Board 8 > ~~Japanese History Mafia~~ Topic 5 - I know not what life is, nor death

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htaeD
07/25/17 6:27:01 PM
#151:


on the flipside, how did sceptile explain the slip?
I forget
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:28:42 PM
#152:


Fine. I did not want to reveal this information, but I shall dismantle the train growing on me early.

My role is Town Vanilla and my flavor character is Makino Tadakuni. N2 I was targeted by a Prostitute. I did not get up. The implications are obvious.
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:32:34 PM
#153:


...
my first thought is
nobody claimed to be prosty'd night1?
okay, wouldnt make sense to lie about that
maybe prosty slept with Tom/Chris

second thought is, why didnt you claim you were slept with right away? I am used to people doing that all the time

as for the nilla claim, dont know anything about flavor, so I cant comment on that
but.. paraphrase?
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Leafeon13N
07/25/17 6:33:35 PM
#154:


You thought that cleated you? Why?
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:36:24 PM
#155:


htaeD posted...
...
my first thought is
nobody claimed to be prosty'd night1?
okay, wouldnt make sense to lie about that
maybe prosty slept with Tom/Chris

second thought is, why didnt you claim you were slept with right away? I am used to people doing that all the time

as for the nilla claim, dont know anything about flavor, so I cant comment on that
but.. paraphrase?


I've never played with a prostitute, but I didn't want to reveal one existed in the game since it hadn't come up yet. That seemed like the obvious way to handle an unknown power role, except as such as I felt I could use it to avoid being a painful mislynch.

My flavor says I held onto my castle for months in the war and brought a lot of relatively modern weapons into Japan but eventually fell near the end of the war.
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VeryInsane
07/25/17 6:36:30 PM
#156:


There are absolutely merits to hiding being slept with
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:37:26 PM
#157:


Leafeon13N posted...
You thought that cleated you? Why?


It essentially reduces the conditional probability of me being scum to a third normal. That makes me a poor target compared to almost anyone else.
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Leafeon13N
07/25/17 6:37:51 PM
#158:


Sceptilesolar posted...
Going after me will likely not succeed, and the end result is probably disadvantageous for Town on the whole.


You need to reconcile the first part of this because all we know is you took no action. Thats not particularly concrete towards alignment.
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greengravy294
07/25/17 6:37:52 PM
#159:


VeryInsane posted...
There are absolutely merits to hiding being slept with

there are, imo, but i wont explain why for OBVIOUS REASONS
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:38:12 PM
#160:


I am making some relatively obvious assumptions here, mostly that scum has an active power role like RB and that there are four scum, but it is highly relevant information to determine how likely it is for me to be scum.
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greengravy294
07/25/17 6:40:20 PM
#161:


being slept with and not getting up at night isn't really conclusive in a closed set up though, especially a smaller game. i would suspect there is one scum player in a 15 man set up that wouldnt typically act at night (something like godfather/vanilla/rb/[confirmed assassin])
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:41:06 PM
#162:


greengravy294 posted...
being slept with and not getting up at night isn't really conclusive in a closed set up though, especially a smaller game. i would suspect there is one scum player in a 15 man set up that wouldnt typically act at night (something like godfather/vanilla/rb/[confirmed assassin])


That's my reasoning too, but I never said it was conclusive evidence. It's on the same level as having an innocent scan on me.
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Obellisk
07/25/17 6:41:13 PM
#163:


So you are claiming that scum has a prosty?
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Obellisk
07/25/17 6:42:29 PM
#164:


I mean, did scept just claim scum prostitute?
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:42:48 PM
#165:


Obellisk posted...
So you are claiming that scum has a prosty?


Scum prosty is different, it's just a renamed roleblocker. Right?
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Leafeon13N
07/25/17 6:43:31 PM
#166:


Thats making assumptions i wouldn't necessarily make.

Beyond that the action already happened. If your scum in such a scenario, you claim power if you moved and vanilla if you didn't.
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VeryInsane
07/25/17 6:43:47 PM
#167:


Sceptilesolar posted...
Obellisk posted...
So you are claiming that scum has a prosty?


Scum prosty is different, it's just a renamed roleblocker. Right?


