
I'm going to be cursing at the crew when Richter wins don't worry.
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Lopen
11/01/18 11:38:34 AM
#23
Sixty? Come on.

My percentage is going to be closer even if Richter doesn't actually win.

Sixty percent good lord.
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TopicCB XI: Piranha Plant vs Tidua
Lopen
11/01/18 11:36:20 AM
#7
Tidua sounds like a good name for a Piranha Plant

I'm going to assume that's the name of the Smash Piranha Plant and go with Tidua.
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TopicSave My Character Battler X: Day 82 (RULE CHANGE) [smcb] [24/7]
Lopen
11/01/18 10:37:20 AM
#140
Dante;kos-mos
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
Lopen
11/01/18 10:33:41 AM
#153
Ocelot will win as people anti vote Smash for a disappointing direct
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TopicReject Battle X! R1D14 - CATS/Adol, Gundham/Heather, CaoCao/Bigby, Jiggly/Haggar
Lopen
10/31/18 9:43:46 PM
#19
CATS
Gundham
CaoCao
Haggar
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TopicIf It Were Up to Board 8: Tifa/Geno, GlaDOS/Mewtwo, Dedede/Ocelot, MMX/Isabelle
Lopen
10/31/18 9:38:25 PM
#30
Tifa
GlaDOS
Ocelot
Mega Man X
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294
Lopen
10/31/18 9:17:52 PM
#11
Dedede vs Ocelot might be the most lopsided pic of the entire contest, even if Dedede's individually isn't the best. I actually voted Dedede despite normally being a guy who'd vote Ocelot here.

I mean I didn't vote just for the picture I like Dedede but yeah.
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TopicWhat happened to pubg
Lopen
10/31/18 9:15:26 PM
#11
I lost interest once they started making inferior maps to the first one and forced you to play on them
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
Lopen
10/31/18 9:07:52 PM
#3
True story Ocelot's pic being so bad literally made me vote King Dedede as someone who would've normally voted Ocelot.
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TopicI had Isabelle going quite far in my bracket...
Lopen
10/31/18 9:00:12 PM
#5
Well she's likely going to have something in common with L-Block and Draven by the end of the round so you won't be entirely off the mark.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1293
Lopen
10/31/18 8:22:22 PM
#461
Yeah think Ocelot has this one. This should be Dedede's most favorable point and he still can't extend his lead.

Still though the people who said Dedede didn't have a chance because of that stupid 2008 match were dumb as hell.
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Lopen
10/31/18 8:13:15 PM
#490
I think Isabelle can be that level of ass without SFF or MMX being stronger than we think.
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Lopen
10/31/18 8:10:43 PM
#485
How about those 10 year old 4 way potentially double SFF tainted statz though
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1293
Lopen
10/31/18 8:07:10 PM
#428
That's my boy Triple D showin Ocelot what's up.
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 82 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Lopen
10/31/18 7:25:10 PM
#345
It might as well be Leblanc because me and Robazoid would actually save her
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Lopen
10/31/18 7:19:13 PM
#472
These guests though.
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Lopen
10/31/18 6:22:39 PM
#469
Kirby/Meta got into the rivalry rumble because it's one of the few franchises that used the proper definition of rivalry rather than Hero/Villain pair.

Though I guess Kirby/Dedede fits that better than most Hero/Villain pairs at this point.
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Lopen
10/31/18 6:11:01 PM
#466
I'm just saying basing something off 10 year old data from a SFF match as "there's only so much credit you can give this guy" is silly. Plenty of reasons for Dedede to go up because it's not all about game releases as much as voter demographic shifts and a ton of other things

Like Dedede might as well not have data. That 2008 match is worth less than nothing I think cause it gives the illusion that you have a clue of where he actually lands.
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Lopen
10/31/18 6:05:59 PM
#464
Ranticoot posted...
man I think Ocelot/Meta Knight would be good (Falcon got a real shot, Fox is getting one this contest, he'll be next for sure right) but again

Dedede lost to pre-Uprising Pit. Yeah we've seen some big, big boosts and Ocelot kind of sucks but as someone that likes Dedede there's only so much credit you can give this guy.


