Board 8 > Rivalry Rumble Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3

Topic List
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Lopen
12/17/11 9:32:00 PM
#301:


Think AKJ has this one, unfortunately!

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AppIekidjosh
12/17/11 9:32:00 PM
#302:


From: Master Moltar | #290
Applekidjosh’s Analysis

I was going to make a "And here we are at the final match" joke but I realized that'd be totally stale. So with that in mind I bet at least 2 Crew members will make the joke, and one of them will be Dante.


Dante’s Analysis

Man, why isn't this the final again? I mean, it's about as debated as the final, but still!


well I was half right at least, thanks Dante

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Ngamer64
12/18/11 12:12:00 AM
#303:


LeonhartFour posted...
Sephiroth/Missingno, part 2, with the same result

(FFVII wins, every time)


So you're predicting Pokemon would win if it were a Day Match, then? Intriguing....

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LeonhartFour
12/18/11 11:32:00 AM
#304:


From: Ngamer64 | #303
So you're predicting Pokemon would win if it were a Day Match, then? Intriguing....


LOL Ngamer is still clinging on to this silly notion

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Kotetsu534
12/18/11 3:13:00 PM
#305:


(1) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. (1) Cloud Strife/Sephiroth

(R1) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue: 76.92% vs. Jim Raynor/Sarah Kerrigan
(R2) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue: 77.96% vs. Luigi/Waluigi
(R3) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue: 60.04% vs. Ryu/Ken
(R4) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue: 60.57% vs. Samus Aran/Ridley
(R5) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue: 44.36% vs. Mario/Bowser

(R1) Cloud Strife/Sephiroth: 76.64% vs. Lloyd Irving/Kratos Aurion
(R2) Cloud Strife/Sephiroth: 76.78% vs. Kratos/Zeus
(R3) Cloud Strife/Sephiroth: 62.12% vs. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake
(R4) Cloud Strife/Sephiroth: 76.15% vs. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy
(R5) Cloud Strife/Sephiroth: ~41.5% vs. Link/Ganondorf

Neither of these pairs were able to compete in their semi-finals, but the only way I can see the Trainers' performance as more impressive is if they suffered substantial SFF, which Pokemon rarely does. Link/Ganondorf have looked so good that I have to believe they are worth at least 55% on Mario/Bowser before SFF, which would leave Cloud/Sephiroth projected to win with 52%. If anything, I suspect the Zelda duo might be even stronger than that. Given how strong the Trainers' started relative to their eventual numbers against Mario, they should be able to hold the lead for over an hour, but I doubt they'll ever be in the match once the first night vote is well underway.

Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth with 52.95%

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Safer Sephiroth 777
12/18/11 6:11:00 PM
#306:


Strange how Trainers vs Clouderoth is debatable now...

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Master Moltar
12/18/11 8:15:00 PM
#307:


Oh I think I forgot to assign a guest to tonight's match. I guess Kotetsu's will be fine though.

Also need one final guest to do the finals

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th3l3fty
12/18/11 8:15:00 PM
#308:


you could always use Ngamer

>_>

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Master Moltar
12/18/11 8:17:00 PM
#309:


who

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Achromatic
12/18/11 8:17:00 PM
#310:


Can I be the guest for the finals?

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Master Moltar
12/18/11 8:20:00 PM
#311:


From: Achromatic | #310
Can I be the guest for the finals?


yes

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Master Moltar
12/18/11 8:22:00 PM
#312:


Third Place: Match 63 – (1) Red/Blue vs. (1) Cloud/Sephiroth

Moltar’s Analysis

Red/Blue
Round 1 - 76.92% vs. Raynor/Kerrigan
Round 2 - 77.96% vs. Luigi/Waluigi
Round 3 - 60.04% vs. Ryu/Ken
Round 4 - 60.57% vs. Samus/Ridley
Round 5 - 44.36% vs. Mario/Bowser

Mario once again puts down the Pokemon

Cloud/Sephiroth
Round 1 - 76.64% vs. Lloyd/Kratos
Round 2 - 76.78% vs. Kratos/Zeus
Round 3 - 62.12% vs. Snake/Liquid
Round 4 - 76.15% vs. Squall/Seifer
Round 5 - ~42.30% vs. Link/Ganondorf

Zelda once again puts down FF7

Well this is nice. We were due for a completely boring and uninteresting final stretch, but this could be this contest’s last hope at producing an interesting upset. Not gonna lie, it would kind of suck to get this thrown together last minute match wrong after going 62/62. Then again, while Red/Blue were stomping Ryu/Ken, I did say that I wanted to see this match, so I guess I can’t complain.

