Board 8 > Game of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4

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Master Moltar
04/16/20 6:17:21 PM
#1:


Hey everyone! The Contest Analysis Crew is back at it again, and this time, were going to write a lot of words about the second Game of the Decade Contest.

If youre new here, the Contest Analysis Crew has been running strong since 2004. Its a group of (self-proclaimed) contest experts that take a deep look at all of the matches in the Contest. We make predictions on who we think will win and how much percentage theyll receive. Its a lot of fun and I hope you enjoy the ride!

Current Guest List: Send write-ups to [email protected]

Dark Souls vs. Rocket League - MetalmindStats
Yakuza 0 vs. Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain - MechanicalWall
Batman: Arkham City vs. BioShock Infinite -
Diablo III vs. The Last of Us -

The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim vs. Journey - TsunamiXXVIII
Final Fantasy XIV Online: A Realm Reborn vs. Mario Kart 8 - Sniperdog117
Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version vs. Rayman Legends - Hbthebattle
Divinity: Original Sin II vs. NieR: Automata - ctes

____________________________________________________________________________

*~CREW STRANDING~*





???: La la la la



???: Lala la lala la la



???: La la la la la





???: I cant wait to see you again.

____________________________________________________________________________

Moltar: Finally made it to Nintendo Knot City, man that was rough. Alright, let me just connect to this terminal here and



???: Hey, whos there?

Moltar: Its Santa, Ive come bearing gifts to the people of Nintendo Knot City. Have you been a good boy, Kleenex?

Kleenex: Oooh really?! Yes I have Santa!

Moltar: ...wait is this guy for real

EPISODE 3

KLEENEX

Kleenex: Alright let me see here...These supplies look to be in rough shape.

Moltar: Dude it was hell trying to get here. So many TROLLS in the area.

Kleenex: Ah yes, you came here from Square Knot City right? There are known to be many TROLLS wandering between these two regions.

Moltar: Tell me about it.

Kleenex: You really are brave to make the trip here. These goods are still very usable, thank you so much for bringing them here.

Moltar: I assume a thanks is all Im going to get, so can you at least do me a favor and connect to the network.

Kleenex: Hmmm.I guess it wouldnt hurt. I mean we dont want to be lagging behind Square Knot City.

Moltar: Feels like you two cities are competing for some reason.

Kleenex: Well theres more of us here! And were better than them, so we need more supplies!

Moltar: Yeah take that issue up with someone who cares.



Allen: And with that, Nintendo Knot City is connected to the network. Well done, now most of GameFAQs has been reconnected.

Moltar: Alright boss now tell me how to finish this little quest.

Allen: Your last delivery will be to Indie Knot City. Its a small place in an obscure place, but it is still a very much vital location.

Kleenex: Going to Indie Knot City? Oh man and you thought getting here was rough.

Moltar: Of course things would get even more difficult.

Kleenex: Dude Ive heard some bad rumors out there. Stuff even worse than TROLLS. People that tried to travel there get caught up in and swallowed by BTs.

Moltar: What the hell is a BT?

Kleenex: I mean...Ive never seen one here in Nintendo Knot City, so I cant tell you exactly what it is. Ive just heard scary stuff about them.

Allen: Dont let those rumors stop you from completing your mission. Ive sent the packages to you, now go and deliver them to transience at Indie Knot City as soon as possible. Remember, you are GameFAQs last hope. We are counting on you.

Moltar: I have a bad feeling about this...

*~CREW STRANDING~*


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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 6:19:40 PM
#2:


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Dr_Football
04/16/20 6:21:41 PM
#3:


Lets go Animal Crossing crew curse

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Advokaiser won the Guru. I did not.
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Master Moltar
04/16/20 6:24:21 PM
#4:


Oh Sonic Mania can still win (I wish Meat Boy had did a bit better against Slay the Spire) but the writeups for it exude a lack of confidence. I've seen the "well Entrant A did way worse than I expected it to, but it totally still has the juice, it wins with 51%" song and dance many times before!

I only abandon my bracket when I know for a fact its hosed on a match (like with FE:A/Bloodborne earlier). Like Leon said I wouldn't be confident about picking either game here (and trust me I definitely considered SMB even in the middle of writing it).

Funny enough after seeing the other write-ups I feel better about Sonic Mania now but we'll see!

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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Nintendogs
04/16/20 6:26:57 PM
#5:


I have no clue why I put roman numerals at the end of my analysis.
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transience
04/16/20 6:38:34 PM
#6:


the crew would have all flipped if SMB had put up better than 69% on a low to bottom tier indie game.

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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 6:42:28 PM
#7:


I just wonder if Meat Boy will be any better than VVVVVV, Bastion, or Binding of Isaac.