2008 Nathan Drake is projected to get tripled by 2008 Tails and people took that one.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 21: A far fetched return.
Lopen
10/31/18 6:03:39 PM
#68
The only thing worse than summoning a set with none of the color you want is summoning a set with only the color you want and for it to go up dead.

What I'm saying is it could be worse

I only did the opening circle's colorless + red. Wasted 8 orbs on nothing and that'll be it for me.
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TopicFinal Fantasy Record Keeper Topic 42: Tyro for CBX?
Lopen
10/31/18 5:08:46 PM
#157
I've been lucky with 3000 gem draws generally being worth it for the draw itself to varying degrees so while most of the LMR ones I've done have been a complete waste (I randomly got Sazh, SEVERAL copies of both Faris and Tidus) at least the draw itself is generally okay. But yeah it's still a kick to the balls. Particularly Sazh which I got literally a few days after the LMR draw expired.
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Topic~Character Battle X Spread Betting~ Day 14 feat. Tifa (-40), Mega Man X (-50)
Lopen
10/31/18 5:02:09 PM
#30
CHANGE:

$3000 on parlay of Tifa + Mewtwo
$3000 on parlay of Dedede + Mega Man X
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Lopen
10/31/18 4:53:22 PM
#458
I did see what you did there

Cited the wrong planet as I only make Neptune jokes
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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Lopen
10/31/18 4:47:41 PM
#456
If only Miles Edgeworth inspired me to do proper analysis more often I'd still have a job with picks like that. Speaking of not doing proper analyses

Lopen's Unofficial Analysisx4

Tifa v Geno

We get to check Smash hype and FFVII deboost here. But the problem is they're both seen in the same place, so who knows. I think Tifa holds up, possibly even smashing him harder than expected due to that weird SFF (?) that Tifa got against Vyse. I don't actually know what expected is so I'm just going to throw out a percentage and move on.

Anyone think it's funny that boobs got paired up with wood? ... no?

Tifa with 80.08%

GlaDOS vs Mewtwo

Mewtwo is an ace fraud. He's so fraudulent that he has masterfully plotted his course even now by going up against a character that has many reasons to drop, but with just enough reasons to not (being a more memorable character than Gourdon) that we can't know for sure. Fraud detection will not begin here, but I still feel it will come.

Mewtwo with 68.98%

Dedede vs Revolver Ocelot

I believe this one projects out to an easy win for Ocelot. Strangely I took Triple D in my bracket without thinking about it. Seeing how this contest has gone so far, being favorable to Nintendo and especially characters that resemble all the creatures of planet earth, I have little reason to doubt my instincts, here.

Dedede with 56.33%

Mega Man X vs Isabelle

Isabelle stands out as being the one character in the bracket I can't identify by name. I'm not familiar with every character but I could at least have told you what game or series they were from. I could spoil myself and go find the descriptive text (it may not be quite so obscure as I think), but it's kinda funnier not to.

Mega Man X with 80.18%
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TopicShould white children dress up as Black Panther for Halloween?
Lopen
10/31/18 2:49:30 PM
#31
Gatarix posted...
no

they should dress up as Killmonger, the far superior character


This

Alternatively M'Baku
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 82 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Lopen
10/31/18 2:08:32 PM
#223
Seymour Guado
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TopicHillary Clinton just said all Black people look the same
Lopen
10/31/18 10:44:27 AM
#39
Mr Lasastryke posted...
you don't think there's anything wrong with strahax saying "a liberal media outlet is trying to diminish racism from a liberal knob"?


Not really, no. To me it read like it was glorified as "GOOD ONE, HILLARY" a bit in the language and presentation.

Unless "washingtonexaminer" is not a liberal media outlet, I guess.
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Topic~Character Battle X Spread Betting~ Day 14 feat. Tifa (-40), Mega Man X (-50)
Lopen
10/31/18 12:30:07 AM
#13
Oh. So I had more betting money than I thought when I maxed yesterday. Oops.

Well looks like I'm likely to hit another quad today so no huge harm done.
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