Cloud/Seph are the favorites here. Despite getting godstomped by god himself today, FF7 is still known as the second strongest entity on this site. This match right here is going to prove whether or not they still deserve that title. Cloud/Seph had a lucky path facing off against 3 PlayStation series they could overperform against in GoW, MGS and FF8. Link/Ganon are exposing them hard today, but that could also be because Zelda is stronger now due to the lower vote totals and Skyward Sword. If that’s the case, then Cloud/Seph should easily beat a team that couldn’t even manage 45% on Mario.

However, I don’t think this is going to be an easy win for FF7. Yes, you could look at today’s match as the Zelda series vs. FF7, which is why Link/Ganon look good, but in a straight up match between RBY vs. FF7, I don’t think FF7 takes that as easily as some people would think. Red/Blue have looked great in this contest, and we all know when it’s this late in the contest, any crazy upset could happen.

Still, playing it safe has kept me perfect so far, so I’m going to side with FF7 here. FF7 alone still does better against Zelda than Pokemon has ever done, so there’s no reason for me to doubt that Cloud/Seph aren’t stronger. I do think this match is going to be fairly close though, as Pokemon’s early vote combined with FF7’s early vote + people desperate for some kind of crazy result will mean that Pokemon is going to look amazing early. They might be able to ride that momentum for most of the day too, but the big question is if they can ride it for all 24 hours. I’ll say no, but not much is going to surprise me here.

Moltar’s Bracket: N/A

Moltar’s Prediction: Cloud/Sephiroth - 52%
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Master Moltar
12/18/11 8:22:00 PM
#313:


Lopen’s Analysis

The easiest way to try and get a feel for the strength of these two teams is to go through Cloud and Seph getting 62% on Solid/Liquid Snake and the Trainers getting 60% on Samus/Street Fighter. Some would think that that gives the advantage to the FF guys, but I don't agree. Considering that FF7 has SFFed MGS in the past, and that Solid/Liquid are mostly rooted to the original MGS, I'm not sure Cloud and Seph are as strong as that 62% would indicate. I'm also kinda skeptical Solid and Liquid Snake are that strong in the first place, because they again, are mostly tied to MGS1. Would I consider Ryu vs Ken or Samus vs Ridley over Solid vs Liquid? You bet I would. I'd take it in Ryu vs Ken's case. And at the very least, I bet any of those would be a close match.

So forget the MOMENTUM and crap (after Trainers got like 44% on Mario I'm not even convinced that happened this contest)-- Pokemon Trainers could very well just be outright stronger than Cloud vs Sephiroth. And I think they will be, sadly, and comfortably. If nothing else, even if this one is close the Pokemon will PULL IT OUT IN A MIRACLE CLUTCH. Because if the match is debatable, much like the ugly bastard children of John McClane, Pokemon will find a way.

Lopen's prediction:
ACCURSED POKEMON with 55.85%



Leon’s Analysis

While Cloud/Sephiroth is getting embarrassed today, I think it’s saying a lot more about Link’s strength than Cloud/Seph’s weakness. I don’t see the Trainers winning this one. It would put Mario way too close to Link and give them a bigger win over Cloud/Seph than I would be willing to give him.

That being said, that’s assuming these results are transitive and nothing stupid happens, but you never know. The early vote should be fun, at least.

Leonhart’s Prediction: Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth with 56.01%



Kleenex’s Analysis

Man, I don't care about this match. Or the next one, really. Checked out of this contest. Also there's gonna be a bad result tonight.

Kleenex's Prediction: Pokemon with 52.34%



Applekidjosh’s Analysis

This is one of Bacon's "please stop saying worst contest ever" ideas like the final match betting, right? Well I'll bite, this is at least better than all the other matches recently. I'd have preferred to see Cloud vs Mario in the actual bracket, but oh well!

So Mario would devastate Cloud these days, and I have a good feeling the Trainers are close enough to Mario that they'll take this here. Ugh, Tranny's depressing topic has really taken the wind out of my contest sails. brb crawling into a corner and crying myself to sleep

AKJ predix Red vs Blue with 52.05%



Crew Consensus: Pokemon Trainers beat Cloud/Seph, long live NintendoFAQs
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paulg235
12/18/11 8:28:00 PM
#314:


No guest/Dante write-up?

