Board 8 > Iowa Caucus 2012 Stats and Discussion Topic

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Uglyface2
01/03/12 9:28:00 PM
#202:


Remember how everyone was laughing at me for supporting Rick Santorum? Remember how he was down to Huntsman-like levels in the polls not too long ago?

Yeah. This is probably a fluke tonight, but it feels damn good.
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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:29:00 PM
#203:


considering Perry and Bachmann might both be dropping out, I wouldn't consider this a fluke just yet!

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Mershaaay
01/03/12 9:29:00 PM
#204:


You gotta admit that at least Santorum is a smart dude.

Any other candidate besides Mitt and Newt would be studdering through all of these "quick fact" speeches

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SmartMuffin
01/03/12 9:29:00 PM
#205:


Yeah. This is probably a fluke tonight, but it feels damn good.

Probably not, especially if his competition drops out.

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nintendogirl1
01/03/12 9:31:00 PM
#206:


From: DetroitDJ | #200
Does this site auto-update ngirl? I'm sick of refreshing.

No idea! I have all my tabs auto-refreshing. Feels like contest season. :D

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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:31:00 PM
#207:


Romney by 12 now

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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:31:00 PM
#208:


Romney by 12.

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nintendogirl1
01/03/12 9:32:00 PM
#209:


Did... did Santa lose votes? I'm sure he was at 662?

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nintendogirl1
01/03/12 9:32:00 PM
#210:


(29,662)

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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:32:00 PM
#211:


yeah, it definitely dropped

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X_Dante_X
01/03/12 9:33:00 PM
#212:


...actually, google supports santorum having been at 662

Rick Santorum 29,662 24.6%
Mitt Romney 29,657 24.5%

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Mershaaay
01/03/12 9:33:00 PM
#213:


DetroitDJ posted...
Romney by 12.

omg if this is the final count then Rove is literally God

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nintendogirl1
01/03/12 9:33:00 PM
#214:


Fox has caught up to Santa by 5.

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AlecTrevelyan006
01/03/12 9:33:00 PM
#215:


PartOfYourWorld posted...
From: AlecTrevelyan006 | #174
Think of the small sample size here.

The winner in this match, in practical delegation terms, means absolutely nothing.

But we're still paying attention because the media will put RIDICULOUS spin on a 1 vote victory.
We're both stats nerds, more or less; we understand how silly it sounds to put such stake in a 100,000 sample size in a country where 130 million people will vote in 11 months. That said, Rick Perry, who has a boatload of money, is dropping out because of this. Bachmann will drop out in the next few days. While I haven't seen it, I've heard that Gingrich's speech was basically him saying "I'm dropping out but damned if I ain't taking Romney with me." They're dropping like flies from this one measly result, so they obviously think it'll mean a lot.


I totally agree.

Tonight is incredibly important.

But it's not important for how many "delegates" you get. It's important for how it influences the rest of the race. It's all about how this gets spun.
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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:34:00 PM
#216:


I still see Romney by 14.

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Mershaaay
01/03/12 9:35:00 PM
#217:


McCain to endorse Romney:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/01/mccain-to-endorse-romney-tomorrow-109514.html


This is not good for Mitt at this time

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AlecTrevelyan006
01/03/12 9:37:00 PM
#218:


GaryOak151 posted...
I think its hilarious for all this intense speculation about the last percent of votes that both guys are getting 6 delegates. Paul gets 4. Perry/Gingrich get 1. Out of literally thousands.

Not how it actually works, but yeah.
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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:37:00 PM
#219:


Romney by 22 now

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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:39:00 PM
#220:


Now Romney by 11.

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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:39:00 PM
#221:


Now by 10.

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SmartMuffin
01/03/12 9:40:00 PM
#222:


Who are these people that actually like, show up to a Mitt Romney rally? Like, how is it possible to actually be passionate about someone who is "I guess a little less socialist than Obama... maybe?"

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Mershaaay
01/03/12 9:41:00 PM
#223:


SmartMuffin posted...
Who are these people that actually like, show up to a Mitt Romney rally? Like, how is it possible to actually be passionate about someone who is "I guess a little less socialist than Obama... maybe?"

Romney is campaigning to the right of Reagan you delusional cynic

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Uglyface2
01/03/12 9:42:00 PM
#224:


SmartMuffin posted...
Who are these people that actually like, show up to a Mitt Romney rally? Like, how is it possible to actually be passionate about someone who is "I guess a little less socialist than Obama... maybe?"

Some people just like their politicians to dip their toast in milk.
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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:42:00 PM
#225:


Romney by 38

clear stuffing tbqh

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masterplum
01/03/12 9:43:00 PM
#226:


From: th3l3fty | #225
Romney by 38

clear stuffing tbqh


Where are you seeing these?

