Current Events > 2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.

(+) Yeah! (+)

itcheyness posted...

Fulton County Georgia has had 32 bomb threats called in for polling locations...

At least good news a judge extended voting hours.

Looks like she's finally about to lose Ohio.

Virginia is slipping too.

Storm_Shadow posted...

Huh, we have a few Misery-ians here on CE.

I'm in Columbia, but I was raised in the sticks in both this state and a few others. Going just a few miles outside Columbia is like stepping into an alternate reality.

I'm out here in Independence, and there really isn't any Trump signs that I've seen. Of course I'm on the southwest corner of town, bordering East KC.

Kitt posted...

Looks like she's finally about to lose Ohio.

That was a forgone conclusion though

SteveRogers33 posted...

Wait, Trump is winning???

no. because this isnt a foot race
early leads do not matter as all the votes are already in
one has already won we are just counting to see who that is
and smaller rural areas get counted first as they are smaller and easier to count. and those areas lean red
larger cities get counter later as they take longer. and they tend to lead blue

so early results always lean red then the blue number gets higher has the majority of blue votes get counted late

Kitt posted...

Looks like she's finally about to lose Ohio.

It's an interesting state. I never expected her to win Ohio but it is closer than I thought so far

yusiko posted...

no. because this isnt a foot race
early leads do not matter as all the votes are already in
one has already won we are just counting to see who that is
and smaller rural areas get counted first as they are smaller and easier to count. and those areas lean red
larger cities get counter later as they take longer. and they tend to lead blue

so early results always lean red then the blue number gets higher has the majority of blue votes get counted late

I could be mistaken, but I think people were panicking early in 2020 too.

I'm curious how Iowa is going to vote. Apparently a highly accurate pollster said that Iowa will go Blue. I don't expect that to happen but it should be a fun watch

[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

Why the fuck do these need 60?

[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

It's wild that they have to be at 60% to pass.

Solar_Crimson posted...

Abortion and/or Weed failed?

Both failed to reach 60%, barely

Kitt posted...

Looks like she's finally about to lose Ohio.

Virginia is slipping too.

There's literally nothing from NOVA which is basically where all of the blue votes are. Also Richmond

Maybe Ohio is lost but Cuyahoga County has 34% counted and its 70:30 Harris(Cleveland). That's not that far along in a tight race.

VA showing red is why you can't believe a thing about early returns

Reminder to everyone that small rural counties are usually counted first. Big cities are usually later in the count. So don't put to much stock in what you see right now

Kitt posted...

Looks like she's finally about to lose Ohio.

Virginia is slipping too.

Ohio is 39% reporting and its a breakneck tie, how do you get she is losing Ohio from this ? (I am genuinely asking.

CastletonSnob1 posted...

I could be mistaken, but I think people were panicking early in 2020 too.

I remember panicking so hard early into election night. I quit watching and went to watching a movie. Then finding out good news later in the state of Georgia that Biden might win it.

DepreceV2 posted...

Reminder to everyone that small rural counties are usually counted first. Big cities are usually later in the count. So don't put to much stock in what you see right now

Just gotta make our Will save against the Red Mirage spell.

SteveRogers33 posted...

Wait, Trump is winning???

No. So far the map is the same as 2020, except Georgia and North Carolina switched sides. But they both have 16 EVs, so they cancel each other out.

ZaruenKosai posted...

Ohio is 39% reporting and its a breakneck tie, how do you get she is losing Ohio from this ? (I am genuinely asking.

Because it's....

JOEVER!!!!

ZaruenKosai posted...

Ohio is 39% reporting and its a breakneck tie, how do you get she is losing Ohio from this ? (I am genuinely asking.

*losing the lead atm

DepreceV2 posted...

Reminder to everyone that small rural counties are usually counted first. Big cities are usually later in the count. So don't put to much stock in what you see right now

Yup, this is the red mirage. As we go further into the night Republican leads will shrink or evaporate.

By the way, is it fair to assume, that while a called state is most likely acacurate in the call prediction, that if it shows 0-15% reporting, there is a slight chance that the called prediction could actually be mistaken?

