Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1272

(+) Yeah! (+)

Kingdom Hearts 1 had far better story and worlds.

Kingdom Hearts 2 had far better gameplay and Gummi ships.
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I don't know if KH2 would've won 2006 the match, but I think it would've at least made the match as close as today's was. If the top two pics were KH2 and TP, then I'd probably give it to 2006.

It's kinda messed up how important pics are for this contest and how arbitrarily they're chosen.
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http://www.thengamer.com/xstats/ranks.php?year=2015g

KH2 is right up there with TP and Skyrim in contest strength. it would've definitely made a difference.
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Might as well celebrate my time on the leaderboard while I can...
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The vote totals today are a bit surprising with 1997/2007 on track for less votes than 1997/1999, while 2000/1996 is getting less votes than 1996/1989.

The rather poor vote totals for today's matches can be explained by the matches happening on a Saturday (the day with the worst average vote totals). Since the start of 2016, this is our average vote totals for each day of the week:

Monday - 17580
Tuesday - 17789
Wednesday - 17541
Thursday - 17907
Friday - 16484
Saturday - 15699
Sunday - 17131

Weekdays are generally very favorable in bringing in votes, with the exception of Friday. Saturday is easily the worst day for vote totals, although Sunday comes fairly close to matching Monday-Thursday for vote totals.
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Metal_DK posted...

People still going through the 5 stages of grief on 2006? It was pretty easy to predict, Skyrim is significantly more popular than any 2006 game....including Twilight Princess

Metal_DK posted...

No, it wouldn't of. FF12 barely has a fanbase (fun fact, FFX will be the last FF worth a damn in anything gfaqs contest related). KH2 doesnt have much contest strength anymore either. Most people have moved on to WRPGs anyway, and Skryim (despite it being meh imo) is praised by plenty of people.

So much wrong with these posts!

I think TP beats Skyrim. KHII is very strong. GameFAQs hasn't moved onto western games as much as most sites.

Only ten perfect brackets left.
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it's my leaderboard now
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whoa 1994

LOL 2011
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I am flat out shocked at 1994's performance out of the gate here. Would 2004 really have beaten 2011 that badly?
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Only 94 -1s? Hopefully, enough of them will lose before 96 goes down so I can taste the leaderboard for this contest.
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cyko posted...

I am flat out shocked at 1994's performance out of the gate here. Would 2006 really have beaten 2011 that badly?

This is just a validation of how strong 2004 was.
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I knew 2011 would be weaker than 2004, but not by this huge of an amount. Although the night vote is going to seriously drag 1994 down rather hard from that Europe vote.
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Also, 1994/2011 is a classic scenario for a THE OLD DAYS WERE WAY BETTER THAN THIS NEWFANGLED CRAP overperformance
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25 people fell off the Top 50. Former first place Not_Wylvane, former second place Mewtwo59, former third place thorsleeps, Keltiq, Biscuit__, Evake720, Crossfiyah, sonicgamer262, -hotdogturtle--, Skyridge87, Cb7799, GranzonEx, Prankster928, Mac_Arrowny, jubu24, charmander6000, JONALEON1, metaIslug, --Zero-, VoltEF, kaonashi1, Wanglicious, whatisurnameplz, DylanYoshi and Viviff did not have both 1997 and 1996 winning.
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2002 is going to race up close to 1991, but hold at around 55%. My prediction...

Yesterday's X-Stats:

1997 – 50.00%
2007 – 29.02%
1999 – 22.75%
2012 – 13.60%

1996 – 50.00%
2000 – 48.62%
1990 – 33.74%
1989 – 16.31%
1983 – 9.88%


5-minute X-Stats:

1991 – 50.00%
2002 – 37.07%
2010 – 21.97%
1988 – 12.46%

1994 – 50.00%
2004 – 41.31%
2011 – 24.57%
2006 – 22.18%
1981 – 11.41%

2004 would get 70.26% on 2011 and 73.15% on 2006 right now.
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I'm coming for you, SHINE
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Also, 2007 is projected to get 60.80% on 1999.
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LeonhartFour posted...

Also, 1994/2011 is a classic scenario for a THE OLD DAYS WERE WAY BETTER THAN THIS NEWFANGLED CRAP overperformance

It's crazy how much of a factor this seems to be. It was expected that older games would be inherently stronger and that older years would get a nostalgia boost but daaaaamn.
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LeonhartFour posted...

Yesterday's X-Stats:

1997 – 50.00%
2007 – 29.02%
1999 – 22.75%
2012 – 13.60%

1996 – 50.00%
2000 – 48.62%
1990 – 33.74%
1989 – 16.31%
1983 – 9.88%


5-minute X-Stats:

1991 – 50.00%
2002 – 37.07%
2010 – 21.97%
1988 – 12.46%

1994 – 50.00%
2004 – 41.31%
2011 – 24.57%
2006 – 22.18%
1981 – 11.41%

2004 would get 70.26% on 2011 and 73.15% on 2006 right now.

Somethings just feels.... off about that. I never would have picked 2004 over 2006 or 2011. I definitely would not have expected 2004 to blow either of them out that badly. No way.
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cyko posted...

