~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/
~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA
SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.
Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
Squall is going to show us the record for biggest round 4 blowout ever. And it will be a championship performance that answers Link's championship performance today.
I want 80% from Cloud here. At the minimum, he has to break the record Link just set today. And yeah, if he can't get 75%, it's time to throw in the towel.
From: LeonhartFour | #003 Cloud can't put up a championship winning performance here.
He can put up a championship losing performance here though.
Yeah, pretty much. No matter how high he gets you can write it off to massive SFF.
But if he can't match Link's performance on Mega Man then FF7 is in trouble. Link/Mega Man was likely SFF as well, but there should be at least as much SFF in FF7 vs. FF8, and Squall/Seifer and Mega Man/Wily are probably comparable strength-wise.
From: red sox 777 | #007 I want 80% from Cloud here. At the minimum, he has to break the record Link just set today. And yeah, if he can't get 75%, it's time to throw in the towel.
Round 4 match Elite 8 match Non Region/Division match Third to last round
But but but......those are all the same thing. In 64-entrant brackets anyway. Well, Cloud's gotta break all those records tonight if he wants to win next round. Today's match I am very impressed with.
From: Xuxon | #012 Those are all the same thing <_<
In this tournament they obviously are. But no, they are not.
For instance we've had 32 person tournament before, as well as 128, so round 4 is not always the same. We've had 4 regions, and 8 regions, so again, not the same all the time. The Elite 8 in 4 ways was the Semi Finals, where as in standard it is the Quarterfinals.
From: Xuxon | #021 Third to last round and Elite Eight are literally exactly the same thing, if you want to be really technical you can make it 3 records.
If it turns out that he actually picked Alucard/Dracula instead of just missing the deadline.........wow. It's like losing our last 3 perfects on Cloud/Sephiroth 2004, except far far worse.
From: LeonhartFour | #027 My guess is that he forgot to make his pick in time, especially with how little time you have between matches to make your pick now.
Yeah, I did that too. Of course my streak only started after Frog lost so it was of little consequence.
Well, knowing that it's FFVII, I supposed they've still got a shot at beating Link's percentage from yesterday. I guess if they don't match that but beat Link's performance on Megaman, I can still take them next round on the theory that Squall/Seifer > Alucard/Dracula and there's only so much SFF can do in the face of anti-voting. But if they can't even outdo the performance on Megaman, it's time to give up.
Can't really expect less than this from Link. Everyone within 11 points of perfect got the match right. -34 (78 points) and better stay above 90. More brackets had Link and Mario making it to Round 5 than had Cloud making it to Round 4 so Cloud can't match this.
No one fell off the Top 50.
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Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place
Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00% Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily – 24.74% Alucard vs. Dracula – 22.40% Frog vs. Magus – 20.94% Chell vs. GLaDOS – 20.31% Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth – 19.41% Raiden vs. Vamp – 18.38% Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen – 16.87% Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja – 16.77% Ness vs. Giygas – 16.63% Commander Shepard vs. Saren Arterius – 16.47% Amaterasu vs. Orochi – 16.31% Arthas Menethil vs. Illidian – 14.70% Meat Boy vs. Dr. Fetus – 11.87% Banjo vs. Gruntilda – 11.14% Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd – 10.73%
From: vcharon | #160 Keep in mind that people used the same ridiculous ideas they have about Samus > Mario back in 04 for Sephiroth.
Good thing there aren't delusional people still roaming about today.
Well Sephiroth very likely would have comfortably beaten Cloud in 2K2, so favoring him the next year isn't surprising whatsoever. Would be weird if they all favored Cloud, that wouldn't make sense.
It's just that we actually had 3 perfects left and this ended them that makes it ironic.
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth – 50.00% Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake – 37.88% Crono vs. Lavos – 31.24% Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy – 28.27% Sora vs. Riku – 27.88% Dante vs. Vergil – 27.40% Pac-Man vs. Blinky – 24.52% Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion – 23.36% Kratos vs. Zeus – 23.22% William B.J. Blazkowicz vs. Adolf Hitler – 22.19% Siegfried Schtauffen vs. Nightmare – 18.79% Crash Bandicoot vs. Dr. Neo Cortex – 17.89% Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral – 16.66% Laharl vs. Mid-Boss – 14.90% Professor Layton vs. Don Paolo – 12.02% Sol Badguy vs. Ky Kiske – 9.54%