Board 8 > Save My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XXI: Day 52 [smfffc]

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th3l3fty
09/15/19 7:27:04 PM
#201:


th3l3fty posted...
the average difference between a character's overall STATS and newSTATS is roughly 7%, with differences ranging from 0.06% to 18.03%


now fielding guesses on who those two characters are
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th3l3fty
09/15/19 7:54:33 PM
#202:


49. Rufus Shinra

CVIII - 64/75
CIX - 23/75
CX - 60/75
CXI - 24/75
CXII - 40/75
CXIII - 44/75
CXIV - 94/102 (Booted)
CXVI - 51/100
CXVII - 8/100
CXVIII - 51/100
CXIX - 70/100
CXX - 75/100
CXXI - 49/100

Rufus is in one of the more unfortunate positions of any character - he has no primary supporter and is part of the biggest bloc in the contest, prime conditions for a lot of mid-contest drops. He gets a minor STATS boost, rising 0.62% to 44.52% and up three spots to 68th. He gains a bit more in the newSTATS, gaining 1.26% to 44.40%, and climbing two spots to 65th.
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MartinFF7
09/15/19 8:35:47 PM
#203:


lefty: you know this situation is different than boots, there is so much dedicated + rando Auron support now. And I mean, who would save Eiko over Auron! (don't answer that)

Also I'm guessing Selphie for the large difference and Lightning for the small one?

TonyKhanMan posted...
I just want to say Im really pissed at the VII brigade here....

That should have been an easy Cloud for Rufus save.

And leave Cid H hanging? I couldn't take it... it was an unlucky day since we were missing a few other folks too.

v_charon posted...
It was a trade with Genny. She'd have Auron and not Rufus. I was hoping to get another save.

Ah yeah, that makes sense. It was a tough break, but nice improvement over last year, I remember that 75th place since that's around when I started actively participating (and made a hilarious and very public mistake, ah...)

And for next year, Rufus will be in the remake so I still believe in the remake boost for him too!!
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TonyKhanMan
09/15/19 8:45:22 PM
#204:


MartinFF7 posted...
lefty: you know this situation is different than boots, there is so much dedicated + rando Auron support now. And I mean, who would save Eiko over Auron! (don't answer that)

Also I'm guessing Selphie for the large difference and Lightning for the small one?

TonyKhanMan posted...
I just want to say Im really pissed at the VII brigade here....

That should have been an easy Cloud for Rufus save.

And leave Cid H hanging? I couldn't take it... it was an unlucky day since we were missing a few other folks too.

v_charon posted...
It was a trade with Genny. She'd have Auron and not Rufus. I was hoping to get another save.

Ah yeah, that makes sense. It was a tough break, but nice improvement over last year, I remember that 75th place since that's around when I started actively participating (and made a hilarious and very public mistake, ah...)

And for next year, Rufus will be in the remake so I still believe in the remake boost for him too!!


Everyone except Cloud (already strong and with a Title) and Zack (same) that are in the game are going to get the same boost though...

Poor Cissnei.
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MartinFF7
09/15/19 8:56:06 PM
#205:


Ah I totally misread your post, you're right.

Poor Cissnei is even more right.
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MZero11
09/15/19 8:58:48 PM
#206:


th3l3fty posted...
th3l3fty posted...
the average difference between a character's overall STATS and newSTATS is roughly 7%, with differences ranging from 0.06% to 18.03%


now fielding guesses on who those two characters are


Cecil and Auron
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Grimlyn
09/15/19 10:59:27 PM
#207:


alright I'm home and updated the database

as for the precum i mentioned last topic it was for this page I'm working on:

https://gmun.moe/savemy/record.php?search=wiegraf

for now it only works for searching saves, not savers or sources, but they will get around to similar kinds of tables
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th3l3fty
09/15/19 11:57:16 PM
#208:


best guesses so far are Lightning (0.76%) and Terra (14.18%)

worst guess is Selphie, who, despite her triple boot streak, only has a difference of 1.65%
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swordz9
09/16/19 12:00:13 AM
#209:


My guess is Squall
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MZero11
09/16/19 12:00:51 AM
#210:


Zidane and Kuja
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Janus5k
09/16/19 12:00:55 AM
#211:


the largest gap could be Kuja but if it is I don't want to know

edit: actually Squall is a good guess, I forgot gaps can be good things
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th3l3fty
09/16/19 12:02:28 AM
#212:


swordz9 posted...
My guess is Squall

Squall is correct!

his lowest placement since CXIII is 12th, which puts his newSTATS obscenely high compared to his overall numbers
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pjbasis
09/16/19 12:23:26 AM
#213:


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v_charon
09/16/19 12:29:20 AM
#214:


TonyKhanMan posted...

