| Board List | |
|---|---|
| Topic | So, West Virginia's teacher strike has gone into its 8th day |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 3:25:24 PM #20 | Why did I think that they had come to an agreement? --- |
| Topic | Former Trump aide plans to go on live TV and rip up grand jury summons |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 3:23:15 PM #29 | TheVipaGTS posted... BLAKUboy posted...https://twitter.com/JessicaHuseman/status/970753670529810432 I think you misread that. The *host* said "I am not a lawyer". --- |
| Topic | Former Trump aide plans to go on live TV and rip up grand jury summons |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 2:56:01 PM #10 | He knows that ripping up a grand jury summons doesn't make it go away, right? --- |
| Topic | Wow. You could see Taraji P. Henson nips when she was presenting at Oscars. |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 2:51:51 PM #11 | When did she present? I remember there was one person who was presenting where my roommate said she liked her dress and I pointed out that it was revealing. I think it was her. --- |
| Topic | The whole 'crisis actor' thing...how fucking weird is every part of this kid? |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 2:39:46 PM #2 | "Start rolling the cameras" is a frequent thought of people with journalistic tendencies who find themselves in situations like this. There's videotape of people during 9/11 for example. --- |
| Topic | Escort Says Audio Recordings Prove Russian Meddling in U.S. Election |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 2:19:30 PM #31 | wackyteen posted... I mean to be fair we've been chasing this wild goose for a while Even with the breadcrumbs the general public has been given, it's clear that there is a narrative forming. A wild goose chase would be like if potential leads kept drying up and Mueller was just desperately grasping at anything he could. --- |
| Topic | Notice how people on CE who are always skeptical about people getting laid... |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 2:08:59 PM #2 | |
| Topic | Do you pay attention to stats in JRPGs? |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 1:06:05 PM #14 | Balrog0 posted... Anteaterking posted...In most SNES JRPGs, it's clear which items are better than others, so no I didn't really pay attention to stats. For the main ones I was thinking of there isn't even overlapping loot so even that isn't a consideration lol. --- |
| Topic | Do you pay attention to stats in JRPGs? |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 12:59:01 PM #6 | In most SNES JRPGs, it's clear which items are better than others, so no I didn't really pay attention to stats. --- |
| Topic | Wu-Tang for all |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 12:57:45 PM #2 | Would the US government release it? --- |
| Topic | Welp... a PhD student thinks there's a link between magnetism and homosexuality |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 12:50:03 PM #38 | Cal12 posted... Not the same thing. I'm just disputing your claim that Cal12 posted... Being born a certain way means you were genetically created by nature in the womb that way. There are many other examples of environmental factors during pregnancy that impact a child in positive, negative, and neutral ways. --- |
| Topic | Welp... a PhD student thinks there's a link between magnetism and homosexuality |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 12:24:30 PM #35 | frozenshock posted... So what does this mean then? It means the same thing as when Fox News has a "professor" talk about idk, how psychology says that we should use trickle down economics, but then you find out that they are a professor of entomology and its at an unaccredited college without a research component. Cal12 posted... Being born a certain way means you were genetically created by nature in the womb that way. Fetal alcohol syndrome isn't genetic but occurs entirely in the womb. --- |
| Topic | Welp... a PhD student thinks there's a link between magnetism and homosexuality |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 12:07:41 PM #26 | COVxy posted...
