Board 8 > NHL Discussion Topic - Playoff Edition

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SmartMuffin
04/18/18 9:55:50 AM
#102:


What other variables? Stop just randomly insisting there are some and actually name them.
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SmartMuffin
04/18/18 9:58:51 AM
#103:


Quick sittin over here with his .947 sv% (fourth among playoff goalies with >2 starts) and 1.55 GAA and an 0-4 record.

And meanwhile, everyone wants to talk about how the Capitals lack secondary scoring...
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Not Dave
04/18/18 1:42:42 PM
#104:


columbus allowed 35 more goals this year compared to last

dubinsky was worse and missed 20ish games
wennberg was worse and missed 20ish games
atkinson was worse and missed 20ish games
jack johnson was worse
foligno was worse

saad factored in on 21% of the team's goals last year. panarin factored in on 35% of CBJ's goals this year.

panarin makes them better. unfortunately that can't be 100% proven in a controlled environment, but it seems pretty obvious.
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ExThaNemesis
04/18/18 4:23:43 PM
#105:


Marc Andre Fleury with a stellar performance in a close out game in the playoffs, nothing unusual to see here.

Golden Knights vs. Penguins SCF gonna be lit
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LOLIAmAnAlt
04/18/18 9:36:07 PM
#106:


Not a single close game...
Watch the Flyers now rattle off 2 wins out of nowhere only to get absolutely steamrolled in game 7.
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SmartMuffin
04/18/18 10:39:29 PM
#107:


Sure would be nice to have Filip Forsberg on your team, wouldn't it?
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Crossfiyah
04/18/18 10:49:16 PM
#108:


SmartMuffin posted...
What other variables? Stop just randomly insisting there are some and actually name them.


Luck, for starters. Which happens to account for a shit ton of what actually happens in a hockey game or season.

Other roster changes.

The talent pool in the league generally diluting because of the expansion draft.

The additional emphasis on some penalties being called over others this season.

How teams besides these two teams are doing this year compared to last year, especially within their divisions.

Players aging.

Players developing.

Injuries.

How well your goalies play.

Changes in tactics between seasons to account for the fact that neither team did well in the post-season last year.

The list goes on and on and on and isn't as simple as "This team is doing better this year so this player is worse than this other player." Things like that are determined by looking at shit either as basic as goals and assists or as complex as puck possession numbers and quality of competition.
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Crossfiyah
04/18/18 10:50:21 PM
#109:


Not Dave posted...
columbus allowed 35 more goals this year compared to last

dubinsky was worse and missed 20ish games
wennberg was worse and missed 20ish games
atkinson was worse and missed 20ish games
jack johnson was worse
foligno was worse

saad factored in on 21% of the team's goals last year. panarin factored in on 35% of CBJ's goals this year.

panarin makes them better. unfortunately that can't be 100% proven in a controlled environment, but it seems pretty obvious.


And this guy said some great shit too. Not to mention CBJ rode a ridiculous win streak last season that inflated their totals well-beyond what any serious analysts thought was an accurate measure of their ability.
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SmartMuffin
04/18/18 11:17:09 PM
#110:


Crossfiyah posted...
The list goes on and on and on and isn't as simple as "This team is doing better this year so this player is worse than this other player."


Cool, because I didn't say "Saad is better than Panarin." I said it's dumb to say "Panarin made them better" when they aren't, in fact, better. You listed a bunch of variables. Great. Lovely. You didn't explain how they affected CBJ specifically.

Not Dave at least made an attempt, although I could counter most of those things with "addition of new players other than Panarin" or "younger players who got better."
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NBIceman
04/18/18 11:24:56 PM
#111:


The factors he mentioned affect CBJ specifically because "better team" doesn't necessarily equate to "better record/position when the dust settles." They can be a better team skill-wise without it showing in the ending numbers.
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SmartMuffin
04/18/18 11:28:56 PM
#112:


Colorado done.

Entirely up to Washington and Toronto to deliver a not-totally-boring first round.
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MartinFF7
04/19/18 12:42:20 AM
#113:


SmartMuffin posted...
Colorado done.

Entirely up to Washington and Toronto to deliver a not-totally-boring first round.

And coincidentally, or unfortunately, they're the two Thursday games happening at the same time...

Though knowing our luck, we'll gets Washington/Columbus going to overtime again to really pad things out into the night.
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SmartMuffin
04/19/18 12:13:19 PM
#114:


Also if they go seven, the two game sevens will be happening at the same time (with likely no games the day before, unless they start the second round in the west the day before)
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davidponte
04/19/18 2:00:56 PM
#115:


I'm just trying to get a game 4 win.
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davidponte
04/19/18 6:42:20 PM
#116:


Oh shit Bergeron isn't playing tonight.
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davidponte
04/19/18 7:11:51 PM
#117:


Great start!
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SmartMuffin
04/19/18 8:53:59 PM
#118:


Bluejackets once again have the Caps right where they want them!
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davidponte
04/19/18 9:31:57 PM
#119:


There goes the season.
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SmartMuffin
04/19/18 10:02:52 PM
#120:


lol pulling the goalie with 3:30 left

I hope to God this doesn't work, or the hockey media will stupidly pretend like Torts is actually really smart or something.
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SmartMuffin
04/19/18 10:04:40 PM
#121:


So, of the six teams who went down 2-1, only the Capitals won game four to go back even.

WHAT HEART!

SO CLUTCH!

NOT THE SAME OLD CAPITALS!

THIS IS THEIR YEAR!
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davidponte
04/19/18 10:05:09 PM
#122:


I believe!
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ExThaNemesis
04/19/18 11:21:18 PM
#123:


I really don't want to play the Capitals though.

