Current Events > CNN poll reveals 11 year high for number of people optimistic about America.

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Bestoffuture
05/14/18 7:51:48 PM
#1:


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#2
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silentwing26x
05/14/18 7:53:32 PM
#3:


JustMyOpinion posted...
Hmmmm.
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DifferentialEquation
05/14/18 7:54:49 PM
#4:


A big part of that is because Obama hated America and despised western culture/values in general whereas Trump loves this country.
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Muffinz0rz
05/14/18 7:56:27 PM
#5:


silentwing26x posted...
JustMyOpinion posted...
Hmmmm.

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Manocheese
05/14/18 7:56:53 PM
#6:


#MakeAmericaGreatAgain
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Bestoffuture
05/15/18 2:16:30 PM
#7:


Manocheese posted...
#MakeAmericaGreatAgain

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_BlueMonk
05/15/18 2:17:22 PM
#8:


1000 people sample for a nation of 325 million

yeah.

okay.
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Sayoria
05/15/18 2:22:21 PM
#9:


It's because we have more uneducated people in this country than we do educated, and that's getting scary. Nazis were stupid Germans who followed a man with an idea.
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Darkman124
05/15/18 2:23:09 PM
#10:


_BlueMonk posted...
yeah.

okay.


that is how random sample methodology works, yes. or are you shitposting?
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HypnoCoosh
05/15/18 2:23:10 PM
#11:


_BlueMonk posted...
.

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Balrog0
05/15/18 2:26:06 PM
#12:


makes sense

obama takes over at the beginning of a recession
trump takes over as the recovery has already occurred

it does seem to me to be an important thing for democrats to consider going into 2018 tho
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Solar_Crimson
05/15/18 2:27:26 PM
#13:


Muffinz0rz posted...
silentwing26x posted...
JustMyOpinion posted...
Hmmmm.

I guess polls matter again.
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Bishop9800
05/15/18 2:27:56 PM
#14:


DifferentialEquation posted...
A big part of that is because Obama hated America and despised western culture/values in general whereas Trump loves this country.

vwI4mYEHP8k0w
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Poiuyt
05/15/18 2:28:04 PM
#15:


Thanks Obama!
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_BlueMonk
05/15/18 2:28:21 PM
#16:


Darkman124 posted...
that is how random sample methodology works, yes. or are you shitposting?

are you shit posting when you think a good sample for a country of 325 million is 1000.

stay in school kid youll need it

welcome to the ignore list.
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voldothegr8
05/15/18 2:32:18 PM
#17:


_BlueMonk posted...
Darkman124 posted...
that is how random sample methodology works, yes. or are you shitposting?

are you shit posting when you think a good sample for a country of 325 million is 1000.

stay in school kid youll need it

Says the guy being ignorant about basic statistics
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creativerealms
05/15/18 2:33:02 PM
#18:


I know I am. From where we are currently there is no where to go but up.

J/K I love my country.
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#19
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Anteaterking
05/15/18 2:35:24 PM
#20:


_BlueMonk posted...
1000 people sample for a nation of 325 million

yeah.

okay.


Don't do this.
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A_Good_Boy
05/15/18 2:35:29 PM
#21:


_BlueMonk posted...
Darkman124 posted...
that is how random sample methodology works, yes. or are you shitposting?

are you shit posting when you think a good sample for a country of 325 million is 1000.

stay in school kid youll need it

welcome to the ignore list.

Fucking ether'd
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KILBOTz
05/15/18 2:36:29 PM
#22:


Americans get confident right before shit crumbles, more at 11.
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ThePrinceFish
05/15/18 2:37:16 PM
#23:


never seen darkman get destroyed so hard on CE before tbh
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Poiuyt
05/15/18 2:37:23 PM
#24:


KILBOTz posted...
Americans get confident right before shit crumbles, more at 11.

Huh?
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KILBOTz
05/15/18 2:41:20 PM
#26:


Poiuyt posted...
KILBOTz posted...
Americans get confident right before shit crumbles, more at 11.

