Board 8 > Rivalry Rumble Prediction Percentage Challenge (PPC) Topic

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Xcarvenger
11/02/11 7:00:00 AM
#1:


Literally purge'd

Even if no one else participates in the challenge, there is still at least ME who needs a topic to put my predictions in!

Feel free to post your predictions here and I will eventually score and rank them all as usual.

I assume we PPC enthusiasts already know all the procedures, right? The objective here is to predict the percentage of valid bracket-makers that correctly predicted the winner of a match in the Bracket Challenge (not Battle Challenge) for every match in the GameFAQs Rivalry Rumble Contest. The most important rule is that the prediction must be made before the END of the match in question. You can have one prediction each for both entrants in a match if you're not sure who will win the match. Scoring is 50-x, where x is the difference between your prediction and the actual prediction percentage.

Oh, and I guess I can give out a surprise prize if you can beat my total score by the end of the contest.

So yeah, let's just get to it ! Here's all the Round 1 matches to predict:

North Division
Mario vs. Bowser
Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt

Conker vs. The Great Mighty Poo
Ike vs. Black Knight

Kirby vs. Meta Knight
Jill Valentine vs. Nemesis

Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik
Katherine vs. Catherine


Northeast Division
Mega Man X vs. Zero
Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow

Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck
Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh

Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool
Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Rodrigo Borgia

Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion
Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong


East Division
Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue
Jim Raynor vs. Sarah Kerrigan

Luigi vs. Waluigi
Cecil Harvey vs. Golbez

Ryu vs. Ken
Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious

Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell
Yuna vs. Seymour Guado


Southeast Division
Samus Aran vs. Ridley
The Kid vs. The Guy

Terra Branford vs. Kefka Palazzo
Vyse vs. Galcian

Chris Redfield vs. Albert Wesker
Dan Hibiki vs. Sagat

Tidus vs. Jecht
Big Boss vs. The Boss


South Division
Link vs. Ganondorf
Arthas vs. Illidan

Amaterasu vs. Orochi
Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd

Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja
Meat Boy vs. Dr. Fetus

Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily
Banjo vs. Gruntilda


Southwest Division
Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth
Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen

Alucard vs. Dracula
Commander Shepard vs. Saren Arterius

Chell vs. GLaDOS
Ness vs. Giygas

Frog vs. Magus
Raiden vs. Vamp


West Division
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth
Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion

Kratos vs. Zeus
Professor Layton vs. Don Paolo

Crash Bandicoot vs. Dr. Neo Cortex
Pac-Man vs. Blinky

Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake
Crono vs. Lavos


Northwest Division
Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy
Laharl vs. Mid-Boss

Siegfried vs. Nightmare
Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral

Dante vs. Vergil
Sol Badguy vs. Ky Kiske

Sora vs. Riku
William B.J. Blazkowicz vs. Adolf Hitler

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charmander6000
11/02/11 8:19:00 AM
#2:


Mario vs. Bowser - 95.64%
Ike vs. Black Knight - 68.24%

--
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60566352
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Haste_2
11/02/11 3:11:00 PM
#3:


Tag. (well, I don't really make use of tags... this is more like an "acknowledgement")

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GrapefruitKing
11/02/11 3:15:00 PM
#4:


oh, cool, this is happening



Mario vs. Bowser - 95.06%
Ike vs. Black Knight - 70.71%
Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 73.02%
Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 94.56%

Mega Man X vs. Zero - 91.96%
Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 60.19%
Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - 47.88%
Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - 82%

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GrapefruitKing
11/02/11 3:16:00 PM
#5:


Do you still have the results for last year's, btw?

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Eternal_Debate
11/02/11 3:19:00 PM
#6:


Mario v Bowser 97.85%
Ike v Black Knight 69.73%

Was waiting closer to the contest, figured you'd repost it.

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th3l3fty
11/02/11 3:21:00 PM
#7:


dammit, I was really hoping it'd died for good this time

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Lopen
11/02/11 3:22:00 PM
#8:


Did you ever even finish tallying last year's?

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Haste_2
11/02/11 3:56:00 PM
#9:


Mario vs. Bowser - 98.40%
Ike vs. Black Knight - 64.44%
Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 58.21%
Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 94.45%

Mega Man X vs. Zero - 84.25%
Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 58.44%
Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - 71.27%
Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - 62.61%

Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue - 80.80%
Luigi vs. Waluigi - 66.98%
Ryu vs. Ken - 87.41%
Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - 58.09%

Samus Aran vs. Ridley - 95.64%
Terra Branford vs. Kefka Palazzo - 75.51%
Chris Redfield vs. Albert Wesker - 65.81%
Big Boss vs. The Boss - 46.85%

--
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Xcarvenger
11/02/11 5:12:00 PM
#10:


From: Lopen | #008
Did you ever even finish tallying last year's?