In every case I've seen it, it's a scanner
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:44:35 PM
#168:


Sceptilesolar posted...
greengravy294 posted...
being slept with and not getting up at night isn't really conclusive in a closed set up though, especially a smaller game. i would suspect there is one scum player in a 15 man set up that wouldnt typically act at night (something like godfather/vanilla/rb/[confirmed assassin])


That's my reasoning too, but I never said it was conclusive evidence. It's on the same level as having an innocent scan on me.


well assuming you werent making an assumption doesnt make sense anyway
since if scum does have 4 players who would all act at night, and you knew that as a fellow scum, you would likely have gotten up after all

I wouldnt say its exactly on the same level as an innocent scan, but until further info comes in, I think people should unvote sceptile
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Leafeon13N
07/25/17 6:44:48 PM
#169:


Board 8 scum prosty has always been the same as town just scum.
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:45:08 PM
#170:


Obellisk posted...
I mean, did scept just claim scum prostitute?


uh
I am not sure I am following your thought train
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:45:41 PM
#171:


also that sounds like a weird name for roleblockers
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Obellisk
07/25/17 6:46:47 PM
#172:


Also sceptile has given not even an inkling that he was slept with and nothing he's said all day what little of it there has been can possibly be considered as something said with minor information. Scum has been caught.
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:46:48 PM
#173:


VeryInsane posted...
Sceptilesolar posted...
Obellisk posted...
So you are claiming that scum has a prosty?


Scum prosty is different, it's just a renamed roleblocker. Right?


In every case I've seen it, it's a scanner


Well, the easy resolution for this is for the prosty to claim, I guess. There are other reasons I believe it was a town prostitute, so I'm not that concerned.

Leafeon13N posted...
Thats making assumptions i wouldn't necessarily make.

Beyond that the action already happened. If your scum in such a scenario, you claim power if you moved and vanilla if you didn't.


Right, I'm talking about the probability that you pick out one scum that didn't move out of 9 other players though.
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:47:09 PM
#174:


of course we dont even know if a prosty exists right now, I realize

but that should be clear eventually (and targeted people dont need to say they got up or not)
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:47:43 PM
#175:


Obellisk posted...
Also sceptile has given not even an inkling that he was slept with and nothing he's said all day what little of it there has been can possibly be considered as something said with minor information. Scum has been caught.


what good would it do to sceptile to hide that he was slept with?
or do you think he made it all up?
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:48:22 PM
#176:


Obellisk posted...
Also sceptile has given not even an inkling that he was slept with and nothing he's said all day what little of it there has been can possibly be considered as something said with minor information. Scum has been caught.


Why exactly would I hint something when I just recently expressed the opinion that it was dangerous information to reveal? I wasn't trying to set this up in advance here. I revealed it because I felt that I would likely be lynched, and would not have wanted anyone to know otherwise.
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:49:45 PM
#177:


but dont quote probability
for all we know scum is made up of mostly people who would never be scanned and in that case the only suspected player wouldnt move if he didnt have to
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Obellisk
07/25/17 6:50:30 PM
#178:


htaeD posted...
Obellisk posted...
Also sceptile has given not even an inkling that he was slept with and nothing he's said all day what little of it there has been can possibly be considered as something said with minor information. Scum has been caught.


what good would it do to sceptile to hide that he was slept with?
or do you think he made it all up?


I'm of the line of thinking it's all made up. Misinformation only hurts town
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greengravy294
07/25/17 6:50:37 PM
#179:


well sbell makes no sense (but he might be on the right path??????) simply because if sceptile is telling the truth, there's a prosty out there who will be irrevocably linked w/ him

there's no accounted for n1 prosty scan, which throws in doubt the validity of this innocent scan of sorts. until one comes out i have no reason to believe it at face value (though I think the scan existing makes more sense logically). its just as likely (but rather dumb, i guess) that there's no prosty and as sbell i believe MAY be implying is that sceptile is hiding behind a falsified scan (aka there is no prostitute, and he is wagering there is no prosty, and is trying to vindicate him through these means)

there isn't much reason for scum to gamble at this point though. it isn't some do or die scenario. and its early in the game day. and hell, prostitute does kinda make sense in the flavor i...think.
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:51:31 PM
#180:


htaeD posted...
but dont quote probability
for all we know scum is made up of mostly people who would never be scanned and in that case the only suspected player wouldnt move if he didnt have to


Maybe, or you have the suspected player perform the kill because they're the most expendable. I would think the second is more common.
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:51:37 PM
#181:


another devils advocate thought
what if it was a jack with a oneshot prosty?
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greengravy294
07/25/17 6:52:24 PM
#182:


i mean it could be. or for instance the prosty could have gone down the drain with chris as well. though if i were a prosty i wouldnt have scanned chris. doesnt seem worth it.
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:53:08 PM
#183:


there's also Tom like I said
why'd a Prosty sleep with Tom is anyones guess
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dowolf
07/25/17 6:53:18 PM
#184:


Sceptilesolar posted...
Fine. I did not want to reveal this information, but I shall dismantle the train growing on me early.