Huh?


the US goes through routine business cycles. peak confidence happens shortly before corrections. last peak of confidence happened prior to the great recession. fundamentals haven't been addressed and we are coming up on about 10 years, which is a typical length between down markets.
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Poiuyt
05/15/18 2:41:50 PM
#27:


KILBOTz posted...
Poiuyt posted...
KILBOTz posted...
Americans get confident right before shit crumbles, more at 11.

Huh?


the US goes through routine business cycles. peak confidence happens shortly before corrections. last peak of confidence happened prior to the great recession. fundamentals haven't been addressed and we are coming up on about 10 years, which is a typical length between down markets.

Ah, cool. I mean, not cool, but thanks for explaining.
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Balrog0
05/15/18 2:47:27 PM
#28:


KILBOTz posted...

the US goes through routine business cycles. peak confidence happens shortly before corrections. last peak of confidence happened prior to the great recession. fundamentals haven't been addressed and we are coming up on about 10 years, which is a typical length between down markets.


where are you getting that 10 year span from?

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dows-tumultuous-120-year-history-in-one-chart-2017-03-23

I mean yeah this is hardly the whole story but I just wonder, the length seems really variable to me
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ThePrinceFish
05/15/18 2:54:43 PM
#29:


GregShmedley posted...
A_Good_Boy posted...
Fucking ether'd


ThePrinceFish posted...
never seen darkman get destroyed so hard on CE before tbh


Uh....what? That's literally how poll sampling works. >_>

Sorry, it's hard for me to post about bluemonk's shitposting without numbing amounts of sarcasm.
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KILBOTz
05/15/18 2:56:18 PM
#30:


Balrog0 posted...
KILBOTz posted...

the US goes through routine business cycles. peak confidence happens shortly before corrections. last peak of confidence happened prior to the great recession. fundamentals haven't been addressed and we are coming up on about 10 years, which is a typical length between down markets.


where are you getting that 10 year span from?

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dows-tumultuous-120-year-history-in-one-chart-2017-03-23

I mean yeah this is hardly the whole story but I just wonder, the length seems really variable to me


So the actual average between down turns is 58 months since WWII, lasting 11 months. Though Recessions often come in pairs with one smaller and one larger correction within a couple of years of each other, for example the 1980 and 1981-82 recessions are treated separately even though the issues that drove the 1980 recession were the same as those that drove the 81-82 recession. I think about 7-8 years between unique downturns is actually more accurate but 10 years is easier to remember.

https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/071315/what-average-length-boom-and-bust-cycle-us-economy.asp
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hockeybub89
05/15/18 2:56:43 PM
#31:


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Suchomimus
05/15/18 2:57:03 PM
#32:


lmao Democrats are gonna get destroyed in November
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gatorsPENSbucs
05/15/18 2:58:14 PM
#33:


_BlueMonk posted...
1000 people sample for a nation of 325 million

yeah.

okay.

Somebody linked to some survey earlier that polled like 10 people. But it was for the liberals so the sample size didnt matter, but now the sample sizs does matter. Its so hard to keep up.
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Solid Sonic
05/15/18 2:59:22 PM
#34:


Fake news?
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CyricZ
05/15/18 2:59:58 PM
#35:


I'm ultimately optimistic about America, too. Despite the current administration.
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#36
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Nomadic View
05/15/18 3:00:59 PM
#37:


Suchomimus posted...
lmao Democrats are gonna get destroyed in November


I keep hearing mumblings of this, but Im fairly doubtful. History has demonstrated time and time again that the midterm election is hostile to the newly elected president.
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Darkman124
05/15/18 3:55:36 PM
#38:


KILBOTz posted...
So the actual average between down turns is 58 months since WWII, lasting 11 months. Though Recessions often come in pairs with one smaller and one larger correction within a couple of years of each other, for example the 1980 and 1981-82 recessions are treated separately even though the issues that drove the 1980 recession were the same as those that drove the 81-82 recession. I think about 7-8 years between unique downturns is actually more accurate but 10 years is easier to remember.


many have argued we already had a miniature recession from 2014-2016
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C7D
05/15/18 4:03:59 PM
#39:


_BlueMonk posted...
1000 people sample for a nation of 325 million

yeah.

okay.


Learn to statistics. That sample will capture 95% of the data with a confidence of +/- 3.1%.
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