Well of course!

From: GrapefruitKing | #005
Do you still have the results for last year's, btw?


Yep, here's the final standings:

Final Leaderboard
Rank - User - Total (#of match) - Average
1 - Xcarvenger - 5649.6 (127) - 44.49
2 - Haste_2 - 5621.43 (127) - 44.26
3 - Master Moltar - 5548.87 (127) - 43.69
4 - charmander6000 - 5527.58 (127) - 43.52
5 - th3l3fty - 5512.96 (126) - 43.75
6 - Ngamer64 - 5502.73 (127) - 43.33
7 - GrapefruitKing - 5500.34 (127) - 43.31
8 - kaonashi1 - 5498.13 (127) - 43.29
9 - firefdr - 5436.42 (127) - 42.81
10 - Lagoona - 5160.58 (127) - 40.63
11 - Kotetsu534 - 4887.45 (117) - 41.77
12 - WiggumFan267 - 3607.08 (127) - 28.4
13 - Justin_Crossing - 1377.13 (33) - 41.73
14 - Menji76 - 623.26 (16) - 38.95
15 - Lopen - 204.08 (5) - 40.82
16 - Articuno2001 - 87.25 (2) - 43.63

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Agent M
11/02/11 6:32:00 PM
#11:


North Division
Mario vs. Bowser - 97.2%

Ike vs. Black Knight - 61.3%

Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 69.68%

Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 93.35%

====

Mega Man X vs. Zero - 75%

Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 55.5%

Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - 57.15%


Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - 48.88%
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Xcarvenger
11/03/11 3:01:00 AM
#12:


Mario vs. Bowser - 96.99%

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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/11 3:09:00 AM
#13:


Mario vs. Bowser - 98.11%

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Menji76
11/03/11 3:16:00 AM
#14:


Mario vs. Bowser - 98.02%
Ike vs. Black Knight - 57.23%
Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 68.54%
Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 96.34%

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GrapefruitKing
11/03/11 6:54:00 AM
#15:


Mario vs. Bowser - 96.06%

--
~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~
Today's Prediction: Mario/Bowser - 83.1%
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Master Moltar
11/03/11 7:48:00 AM
#16:


Mario vs. Bowser - 96.62%
Ike vs. Black Knight - 72.33%

--
Moltar Status: Bracket: Mario vs. Bowser
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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Colegreen_c12
11/03/11 7:53:00 AM
#17:


Mario vs. Bowser - 98.32%
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th3l3fty
11/03/11 8:00:00 AM
#18:


no more PPC for me

have fun guys

--
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I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
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Xcarvenger
11/03/11 8:02:00 AM
#19:


aww :(

no lopen and no lagoona too

also no ngamer and no kaonashi =(

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Colegreen_c12
11/03/11 8:17:00 AM
#20:


Ike vs. Black Knight - 63.15%
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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/11 8:24:00 AM
#21:


Ike vs. Black Knight - 64.55%

Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 56.33%

Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 92.00%

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LOLContests
11/03/11 10:31:00 AM
#22:


Ike Vs. Black Knight- 73.22%

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charmander6000
11/03/11 10:45:00 AM
#23:


Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 64.36%
Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 94.74%

--
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rival Rumble: 0/0 Today: Mario/Bowser & Ike/BK
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Eternal_Debate
11/03/11 1:30:00 PM
#24:


Kirby v meta knight 73.95%
Sonic v Robotnik 96.11%

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Xcarvenger
11/03/11 6:40:00 PM
#25:


Ike vs. Black Knight - 59.88%

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Colegreen_c12
11/03/11 9:19:00 PM
#26:


Kirby vs. Meta Knight 84.12%
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Xcarvenger
11/03/11 10:59:00 PM
#27:


It's finally here. The PPC Excel:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AiEyVIgDcw5tdFFSWGpheC15bW52Q1dwbmRnV2w4aVE&single=true&gid=2&output=html

All future updates will be done on the sheet, so bookmark it!

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Xcarvenger
11/03/11 11:14:00 PM
#28:


Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 72.25%

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Eternal_Debate
11/04/11 4:11:00 AM
#29:


Time for some more safety picks, might change these (probably not though). I'm assuming it's allowed to put percentages for both characters, based on the first post - only doing it for possible close matches.

