Current Events > Do you think Trump will get reelected?

(+) Yeah! (+)

This year has been a disaster, and I think it's really hurt his chances.

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Everyone slows down to observe a car crash on the highway in hopes to see some devastation

With that said, yes. People want more.

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No, and I hope not.

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Hard to say. I don't know if anyone can accurately predict the voter participation.

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Probably

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Yes, but I hope Im wrong.

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in a fair election? There is no chance in hell. There is plenty of time for replublicans to pull some shit and prevent the election though. Im starting to think Trump is fanning the flames of this protest so he can declare marshall law and start a tyranny.

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I don't think so, but it's very much possible.

ThanksUglyGod posted...

I don't think so, but it's very much possible.

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I kind of do actually. These protests could end up helping him actually and it doesn't help that a shit candidate and easy target like Biden is his opponent. It really depends on the voter turnout.
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I want to say no, but don't underestimate average Americans's stupidity.

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When the other option is Biden, yes.

I'm 50/50 on it now and was previously leaning toward Biden winning. If these riots continue for weeks it will shape the election. People naturally will turn to an authority figure even if it's a fucking moron. I expect Minnesota itself has a better shot than normal at flipping to a red state since it has been trending redder and redder since 2012 anyway.

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Yes. Don't think his opposition is credible at this point.

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In January, I would have said "yes" to that question without hesitation. Now between the CCP Virus and the protests, he is probably fucked.

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I have no idea.

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Democrats come Fall: Second wave! You cant go back to work/youre going to lose your job again unfortunately because we need another lockdown!

Republicans & Trump: Theres nothing wrong, lets return to normal. The Democrats are fearmongering! Also I didnt grab any woman by the ****y, that was Joe Biden!

Stupid swing voters: Durr I guess Ill vote for Trump again

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Nope but then again I thought the same in 2016.

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unfortunately

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Trump's term has been a total disaster. With that being said, he will absolutely get reelected because Americans are fucking dumbasses

Voting straight dem ticket with Vermin Supreme for President, since he is the only progressive left.

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He barely squeaked by the first time, and his entire term has been a series of one unmitigated disaster after another. He's fucked over the critical votes that won him the Rust Belt, he's shown an utter lack of crisis leadership, and his single talking point, the economy, will possibly be in the shitter by November. His base of cultists will vote for him no matter what, but they aren't big enough to carry the election for him. Democrats loathe him, and that's been driving turnout in other elections.
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Sadly he will be. Biden is a terrible choice for a candidate.

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au_gold posted...

Yes, but I hope Im wrong.

i would hope that he didn't if i were american, but since i'm not, we can only pray for another 4 years of comedy gold

After this, no. He could still win because republicans made cheating legal but in terms of votes i think he'll be decimated

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it has become completely impossible to predict

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I would have said yes back in January/February, but ever since then, the needle has shifted in favor of the democrats. Still plenty of time for the needle to shift back, but I am more skeptical about his chances now.

Of course... many of the models said Trump would win if democratic turnout was about average/less than average, and that could always happen. Between Republicans and democrats, I could definitely see democrats being the ones more affected by the current events to make it where they don't go out and vote like some would project. It's hard to say, though. If Trump can pressure state governments to implement rules that restrict alternative ways to vote, he could save his reelection campaign through that as well. Even if it is unconstitutional, it would be too late by the time it makes it to the courts to probably make a difference.

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Kaiganeer posted...

i would hope that he didn't if i were american, but since i'm not, we can only pray for another 4 years of comedy gold

It stops being funny when this guy pulls out of international accords, destabilizes international bodies and starts provoking individual countries into economic and (god forbid) actual wars. Also, a second term Trump that has received validation for his actions in his first term will take his moronic policies to another level. The 2020 elections have global implications.

That said, I believe he has ****ed things up irreparably for his re-election campaign and his cult notwithstanding, Biden should have any easy win as long as he keeps his s*** together.

yes. he's the only president in history to give out money to us homies

People overestimating Trump's chances is a rather annoying over-correction in public opinion from 2016

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Yes. People be dumb af. See: Bush in 2004

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yes, but i don't want him to be.
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Like 538 talked about this recently, how it's become almost taboo to dare to suggest that Trump is maybe not a competent campaigner and is in almost every metric a very weak candidate

the way some people talk online here you'd think he was some cunning mega genius, an electoral wizard or something

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Bullet_Wing posted...

But neither is Trump. So what sense does your post make?

Aren't you a 261 drone? Doesn't make sense for me to discuss this then.

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• if you'd asked me last week, i would have said perhaps
• if you'd asked me 24 hours ago, i would have said yes
• ask me now, i'll go ahead and say i really don't know

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Why wouldn't he?

His supporters are still going to support him.

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no chance, he was likely fucked before covid and now he is drawing very slim

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I think theres a very good chance he doesnt. Unfortunately Joe Biden isnt that much of an improvement, but what are you gonna do.

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I used to think yes but after everything going on I highly doubt it.

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Of course he will

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I think he has a pretty good shot. Never underestimate the Democratic voters ability to let the perfect be the enemy of voting out a racist orange dipshit.

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No.

I don't think Biden is going to runaway with the election but Trump has no chance.

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No, but we have to fight tooth and nail to ensure that he loses. Don't get complacent.

Bullet_Wing posted...

No...? So in other words you've got nothing

Not for you, no.

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CNN just said Trump spend an hour today hiding in a bunker. I think this proves the public hates him if he believes a mob might reach him. he is not getting reelected

Sure sure. Go back to 261 already.

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