Board 8 > Predict the winning score in the Second Chance Contest

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GoldSlime35 05/04/20 2:08:39 PM #1:	Thought this would be a good idea for a side contest. 15 matches Correct Answer: 50 - percentage difference (rounded) Wrong Answer: 0 Max Score: 750 I'll go with 707. <cite>GoldSlime35 posted [p:938595127] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>Thought this would be a good idea for a side contest. 15 matches Correct Answer: 50 - percentage difference (rounded) Wrong Answer: 0 Max Score: 750 I'll go with 707. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Dark_Koopatrol 05/04/20 2:13:35 PM #2:	711 <cite>Dark_Koopatrol posted [p:938595339] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>711 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
tennisboy213 05/04/20 5:49:14 PM #3:	717 <cite>tennisboy213 posted [p:938606264] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>717 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog 05/04/20 6:13:48 PM #4:	712 --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs <cite>SuperNiceDog posted [p:938607508] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>712 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
firefdr 05/04/20 6:42:30 PM #5:	666 <cite>firefdr posted [p:938609057] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>666 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
iGenesis 05/05/20 8:53:25 PM #6:	A winning score above 700 would imply a mean absolute error of just over 3% across the 15 matches. Seems overly optimistic to me, even if the rest of the tournament does proceed as Board 8 expects. --- 2012 U_U 2017 X_X <cite>iGenesis posted [p:938672095] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>A winning score above 700 would imply a mean absolute error of just over 3% across the 15 matches. Seems overly optimistic to me, even if the rest of the tournament does proceed as Board 8 expects. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Panthera 05/05/20 9:01:04 PM #7:	5 --- Meow! <cite>Panthera posted [p:938672439] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>5 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
GoldSlime35 05/05/20 9:41:56 PM #8:	iGenesis posted... A winning score above 700 would imply a mean absolute error of just over 3% across the 15 matches. Seems overly optimistic to me, even if the rest of the tournament does proceed as Board 8 expects. We all knew going in that every match except Zelda's and Smash/Odyssey vs Xenoblade would be relatively close. Picking 54 or 55 in every other match wouldn't have been a bad strategy, as you would likely be within 3 or 4 points on every match. However, I'm sure some people will do better than the results of that strategy. So its basically just a question of if anyone can get all 15 matches correct and pick those 5 matches accurately. Doesn't seem too unreasonable that one person can pull that off. <cite>GoldSlime35 posted [p:938674291] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>iGenesis posted... </cite> <quote>A winning score above 700 would imply a mean absolute error of just over 3% across the 15 matches. Seems overly optimistic to me, even if the rest of the tournament does proceed as Board 8 expects.</quote> We all knew going in that every match except Zelda's and Smash/Odyssey vs Xenoblade would be relatively close. Picking 54 or 55 in every other match wouldn't have been a bad strategy, as you would likely be within 3 or 4 points on every match. However, I'm sure some people will do better than the results of that strategy. So its basically just a question of if anyone can get all 15 matches correct and pick those 5 matches accurately. Doesn't seem too unreasonable that one person can pull that off. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
pepper2012 05/05/20 10:00:06 PM #9:	699 <cite>pepper2012 posted [p:938675067] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>699 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Jdsmart 05/05/20 10:18:50 PM #10:	719 --- Next up: Celeste <cite>Jdsmart posted [p:938675879] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>719 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Paratroopa1 05/05/20 10:21:37 PM #11:	670 I agree that a mean absolute error of 3% is too much <cite>Paratroopa1 posted [p:938676027] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>670 I agree that a mean absolute error of 3% is too much </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Moonroof 05/06/20 11:50:56 AM #12:	What happens when the winning entrant has u see 50.5%? <cite>Moonroof posted [p:938701352] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>What happens when the winning entrant has u see 50.5%? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
iGenesis 05/10/20 3:43:35 AM #13:	Moonroof posted... What happens when the winning entrant has u see 50.5%? I dont recall it was possible to pick 50, so 51% and the correct winner earns 49 points. --- 2012 U_U 2017 X_X <cite>iGenesis posted [p:938915995] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>Moonroof posted... </cite> <quote>What happens when the winning entrant has u see 50.5%?</quote>I dont recall it was possible to pick 50, so 51% and the correct winner earns 49 points. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Shonen_Bat 05/10/20 4:13:16 AM #14:	679 --- Hello again. <cite>Shonen_Bat posted [p:938916519] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>679 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Jdsmart 05/11/20 11:25:40 AM #15:	A score above 700 certainly seems plausible now. --- Next up: Celeste <cite>Jdsmart posted [p:938977530] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>A score above 700 certainly seems plausible now. