Lurker > ShatteredElysium

Of course I am basing this on preseason rankings where half the projected top 6 lost matches. Granted 3 of those top 6 lost to other top 6 teams and 2 more lost to teams projected just on the outside of top 6.

1. Baltimore Ravens (Lost vs #5)
2. Miami Dolphins (Won)
3. Washington Hawks (Lost vs #2)
4. Columbus Pioneers (Lost vs #7)
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (Won)
6. New York Jets (Lost vs #14)

1. Atlanta Falcons (Lost vs #6)
2. Las Vegas Pumpkins (Won)
3. Minnesota Vikings (Won)
4. Seattle Seahawks (Lost vs #8)
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Won)
6. Dallas Cowboys (Won)

Emeraldegg posted...

I would argue I have it as tough as the lightning do. Yes I am saying that to try and salvage my pride after a 2pt week 1

Let's see

Falcons twice #1
Pumpkins #2
Hawks #3
Seahawks #4
Bucs twice #5
Cowboys #6
Bears #7
Broncos #7

Yeah, that's pretty rough. Probably second worst behind the Redskins.

Was trying to look at the schedule to see if anyone had to play like all the top seeds before noticing that I have a pretty tough schedule myself.

Ravens twice (Projected #1 seed)
Pumpkins (Projected #2 seed)
Hawks (Projected #3 seed)
Pioneers (Projected #4 seed)
Cowboys (Projected #6 seed)
Broncos (Projected #7 seed)


Supposed I deserve it after getting the weakest schedule in the league last year. But then again, here are some other teams that look to have it equal or significantly rougher than me!

Bengals

Ravens twice (#1)
Pumpkins (#2)
Hawks (#3)
Steelers twice (#5)
Jets (#6)
Broncos (#7)

Lightning

Falcons twice (#1)
Pumpkins (#2)
Hawks (#3)
Bucs twice (#5)
Cowboys (#6)
Broncos (#7)

NFC East gets put through the ringer though

Cowboys

Falcons (#1)
Ravens (#1)
Pumpkins twice (#2)
Vikings (#3)
Steelers (#5)
Bucs (#5)

Giants

Falcons (#1)
Ravens (#1)
Pumpkins twice (#2)
Steelers (#5)
Bucs (#5)
Cowboys twice (#6)

Redskins looks the hardest I can see at a glance with 10 games against projected playoff contenders

Ravens (#1)
Falcons (#1)
Pumpkins twice (#2)
Seahawks (#4)
Steelers (#5)
Bucs (#5)
Cowboys twice (#6)
Bears (#7)

WalkingWiki posted...

KCF0107 posted...

WalkingWiki posted...

That loss of McAllister is really gonna hurt this year

I thought that you were going to sign someone to replace him, but since you threw 5 INTs, I'm sure that wouldn't have mattered.

I'm about to sign someone to replace him -- I wanted to see how the first game went

Not a great idea, now that I think about it

I don't know if it made a difference but I changed my defensive strategy purely based on you not having McAllister and your other running backs not being great.

I was actually concerned I wouldn't be able to get Courtney Lewis after your McAllister injury. I put in the request to sign him before it came up in topic but wasn't sure if it at that point it was first come, first serve or if you would get him from offering him more (I just offered him 1 year default)

FFRK is better as you at least get a guaranteed 5* every 50 Mythril (so 40-50 Orbs) and it's like a 12-13% chance per pull of a 5* instead of the 6-12% or so in Fire Emblem. Plus Mythril is far more abundant and RK has the $1 pulls

But in Fire Emblems favor, it's a far newer game and FFRK was pretty shitty on draw rates when it was new too

You should try trade your future 1st and 2nd rounder for bodies! Might have more luck that way!

Oh and what makes it hard to take isn't the lack of 5*s. It's the pull bonus not carrying over to new banners. Thats multiple banners of dropping lots of orbs and still being at the same 3% as everyone else despite not getting a 5*, that's the part that sucks

Including freebies, that picture shows 1 5* in 118 units

As of right now my acrive streak is 73 units without a 5*.

I knew it was bad but didn't realize that bad until I just counted

Illustration of my bullshit draw rate

https://imgur.com/a/tXerK

Not including some of the ones I'm fed to people

Because when you're that good, you become a polarizing figure. People forget that Jordan used to get criticism too

Hype for match day. Especially since rivalry game week 1!