Of course, I could see Sonic Mania losing to something like Bastion, too, though!
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ZeldaTPLink
04/16/20 6:52:33 PM
#8:


Now the RDR2 vs AC one, that feels like a crew curse.
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 6:52:59 PM
#9:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
Now the RDR2 vs AC one, that feels like a crew curse.


you guys are seriously underestimating how badly Street Fighter V is going to suck
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ZeldaTPLink
04/16/20 6:53:52 PM
#10:


LeonhartFour posted...
you guys are seriously underestimating how badly Street Fighter V is going to suck

It's the tone that is curse-y. The whole crew is like "I'm afraid of this game but..... nah"
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 6:54:45 PM
#11:


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transience
04/16/20 6:54:51 PM
#12:


I'm the only one actually afraid of Animal Crossing

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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 6:56:30 PM
#13:


man I just realized we're almost at the end of four matches per day

thank goodness
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transience
04/16/20 6:58:38 PM
#14:


trust me I have been counting down the days!

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xyzzy
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LordOfDabu
04/16/20 7:04:46 PM
#15:


Animal Crossing is huge right now. My wife normally couldn't care less about video game websites, and yet she is reading the GameFAQs animal crossing message boards.

Will these new animal crossing fans actually vote in the poll of the day? Probably not, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if they did and it pulled off the upset.

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Think fast. Click faster.
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ctesjbuvf
04/16/20 7:06:47 PM
#16:


Maybe if it was a close match before New Horizons.

I'll swallow my pride if I have to, but I don't think there's any way New Leaf pulls it off.

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Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
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MetalmindStats
04/16/20 7:23:18 PM
#17:


Anyway, I dont see GameFAQs liking something as sequel heavy and mainstream as AC, especially with Royal coming out recently, so I expect something like a tripling.
Civ 5 barely being worth 20% on Persona 5 less than five years after it almost avoided a doubling from Dark Souls strains the bounds of credibility. It's possible, even likely that Civ 5 has dropped off since 2015, and maybe it will also look worse than it should because of ACIV bracket/apathy votes disappearing in this match. Still, I can't see it falling to this extent.

SMB looked better against Slay the Spire than Mania did against a jRPG title whose series I would have never have even heard of had it not been for this board. I have at least seen Slay the Spire mentioned/played elsewhere on the web.
Ok, but this is JRPGFAQs we're talking about. Sure, Slay the Spire is easily the more notable piece of fodder in the Western gaming community as a whole, but I'd take it to be exactly the other way around here on GameFAQs. In fact, I would not be surprised if Ys VIII approached the doubling on Slay the Spire, just as the weaker weeb-oriented Danganrompa 2 would on the weaker indie turbofodder Inside through RE2/Doom extrapolation. Combine that with the apathy votes likely to come Sonic's way in a match between two retro platformers, only one of which has a relevant brand name, and I'm actually confident in Sonic getting the job done here.

Also, anyone who thinks the Castlevania Netflix series significantly boosted Alucard and Simon's strength last contest really should be taking Sonic in this match.

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"I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do."
You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you!
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squexa
04/16/20 7:41:53 PM
#18:


I feel like the AC/RDR2 match is a trap.

The more I look at it the more underwhelming 66.5% on SFV seem, especially given how terrible MK11 and Tekken 7 both looked first round. Now, I don't know about fighting games, but I know SFV is one of the hated fighting games ever, so I really can't see RDR2 dropping the ball here and letting it get close. Or else it's in a world of pain next round.

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:01:46 PM
#19:


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squexa
04/16/20 8:03:32 PM
#20:


Oh my dear god!

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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transcience
04/16/20 8:04:30 PM
#21:


huh, nothing makes sense

like red dead winning the board vote over animal crossing

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add the c and back away
iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:05:08 PM
#22:


transcience posted...
huh, nothing makes sense

like red dead winning the board vote over animal crossing


More B8ers were freaking out about AC winning than we thought!

seriously we will always vote brackets if we are scared of losing
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:05:46 PM
#23:


also who would have guessed that Portal 2/RDR2 would come down to who would win between KH3 and New Leaf
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squexa
04/16/20 8:05:57 PM
#24:


Other than the Persona match, none of the other matches make any sense to me...

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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transcience
04/16/20 8:06:11 PM
#25:


how about ys besting super meat boy? this gets closer but whoa

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iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:06:39 PM
#26:


transcience posted...
how about ys besting super meat boy? this gets closer but whoa


looks like Meat Boy is down there with VVVVVV after all
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KamikazePotato
04/16/20 8:07:51 PM
#27:


The original vanguard of indie games like VVVVVV, Super Meat Boy, Binding of Isaac, and Bastion (even though it got a win) have more or less proven themselves to be worthless. GameFAQs has no nostalgia for that era.

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It's Reyn Time.
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squexa
04/16/20 8:08:10 PM
#28:


LeonhartFour posted...
looks like Meat Boy is down there with VVVVVV after all

How is Ys so legit though? Trails looked terrible to the point where Bastion of all things can double it, but I guess there's a TON of SFF in that DQ match.

