Board 8 > What would you say are the various Republican candidates odds at winning?

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Theon_Greyjoy
12/08/11 10:52:00 AM
#1:


Not winning the presidency, but being chosen as the candidate? This race has been all over the place it seems as time goes the more likely candidates are to hurt themselves, except Ron Paul who doesn't have any dirt on him. I think Gingrich is going to fall fast, and I don't think the Republican party will back Paul because he's not much of a Republican. I predict we'll be stuck with Romney.

What do you think?

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DeathChicken
12/08/11 10:54:00 AM
#2:


Romney will win the nomination, then people will remember he's a Mormon and run away in a comical puff of smoke come the election

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PartOfYourWorld
12/08/11 10:54:00 AM
#3:


Romney, and I still feel reasonably confident about that, but the NEWT is a bigger threat than the previously barely-known flavors of the month like Bachmann, Perry, and Cain. For one, Gingrich is opening up a significantly larger lead on Romney in early voting states than any other candidate has managed. For two, we're getting pretty close to starting time. The Iowa caucus is in, what, three weeks?

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LordoftheMorons
12/08/11 10:55:00 AM
#4:


Mitt Romney: 100%

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muddersmilk
12/08/11 10:59:00 AM
#5:


Romney: 55%
Not Romney: 45%

Beyond that it just depends on which "Not Romney" manages to screw up last.

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muddersmilk
12/08/11 10:59:00 AM
#6:


For two, we're getting pretty close to starting time. The Iowa caucus is in, what, three weeks?

Man, I really need to hurry up and find out where my new polling place is. And get registered as a Republican.

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Paratroopa1
12/08/11 11:36:00 AM
#8:


Romney: 90%
Perry: 9%
Someone else: 1%
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colliding
12/08/11 11:40:00 AM
#9:


Perry has no shot after his recent hurr-durr commercial criticising gays in the military

even if most republicans are pro-DADT, the way Perry comes across is just hateful.

gingrich is just too old and unattractive, and yes, this matters

it's gonna be a romney/paulenty ticket i think
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Paratroopa1
12/08/11 11:41:00 AM
#10:


colliding | Posted 12/8/2011 11:40:18 AM | message detail | quote
Perry has no shot after his recent hurr-durr commercial criticising gays in the military

even if most republicans are pro-DADT, the way Perry comes across is just hateful.


Sorry, but what part of this means that people wouldn't vote for Perry?
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DeathChicken
12/08/11 11:43:00 AM
#11:


Unless the Republicans are going to pull another Bush and get every scumsucking backwoods hillbilly to crawl out from under their rock to vote against buttsex

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colliding
12/08/11 11:47:00 AM
#12:


Paratroopa1 posted...
colliding | Posted 12/8/2011 11:40:18 AM | message detail | quote
Perry has no shot after his recent hurr-durr commercial criticising gays in the military

even if most republicans are pro-DADT, the way Perry comes across is just hateful.

Sorry, but what part of this means that people wouldn't vote for Perry?




I mean, maybe I'm giving Republicans too much credit, but I think MOST of them would find this commercial at least in poor taste. The christian extremists might like it, but that's about it.
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Theon_Greyjoy
12/08/11 11:51:00 AM
#13:


Perry also had that big flub about the energy department. People seem to care about things like that

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omegamarth
12/08/11 11:54:00 AM
#14:


Romney: 60%
Gingrich: 25%
Perry: 10%
Paul: 5%
Cain: 0% (Even before the sexual harassment charges came out)

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SlymDayspring
12/08/11 11:57:00 AM
#15:


Romney will be the nominee unless Gingrich can somehow hold onto his lead....but I don't think he will....if republican primary voters seriously go for a career politician who has had extramarital affairs over a businessman who hasn't, I don't even know what to say. Hopefully we can all never mention the tea party again, at any rate.

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PartOfYourWorld
12/08/11 12:13:00 PM
#16:


Romney, the smiling snake oil salesman who will say anything to get elected, is of the most sterling character when put up against Newt Gingrich. Newt just screams "slimeball." That's why I'm rooting for him; the entertainment value would be through the roof.

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