I know the chances of that happening are probably like 3-5% or lower, but I was just curious if a called state wide race has ever been mistakenly called and actually ended up going to the other side?

Can it happen? (If the % reporting is low and the gap between the two is still narrow of course)

How's it going so far?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eDPll0BN1I

Just Image Broly yelling Obama every time he says Kakarot.

In Ohio I am seeing the sea of rural counties 40-55% or more counted but the heavily blue areas are 35-40% or so, like Cuyhaoga, Summit, Lucas, where the cities are.

I don't know if we can safely call it lost, yet.

[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

This is genuinely bullshit that ballot initiatives aren't a simple majority

KamikazePotato posted...

Worth resposting:

As a reminder, Florida is going to be won decisively by Trump - possibly moreso than 2020. Due to voter migration shifts, that state has only gotten redder and redder as time passes.

It shouldn't be an indicator for how the rest of the election goes, so save the dooming for when later results start coming in.

Seeing it called so fast was a bit shocking to me, but I guess youre right.

DepreceV2 posted...

Reminder to everyone that small rural counties are usually counted first. Big cities are usually later in the count. So don't put to much stock in what you see right now

is that because the rural counties are smaller so they get done counting quicker, or do they centralize the counting and on purpose count the smaller counties first?

Doe posted...

VA showing red is why you can't believe a thing about early returns

Right. VA does this every year. Rural VA turns it red and than DC Metro area comes in and turns it. If Trump couldn't beat Hillary there, he's not beating Kamala

ZaruenKosai posted...

By the way, is it fair to assume, that while a called state is most likely acacurate in the call prediction, that if it shows 0-15% reporting, there is a slight chance that the called prediction could actually be mistaken?

I know the chances of that happening are probably like 3-5% or lower, but I was just curious if a called state wide race has ever been mistakenly called and actually ended up going to the other side?

Can it happen? (If the % reporting is low and the gap between the two is still narrow of course)

Pretty sure that happened in Florida 2000

I think Harris will win North Carolina.

What do you think?

BunkerBoy posted...

Why the fuck do these need 60?

Solar_Crimson posted...

It's wild that they have to be at 60% to pass.

because Floridians are stupid and voted for Amendment 3 back in 2006 that required all future amendments to need 60% to approve

Wow dat map looks awfully red.

People who ticket split are fucking stupid.

DarthDemented posted...

Can anyone explain why they're projecting states that haven't even fully reported yet? I mean, Missouri polls haven't even fully reported yet according to the tracker on a local news site.

Calling states is based on mathematical statistical probability. When the odds of which candidate a sample of the total population favors not being the winner is absurdly unlikely, a state can be safely called.

Harris wins Rhode Island and Delaware.

Still no surprises

I don't know...I'm not willing to give up on Ohio just yet.

Unfortunately Georgia looks like a lost cause, Fulton County is 70% filled but she's down 300k votes...

101-52

No real surprises yet

It'd be sweet of she won both Georgia and NC. But Georgia elected MTG, so they can't be trusted.

Flaming_Fire619 posted...

I don't know...I'm not willing to give up on Ohio just yet.

Unfortunately Georgia looks like a lost cause, Fulton County is 70% filled but she's down 300k votes...

Unless Gwinnett & DeKalb are done counting Georgia isn't done.

Flaming_Fire619 posted...

I don't know...I'm not willing to give up on Ohio just yet.

If it just stayed remotely close at all it would still be a great sign

NYT - Electoral college estimate

Trump 279
Harris 259

Tyranthraxus posted...

Unless Gwinnett & DeKalb are done counting Georgia isn't done.

They basically haven't reported anything yet

Tyranthraxus posted...

Unless Gwinnett & DeKalb are done counting Georgia isn't done.

Yeah DeKalb literally just started counting.

i don't want to believe we're cooked. There's still more content to consume. We can't be cooked already . . .

Gwinnett has 16% counted and Dekalb just under 1 if CNN is correct, so they are hardly counted.

Hope USA is ready to go back to the 1950s cause that's where we heading

JoCrazy posted...

NYT - Electoral college estimate

Trump 279
Harris 259

errrr

JoCrazy posted...

NYT - Electoral college estimate

Trump 279
Harris 259

joeover