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Cavedweller2000 05/11/20 12:11:33 PM #16:	I'm on course for a 40 today, but I can still hit 700 with a 48 and a 47 in the final 2 matches. So I reckon it's about 715 for the highest I had BOTW with 58% today (failed to take SFF into consideration) :( Got Witcher 3 with 54% tomorrow and BOTW with 59% in final --- Well done to Advokaiser for finishing 104 places above me in the 2018 CBX Guru Contest! <cite>Cavedweller2000 posted [p:938979527] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>I'm on course for a 40 today, but I can still hit 700 with a 48 and a 47 in the final 2 matches. So I reckon it's about 715 for the highest I had BOTW with 58% today (failed to take SFF into consideration) :( Got Witcher 3 with 54% tomorrow and BOTW with 59% in final </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
GoldSlime35 05/14/20 12:36:57 AM #17:	iGenesis posted... A winning score above 700 would imply a mean absolute error of just over 3% across the 15 matches. Seems overly optimistic to me, even if the rest of the tournament does proceed as Board 8 expects. I like how you thought our picks averaging 47 were too optimistic, then wound up achieving it yourself. Anyway, the winning score was 717. 14 brackets averaged 47, including TRE's Board Odds Project. 27 brackets cracked 700. tennisboy wins this mini contest with a perfect prediction. <cite>GoldSlime35 posted [p:939124673] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>iGenesis posted... </cite> <quote>A winning score above 700 would imply a mean absolute error of just over 3% across the 15 matches. Seems overly optimistic to me, even if the rest of the tournament does proceed as Board 8 expects.</quote> I like how you thought our picks averaging 47 were too optimistic, then wound up achieving it yourself. Anyway, the winning score was 717. 14 brackets averaged 47, including TRE's Board Odds Project. 27 brackets cracked 700. tennisboy wins this mini contest with a perfect prediction. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
fortybelowsummer 05/14/20 12:57:50 AM #18:	tennisboy213 posted... 717 Aw snap --- Serenity Now! <cite>fortybelowsummer posted [p:939125322] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>tennisboy213 posted... </cite> <quote>717</quote>Aw snap </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
iGenesis 05/14/20 1:48:54 AM #19:	GoldSlime35 posted... I like how you thought our picks averaging 47 were too optimistic, then wound up achieving it yourself. Right, I was quite surprised! Usually every contest has some late-round surprise that ends up screwing over a lot of brackets. (For example, Zelda the character beating Mario in CBX) --- 2012 U_U 2017 X_X <cite>iGenesis posted [p:939126794] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>GoldSlime35 posted... </cite> <quote>I like how you thought our picks averaging 47 were too optimistic, then wound up achieving it yourself.</quote>Right, I was quite surprised! Usually every contest has some late-round surprise that ends up screwing over a lot of brackets. (For example, Zelda the character beating Mario in CBX) </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
ctesjbuvf 05/14/20 4:48:24 AM #20:	GoldSlime35 posted... 14 brackets averaged 47 Proud to be the best bracket that did not do that. --- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to azuarc, the winner of the Game of the Decade II guru contest. <cite>ctesjbuvf posted [p:939130463] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>GoldSlime35 posted... </cite> <quote>14 brackets averaged 47</quote> Proud to be the best bracket that did not do that. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
tennisboy213 05/14/20 5:39:15 AM #21:	yes! --- Congratulations to Game of the Decade 2 Guru winner, AND sitewide contest winner, azuarc! <cite>tennisboy213 posted [p:939131381] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>yes! </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
shane15 05/14/20 5:44:29 AM #22:	This ended up being a lot easier than i thought it'd be. --- http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/330/958/a5b.gif <cite>shane15 posted [p:939131485] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>This ended up being a lot easier than i thought it'd be. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Jdsmart 05/14/20 12:13:47 PM #23:	tennisboy213 posted... 717 Nice! --- azuarc is my superior. <cite>Jdsmart posted [p:939143605] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>tennisboy213 posted... </cite> <quote>717</quote> Nice! </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Glenn_and_Toad 05/14/20 12:52:28 PM #24:	tennisboy213 posted... 717 ok that was pretty good --- Congratulations to azurac, Guru and contest champion Contests are fun! <cite>Glenn_and_Toad posted [p:939145562] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote> tennisboy213 posted... </cite> <quote>717</quote> ok that was pretty good </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Cavedweller2000 05/15/20 4:23:40 AM #25:	Cavedweller2000 posted... So I reckon it's about 715 for the highest Damn, so close --- Well done to azuarc for finishing 67 places above me in the 2020 GOTD Guru Contest! <cite>Cavedweller2000 posted [p:939184203] in Predict th... [t:78656717]...</cite> <quote>Cavedweller2000 posted... </cite> <quote>So I reckon it's about 715 for the highest</quote> Damn, so close </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Board 8 > Predict the winning score in the Second Chance Contest (+) Yeah! (+)

Board 8 > Predict the winning score in the Second Chance Contest