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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:43:00 PM
#227:


From: masterplum | #226
Where are you seeing these?


http://www.wnyc.org/articles/its-free-country/2012/jan/03/patchwork-vote-iowa/

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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:44:00 PM
#228:


http://www.wnyc.org/articles/its-free-country/2012/jan/03/patchwork-vote-iowa/

by far the most up-to-date one right now

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PartOfYourWorld
01/03/12 9:44:00 PM
#229:


Wow, for a crazy guy, Santorum came off pretty likable and capable in that speech. More likable than Romney for sure.

And good LORD, considering seven kids later, his wife is TOP TIER.

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SmartMuffin
01/03/12 9:45:00 PM
#230:


Romney is campaigning to the right of Reagan you delusional cynic

And people actually believe it? Really? Based on what? Did they learn NOTHING from John McCain? Or GWB for that matter?

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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:45:00 PM
#231:


Santa's back up by 27.

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Mershaaay
01/03/12 9:46:00 PM
#232:


PartOfYourWorld posted...
Wow, for a crazy guy, Santorum came off pretty likable and capable in that speech. More likable than Romney for sure.

I have no idea why people bunch him in with Perry/Bachmann/Cain.

Santorum is INSANELY qualified for the office, both in his economic and foreign policy expertise.

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PartOfYourWorld
01/03/12 9:47:00 PM
#233:


Huh, maybe it's just her hairstyle or makeup tonight, because these google pics I'm finding are not as flattering. I also found this

external image

Sweet Jesus

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SmartMuffin
01/03/12 9:47:00 PM
#234:


Santorum is INSANELY qualified for the office, both in his economic and foreign policy expertise.

"expertise" doesn't matter in elections anymore

see: barack obama

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AxemRedRanger
01/03/12 9:47:00 PM
#235:


Santorum: The only one we can trust to nuke the Venezuelan menace.

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Mershaaay
01/03/12 9:47:00 PM
#236:


SmartMuffin posted...
Romney is campaigning to the right of Reagan you delusional cynic

And people actually believe it? Really? Based on what? Did they learn NOTHING from John McCain? Or GWB for that matter?


W was a more conservative president than Reagan.

You seem to forget that Reagan also created record deficits. And W did much much more to actually reform entitlement programs than Reagan ever did.

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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:48:00 PM
#237:


Santa by 34.

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GaryOak151
01/03/12 9:49:00 PM
#238:


I know alec. I already posted that earlier in the topic.

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SmartMuffin
01/03/12 9:50:00 PM
#239:


Reagan created deficits to destroy the Soviet Empire. Bush created deficits to drop smart-bombs on a few hundred terrorists hiding out in a bunch of caves. And Prescription Drugs Part D. And the bank bailouts.

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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:50:00 PM
#240:


And it looks like that's the final, Santa by 35.

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nintendogirl1
01/03/12 9:50:00 PM
#241:


I see 35. :p

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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:51:00 PM
#242:


not quite final yet, there are still a few areas left

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SmartMuffin
01/03/12 9:51:00 PM
#243:


So Mitt Romney just gave a speech where he suggested that we shouldn't be a society where we take from some to give to others.

So what Mitt, you wanna abolish the income tax then, right? No? Then shut the **** up.

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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:52:00 PM
#244:


Santorum by 13 now

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DetroitDJ
01/03/12 9:54:00 PM
#245:


Apparently 100% doesn't actually mean 100%.

Please end in a tie. Pleeeaaaase.

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Liquid Wind
01/03/12 9:55:00 PM
#246:


Reagan created deficits to destroy the Soviet Empire. Bush created deficits to drop smart-bombs on a few hundred terrorists hiding out in a bunch of caves

futile pissing contest if there ever was one. they were both puppets, obama is a puppet, whoever gets elected next will be a puppet except the extremely unlikely event that ron paul wins, in which case he will be assassinated less than a year into his presidency and replaced by a puppet. blaming reagan, bush, or obama as individuals is simply a distraction
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SmartMuffin
01/03/12 9:55:00 PM
#247:


From: DetroitDJ | #245
Apparently 100% doesn't actually mean 100%.

Please end in a tie. Pleeeaaaase.


Tonight's episode of Jeopardy ended in a tie. Is this a sign?

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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:56:00 PM
#248:


Santorum by 19

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nintendogirl1
01/03/12 9:56:00 PM
#249:


From: SmartMuffin | #243
So Mitt Romney just gave a speech where he suggested that we shouldn't be a society where we take from some to give to others.

So what Mitt, you wanna abolish the income tax then, right? No? Then shut the **** up.


Candidate says something stupid people want to hear.

News at 10.

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th3l3fty
01/03/12 9:57:00 PM
#250:


five areas have not fully reported, three of which currently favor Santorum

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X_Dante_X
01/03/12 9:57:00 PM
#251:


stop rounding 99.6% to 100% gosh

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