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LeonhartFour
12/18/11 8:30:00 PM
#315:


Well, Moltar apparently forgot to ask anyone to do a Guest writeup.

So if you want to contribute one very quickly, go ahead...!

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Big Bob
12/18/11 8:32:00 PM
#316:


Big Bob's guest writeup

God dammit Pokemon Trainers you were supposed to bandwagon over Mario and Link to win the contest. Now I look like a dumbass!

Prediction: Red vs. Blue with 50.50 %

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paulg235
12/18/11 8:44:00 PM
#317:


Dante's Fill-in (paulg235)'s Write-up

*tosses coin*

*flipped tails*

Winner: Pokeymans with 50.00 %

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Surskit
12/18/11 8:52:00 PM
#318:


Surskit's "Nobody Asked For This Write-Up" Analysis

charizard tries using flamethrower but sephiroth ****ing WALKS all over it, and then he just descends from the heavens and stabs red as sad pokémon 8-bit music plays.
meanwhile blue insults cloud but he's too emo already and he's developed a 4x resistance against insults. blue walks away with his pride broken, never wanting to smell cloud later.

Prediction: Cloud/Sephiroth with 55.73%

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Ngamer64
12/18/11 8:58:00 PM
#319:


Red vs Cloud

I've been saying all along that we should have moved Link to the top of the bracket to set up Mario vs Cloud, and I stand by it! Still, good work by SB, as this Bronze Medal Match is a pretty nice consolation prize. Now, normally you'd look at these percentages and say Pokemon has no chance here. Even though Link's beating Cloud with a very impressive 58%, there's only soooo far you can boost Mario before he's just way too close to Link (before SFF) for it to make sense. Plus common sense tells us "it's freakin' FF7! unless you're Zelda, run for your life!"

But this 58% beatdown really has me thinking... Nintendo has always brought out the best in Final Fantasy in the past, and that's been especially true of FF7 versus Zelda. Even when an entrant from one of the games appears to have lost a step, the fanbases have always rallied us to high votals and a closer than expected result when the two clash. I don't see any reason why that shouldn't have happened again today, which would mean, well- can Final Fantasy 7 legitimately just be this weak these days? If so, you start to factor in how much the early voters love Pokemon and how good it might do with the ASV and how it won't be at a major disadvantage in Europe/Australia, and what's FF7 left with? Asia?

Long story short, there's plenty of good reasons to think that Pokemon can keep this one interesting, despite that fact that no Charizardish rally has formed behind it so far this season. But call me a traditionalist... I just can't quite see it happening! Should be a really fun first hour or two, but Cloud probably pulls away to a still-tight-but-never-really-in-doubt victory from there.

Cloud - 52.17%

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X_Dante_X
12/18/11 10:34:00 PM
#320:


god I need to set an alarm when I take a nap this late

Well, I'll be honest and say I woulda taken Cloud, so I don't feel bad missing out on points here

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Safer Sephiroth 777
12/19/11 5:01:00 AM
#321:


4 of crew chose Pokemon and 4 chose Cloud.That means that no matter what the results crew found it?

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AppIekidjosh
12/19/11 10:33:00 AM
#322:


so I had the low pokemon prediction until all you last minute fools showed up? Get out.

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Master Moltar
12/19/11 4:35:00 PM
#323:


Mario vs. Bowser 55.64% 28859
Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue 44.36% 23011
TOTAL VOTES 51870

Link vs. Ganondorf 58.26% 34370
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 41.74% 24625
TOTAL VOTES 58995


Crew Predictions - 61/62

What Happened: Mario stops the Trainers, Zelda puts a big beating on FF7

Why it Happened: Nintendo hierarchy, learn it and love it. Mario is higher than Pokemon, so that's why it won. FF7 has also gotten weaker, resulting in an easy win for Link/Ganon

What will Happen: Zelda > Mario on that Nintendo hierarchy, but any crazy thing can happen in the finals.



Crew Prediction Challenge - lol kleenex

Moltar - 62
Leon - 60
Guest - 59
AKJ - 58
Kleenex - 57
Dante - 57
Lopen - 55



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Moltar gets the point for Mario/Bowser, Dante gets the point for Link/Ganon.