Please don't go 1-5 again in conference Steelers!

In the same boat Xuxon, it's annoyed me enough that I haven't been playing because of it

1991 - 87%
2002 - 67.2%

whatever

I think today is probably the day where I take a drop. Seem to have pretty shitty predictions on both matches

Change

2000 - 63.1%
1996 - 78.5%

2000 - 65.2%
1996 - 77%

Stuff

I thought it was good but not as good as I hoped. The early part of the movie was way too slow and didn't seem to be really going anywhere. Second half was great but I can't overlook the first half of the movie so that drags the score down a little for me.

Submitted super late so can't see me making the board even if I stay perfect for quite some time (I'm cookie round 1 I think)

HeroDelTiempo17 posted...

Yeah I really like the card generation effects. It's very interesting and a good way to introduce variety into Constructed games. It is by far the best variance-increasing mechanic that they've included in the game. Tuskarr Totemic is an exception to this because it plopped the minion directly on to the board. Barnes is another example of something that's problematic but not nearly as broken. Overall I think these sorts of random effects are very healthy for the game. I think the "feel bad" situations they can cause are worth the varied gameplay they create. Plus how else am I going to hear voice clips and see animations for bad cards? Play Arena? No thanks.

I do think revealing the cards would be a good move. I can't think of any that get dramatically weaker when your opponent knows that information. I suppose now opponents can play around removal or specific minions, but a 1/1 for 1 on turn 1 that draws you a card is still really strong.

I'd say the discover spell/secret ones get a decent chunk weaker if your opponent knows what they are. They'd still be played though

Forceful_Dragon posted...

Indeed that definitely gives a bias to your perception of events.

This.

Of course people know sometimes it happens that their opponents got crappy RNG. But you always know when you lost to those type of cards. You can only make a guess as to how many your opponent lost due to it

So naturally the losses stick in your mind more than the wins. Which generally when you asks sports people, they always say the losses stick more than the wins too, even if they've won the big one. It's just human nature

It wasn't meant as condescending. I'm just as guilty of it as anybody else

Camden posted...

ShatteredElysium posted...

It does feel shitty to lose to them but you also never realize all the times those cards are played and cause you to win because they pull out something terrible/unusable instead.

50% of the random Mage cards I get are Shatter so I know this feeling.

You and Maria know that feeling when it happens to you. What I meant is you don't know how many matches you win because your opponent generates shitty cards that you never find out about. People only remember the ones where they lost because of what their opponent generated

1997 - 76.5%
2007 - 72.5%

This is the first that makes me uneasy. Because blowouts but 99 doesn't look that awful to be fully blown out. Whereas 2012 looks primed to be blown out but 2007 doesn't strike me as super strong and I can't bring myself to say 2007 will out do 1997

Or maybe make it like that Paladin card where you can at least deduce the cost of the card they got so can narrow it down.

It does feel shitty to lose to them but you also never realize all the times those cards are played and cause you to win because they pull out something terrible/unusable instead.

But you add the card that gives you random whatever in the hopes it will give you something useful. Like I don't run Jeweled Macaw for any other reason than the hope it gives me something good, I mean it's a 1 mana 1/1 without it's effect. You use it purely for it's effect. Sometimes it gives me trash, sometimes it doesn't.

Same can be said of stuff like Babbling Book and Cabalists Tome or the Discover cards. You run them either for quest or for the hope you get something good or something that bypasses the 1-2 card limit.

And with things like Rogue and Priest, they literally cannot add some of the cards that they steal (likewise some of the discover ones)


Also a large reason people run those cards are because they are effectively 'Draw a card' and cards that just flat out draw from your own deck generally have high cost.

Pretty much.

Minor misplays can make it seem like you got screwed by RNG when really it was down to the player not maximizing their odds to win. Even a minor misplay on like Turn 3 or something can change everything come Turn like 12+ or whatever

Kinda surprised he didn't discuss playing Bloodmage. It's inferior to pinging but is an increase in odds to just using missile because then Alexstraza can no longer take all 3 hits. Not that it mattered in the end.

