Board 8 > Valentine's Day Mafia Topic 2: I Just Can't Wait For Our Very First Date

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EDumey
02/26/24 5:31:04 PM
#301:


Kirby321 posted...
But like... for real, have Ulti and Red even done much today? Feels like they just hooked up and are just sitting back doing nothing. I don't like that.

I agree with you, but I don't think you're convincing either Ulti or Red to abandon their date for D1 even if they're both town. I do think we should agree to not give either a free date for D2 for sure.

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Forceful_Dragon
02/26/24 5:31:12 PM
#302:


If it turns out that there are 0 scum in the final 3 as then I think it becomes a much worse source of information to analyze. No one in the final 3 can be blamed for pairing with any of the two remaining left if only to save themselves.

But I like the conversation around trying to divvy up the remaining 7 or 5 players because you're more likely to have a scum included in that chunk of the game, and the different opinions on how players should pair up might tell a more interesting story once we have more information about who was being targeted and who was being saved by the theory crafting.

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Forceful_Dragon
02/26/24 5:31:46 PM
#303:


Lopen posted...
Ulti has done a bit. He's been in and out. Probably above a good one third to one half of the game in terms of meaningful activity

Ulti is also the reason red has been allowed to do zero. He's complicit

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Lopen
02/26/24 5:32:33 PM
#304:


##Date: Ulti

Leave that lurker and get with a real man

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Kirby321
02/26/24 5:33:33 PM
#305:


Lopen posted...
For a good example of why to suspect beyond Ulti's post cited I don't know the point of the shipping angle-- it doesn't really seem useful. Feels like a way to fake being involved without actually adding much.

You're joking, right?

It's Day 1. There's barely anything to go off of. Is discussing our tactics as a town going into N1 really that useless? This is our way of showing a majority via votes. We need to focus on working together and agreeing with pairings rather than worrying about gladiatoring whoever is leftover.

It's our responsibility as town to convince each other who to optimally pair with. Suspicions alone aren't enough; persuasion and cooperation are more important in this game than they've ever been before, because ultimately, it's the people who are unpaired that will decide the fate of each day.

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EDumey
02/26/24 5:34:01 PM
#306:


Forceful_Dragon posted...
If it turns out that there are 0 scum in the final 3 as then I think it becomes a much worse source of information to analyze. No one in the final 3 can be blamed for pairing with any of the two remaining left if only to save themselves.

But I like the conversation around trying to divvy up the remaining 7 or 5 players because you're more likely to have a scum included in that chunk of the game, and the different opinions on how players should pair up might tell a more interesting story once we have more information about who was being targeted and who was being saved by the theory crafting.

Play the game then. I'll give you a 9 person pile of

Lopen
Lea
Corrik
Death
Sir Chris
JC
Isquen
Peaf
Dumey

Three pairs and a Final 3, what do you think looks advantageous for town?

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Forceful_Dragon
02/26/24 5:34:23 PM
#307:


I fully endorse Lopen/Ulti pairing tbh.

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Lopen
02/26/24 5:35:20 PM
#308:


I HATE the "there's day one there's nothing to go off of" cop out

You do realize we literally just had a game where the top 3 wagons were all scum day 1 right. You're not gonna tell me that was a coincidence.

There are ways to hunt scum day 1. You don't need flips or powers to find scum. I'm reasonably sure I've found at least two scum atm.

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Kirby321
02/26/24 5:36:16 PM
#309:


EDumey posted...
I agree with you, but I don't think you're convincing either Ulti or Red to abandon their date for D1 even if they're both town. I do think we should agree to not give either a free date for D2 for sure.

Oh, and you think you'd convince FD or me to breakup, then?

With all due respect, this is why blabbering about hypothetical final threes is useless. Skipping every step along the way to get to a theoretical conclusion is how you end up with illogical leaps like "what if we just left two people unpaired at the end of the day"

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SirChris
02/26/24 5:36:36 PM
#310:


I think there's plenty to go off day 1 it's just we won't hit a scum most likely due to how the game works lol

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Chaeix
02/26/24 5:36:59 PM
#311:


fwiw there's no kingmaker here really regardless of who's left, corrik and chris could decide to just pair up as a 'fuck you' from both of them, for example

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Kirby321
02/26/24 5:38:21 PM
#312:


Lopen posted...
I HATE the "there's day one there's nothing to go off of" cop out

You do realize we literally just had a game where the top 3 wagons were all scum day 1 right. You're not gonna tell me that was a coincidence.

There are ways to hunt scum day 1. You don't need flips or powers to find scum. I'm reasonably sure I've found at least two scum atm.