I found it rehosted in a few places: http://www.nairaland.com/1448220/unilag-dissociates-self-unscientific-publication But the link at the bottom of the copy/pasted thing is broken. It easily could also be fake. If either this is real or none of it is real, it still seems like a made-up or wildly misrepresented story. --- |
| Topic | Welp... a PhD student thinks there's a link between magnetism and homosexuality |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 11:55:07 AM #23 | COVxy posted... Apparently this story has been going around since 2013, and I cannot find an actual link between this student and the university with google searches. I'm not currently able to connect to the University of Lagos website, but at some point I saw a news thing from then on the topic, where they essentially said that this student's post-grad diploma (which doesn't sound like it's a PhD) doesn't have any research component to it, so this research is unaffiliated with the university and they don't support it at all. --- |
| Topic | Would CE encourage another user to commit a crime like JediKnight12345? |
| Anteaterking 03/05/18 1:34:59 AM #5 | The JediKnight incident feels like it was at the beginning of the change where you had to take people on the internet somewhat seriously when they threatened to do things. Sure, there were other more well known incidents around the same time. But I remember even some of the people in the topic who were egging him were like "Uh...wait you were seriously asking us if you should burn down a church?" --- |
| Topic | 16 y/o Florida Kid says his MATH Teacher LOCKED HIM OUT during the SHOOTING!! |
| Anteaterking 03/04/18 11:10:16 PM #15 | Imagine if your kid died because their teacher let someone into their room against protocol. --- |
| Topic | 90th Academy Awards Oscars topic |
| Anteaterking 03/04/18 10:54:19 PM #76 | prince_leo posted... Jeff AKA Snoopy posted...Has Shape of Water won anything yet? Maybe Best Score. --- |
| Topic | 90th Academy Awards Oscars topic |
| Anteaterking 03/04/18 10:51:51 PM #71 | Jeff AKA Snoopy posted... Has Shape of Water won anything yet? Production design. --- |
| Topic | 90th Academy Awards Oscars topic |
| Anteaterking 03/04/18 10:48:46 PM #66 | |
| Topic | 90th Academy Awards Oscars topic |
| Anteaterking 03/04/18 10:42:23 PM #61 | _Near_ posted... My f***ing God, baby driver should've gotten sound mixing. Definitely. I feel like Sound Mixing often gets shoehorned into being an award that doesn't factor in creativity at all. --- |
| Topic | damn i missed another Mal_Fet 'nazi's are socialists' topic |
| Anteaterking 03/04/18 3:50:17 PM #20 | Most people who think the Nazis were socialist don't seem to recognize the difference between the government seizing the means of production and the people doing it. --- |
| Topic | Would you be my friend if I happened to be a CIA agent? |
| Anteaterking 03/04/18 1:07:58 PM #20 | BlingBling22947 posted... https://www.cia.gov/careers/opportunities/science-technology/technical-operations-officer.html That isn't a very senior position. Senior positions aren't on the GS scale. --- |
| Topic | If a doctor declares you legally dead, but the doctor was wrong and |
| Anteaterking 03/04/18 12:55:34 PM #5 | I wrote the script to a webseries once where this was part of the premise. The characters lived in a super bureaucratic society, so the legally dead part was binding. Instead of admitting they made a mistake, the government tries to cover it up by attempting to actually kill the main character. --- |
| Topic | What is Rick Ross's status? |
| Anteaterking 03/03/18 6:21:28 PM #2 | |
| Topic | Do you still keep in contact with anyone from high school? |
| Anteaterking 03/03/18 6:09:20 PM #2 | |
| Topic | Post-college peeps: do you still hang out with your high school friends? |
| Anteaterking 03/03/18 12:31:11 PM #20 | I answered "no", but when I'm back in the area I try to get together with them. --- |
| Topic | Computer model: wealth is down to chance, not talent |
| Anteaterking 03/03/18 1:08:23 AM #120 | Proud, I took the time to respond to some of your criticisms in Post #108, in case you didn't see it. --- |
| Topic | Computer model: wealth is down to chance, not talent |
| Anteaterking 03/02/18 8:41:34 PM #108 | FLUFFYGERM posted... For example, they assume that everyone starts out with the same amount of capital and that the agents operate over a period of 40 years, enduring or enjoying "chance" events. They don't precisely define what chance events are, and they assume that a chance event has roughly the same impact on someone - either doubling or halving their capital. They don't assume that everyone has the same amount of capital, they're trying to measure the effect of this model by fixing the amount of capital that everyone starts with. In addition, if you're doing a random walk in a space determined by a power law, you WOULD assume that you're moving exponentially (e.g. always halving or doubling). FLUFFYGERM posted... In fact, this type of concession is not beyond the writers. After all, in a section later on they run an exercise where they assign a value to the amount of education individuals (and the collective) have. In an effort to show that more education can increase the probability of succeeding if you have high talent. In other words, more education can mitigate the adverse effects of bad luck. They modeled education by changing the distribution of talent (increasing the mean in one case and the standard deviation in the other). That's a fairly easy thing to change in the model. I don't know how you would suggest changing to include "good investment". You could have a group of people who less than double their capital, but in exchange they less than half their capital on bad luck. But you'd still get the same overall effect among those people (since what's mathematically causing most of this is that your random sample of talent has a reduced effect overall compared to how many lucky events you encounter). FLUFFYGERM posted... What if unlucky events don't actually occur with the frequency they chose? (Six months). Unlucky events in the model don't occur every six months, it's that every six months you move within the world and can encounter an unlucky event. I'm not going to go into too much of the rest of it, but most of your arguments are