I used to think like an 8 a few years ago but probably a 6. Maybe a 7 if im being generous. I'm decently attractive but I don't have a good body to go with it (underweight rather than over). If I gave a shit about my body I could probably get up to anow 8 or 8.5 but that isn't ever going to happen

Shaman always seems to really wreck my Hunter. I was glad when I saw the meta that it's just a really bad match up for me, not just bad play

I have no idea why my phone autocorrected slow to own. I meant slow starter.

Mobile posting on here is such garbage because of her adverts lagging up input

I think the issue is that you're expecting to have a significantly higher win rate than the norm. You have to remember that it's a pretty balanced meta. You aren't going to go out there and win like 80% of your matches no matter how good you are. Winning over 55% of your matches is good.

Skill obviously is a factor otherwise it wouldnt be the same people at the top constantly. And most of us wouldn't cruise through the ranks at 65%+ win rate when the meta says if skill is equal decks should be around a 50% win rate.

RNG is a factor, as it is with most games. But skill definitely comes into play too, you're smart enough to realise this. I mean just watch any of the better streamers and it's crystal clear

I am genuinely surprised I'm doing as well as I am. I'm usually a own starter and I also expected this contest to be a train wreck as I had no real idea on predictions

No 5*'s from the radiance banner, no 5*'s from Hero fest. This sucks. Seems a long time since I saw a 5*

2001 - 79.8%
2008 - 67.4%

Counting numbers as caps is fucking stupid.

I think that's a fair trade as there's less DT's played than OLB's and decent OLB's seem harder to find.

You probably should have mentioned that your starting OLB is out for the season and your next in line is a 72 (best available FA is a 75). Your next in line from your 86 at DT is a young 79 who might grow.


I'm waiting on a response from Mccheyne on a trade (in fairness he did respond that he'd look later once home from work, so not like he's ignoring me). If that doesn't go through, I'll probably be looking to make more trades.

1995 - 88.7%
1987 - 58.1%

Stupid all number posts not being allowed

Oh jeeze, I see how bad autocorrect butchered my sentence earlier

The database itself is easy to update. Especially with this few matches. I could do that no problem.

The scripts are theoretically easy to run too if you know how. Assuming the old scripts still run that is. I just don't know how to do it.

It would be easy to keep track of on a google spreadsheet due to how few matches/competitors there are. It would probably take about 15 mins per match, if that. I just don't have the time to do it that way like last time as my job is different now and doesn't involve me being sat at a computer anymore.

Every fanbase has their idiots that are going to do stupid shit like racism. You can't tar a whole fan base due to the actions of the extreme minority. Whilst I agree Boston fans can be overly obnoxious, that does not make them racist.

If you want examples of racist fanbases, look at eastern European soccer. Or the absolutely ridiculous thing that happened in an Italian soccer game this week where a player was penalized for complaining about the crowd being racist towards him. He was then banned for walking off in protest when the officials refused to do anything.

Heroic tavern brawls should be only run alongside a normal tavern brawl imo

JetJaguar posted...

Boston fans throwing peanuts and yelling racial epithets at Adam Jones

CC Sabathia confirms Boston is the only place he has faced stuff like that

Stay classy Boston

Not remotely defending racism but if you mention that, you should also mention the standing ovation that Boston gave Adam Jones last night to show they did not agree with the 2 racists from the previous game.

The website I that difficult to input data in. I just don't have any idea how to run the scripts that updates pages.

18-7 to get me Rank 20 > 15. Tempted to carry on playing whilst I'm hot, especially as I'm on a win streak but guess I'll call it for the day.

9-3. Break time I guess

Well 8-2 now. If I lose next match then will probably call it for the night. If I win, will try get another streak.

Went 4-0 and then lost to probably the worst draw I've seen in a long time. I didn't think it was even possible to draw that bad with my deck. Just had nothing I could even throw down, never mind synergize with my other cards

Well at least I am back to where I started last night. Now to try build on it.

Alright, time to not be as awful as I was last night. Hopefully I can get to at least 15 but after last night I'd be happy to scrape up to 18, it was that bad!

LeonhartFour posted...

Hope is great.

Algus gets to fight with Genesis over who's the worst.

Algus was a terrible person but as a character he was just fine.

That was actually a really interesting watch