Leon - 15
Moltar - 11
Lopen - 9
Guest - 8 (Luster: 2, Menji: 1, pjbasis: 1, Korayashi: 1, GfK: 1, Kotetsu: 2)
Kleenex - 7.5
AKJ - 6.5
Dante - 5

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Kotetsu534
12/19/11 6:22:00 PM
#324:


(1) Mario/Bowser vs. (1) Link/Ganondorf

(R1) Mario/Bowser: 85.38% vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen Slug-for-a-Butt
(R2) Mario/Bowser: 80.47% vs. Ike/Black Knight
(R3) Mario/Bowser: 70.58% vs. Sonic/Dr. Robotnik
(R4) Mario/Bowser: 66.66% vs. Mega Man X/Zero
(R5) Mario/Bowser: 55.64% vs. Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue

(R1) Link/Ganondorf: 85.30% vs. Arthas/Illidan
(R2) Link/Ganondorf: 83.69% vs. Amaterasu/Orochi
(R3) Link/Ganondorf: 75.26% vs. Mega Man/Wily
(R4) Link/Ganondorf: 77.60% vs. Alucard/Dracula
(R5) Link/Ganondorf: 58.26% vs. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth

On a straight projection, setting the Trainers and Cloud/Seph equal, Link/Ganon should win with 53% of the vote. We all know that is unlikely to happen - Link has SFF'd Mario every other time they've faced off, and even if Mario/Bowser are closer than Mario on his own, that should still happen here. Assuming 8-9 points of SFF, Link/Ganon should get into the low 60s, but I have a feeling Mario/Bowser are going to hold up better than expected. The simple closeness in strength of the two rivalries compared to the two characters might make SFF a bit less extreme, and sometimes weird things happen in finals. Regardless, this is going to be a boring end to a bad contest.

I'm not sure yet what I'll do with my perfect battle bracket, but I know I'll either be going "All on Straight Pick" or "All on 55.00-59.99".

Link vs. Ganondorf with 59.95% of the vote.

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Ngamer64
12/19/11 6:26:00 PM
#325:


Good point Kotetsu- everyone's been hamstrung by the way SB set up this Final Jeopardy. The 10% option ought to be free money and the 5% ought to be super tempting, but you just know Link's going to finish at 60.01% if the pull the trigger on either of those. (Or 59.99% if you go the other way.)

We'll have to make sure he lets us enter our own percentage number next season and just set the form to "anything within 5% of this wins."

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Nintendoboy375
12/19/11 6:45:00 PM
#326:


I'm risking my perfect streak on 1% with 61.00% - 61.99%.

I feel like it's the only shot I have at getting one of the top 3 prizes.

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12/19/11 6:50:00 PM
#327:


I think the overall winner is going to be a 1% risk. There are enough high point battlers (perfects, and close to it), that they have collectively covered every significant percentage from the mid 50s to the high 60s.

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Ngamer64
12/19/11 7:56:00 PM
#328:


I agree with hotdog on this one.

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Master Moltar
12/19/11 8:13:00 PM
#329:


Finals: Round 6 - Match 63 – (1) Mario/Bowser vs. (1) Link/Ganondorf

Moltar’s Analysis

lol

Moltar’s Bracket: Link/Ganondorf

Moltar’s Prediction: Link/Ganondorf - 60%

???: Wait, is that really it?

Moltar: Huh? Who said that? Oh hey, look who it is everyone. It’s Billy the Casual Bracketmaker! How’s it going, Billy? Did you enjoy the contest.

Billy: I’m okay, but this contest wasn’t. It was so easy too, even my bracket was mostly correct for once!

Moltar: Yeah, I hear you. So what do you think about the final match?

Billy: Link always wins! He’s beaten Mario every time in the past, so I don’t see him losing now!

Moltar: I agree! Mario could overperform due to the format or it being the finals or based off the results of this third place match today, but Link shouldn’t have any problem winning based on what we’ve seen in the past.

Billy: That’s not why I’m here though. I want to know...where’s the fun write-ups?

Moltar: Huh? Well, I have been pretty busy this contest. It’s not like I meant to only do short, yet serious write-ups.

DK: Yeah dawg whutsup wit dat? Didn’t even let ya homie promote his new album.

Moltar: Yeah yeah, I apologize to all my recurring characters, but...there is one thing I can do.

Billy: Oh boy, what is it!

Moltar: It...it will be my greatest analysis ever! And I will call it...

