Lurker > Anteaterking
LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, Database 3 ( 02.21.2018-07.23.2018 ), DB4, DB5, DB6, DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear
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| Topic | Why are people so against the ban on Assault Rifles? |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 5:53:42 PM #29 | Pepys Monster posted... LOL at thinking the difference between semi-auto and full auto is "super nuanced." I'm talking about the attitude of "You said the wrong word and so the conversation ends here". --- |
| Topic | Why are people so against the ban on Assault Rifles? |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 5:48:30 PM #19 | I love how the people who want to be super nuanced and particular about gun terminology are often the same people who say things like "If it has a heart beat it's a human being!" and "All taxation is theft!" --- |
| Topic | Mueller brings 32 new charges in another Manafort indictment |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 5:46:26 PM #8 | An important thing to consider is that it's being moved from DC to Virginia. I'm not sure if that's making it state level crimes instead, but if it did they can't be pardoned by Trump. --- |
| Topic | I get roughly 16 vacation days a year. What about you, CE? |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 5:45:10 PM #21 | At my current job, I get paid by the semester so every day is a vacation day except the days I do work (since right now I have no fixed-time obligations). In the job I'm starting after graduation, I should get ~1.5 a month (6 hours per biweekly pay period). --- |
| Topic | This guy made a 10 minute video complaining about Admiral Holdo (from TLJ).... |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 4:28:15 PM #70 | CyricZ posted... NibeIungsnarf posted...Literally everything she does in the film should have been done by Carrie Fisher. I also think the reason that it had to be someone like Holdo instead of Admiral Ackbar is so that the audience is also not inherently on her side. The plot line would have been worse if the whole time we think Poe is being terrible and Ackbar is being reasonable. The biggest problem imo with the plotline isn't that she's withholding information or anything like that, but rather that the plan is sort of mediocre. I can imagine a world in which the plan is actually some great strategic thing. --- |
| Topic | Trump says violent video games and movies shape kids' behavior |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 4:20:40 PM #98 | COVxy posted... I mean, if doing catharsis s*** doesn't actually breed catharsis, then catharsis doesn't exist, by definition. Therapy designed to let out anger only breeds more anger. Just curious, are these studies general claims about catharsis or just in its relationship with anger? --- |
| Topic | people who only have like $20 in their bank account... |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 2:15:15 PM #6 | masticatingman posted... So many people are absolute shit with money. Saving isnt a concept that some people get - they see money in their account, they know theyre getting a paycheck, and thats it, fuck it. I advocate for saving, but if you're someone who is poor and sees plenty of examples in their lives where someone's savings are wiped out by e.g. a medical emergency and it's still not enough to cover it, there's sort of a point where it's not worth it to save much. --- |
| Topic | Trump says violent video games and movies shape kids' behavior |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 2:13:27 PM #82 | Questionmarktarius posted... Is that still store policy, or do I just not notice from being old? At the time (2010ish?) it was store policy. But it also didn't carry the same legal ramifications as selling tobacco/alcohol to an underage person, so it was really easy to let it slide (also, for example, there was nothing wrong with "second party sales", whereas if I suspected someone was buying alcohol for a younger person with them I was supposed to decline the sale). --- |
| Topic | Do gun owners go to bed scared every night? |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 2:12:00 PM #38 | Polycosm posted... REMercsChamp posted...They're dangerous weapons though that shouldn't be turned into sport. Whats next, we make grenade throwing legal? If they aren't arming the grenades, it would probably still be boring. --- |
| Topic | Trump says violent video games and movies shape kids' behavior |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 2:10:54 PM #79 | Way back when I worked electronics at Walmart, we were supposed to not sell M rated games to people below 16. The difference between that and say if I were selling alcohol is that the prompt just wanted me to guess if they were over 16, rather than carding anyone who looked under 40 for alcohol. --- |
| Topic | Why is curling separated by gender? |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 1:20:33 PM #2 | Skiggie posted... It doesn't require strength and athleticism Listen bucko... --- |
| Topic | Trump says violent video games and movies shape kids' behavior |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 1:17:05 PM #3 | |
| Topic | Deplorables continue to cry about biases that don't exist. CNN responds |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 1:05:29 PM #19 | I don't understand what they're alleging to have scripted. Was the kid pro-guns? --- |
| Topic | Do gun owners go to bed scared every night? |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 11:54:07 AM #11 | Sephiroth1288 posted... The point is that having something for protection does not mean you're scared of everything. I would think my neighbor was being an asshole, but I wouldn't be more scared. --- |
| Topic | I've been hearing about the Gun Violence Restraining Order |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 11:49:57 AM #12 | darkjedilink posted... Anteaterking posted...I think this could be part of a good plan. Plenty of people live alone geographically removed from their family. That doesn't mean they might not give sufficient warning signs to a neighbor, coworker, close friend, etc. --- |