Mega Man X vs. Zero 80.15%

Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck 39.78% OR
Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh 60.22%

Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool 58.91% OR
Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Rodrigo Borgia 41.09%

Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion 68.93%

Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue 80.26%

Luigi vs. Waluigi 74.73%

Ryu vs. Ken 88.63%

Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell 64.11%

--
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GrapefruitKing
11/04/11 5:58:00 AM
#30:


Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 71.02%

--
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charmander6000
11/04/11 7:11:00 AM
#31:


Mega Man X vs. Zero - 91.24%
Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 61.53%

--
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rival Rumble: 2/2 Today: Kirby/Meta Knight & Sonic/Robotnik
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Master Moltar
11/04/11 7:54:00 AM
#32:


Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 68.61%

--
Moltar Status: Bracket: Kirby vs. Meta Knight (2/2)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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LOLContests
11/04/11 7:57:00 AM
#33:


Kirby vs. Meta Knight - 64.40%

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Black Turtle beat me, Yesmar in the Fall 2010 Guru Contest!
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Menji76
11/04/11 10:45:00 AM
#34:


So I have to enter TWO predictions on a debatable match? You don't just accept Sub-Zero with 56% and then if Leon wins and it's 44% I wouldn't get a perfect score?


Mega Man X vs. Zero - 95.45%

Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck - 52.65%
or
Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 48.54%

Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - 63.65%
or
Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Rodrigo Borgia - 36.35%

Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - 57.54%
or
Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong - 42.46

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Colegreen_c12
11/04/11 1:39:00 PM
#35:


Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 94.54%
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paulg235
11/04/11 1:43:00 PM
#36:


Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 92.32%

Mega Man X vs. Zero - 76.14%

Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 60.43%

Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - 45.29%

Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - 75.69%

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Xcarvenger
11/04/11 1:45:00 PM
#37:


From: Menji76 | #034
So I have to enter TWO predictions on a debatable match? You don't just accept Sub-Zero with 56% and then if Leon wins and it's 44% I wouldn't get a perfect score?


Yes, you can predict either one and I'll assume the other entrant to be 100-x in Round 1. But remember, it's for Round 1 only. Round 2 onwards and you will have to predict for both entrants, because 100-x can't apply anymore, so it's good practice if you start doing it now!

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Xcarvenger
11/04/11 1:46:00 PM
#38:


Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 94.03%

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LOLContests
11/04/11 4:44:00 PM
#39:


Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik- 92.35%

Mega Man X vs. Zero - 86.13%

Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 58.03%

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This is Yesmar.
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Master Moltar
11/04/11 7:05:00 PM
#40:


Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik - 93.77%

--
Moltar Status: Bracket: Sonic/Robotnik (3/3)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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Master Moltar
11/04/11 11:34:00 PM
#41:


Mega Man X vs. Zero - 89.64%

--
Moltar Status: Bracket: X/Zero (4/4)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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GrapefruitKing
11/05/11 3:47:00 AM
#42:


Mega Man X vs. Zero - 94.16%

Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue - 86.78%
Luigi vs. Waluigi - 67.04%
Ryu vs. Ken - 84.37%
Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - 61.18%

Samus Aran vs. Ridley - 97%
Terra Branford vs. Kefka Palazzo - 68.29%
Chris Redfield vs. Albert Wesker - 63.37%
Big Boss vs. The Boss - 45.68%

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Xcarvenger
11/05/11 5:25:00 AM
#43:


Mega Man X vs. Zero - 85.24%

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Colegreen_c12
11/05/11 8:22:00 AM
#44:


I did not wake up before the match ended >.>

oops

Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh 68.15%
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charmander6000
11/05/11 9:11:00 AM
#45:


Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - 65.42%
Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - 58.22%

--
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rival Rumble: 4/4 Today: MMX/Zero & Bartz/Gilgamesh
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Haste_2
11/05/11 1:51:00 PM
#46:


South
Link vs. Ganondorf - 97.44%
Amaterasu vs. Orochi - 62.64%
Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja - 64.00%
Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - 90.04%

Southwest Division
Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth - 54.56%
Alucard vs. Dracula - 65.78%
Chell vs. GLaDOS - 59.76%
Frog vs. Magus - 62.48%

West Division
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth - 98.33%
Kratos vs. Zeus - 82.35%
Pac-Man vs. Blinky - 69.22%
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - 83.48%

Northwest Division
Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy - 92.77%
Siegfried vs. Nightmare - 78.24%
Dante vs. Vergil - 84.23%
Sora vs. Riku - 71.45%

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Xcarvenger
11/05/11 1:56:00 PM
#47:


Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 61.13%

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GrapefruitKing
11/05/11 1:59:00 PM
#48:


How the HELL did MMX/Zero get such a low percentage

Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 65.19%
Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - 53.88%

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Xcarvenger
11/05/11 2:04:00 PM
#49:


Well, I guess I'll be kind and tell you it's because they're listed as "X/Zero" in the bracket. No mention of "Mega Man" there! (unless you hover your mouse or something but who did that anyway)

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Master Moltar
11/05/11 7:54:00 PM
#50:


Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh - 64.56%

--
Moltar Status: Bracket: X/Zero (4/4)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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