~Ganondorf’s Road to Victory~

In the history of GameFAQs contests, there have been hundreds of participants, but there have only been a handful of winners. Link, Cloud, Mario, these characters rose above the rest of the field and displayed that they had what it takes to become champions. Today, a new name will join these elite contest characters, and his name is Ganondorf.

It has been a long and challenging road for the Gerudo King. Since 2003, he has fought to be the one to rule them all, but each year, he has fallen short. In his first match in his debut year, Ganon had a match with Square icon, Tidus. In a hard-fought match, Ganondorf stood triumphant at the end. Then, he saw that Link would be his opponent in Round 3, and therefore allowed himself to be beat by Magus in order to make himself look amazing in the extrapolated stats.

Next year, after victory in an easy fight with Alucard, Ganondorf decided that he didn’t need to waste his time fighting Link and encouraged supporters of the Hyrule Hero to vote for him. He knew he would have his time.

In 2005, he came closer to the title than ever before, advancing all the way to the finals of the Villains Contest. Then, Ganondorf realized that the villains contest sucked, and therefore deserved a champion of the same quality. Therefore, he gave Sephiroth the crown. A few months later, after beating up some more Square losers like Yuna and Auron, because that is what he does best, he let Samus beat him because he respected her too much.

In 2007 and 2008, Ganondorf competed, but didn’t really care because he knew four-ways were a joke format and not befitting for a legitimate winner like himself. Then 2010 came along, and Ganondorf, after suffering an injury dealing with both the strongest psychic Pokemon and a ruthless street fighter, was unable to fairly compete with Sonic and lost.

Now we have reached 2011 and the Rivalry Rumble, and now Ganondorf has decided it is his time. He has put aside all of his differences with his rival, Link, and will carry him to a GameFAQs Contest Championship. After 5 dominating performances, it is no question who the strongest character on this website is. Nothing can beat him. No character can stop him. He is objectively the greatest video game character in existence.

He is your 2011 Rivalry Rumble Champion.

<u>Ganondorf</u>
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Master Moltar
12/19/11 8:13:00 PM
#330:


Lopen’s Analysis

The upset gods demand a sacrifice. With Pokemon's performance against Cloud and Seph yesterday, we now have the omens in place. lol x-stats are going to tell you that Link vs Ganondorf wins with like 52%. Then you're going to adjust for your SFF and automatically assume Link comes out on top of that, and you're gonna set the percen-- WRONG.

Mario, man, Mario. Dude was SFFing before we even knew how to spam acronyms. Reflect on your childhood... your sensations... your emotions... time... goddammit FF8. My point is that Mario vs Bowser has been relevant longer than Link vs Ganon. Who the hell played the original Legend of Zelda and talked about Ganon? No one, man. That cryptic old man who made veiled threats like "SPECTACLE ROCK IS AN ENTRANCE TO DEATH" and attempted con you with "LET'S MAKE MONEY MAKING GAME"-- that guy was your rival, back in those days. Who the hell is dodongo and why do I care about how he feels about smoking. All an elaborate ruse to thwart your plans to find gear and stuff. Goddamn old man. Point is bacon wasn't even on the menu yet, not till the later games like Ocarina of Time where he became more prominent. Bowser, however, has been a vital piece of the Mario puzzle since the dawn of time. You're chasing him through castles and he's always one step ahead of you, being in a different castle. It's deep, man, almost Pokemon Trainer Rivalry deep.

Okay, well, I'm just rambling because this contest bores me but I can begrudingly look at past matches-- it's not all Poketrainers. Compare Mario/Sonic and Link/Mega Man. Close-- and I think the smart money is on Sonic/Buttnik being the stronger rivalry there. Mario's been just as big a behemoth as Link this contest. All he needs to do is not get SFFed and get a little push. And given he and the enemy are of close strength, I don't see why this won't happen. Remember last time Mario was in a match with someone on the Nintendo hierarchy that looked to be slightly stronger indirectly? Oh yeah, dude munched on some shrooms and crushed that robot Metroid under his heel. Mario vs Bowser and Link vs Ganon are not Mario and Link. SFF favors the strong by default, this is why Link has beaten Mario severely in the past. Now? They are essentially equal and you have to go back to your IT'S FREAKING MARIO well to find the answers as to which way the SFF will fall. And answers you will find, written conveniently on the side of the aptly named well.

This is our last hope. People demand a change. They fiend for a change. One upset they say. The sentiment exists beyond b8. Mario will bring us that change. The powers that be, the bracket overlords, they will try and stop it. But they cannot. The wave has already become too strong. Now the so called hero of time must kneel. THIS TIME, LOPEN HITS. GET HYPE.