| Topic | I've been hearing about the Gun Violence Restraining Order |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 11:36:47 AM #9 | I think this could be part of a good plan. The range of people should be extended though. I'm not sure JUST family and roommates is enough. --- |
| Topic | This guy made a 10 minute video complaining about Admiral Holdo (from TLJ).... |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 11:26:56 AM #46 | NinjaBreakfast posted... Banjo2553 posted...He seemed to be pretty high rank to be the combat leader and to think he even had a chance to be Leia's successor in command. This. I think there's a bit of grooming going on, but it's not with expectation for him to replace her within a year or anything like that. --- |
| Topic | This guy made a 10 minute video complaining about Admiral Holdo (from TLJ).... |
| Anteaterking 02/22/18 11:13:03 AM #39 | Banjo2553 posted... Not even her highest-ranked officer. Poe wasn't her highest-ranked officer. --- |
| Topic | Russia Isn't the Only One Meddling in Elections. We Do It Too |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 9:37:38 PM #22 | Do you think those countries shouldn't be mad about it? --- |
| Topic | Trump knocked it out of the park today meeting with families and survivors. |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 9:35:48 PM #55 | Caution999 posted... I think its fair to say we are all a little biased here. This topic is pointless if Trump is just doing the same thing that most other presidents do. "Can we stop with the criticism and give Trump props for doing what other presidents do?" --- |
| Topic | Seriously can't watch CNN anymore. |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 9:32:35 PM #27 | I like listening to it when I'm driving, but if you watch longer than an hour you will be hitting all the same notes again. --- |
| Topic | New poll shows Democrats leading the race for congress by 15 points! |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 5:38:19 PM #70 | Tyranthraxus posted... Bayesian math, however, doesn't and can't predict fair die throws. Bayesian equations ARE good for batting averages and predicting likelihood of a batter hitting a ball. They are not good for fair dice throws because historical data is completely irrelevant to the next die throw no matter how much of it you have. That's misrepresenting Bayes. In both examples, more historical data is supposed to lead to convergence upon the "true" probability. In one case you just converge extremely fast (because your a priori assumption is correct). --- |
| Topic | New poll shows Democrats leading the race for congress by 15 points! |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 5:18:56 PM #66 | r4X0r posted... Takes only a brief glance at the sampling data to figure out this poll is fake news. Since this came up 100 times during the election season, I think it's worth stating again that you don't quota sample with the parameter that you're trying to test. You're just assuming your conclusion. --- |
| Topic | New poll shows Democrats leading the race for congress by 15 points! |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 5:15:54 PM #65 | The Admiral posted... A 1-in-6 chance absolutely is predictive. What's not predictive is saying you rolled six 1's in a row. That's your historical performance, same as batting average. Tyranthraxus posted... A batting average is just historical data. Actual chance to hit depends on the skill and current fatigue level of the pitcher. I'm not giving either of you credit that you are trying to make a frequentist vs Bayesian type argument. If I handed you a coin that I had weighted and wanted you to estimate the probability of a heads, the simplest approach is to flip the coin a bunch of times, determined by choosing a level of accuracy that you would like and a confidence interval. In the same way, the simplest way to estimate a batter's average against the field (for a season) is to look at their performance up to that point. You can quibble about the differences between different pitchers, but I'm not claiming that we can't make a better RH pitcher and LH pitcher model. As more at bats happen, we expect to get closer to determining the sample space that the batter's performance is drawn from. You can talk about how the ideal fair dice has specific properties to it, but we don't have an ideal baseball player OR an ideal election. The best we have for the baseball player is their historical performance and the 538 model is also taking into account "historical performance": they're simulating the election using the data parameters that they have thousands upon thousands of times and then recording how often each candidate won. --- |
| Topic | New poll shows Democrats leading the race for congress by 15 points! |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 2:35:57 PM #34 | The Admiral posted... A batting average in baseball is not predictive, so the comparison is horrendous. Actual chance of a hit in any particular at-bat is highly situational. The 1/6 chance of rolling a 6 on a die is not predictive, so the comparison is horrendous. Actual chance of rolling a 6 on any particular roll is highly situational. Someone's current batting average is still modeling the latent true batting percentage that they have projected over a range of different batting situations. How do you see something like a prediction of who is winning an election any more innate and not an estimate of a candidate's "true chances" than someone's batting average? --- |
| Topic | Anyone work for an employee owned business? |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 2:28:57 PM #2 | It heavily depends on what the business is. --- |
| Topic | New poll shows Democrats leading the race for congress by 15 points! |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 2:27:19 PM #28 | KingCrabCake posted... Exactly its all about context. No one is saying that in the abstract 28% is good or bad. We're just talking about how likely it is. --- |