based on making the model more complicated. The merits of the simplified model is that there were very few decisions made by the authors; ultimately, they chose the parameters of the distribution on T and the ratio of lucky events to unlucky events, both of which they explored the effects of changing. For example, your suggestion that talent should impact how often you encounter lucky events is based on the assumption that the study is trying to explore. If your model assumes "Higher talent gives you more opportunities to double your capital" (and in this case succeeding at this opportunity is only dependent on your talent), you'll of course come to the conclusion that talent has a bigger effect on your capital. Because you set it up that way! There are different ways of building the model that would come to different results, but calling it trash because they didn't match yours is short-sighted, especially since your gripes seem to have more to do with the conclusion (luck is more impactful than skill) than the math behind it, so you're hunting for "flaws" in an attempt to reverse the conclusion. --- |
| Topic | Computer model: wealth is down to chance, not talent |
| Anteaterking 03/02/18 7:40:40 PM #74 | FLUFFYGERM posted... Yeah, this "study" is garbage. So far you've had little to complain about the paper and mainly are complaining about how it was presented in the linked article --- |
| Topic | Computer model: wealth is down to chance, not talent |
| Anteaterking 03/02/18 7:22:40 PM #70 | COVxy posted... That's a pretty strong opinion. Must have some strong criticism to justify it. They have the wrong direction quotation mark problem going on via copying into .tex. --- |
| Topic | Computer model: wealth is down to chance, not talent |
| Anteaterking 03/02/18 4:39:57 PM #25 | Mal, let's just make you a simulator. Tell me how you would like to change this simple set-up: Start with people all of the same wealth, each with a talent value from a talent function T that is normally distributed. Each year one of two things happens for each person: 1. Nothing, wealth grows by 1%. 2. With probability p=0.005, they lose 5% of their wealth (medical emergency, losing job, etc.) In addition, each year a person gets an "opportunity" which is a random pair (x,t) where you gain x% wealth if you have more than t talent, where x and t are somewhat correlated (an opportunity that requires more talent will roughly correspond to a higher increase of wealth). --- |
| Topic | Computer model: wealth is down to chance, not talent |
| Anteaterking 03/02/18 4:21:26 PM #17 | COVxy posted... FLUFFYGERM posted...Oh yeah? Tell us about how you modeled things. Surely you can go into detail on the implementation as well. Yeah, it's just simple bootstrapping. I casually did this using social class movement (quintile wise) and I think it took ~10 generations for the lowest quintile to be more or less equally distributed across the five quintiles. So if you think the social mobility we have now is fine, it takes 200 years to "undo" some systematic effect on a group of individuals. --- |
| Topic | Computer model: wealth is down to chance, not talent |
| Anteaterking 03/02/18 4:03:06 PM #4 | Part of the article that I found interesting was just the fact that clearly if you look at the distribution of wealth versus the distribution of talent in our society, you can see that wealth is not a distribution preserving function of talent. --- |
| Topic | This Simple MATH Question is GUARANTEED to Stump you!! Can you get it?? |
| Anteaterking 03/02/18 1:26:56 AM #5 | I don't know how you can get some of the choices in the OP. I don't know how you can think he lost money either. --- |
| Topic | what are political positions that make you immediately write off a person foreve |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 10:01:59 PM #29 | a42ozslushie posted... People who say "but think of the children!" on issues like gun control, etc but are pro abortion. i don't think these people do much critical thinking. Fetuses aren't children. --- |
| Topic | FBI counterintel investigating Ivanka Trump business deal |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 9:54:47 PM #10 | Youngster_Joey_ posted... Meanwhile, another tip about a potential Mass Shooter is probably going ignored. That wasn't a manpower issue. --- |
| Topic | GOP Rep: 'How many Jews were put in the ovens because they were unarmed?' |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 9:33:31 PM #56 | By the 1938 disarming of the Jews it was already "too late" for them having weapons to be effective. --- |
| Topic | FBI counterintel investigating Ivanka Trump business deal |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 9:28:47 PM #7 | Zikten posted... They better not put Ivanka in prison Or what? --- |
| Topic | The 25 Most Evil People in History |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 7:46:36 PM #16 | It says "Kim Jong Il proved that he was worse than his father" but doesn't make the list, while his father does. --- |
| Topic | Would you be my friend if I happened to be a CIA agent? |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 7:33:41 PM #13 | BlingBling22947 posted... If I complete my education, I would qualify for a very senior position there. Expand. --- |
| Topic | FBI counterintel investigating Ivanka Trump business deal |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 7:32:00 PM #4 | Probably has little to do with Ivanka but --- |
| Topic | McMaster is gone, from the revolving door White House |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 7:27:38 PM #8 | SomeonesAlt posted... It's a pretty important position. Also the fact that Kelly and Mattis effectively organized a coup is interesting I've heard two different lines on this. One is that Mattis thinks McMaster is too aggressive on North Korea. The other is that Kelly is following McMaster out. So whether you think it's a coup or not depends on what follows. --- |
| Topic | McMaster is gone, from the revolving door White House |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 7:19:39 PM #6 | Trump's infatuation with generals is weird. --- |
| Topic | FBI counterintel investigating Ivanka Trump business deal |
| Anteaterking 03/01/18 7:14:28 PM #1 | |
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