Like, what if it really is their year.
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Peridiam
04/20/18 12:20:36 AM
#124:


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SmartMuffin
04/20/18 8:56:03 PM
#125:


When Crosby dives so pathetically that even Pierre calls him out...
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mccheyne
04/20/18 9:33:53 PM
#126:


I know the Wild are missing Parise and Suter, but the Jets are down 3 starting defensemen, and Ehlers randomly for this game, and score 4 goals in the first period. Now up 5-0 in the third. Winnipeg/Nashville is going to be insane
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SmartMuffin
04/20/18 9:46:21 PM
#127:


Avs starting THE HAMBURGLAR!!!
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Meow1000
04/21/18 12:06:58 AM
#128:


They really need to scrap replay in hockey. Colorado just got completely screwed in a game they were already struggling to keep up in by an obviously correct call being overturned.

He clearly pushed his skate forward and angled it to put it into the net.

Please get rid of reviews in hockey. They get it wrong way too often.
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Leafeon13N
04/21/18 12:15:17 AM
#129:


Meow1000 posted...
Please get rid of reviews in hockey. They get it wrong way too often.


The weirdest thing is they dont review certain things that are cut and dry like automatic puck over the glass penalties.

Replays really need to be for stuff thar is black and white only.
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Meow1000
04/21/18 12:19:02 AM
#130:


Leafeon13N posted...
Meow1000 posted...
Please get rid of reviews in hockey. They get it wrong way too often.


The weirdest thing is they dont review certain things that are cut and dry like automatic puck over the glass penalties.

Replays really need to be for stuff thar is black and white only.


Yep. There should never be a review for GI, ever, as you may as well toss a coin.

I think that call seriously pissed Colorado off though, as it should have. Sudden lead "oh"
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Not Dave
04/21/18 12:23:37 AM
#131:


glad they overturned that. definitely not a distinct kicking motion :)

and it sent the avs into desperation mode which made for a great ending
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davidponte
04/21/18 12:43:28 AM
#132:


The Hamburgler strikes again!
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Shadow Dino
04/21/18 12:49:55 AM
#133:


Hammond played out of his mind, jeeze.
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LOLIAmAnAlt
04/21/18 1:00:03 AM
#134:


LOLIAmAnAlt posted...
Not a single close game...
Watch the Flyers now rattle off 2 wins out of nowhere only to get absolutely steamrolled in game 7.

holding steady
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MartinFF7
04/21/18 3:12:28 AM
#135:


davidponte posted...
The Hamburgler strikes again!

Shadow Dino posted...
Hammond played out of his mind, jeeze.

14 more wins to the Cup & Conn Smythe!!

2015 just a prelude to 2018

Hell, 2 more wins and he'd get the lifetime burger pass in Denver too.
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SmartMuffin
04/21/18 9:57:56 AM
#136:


So, who should be more afraid?

Pittsburgh against a division rival who has beaten them before?

or Nashville against a goalie who has proven he can be completely unbeatable in short bursts?
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SmartMuffin
04/21/18 3:37:52 PM
#137:


Nice PP sequence there...

Ovechkin shoots the puck directly into a kneeling Calvert
Gets it back, fans horribly on a 1-timer
Gets it back again, coughs it right up to Calvert on a 2-on-1 break
Calvert shoots it right through Holtby on a ridiculously soft SHG

That's about as "Caps in the playoffs" of a 30 seconds as you can get.
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SmartMuffin
04/21/18 4:51:54 PM
#138:


Refs ruining this game. Cant go 30 seconds without calling a penalty.
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davidponte
04/21/18 5:49:17 PM
#139:


To everyone's surprise, the Caps game goes to OT.
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KCF0107
04/21/18 6:25:33 PM
#140:


Kill me
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SmartMuffin
04/21/18 6:25:38 PM
#141:


https://twitter.com/Avalanche/status/987737317279346688

This guy sounds like if Alex Jones had gotten into sports instead of politics.
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DpObliVion
04/21/18 6:46:08 PM
#142:


Devils played well in the series but were clearly overmatched. It was good to see Schneider finally get going, but it was too little too late. Oh well, still a far more successful season than I could've imagined. Hope for the future.
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davidponte
04/21/18 8:15:31 PM
#143:


On the bright side, a loss tonight means I don't have to listen to Rene Rancourt anymore.
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SmartMuffin
04/21/18 8:38:43 PM
#144:


What a pass by Kadri.

Getting him back is a big deal.
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SmartMuffin
04/21/18 9:30:29 PM
#145:


Milbury just CRUSHING Pierre, xfd
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davidponte
04/21/18 9:38:59 PM
#146:


Nice of the Leafs to finally show up 5 games into the series when they're down 3-1.
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davidponte
04/21/18 9:51:12 PM
#147:


It was 4-1
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SmartMuffin
04/21/18 9:53:43 PM
#148:


lol @# those two Boston fans in the middle of the crowd in Toronto
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TheKnightOfNee
04/21/18 9:54:17 PM
#149:


Imagine if the Leafs blow a 3 goal lead to get eliminated by Boston
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davidponte
04/21/18 9:57:58 PM
#150:


TheKnightOfNee posted...
Imagine if the Leafs blow a 3 goal lead to get eliminated by Boston


Huh, I hadn't thought of that.
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davidponte
04/21/18 9:59:10 PM
#151:


SmartMuffin posted...
lol @# those two Boston fans in the middle of the crowd in Toronto


I was at the square for game 1 and the three or four Boston fans in the crowd were booed non-stop as they were walking around.

They got the last laugh, obviously.
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