Sure, but it's easier to scumhunt when the threat of a special makes scum more willing to make riskier plays rather than simply pair up and idle out. Which could be the case right now, or it might not be. We don't know. There's no precedent to follow here

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Chaeix
02/26/24 5:39:57 PM
#313:


Kirby321 posted...
Sure, but it's easier to scumhunt when the threat of a special makes scum more willing to make riskier plays rather than simply pair up and idle out. Which could be the case right now, or it might not be. We don't know. There's no precedent to follow here
this is why i think we should just move on with pairing up to force a claim.

the most collaborative thing anyone can do right now is move the game state forward.

i just want to remind everyone that this is a game of very individual decisionmaking, and it's b8 mafia players we're playing with, so anything can and will go wrong at end of day, especially if we have little to go off of

if i end up being the last person unpaired then so be it, but we should let things play out

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Lopen
02/26/24 5:40:52 PM
#314:


It's way harder to get scum day 1 in this format because scum can bodyguard each other and because there are only 20% scum

But that doesn't mean the right play is to just shrug and not try

Ultimately if no one is hunting scum then they can just skate by and bs reasons to trust their mates and subtly guide town towards dead lynches

The game is the same. Scum can be found-- mechanically they are harder to pin down but the only way we catch them into forcing bs reasons to trust each other is by trying to find them.

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Forceful_Dragon
02/26/24 5:41:34 PM
#315:


EDumey posted...
Lopen
Lea
Corrik
Death
Sir Chris
JC
Isquen
Peaf
Dumey

I've already done most of this work already in my response to Kirby earlier, but let's see.

Left to fend for themselves I'd definitely include Corrik and yourself.

I'd want Chris and Lopen off the board, but probably not with each other. So I'd pair one of each of them with Lea and Death. So that narrows down to 5:

Peaf, JC, Isquen, Corrik, Dumey

Which I think would be a great final 5, like if I could just wave a magic wand and put the 5 of them unpaired and all online with 10 minutes until EoD? I think it would be good data just to see what happened next between them.

But if it's up to me to decide I probably take Peaf and Isquen off the board and leave JC to kingmake between you and Corrik and hope that you and corrik don't just date each other.

Still over 24 hours left (most likely?) so lots of room for people to change my mind.

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Isquen
02/26/24 5:42:07 PM
#316:


I have not done my due diligence and worked an early shift today, so now I get to partake a bit more. The day is still young, after all.

Currently I've got a "hell no, not even if you paid me" mindset of pairing with a third of the playerbase, another third being cold, congealed fish (including my prior offer.)

This leaves the spicy other third. Lea, Peaf, JC, Lopen, FD, even if you are previously taken, you all have my attention. Woo me like... one of... your French girls?

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EDumey
02/26/24 5:42:27 PM
#317:


Kirby321 posted...
Oh, and you think you'd convince FD or me to breakup, then?

With all due respect, this is why blabbering about hypothetical final threes is useless. Skipping every step along the way to get to a theoretical conclusion is how you end up with illogical leaps like "what if we just left two people unpaired at the end of the day"

I dunno why you're getting hostile with me. I feel like we're on the same page, asking for the same information, just with slightly different priority. Me asking about who gets left to a Final 3 by nature implies who is pairing up before that. If you're really lynching someone because you feel they won't give as much info in a chat during N1, then you just end up with Corrik or Isquen getting axed because they're less talkative and not anyone's priority to talk with during the night.

Also I'm giving the option that Peaf and I don't have to be set in stone. I wasn't sure how set in stone you and FD were at this point. If FD was interested in looking at other angles or not. I just gave a potential option we could look at.

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Chaeix
02/26/24 5:43:55 PM
#318:


Isquen posted...
I have not done my due diligence and worked an early shift today, so now I get to partake a bit more. The day is still young, after all.

Currently I've got a "hell no, not even if you paid me" mindset of pairing with a third of the playerbase, another third being cold, congealed fish (including my prior offer.)

This leaves the spicy other third. Lea, Peaf, JC, Lopen, FD, even if you are previously taken, you all have my attention. Woo me like... one of... your French girls?
Isquen, if Lea isn't set on dating me I would be happy to pull out the pastels and chat the night away with you. I don't really want to be in this hypothetical kingmaker position.

Death's committed to not dating today, let him do it lol.

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EDumey
02/26/24 5:45:10 PM
#319:


Death just doesn't want us to accidentally end day early because people are getting antsy about being left behind.

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Chaeix
02/26/24 5:48:08 PM
#320:


EDumey posted...
Death just doesn't want us to accidentally end day early because people are getting antsy about being left behind.
I mean, day ending automatically has a delay so there's lots of room to maneuver even if everyone pairs up. And we get another 12 hours soon.

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PeaceFrog
02/26/24 5:54:06 PM
#321:


Chaeix posted...
I mean, day ending automatically has a delay so there's lots of room to maneuver even if everyone pairs up. And we get another 12 hours soon.
Yeah this is where i think death is missing things. It sounds like he's worried if he pairs up then the day is gonna end shortly thereafter? Which i think comes from a town kind of mindset.

I agree with jc that putting a fire under people before we have six hours left is going to be the most interesting way to proceed.

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SirChris
02/26/24 5:56:38 PM
#322:


Lopen posted...
It's way harder to get scum day 1 in this format because scum can bodyguard each other and because there are only 20% scum

But that doesn't mean the right play is to just shrug and not try

Ultimately if no one is hunting scum then they can just skate by and bs reasons to trust their mates and subtly guide town towards dead lynches

The game is the same. Scum can be found-- mechanically they are harder to pin down but the only way we catch them into forcing bs reasons to trust each other is by trying to find them.
I have scum reads still tbf lol

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Lopen
02/26/24 5:59:02 PM
#323:


SirChris posted...
I have scum reads still tbf lol

Yeah and you want to pair up with one so scum is 100% sure to get out of day 1 unscathed

Giving up and mulligan on day 1 if I've ever seen.