Poor Cissnei.


This contest functions by characters having a main saver, and as lefty alluded to Rufus hasn't ever really had that. The closest thing was ahirsch. He can really only succeed if he just outlasts stuff like Cissnei, which is very rare considering he lacks someone to main him before he gets eliminated. In essence, it'll never be "poor Cissnei" because she'll always have someone to make sure she doesn't get eliminated this low. A boost based on the remake will be pretty useless for anyone from VII unless it makes a new main saver out of them; this is SMFFFC, not Character Battle.
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GuessMyUserName
09/16/19 12:35:57 AM
#215:


is marche the worst drop
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MartinFF7
09/16/19 12:38:50 AM
#216:


Yeah I guess v_charon's right, Rufus's strong performance was a byproduct of him already having lost his other characters so being able to dedicate more saves to him. Probably a soft boot next year.

And yet, I still want to believe though! All we need is a new contest and the remake brings in fresh blood.... where's the damn bracket!!!

th3l3fty posted...
worst guess is Selphie, who, despite her triple boot streak, only has a difference of 1.65%

pikachuface.png

damn... what contest do "newstats" start counting from again?
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mnkboy907
09/16/19 12:39:55 AM
#217:


Marche doesn't even have newSTATS does he?
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GuessMyUserName
09/16/19 12:44:52 AM
#218:


i always assumed newSTATS had lower rquirement since it's 13 less contests but i guess we do have like 8 'newstats' ones now

... still.. that 4 requirement is like half of all newSTATS contests. I imagine that would boot out a lot of people from newSTATS who are in oldSTATS?

... but really I just assumed oldSTATS qualifications would just work for newSTATSers
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pjbasis
09/16/19 1:10:09 AM
#219:


I think newSTATS were supposed to represent a new era and voting base

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v_charon
09/16/19 1:17:29 AM
#220:


Marche didn't stay around very long after his win so yeah, there's no way he has stats at all for that comparison.
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TonyKhanMan
09/16/19 1:34:07 AM
#221:


So are the answers Cecil and Squall then, as it seems to be. Cause those would have been my guesses.

(Next would have been Kefka and Cloud, who didnt seem to have much success at first, but has now been to 2 Championship matches, with a win, and numerous top 20s since then.
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GuessMyUserName
09/16/19 8:21:31 AM
#222:


v_charon posted...
Marche didn't stay around very long after his win so yeah, there's no way he has stats at all for that comparison.

I mean, he's still up to 3 contests in the new era so he's not as far off as you make it sound!

https://gmun.moe/savemy/record.php?search=marche&type=save&contest=SMFFFC&runfrom=14

TonyKhanMan posted...
So are the answers Cecil and Squall then, as it seems to be. Cause those would have been my guesses.

th3l3fty posted...
best guesses so far are Lightning (0.76%)

this guess wasn't trounced for the barely changed character, Cecil's like +1.27
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th3l3fty
09/16/19 8:49:06 AM
#223:


to be honest, I didn't expect the low difference character to be guessed because of how improbable it is

and yes, I went with four contests because 1) consistency, and 2) half of all contests was the original STATS standard
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Grimlyn
09/16/19 8:51:05 AM
#224:


I guess least changed would be someone who only has 1 contest within the oldSTATS range... so the SMFFFC-XIII newcomers

aka these guys

mpulYW7

(Vanille was the last newcomer so didn't need to screenshot further)
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th3l3fty
09/16/19 8:56:45 AM
#225:


Grimlyn posted...
I guess least changed would be someone who only has 1 contest within the oldSTATS range... so the SMFFFC-XIII newcomers

this seems like a good place to start, yes

which is why the correct answer is so ridiculously unexpected
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Grimlyn
09/16/19 9:03:48 AM
#226:


damn consistent bastard, an all contests club then
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LiquidOshawott
09/16/19 9:06:17 AM
#227:


Its probably someone random like Cyan or Cid H

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th3l3fty
09/16/19 9:21:18 AM
#228:


Grimlyn posted...
damn consistent bastard, an all contests club then

much warmer
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GenesisSaga
09/16/19 9:39:28 AM
#229:


I can't imagine who this character is, but I wouldn't have guessed Squall for highest either. I can't remember a time when Squall didn't do consistently well because I joined smiffic after the RayTan era.
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Grimlyn
09/16/19 10:01:45 AM
#230:


I guess the one that's won in both eras, Vivi
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th3l3fty
09/16/19 10:09:48 AM
#231:


it is, in fact, Vivi - in the last eight contests, his STATS have gone up a grand total of 0.03%

for the record, Cyan is a very good guess at 0.2%, which was second-closest when I mentioned it... and then immediately bumped down by Rufus's numbers converging to 0.12% apart
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TonyKhanMan
09/16/19 10:31:55 AM
#232:


th3l3fty posted...
it is, in fact, Vivi - in the last eight contests, his STATS have gone up a grand total of 0.03%

for the record, Cyan is a very good guess at 0.2%, which was second-closest when I mentioned it... and then immediately bumped down by Rufus's numbers converging to 0.12% apart


Who is after Squall on the other end?
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th3l3fty
09/16/19 10:44:24 AM
#233:


the second-biggest gap (and biggest drop) is 17.37% from Reno, who is averaging a soft boot in the newSTATS
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MartinFF7
09/16/19 11:37:20 AM
#234:


oh yeah, long-ago Reno was best Reno, makes sense.

Well, another prime candidate for...remake boost!!!
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GenesisSaga
09/16/19 12:37:52 PM
#235:


Do you really believe the RE:make is going to do all that much for any FFVII character?
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swordz9
09/16/19 12:38:29 PM
#236:


GenesisSaga posted...
Do you really believe the RE:make is going to do all that much for any FFVII character?

Don Corneo for sure
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Grimlyn
09/16/19 12:40:12 PM
#237:


don corneo boost for sure

well getting in would be a boost but yeah
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LiquidOshawott
09/16/19 12:46:51 PM
#238:


Mark Hamill the greatest

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MartinFF7
09/16/19 12:46:58 PM
#239:


GenesisSaga posted...
Do you really believe the RE:make is going to do all that much for any FFVII character?

yeah not really, and yet...

c06mMxF
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Gatarix
09/16/19 1:13:41 PM
#240:


I can't see the remake changing things at all. Everyone has basically made up their mind on the characters, and seeing them again in prettier graphics isn't going to affect that.

idk maybe I'm underestimating the Heroic Mario factor
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KommunistKoala
09/16/19 1:25:05 PM
#241:


im totally gonna save Vincent, among other FF7 characters, after the remake
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#242
Post #242 was unavailable or deleted.
Steiner
09/16/19 1:46:43 PM
#243:


Gatarix posted...
I can't see the remake changing things at all. Everyone has basically made up their mind on the characters, and seeing them again in prettier graphics isn't going to affect that.


i already like barret more just from the trailers. minor characters now speaking and having a voice is going to make them much more votable next year too.

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Steiner
09/16/19 1:47:16 PM
#244:


th3l3fty posted...
the second-biggest gap (and biggest drop) is 17.37% from Reno, who is averaging a soft boot in the newSTATS


fk

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mnkboy907
09/16/19 1:55:42 PM
#245:


The new SOLDIER guy's probably gonna get in.
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LiquidOshawott
09/16/19 2:04:29 PM
#246:


Wait

did the Midgar Zolom ever get in?

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mnkboy907
09/16/19 2:06:46 PM
#247:


Midgar Zolom is a generic enemy sadly.
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TheArkOfTurus
09/16/19 2:14:32 PM
#248:


Has Jessie ever gotten in one of these? I can see her getting a boost of some kind.
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Maniac64
09/16/19 2:36:00 PM
#249:


TheArkOfTurus posted...
Has Jessie ever gotten in one of these? I can see her getting a boost of some kind.

Yeah the other Avalanche people probably have the best shot.
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Grimlyn
09/16/19 3:07:11 PM
#250:


put in some saver charts

https://gmun.moe/savemy/record.php?search=Grimlyn&type=saver&contest=SMFFFC

so far lists your stats for source/series frequencies, for individual characters, and a list of all your saves for auditing

as you can tell from that test, searching the name of a registered alt account ( http://gmun.moe/savemy/alts.php ) should work too

probably get to the equivalent Source charts next, but later come back to implement a points system to the savers stats, like I've had in botcontests
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