My role is Town Vanilla and my flavor character is Makino Tadakuni. N2 I was targeted by a Prostitute. I did not get up. The implications are obvious.

BULLSHIT.

You started the whole softclaiming power "this is gonna be a mistake" schtick d1.

I am at work and can't find that post now but it happened.
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:54:10 PM
#185:


dowolf posted...
Sceptilesolar posted...
Fine. I did not want to reveal this information, but I shall dismantle the train growing on me early.

My role is Town Vanilla and my flavor character is Makino Tadakuni. N2 I was targeted by a Prostitute. I did not get up. The implications are obvious.

BULLSHIT.

You started the whole softclaiming power "this is gonna be a mistake" schtick d1.

I am at work and can't find that post now but it happened.


Nope. I guarantee you I've never softclaimed power in my life. It is an action I detest.
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Obellisk
07/25/17 6:55:15 PM
#186:


greengravy294 posted...
i mean it could be. or for instance the prosty could have gone down the drain with chris as well. though if i were a prosty i wouldnt have scanned chris. doesnt seem worth it.


Well then prosty is town. Scum isn't prostying and killing chris on the same night.

So we wait for a prostying claim.

Giving town : cop, prosty (or jack with protection?) And jail keeper. So two scanning roles.
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htaeD
07/25/17 6:56:30 PM
#187:


I cant immediately find anything of a softclaimy nature in the archives either
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greengravy294
07/25/17 6:56:43 PM
#188:


htaeD posted...
there's also Tom like I said
why'd a Prosty sleep with Tom is anyones guess

tom actually makes more sense -- tom's the type of dude that typically just like...is irrelevant, so a good scan i feel.

but occulam's razor states the following: something something i forget.

but basically whats more likely: the 2/14 chance that it hits someone that died? or the 12/14 that it hit a living player.

now this isnt foolproof by any means but it lends a bit more credence to sceptile bs'ing the prosty scan. which seems uh...yeah
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:57:51 PM
#189:


I don't think the prostitute targeted Tom or Chris N1. If what I'm thinking is right, the person who was targeted didn't claim it D2.
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greengravy294
07/25/17 6:58:45 PM
#190:


Obellisk posted...
So we wait for a prostying claim.

Giving town : cop, prosty (or jack with protection?) And jail keeper.

Well in this regard (AND a claimed Vigilante!) this seems like a very stacked town. Jailkeeper I see being a strong role, a cop is pretty strong, and a confirmable prosty? And a vigilante.

Hard to see it really fitting. Cop + prosty is pretty mean in 15 imo (in 17 it's fine).

i dunno, set up meta is my old favorite thing to do but i feel like the last few times i got majorly burned.
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greengravy294
07/25/17 6:59:23 PM
#191:


addendum: i suppose if its low power two 'absolute' scanners are okay.

but yeah
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 6:59:28 PM
#192:


greengravy294 posted...
And a vigilante.


Uh, is that a claim? No one has claimed vig.
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Obellisk
07/25/17 6:59:59 PM
#193:


Wait who the fuck claimed vig?!?!?!?!?!
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greengravy294
07/25/17 7:00:26 PM
#194:


Phoenix-Smasher posted...
I'd still have my vig shot.

okay yeah so i misread this as 'i still have my vig shot'

oops
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htaeD
07/25/17 7:00:41 PM
#195:


well I am spent meanwhile
but I will use my last strength to poke Scare as hard as I can

dont want him to go through the day without answering my question and doing nothing

##Vote: Scare

as for Sceptile, I will think him over, but who knows if a prosty (or his first target?) comes forward tonight
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Obellisk
07/25/17 7:01:19 PM
#196:


That was an answer to a hypothetical question damn it gravy.

But I can't fault you. It means you actually looked at the game
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Sceptilesolar
07/25/17 7:01:19 PM
#197:


Oh, fair.

Anyway I think prosty is a very weak role so it didn't seem out of the question to exist.
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htaeD
07/25/17 7:01:43 PM
#198:


Sceptilesolar posted...
I don't think the prostitute targeted Tom or Chris N1. If what I'm thinking is right, the person who was targeted didn't claim it D2.


you think it was Pez?
or someone else?
I have someone in mind, but the answer seems too obvious (and too late)
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greengravy294
07/25/17 7:01:56 PM
#199:


confirming prosty is very strong tbh

prosty in general is strong.
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Obellisk
07/25/17 7:02:21 PM
#200:


Why was it dangerous to not reveal you were slept with? What secret were you keeping as a vanilla?
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