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#324
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EDumey
02/26/24 6:03:02 PM
#325:


Ulti is there any world where you breakup with Red and make him fend for himself at end of day?

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SirChris
02/26/24 6:06:12 PM
#326:


Lopen posted...
Yeah and you want to pair up with one so scum is 100% sure to get out of day 1 unscathed

Giving up and mulligan on day 1 if I've ever seen.
I did say I was open to NOT doing that

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#327
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#328
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Lopen
02/26/24 6:18:01 PM
#329:


UltimaterializerX posted...
If the entire game agrees to kill Kirby, Ill break up with Red and date Lopen.

Win win let's do it

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#330
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Forceful_Dragon
02/26/24 6:23:23 PM
#331:


UltimaterializerX posted...
If the entire game agrees to kill Kirby, Ill break up with Red and date Lopen.

I don't understand this logic. Breaking up with red serves no purpose if your requirement is that red must necessarily be dated by someone else.

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#332
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EDumey
02/26/24 6:25:15 PM
#333:


damn now that's a good deal

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SirChris
02/26/24 6:34:10 PM
#334:


lopen

I suddenly love you and I can towncase myself

wanna hook up for a night?

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#335
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#336
Post #336 was unavailable or deleted.
Leafeon13N
02/26/24 6:42:30 PM
#337:


I recall something from Dumey pinging as town to me last night but I was also drifting off to sleep in bed on my phone.
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Lopen
02/26/24 6:43:21 PM
#338:


I am intrigued and inspired by this sudden spark of energy Sir Chris

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Lopen
02/26/24 6:45:36 PM
#339:


Find us scum that is not Dumey and I will consider it

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Lopen
02/26/24 6:48:00 PM
#340:


Actually you know what here I will extend the branch. Because I am so intrigued by this energy

##Date: Sir Chris

Don't be lazy though. Show us what you've got.

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changmas
02/26/24 6:55:59 PM
#341:


(apologies, this is a little later than anticipated. forgot that I had to go to the grocery store today so I can be home for EoD tomorrow)

(also, I'm not planning on tracking rescinded offers at this time as I feel like that could make these updates way too long, if it's a heavily requested feature you feel would be extremely helpful I'll make an effort to do so on Day 2. Isquen did rescind the Death offer later, I remember seeing there was some confusion about that.)

edit: adding a list of unpaired players for convenience

Official Date Update, as of T2 #340

Paired
Red and Ulti
Peaf and Dumey
MZero and Sultan
Kirby and FD

Exes
Red and Kirby

Open Offers
JC: Lea
Lopen: Ulti, Sir Chris

Unpaired
Lea
Lopen
JC
Isquen
Corrik
Sir Chris
Death

You have ever so slightly over 24 hours until the End of Day 1!

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Kirby321
02/26/24 7:06:06 PM
#342:


Aight, cool. Ulti took my reaction bait. An Ulti who explodes over the slightest bit of sudden suspicion is either cornered scum or town, and given that there's zero pressure on him at all, I'm inclined to believe it's the latter.

It'd be hypocritical of me to put Ulti over Red on the kill list when Red actually hasn't done anything this game. Speaking of which, Red, please convince us why we shouldn't leave you to die on D2.

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Lopen
02/26/24 7:07:42 PM
#343:


Kirby321 posted...
Ulti took my reaction bait.

You do realize he suspected you first

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Kirby321
02/26/24 7:10:48 PM
#344:


Lopen posted...
You do realize he suspected you first

... He did?
I... genuinely forgot. Honestly, I just noticed he hadn't posted at all today so I put out something absurd out of left field to see how he'd react to it.

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SirChris
02/26/24 7:12:57 PM
#345:


Lopen posted...
Actually you know what here I will extend the branch. Because I am so intrigued by this energy

##Date: Sir Chris

Don't be lazy though. Show us what you've got.

##date: Lopen

but also I am going to be busy for the rest of the night, so it goes lol.

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#346
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Lopen
02/26/24 7:29:56 PM
#347:


Reread topic 2 page 3 (posts 151 through 200 if you're on heathen settings)

I would actually be with you had Ulti afked all day but he came back and went at Lea (softly) and you (much less softly)

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Lopen
02/26/24 7:30:20 PM
#348:


Er page 4

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Chaeix
02/26/24 7:35:15 PM
#349:


##date: isquen

death isn't here and i don't think lea and corrik are going to date any time soon but i think it could be enough to maybe get corrik to claim now that chris is off the table? he hasn't been particularly keen so i'm okay with pressure on him either way

but lea feel free to accept the date before isquen does, first come first serve

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Isquen
02/26/24 7:55:19 PM
#350:


I'll defer to Lea, especially since I feel like I've been two-timing her in post, but you've got my attention.


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