I never would have picked 2004 over 2006 or 2011.

Why?

2004 is a ridiculously loaded year. It's probably the second or third strongest modern year, behind 2001 and maybe 2000. I'd give it a good chance against 2000.
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Also, 1994 is looking a little more sane now. 2004 is only projected to get 63.87% on 2011 as of right now.
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The pics certainly played a role, but I would have thought -

Kingdom Hearts 2 > MGS3
Twilight Princess > Half Life 2
Final Fantasy XII > Tales of Symphonia
Okami > World of Warcraft
Oblivion > GTA:SA

I don't see how 2004 could have competed with that.
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Wow 1994! Looks like it's as strong as expected after all. 1991 vs 1994 is debatable again.

I have 1991 in my bracket, but I prefer 1994 so I hope it wins. Though it's very close in terms of my personal preference, 1991 is loaded too.

again I don't think you can play the math like that

it's fun to look at but it's not always going to add up

(also Symphonia would beat FFXII and I don't think KHII is a guaranteed win over MGS3)
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holding 94 under 60% is a moral victory
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cyko posted...

The pics certainly played a role, but I would have thought -

Kingdom Hearts 2 > MGS3
Twilight Princess > Half Life 2
Final Fantasy XII > Tales of Symphonia
Okami > World of Warcraft
Oblivion > GTA:SA

I don't see how 2004 could have competed with that.

The disparity between 2004 and 2006 is greater than I would expect.

pjbasis posted...

holding 94 under 60% is a moral victory

the worst kind of victory

still upset about the raw deal 2004 got
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I'm thinking 1991's performance last round was near-useless for gauging its strength. Aside from any possible similar-era SFF or whatever between 1991 and 1988, 1988 featured a Zelda game most Zelda fans don't like, a Metal Gear game most Metal Gear fans don't like, a JRPG the vast majority of JRPG fans haven't played, and a WRPG the vast majority of WRPG fans haven't played.
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Huh, 2002 stalled 1991 a bit there.

That's not what I wanted to see.
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It should have been switched with 03 or 05, but I guess he liked his ten year gap battles
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Yesterday's charts:

Time | 1997 | 2007 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 68.03% | 31.97% | 244 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 71.21% | 28.79% | 1556 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 68.35% | 31.65% | 3450 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 72.55% | 27.45% | 1916 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 71.85% | 28.15% | 4192 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 71.40% | 28.60% | 3595 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 71.70% | 28.30% | 788 | (22:00-24:00)

Time | 2000 | 1996 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 51.25% | 48.75% | 240 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 48.28% | 51.72% | 1541 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 50.79% | 49.21% | 3402 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 48.35% | 51.65% | 1907 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 48.41% | 51.59% | 4173 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 47.08% | 52.92% | 3547 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 48.56% | 51.44% | 766 | (22:00-24:00)
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pjbasis posted...

It should have been switched with 03 or 05, but I guess he liked his ten year gap battles

man imagine getting 1991 vs. 2001 round one
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cyko posted...

I don't see how 2004 could have competed with that.

2004 is probably the biggest anomaly out of all the years in this contest. The year appears to be stronger than you would expect when considering the modern day strength of the games released during that year.
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1991 only gained one vote that time.

uh oh
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That's a bit better.

I'm not feeling so good about 1991 next round if it can't outdo what 1994 got on 2004 though.
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I think it'll fine

this is just telling you what a difference a keyblade makes
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Hey, alright! I'm on the leaderboard!

Too bad I'm off by an order of magnitude on my tiebreaker. And also that I apparently backed the wrong horse for today's fights. Have 2011 and 2002 both winning for some stupid reason, and even if they do flip, I missed a zero when I did the tiebreaker calculation. Plugged in 1500 instead of 150000

owyn_merrilin posted...

Hey, alright! I'm on the leaderboard!

Too bad I'm off by an order of magnitude on my tiebreaker. I really feel like I could have won something this time, but I missed a zero when I did the calculation. Plugged in 1500 instead of 150000.

it's okay I misread the tiebreaker and thought they only meant the final match not the entire contest
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yeah time to panic on my 1991 pick now
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ninkendo posted...

owyn_merrilin posted...

Hey, alright! I'm on the leaderboard!

Too bad I'm off by an order of magnitude on my tiebreaker. I really feel like I could have won something this time, but I missed a zero when I did the calculation. Plugged in 1500 instead of 150000.

it's okay I misread the tiebreaker and thought they only meant the final match not the entire contest

Was premature in posting that, anyway. Apparently I have both 2011 and 2002 winning this match. Somehow I doubt they're going to rally. At least I made the leaderboard!

Edit: Jesu Christe, what the hell was I thinking with 2011 in particular? '94 has Final Fantasy effing VI.

Whew, 1991 finally had a percentage increase.
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Calm Leon it's okay
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Whoa 1994
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I don't think 2002 beats 2004 so I'm not sure it's fine.

but this contest consistently makes no sense so whatever
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1994 has lost 8.5% since the freeze.
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Leon believe in the keyblade
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