Current Events > state election forecasts, what does your state say

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Balrog0
06/25/18 4:05:39 PM
#1:


http://www.governing.com/topics/politics/gov-state-races-handicapping-election-2018-governor-sos-ag-legislative.html

All safe republican for me here in Arkansas, except our secretary of state race which is likely Republican
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scorpion41
06/25/18 4:06:51 PM
#2:


Louisiana is going hard Republican, except for the obvious districts...
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emblem boy
06/25/18 4:08:58 PM
#3:


This topic reminded me that I forgot to vote for the primaries here in Denver. And I'm on travel for work all of this week.

I even got my mail in ballots like 2 weeks ago and remembered yesterday but then it slipped my mind.
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southcoast09
06/25/18 4:09:59 PM
#4:


I *really* hope this Jared Polis guy loses. He openly says he wants friction with the federal government and hes a typical dumbass.
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FL81
06/25/18 4:10:16 PM
#5:


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Doom_Art
06/25/18 4:13:23 PM
#6:


southcoast09 posted...
He openly says he wants friction with the federal government

I thought conservatives loved a federal government that's inefficient and bogged by fighting?

I'm not making stuff up either I've literally seen people on this forum say that
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BWLurker2
06/25/18 4:14:47 PM
#7:


Mass

Solid blue except Governor which says "likely", but I'd consider safe. Mass loves Baker, pretty sure he's the most (or at least top 3)popular Republican governor countrywide.
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Balrog0
06/25/18 4:17:12 PM
#8:


BWLurker2 posted...
Mass

Solid blue except Governor which says "likely", but I'd consider safe. Mass loves Baker, pretty sure he's the most (or at least top 3)popular Republican governor countrywide.


iirc, he is the most popular governor in america, period
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Gheb
06/25/18 4:25:23 PM
#9:


Lean Republican for Kansas Governor. Probably depends on if Kobach wins the primary or not. Brownback was the most hated governor in America for two years running. Kobach is basically Brownback on steroids and doesn't even hide it. If he wins the primary, I wouldn't be shocked to see a Democrat elected.

Probably red for everything else.
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BWLurker2
06/25/18 4:26:17 PM
#10:


Balrog0 posted...
BWLurker2 posted...
Mass

Solid blue except Governor which says "likely", but I'd consider safe. Mass loves Baker, pretty sure he's the most (or at least top 3)popular Republican governor countrywide.


iirc, he is the most popular governor in america, period

He really is great. Republicans (and democrats) could learn from his examples of compromise and reaching across the aisle.
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pogo_rabid
06/25/18 4:27:55 PM
#11:


CT a tossup.

Speaking as a Dem, I wouldn't even be mad if Malloy got his ass kicked to the curb. He's a real piece of shit.
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Fuparulez
06/25/18 4:28:31 PM
#12:


New Jersey. The Republicans say they're going to do what's right and then turn around and screw us, the Democrats blatantly say straight up they're going to screw us, somehow win anyway and then go ahead and screw us. Our current governor literally ran on more gun control, more unemployment, more taxes and more illegal aliens and won by a mile.
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Doom_Art
06/25/18 4:32:52 PM
#13:


Fuparulez posted...
Our current governor literally ran on more gun control, more unemployment, more taxes and more illegal aliens

you sure seem unbiased
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Balrog0
06/25/18 4:34:03 PM
#14:


pogo_rabid posted...
CT a tossup.

Speaking as a Dem, I wouldn't even be mad if Malloy got his ass kicked to the curb. He's a real piece of shit.


he is like the 2nd least popular governor in america lol

so I believe it
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Zikten
06/25/18 4:34:35 PM
#15:


Alaska

Governor: Independent

Attorney General: no election

Secretary of state: no election

House of representatives lean democrat

senate safe republican

alaska doesn't seem to be all that exciting in politics
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Sayoria
06/25/18 4:36:58 PM
#16:


This map seems off. I agree with the Massachusetts views (We like Baker except for the MBTA issues) but places like Tennessee being "SAFE" for GOP senate is kind of off. That should be more of a Lean GOP. There are a few places where there should be less SAFEs and more Leans.
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Balrog0
06/25/18 4:42:19 PM
#17:


Sayoria posted...
This map seems off. I agree with the Massachusetts views (We like Baker except for the MBTA issues) but places like Tennessee being "SAFE" for GOP senate is kind of off. That should be more of a Lean GOP. There are a few places where there should be less SAFEs and more Leans.


in this context, they are talking about the state senate and not the senate election to US congress
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FLUFFYGERM
06/25/18 4:43:14 PM
#18:


Unfortunately Illinois appears to remain a solid blue.
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Were_Wyrm
06/25/18 4:50:31 PM
#19:


Gheb posted...
Lean Republican for Kansas Governor. Probably depends on if Kobach wins the primary or not. Brownback was the most hated governor in America for two years running. Kobach is basically Brownback on steroids and doesn't even hide it. If he wins the primary, I wouldn't be shocked to see a Democrat elected.

Probably red for everything else.

It all comes down to what Orman does, if he tells the Dems to piss off like he did in 2014 it'll be an easy win for republicans. Right now it looks like he's going to have them bent over a barrel again.
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Gheb
06/25/18 4:53:58 PM
#20:


Were_Wyrm posted...
Gheb posted...
Lean Republican for Kansas Governor. Probably depends on if Kobach wins the primary or not. Brownback was the most hated governor in America for two years running. Kobach is basically Brownback on steroids and doesn't even hide it. If he wins the primary, I wouldn't be shocked to see a Democrat elected.

Probably red for everything else.

It all comes down to what Orman does, if he tells the Dems to piss off like he did in 2014 it'll be an easy win for republicans. Right now it looks like he's going to have them bent over a barrel again.

True. Orman has enough support to thoroughly split the moderate and left votes and ensure a Republican win.
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pogo_rabid
06/25/18 9:23:58 PM
#21:


Balrog0 posted...
pogo_rabid posted...
CT a tossup.

Speaking as a Dem, I wouldn't even be mad if Malloy got his ass kicked to the curb. He's a real piece of shit.


he is like the 2nd least popular governor in america lol

so I believe it

He's literally refusing to go for MJ legislation (even though NY and MA will get it), because he's deluded enough to try for a presidential run.

The state is already billions in debt and he's taking another source of tax revenue and just handing it over to MA and NY.

I hope he get hit by lightning.
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Doom_Art
06/25/18 9:27:23 PM
#22:


pogo_rabid posted...
because he's deluded enough to try for a presidential run.

It'll be fun when he finishes last in the Iowa caucuses
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prince_leo
06/25/18 9:28:58 PM
#23:


FL
likely republican in the House, tossup everywhere else
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Butterfiles
06/25/18 9:30:47 PM
#24:


mine says "california"
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P4wn4g3
06/25/18 9:31:38 PM
#25:


NM will be hard Democrat, except maybe AG, didn't realize that was coming up. Nobody anywhere likes Suzana Martinez, mainly we just wanted to do away with Bill Richardson.
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Tmaster148
06/25/18 9:32:01 PM
#26:


NY.

Likely Democrat except Senate is Tossup and House is Safe.

I kinda already expect NY to go democrat for most things. Though locally I think where I live is more Republican.
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hockeybub89
06/25/18 9:32:13 PM
#27:


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