| Topic | China is now surpassing America in military air power |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 2:20:49 PM #20 | I don't remember what article I read this in, but isn't the real obstacle in e.g. a war with China that it's much cheaper for them to sink a boat than it is to protect said boat? --- |
| Topic | Can't believe Republicans are reviving the tired video game violence shit. |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 1:46:50 PM #44 | StucklnMyPants posted... Imagine not being allowed to have an opinion if you're not a specialist, and imagine forming your worldview purely around what other people with biases tell you. You can't have an opinion on "Do violent video games cause more aggression?". That isn't phrased as a subjective question. You can have an opinion on whether it's enough to do something about it. --- |
| Topic | STEM fields aren't for curious people. |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 12:08:17 PM #57 | scar the 1 posted... have comfortable pay This is where our PhD experiences diverge. --- |
| Topic | CE Discussion Topic: Gerrymandering |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 12:00:27 PM #8 | Darkman124 posted... Anteaterking posted... Compared to districts usually held up as examples of geometric gerrymandering, I don't think it looks that bad. Really, the interaction between 6 and 7 is the only really questionable part (if you were looking at these without knowing the geography. It's obvious once you know that it's trying to connect the large black population centers together). The southern part of 7 is just a sideways version of the interaction between OK 1 and 2. --- |
| Topic | Senator wants PA Supreme Court justices impeached because they redid districting |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 11:45:32 AM #11 | People are objecting to the new map because it benefits Democrats more than the old one, but...that's to be expected when the first one was brought to court for being a partisan gerrymander. Also, here's my Gerrymandering topic where I'm slowly dropping more information about various topics: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/400-current-events/76339926 --- |
| Topic | The Russian bots are in full force saying the Parkland kids are crisis actors |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 11:42:21 AM #17 | Crisis actors who use the same name everywhere they go. --- |
| Topic | STEM fields aren't for curious people. |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 11:40:38 AM #52 | I don't even know why you read CovXY's comment as a "slam" clear. I don't think anyone thinks you aren't smart enough to do grad school, just that people who do the minimum in undergrad to graduate tend to not have CVs that are appealing to grad school admissions. --- |
| Topic | I love how teachers try to spin their jobs as 'the hardest profession' |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 11:31:21 AM #66 | MelzezDoor posted... Do teachers get paid for/over the summer break? That's a hard question to answer, because teachers don't turn in time sheets. Their salary can be distributed over 9 months or 12 months in most states, but they aren't hourly, so it's not as if any work they do over the summer is compensated extra or anything like that. It's sort of like asking "Does *insert salaried job* get paid over the weekends?" --- |
| Topic | CE Discussion Topic: Gerrymandering |
| Anteaterking 02/21/18 11:27:05 AM #6 | Darkman brings up a good point, which is related to my question: Why are geometric standards such as convexity/compactness bad? As technology has improved, we've become better at measuring gerrymandering but at the same time gerrymanderers have become more powerful as well. For reference, compactness in this case is a loose idea of how close a shape is to a circle (high area to perimeter) and convexity is the property that given any two points in your district, the line between them stays inside the district. Given a "fair" map that satisfies these properties, you can have a computer manipulate the boundaries ever so slightly to have little impact on the geometry but plenty of impact on the results. And that's just when you start with a fair map. If you start from nowhere, you can easily say "Find a map that satisfies X and Y which maximally benefits my party". This is true of any requirements that you give, but geometry is one that is easier to make "look nice", which is the biggest red flag for regular people. See Alabama's current districting: https://imgur.com/a/xsFam This doesn't contain any glaring geometry errors, especially if you don't know the geography and can handwave some of the juts as river boundaries. As another example of "playing the system", we can look at a North Carolina districting that was struck down. Part of the Voting Rights Act is the creation of majority-minority districts, which are districts where sizeable minority populations can elect a representative that fits them. This was in response to many southern states intentionally making districts that disenfranchised African Americans. Very loosely, if African Americans make up 20% of your population, 20% of your districts should have a large enough minority population that they can have representation. The North Carolina legislature solved this "problem" by making two districts overwhelmingly African American, so that they essentially had no power whatsoever outside of those districts. This map was eventually struck down, but it gives weight to the claim that partisan entities will follow the rules as minimally as possible to benefit themselves. This is why we ultimately should have independent commissions drawing these maps and we shouldn't think of these requirements as a "If you pass these, your map is good" list but rather as a "If you don't pass these, your map is probably bad" list. --- |
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