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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Mac Arrowny
04/16/20 8:08:54 PM
#29:


Why do people keep refusing to believe that Ys 8 is decent? It's way bigger than any Trails game.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
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transcience
04/16/20 8:09:30 PM
#30:


because it isnt!

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iphonesience
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The Mana Sword
04/16/20 8:09:50 PM
#31:


indie games are all frauds

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transience
04/16/20 8:17:12 PM
#32:


yeah, while I don't think much of ys, I knew that slay the spire was bottom tier.

now that we've seen two rounds of most of our indie games, I guess we can tier them properly, huh? maybe we need games like ff15 and three houses to show us what they're worth before doing that though.

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xyzzy
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Mac Arrowny
04/16/20 8:18:10 PM
#33:


Again, Ys 8 would crush any other Ys game! It's the only game in the series with some level of mainstream success.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
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squexa
04/16/20 8:19:45 PM
#34:


Mac Arrowny posted...
Why do people keep refusing to believe that Ys 8 is decent? It's way bigger than any Trails game.

For me, it's because I've never heard of Ys and I've heard of Trails and other really obscure JRPG series like Lunar and Shining, so I assumed it must be weak. Did Ys blow up with 8 or was it always this level? Like I'm legitimately shocked by this result. There's probably some SFF here, but idk how many people would take Ys > Super Meat Boy pre contest.

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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transience
04/16/20 8:21:09 PM
#35:


what if

okay hang with me here

what wins, black flag or super meat boy

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xyzzy
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DoctorJimmy133
04/16/20 8:21:18 PM
#36:


The Mana Sword posted...
indie games are all frauds
Makes me think that FFXV, SMG2 and Shovel Knight are going to get butchered even worse than expected next round, resulting in Shovel Knight, Undertale, Hollow Knight, Stardew Valley and Super Meat Boy all looking depressingly weak. Bleh.

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Advokaiser is the man. Congrats!
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:21:46 PM
#37:


transience posted...
what if

okay hang with me here

what wins, black flag or super meat boy


Black Flag is more likely to beat Sonic Mania than lose to Super Meat Boy!

but I'd be glad if it were debatable...!
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transience
04/16/20 8:23:08 PM
#38:


I think I'm putting Stardew as the top indie game..?

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xyzzy
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ZeldaTPLink
04/16/20 8:27:09 PM
#39:


So

Slay the Spire vs INSIDE who do ya got
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:36:50 PM
#40:


transience posted...
I think I'm putting Stardew as the top indie game..?


I want to wait to see what Witcher 3 does to Galaxy 2 next round before I crown it the top indie game
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transcience
04/16/20 8:36:56 PM
#41:


well, I guess this puts the Persona/GTA matchup a little more in doubt?

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iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:38:36 PM
#42:


transcience posted...
well, I guess this puts the Persona/GTA matchup a little more in doubt?


In what sense? In favor of GTA?

Animal Crossing is weird right now. I'd feel hesitant basing anything off of it this year.
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transcience
04/16/20 8:40:43 PM
#43:


nah, in favor of Persona. P5 looks pretty good

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iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:41:35 PM
#44:


Oh, I thought you were talking about RDR2 making RDR1 look worse.

Persona 5 is absolutely a beast though. I'm not sure how much it means for P4G though.
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DoctorJimmy133
04/16/20 8:41:42 PM
#45:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
So

Slay the Spire vs INSIDE who do ya got
If they are equal, then DOOM approximately doubles Sonic Mania

So I think Spire wins

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Advokaiser is the man. Congrats!
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transience
04/16/20 8:42:50 PM
#46:


I also think more of Animal Crossing than you do, so I see this as a decent RDR performance

I'm really not sure what to make of the GTA5/P4 matchup, and these indies bombing left and right don't make me feel like that 60% on Cuphead is super great? I don't know. that matchup fascinates me.

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xyzzy
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Sniperdog117
04/16/20 8:43:56 PM
#47:


Oh wow this looks pretty good for Ys VIII. I mean it's still fodder but I'm happy to see it not be complete fodder.

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Papaopamus?
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LeonhartFour
04/16/20 8:44:36 PM
#48:


Nah, I admit I was wrong about Animal Crossing. This says more about it than it does RDR2. I just wasn't sure what result you were referring to!

although I'm skeptical about RDR being the stronger name brand than GTA here because I'm still not seeing it
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transience
04/16/20 8:45:26 PM
#49:


RDR over GTA is a long standing take of mine that probably needs revising. I guess we'll find out in a week though!

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xyzzy
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KamikazePotato
04/16/20 8:45:43 PM
#50:


Super Meat Boy is the only indie game this round that I would say bombed. I thought all the others did pretty good.

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