Lopen's prediction:
Mario vs Bowser with 57.18%



Leon’s Analysis

Cloud/Sephiroth couldn’t get anywhere close to Link/Ganondorf, and you think a Nintendo entry will? No way. Even if Mario/Bowser is stronger than Cloud/Seph (which I won’t rule out), Nintendo will always bow before the LAW when push comes to shove. The best thing out this match is that it means this contest is finally over.

Leonhart’s Prediction: Link vs. Ganondorf with 64.57%
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Master Moltar
12/19/11 8:14:00 PM
#331:


Kleenex’s Analysis

Well here we are again
It's always such a pleasure
It's really hard to think
You've lost here twice
Oh how we tried and tried
To oust you from the bracket
Under the circumstances
Bacon's been shockingly nice


You want your title?
Take it
That's what we're counting on
We used to want a loss
but
Now we only you want you gone


They were a lot like you
(Maybe not quite as strong, though)
Now poor old Cloud and Seph are fodder too
Each day they vote you up
So you can win forever
It's almost stunning this
site never tires of you


You've got your
one last
match left
That's what we're counting on
We'll let you get right to it
Now we only want you gone


So good luck here next year
Oh, did you think we meant you?
That would be funny
if it weren't so sad
Someday you'll be replaced
Bet we'd take anyone now
If we remove you maybe
These things won't be so bad


Go wreck some other contest
That's what we're counting on
You're someone else's problem
Now we only want you gone
Now we only want you gone
Now we only want you gone
(except red sox)

Kleenex's Prediction: Link with 60.00%



Applekidjosh’s Analysis

Well I fully expected to make some grand glorious final post here, but then the clutch went out on my truck in the middle of my move and I was stranded on the highway and I didn't make it home with my family for christmas so they went on without me and I'm without computer and my cell phone won't work and I had to use all my graduation money to tow the truck and the one person who's been helping me, gamerpanda, had her car broken into and her own computer among other things stolen

Merry Christmas

I blame Link for all this.

AKJ predix Link > Mario with 62.22%



Dante’s Analysis

Here we are - the true sign of 2011 Gamefaqs. The voters (however few of them there are!) Have determined that Mario, Bowser, Link, and Ganondorf are all worthy contenders for a final match.

Which is all fine and dandy, but Link trumps them all. I mean, its freakin link. What more do you want? I know Lopen is probably going to back Mario, but thats entirely his desire for an upset. We all know Link is pull through, and honestly it won't be that close.

I'd like to thank all my fans for following me on my initial run of the crew - I never would have gotten this spot without you! I hope I'll see you all again next yea- wait what do you mean I'm fired

Winner - Link.Ganondorf - 63.63%



Crew Consensus: Long live ZeldaFAQs
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LeonhartFour
12/19/11 8:15:00 PM
#332:


Man, I wrote the shortest analysis for the finals.

Go figure.

--
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Kotetsu534
12/19/11 8:18:00 PM
#333:


Kleenex, that was amazing.

--
Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
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Ngamer64
12/19/11 8:40:00 PM
#334:


Mario vs Link

Today's Bronze Medal Match is going right down to the wire (check it out SB, you took our advice on something and it turned out amazing! maybe there's a lesson to be learned here...), which means Link is projected to score only 53% or so tonight. UPSET CITY?! Unfortunately, no, for a couple of reasons. To start, does anyone REALLY think Mario hangs almost 56% on Cloud 1v1, as today's result indicates? I sure don't! A never-in-doubt-but-always-respectable win in the 52-53 range seems more likely, which means Mario took advantage of good ol' Nintendo hierarchy to get past Pokemon so easily last round.

The bad news is of course that the hierarchy has flipped for this poll- Zelda > Mario's been a Golden Rule of GameFAQs since 2002, and last year's 65% pounding certainly didn't do anything to change our minds. Mario figures to hold up much better in this one; he's performed well above his 2010 standard all bracket long, Bowser makes him the more iconic/classic rivalry, and he managed a slight pic advantage for this poll (something you rarely see versus Zelda). There will still be some Nintendo SFF tonight, but it shouldn't be anywhere near as brutal as we've seen between these two series in the past.

So if the stats say 53 and there won't be any killer SFF, we're still in that "wacky end of bracket result!" range where a straight out upset is possible, right? It's hard to say no, considering two characters with an average strength of Samus/Snake are currently being knocked out by two characters with an average strength of Ocelot/Duke Nukem! But ehhhhh, putting your money on non-Link has been a bad bet all season, so I'll go with the Zelda fanbase creating just enough SFF to move this to a Cloud-like final percentage.

PS - Don't get overly excited by Mario's strong start. The Board is itching for an upset and the first few hours figure to be his best time regardless... Europe will chop down his percentage overnight before the Link-crazy American day vote bleeds him to the low 40s (or slightly below).

Link - 58.91%

--
thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com
I'd search B8 for The Show if I were you. *wink wink*
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WarThaNemesis2
12/19/11 8:41:00 PM
#335:


If there's ever a night for a curse...

--
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Lopen
12/19/11 8:46:00 PM
#336:


You fools. I shall prove to be the grandest analyst of them all... ha ha ha ha ha ha!

--
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
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The Mana Sword
12/19/11 8:47:00 PM
#337:


I almost went with Mario just so you couldn't be the only one who did, but it didn't really work.

--
FF fans don't hang around the internet on a monday morning they are out doing shopping or asleep hungover from parties. They got lives. -The_Djoker
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Ngamer64
12/19/11 8:48:00 PM
#338:


Dang, never took Leon for such a Negative Nelly... I mean golly, with an attitude like that you'd think someone just eliminated Eff Eff Exx by 200 votes or something!

--
thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com
I'd search B8 for The Show if I were you. *wink wink*
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LeonhartFour
12/19/11 8:49:00 PM
#339:


I'm pretty sure everyone's happy this contest is almost over! It's not my fault they all chose to be verbose instead of terse!

--
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Lopen
12/19/11 8:51:00 PM
#340:


Thank goodness. If you joined my side I would've just given up already.

This is my story. None of you are a part of it. The winds of change are blowing this is a much bigger picture etc etc

--
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
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The Mana Sword
12/19/11 8:52:00 PM
#341:


lopen says listen to my story this maybe are last chance

--
FF fans don't hang around the internet on a monday morning they are out doing shopping or asleep hungover from parties. They got lives. -The_Djoker
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Lopen
12/19/11 8:54:00 PM
#342:


Something something heart of blitzball something something

--
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
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LeonhartFour
12/19/11 8:55:00 PM
#343:


go stink on an unalo pot

--
"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
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Lopen
12/19/11 8:56:00 PM
#344:


My analysis was not a joke. There's goddamn THEORY and DATA in there! I believe in this!

--
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
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Lopen
12/19/11 9:26:00 PM
#345:


Well I tried. I tried to bring the spark back for ONE. MORE. MATCH.

But the upset never happen. Ever.

Can't blame me for trying. I had myself hypnotized into believing it for a while!

Thanks for reading and I hope everyone enjoyed these at least somewhat. For anyone who got anything out of these and is ever slightly bored and in the mood for GameFAQs contests hype, I highly suggest reading the older crew topics. They were much much better. I want to think we all kinda phoned it in this year because this contest is bad, but we really can make pretty damn entertaining topics I think. I personally recommend part 3 of the 2007 contest if you want to read us (particularly me, I was on fire...!) at our peak, Just a lot more enthusiasm, hype, and humor all around!

http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

--
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
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AppIekidjosh
12/19/11 9:28:00 PM
#346:


1st world problems, but I'm super upset I missed yesterday's match. Ugh :<

--
http://myanimelist.net/profile/applekidjosh
<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
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Safer Sephiroth 777
12/20/11 9:38:00 AM
#347:


Lopen a good job as always.The rest of the crew too.I hope if there is another contest that you keep up the good job!

--
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
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The Mana Sword
12/20/11 10:56:00 AM
#348:


so how about game of the year analysis crew

--
FF fans don't hang around the internet on a monday morning they are out doing shopping or asleep hungover from parties. They got lives. -The_Djoker
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AppIekidjosh
12/20/11 4:48:00 PM
#349:


The Mana Sword posted...
so how about game of the year analysis crew

another chance to beat kleenex huh

--
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<Die the death>! <Sentence to death>! <Great equalizer is the death>!!
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Ngamer64
12/20/11 5:14:00 PM
#350:


I did preds and analysis of all the GotY polls in Stats last year and it got RAVE REVIEWS. So I'd be up for it!

--
thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com
I'd search B8 for The Show if I were you. *wink wink*
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