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| Topic | GOP with rare statewide lead in Nevada after 250,000 votes cast |
| LightSnake 10/25/24 11:54:30 AM #178: | ReiRei89 posted... Turns out the GOP is cannibalizing their election day vote in NV. Tom Bonier has a good thread explaining it. He's one of the guys who tracks voter registration and NV Republicans are not turning out brand new voters. Yeah, the under 45 turnout in Clark County is trending up to the 2020 line and the turnout for voters over 65 is trending down to its 2020 line and as this is happening the percentage of Republican voters is going down and the percentage of Independent voters is going up. Adding to that, is Rosen is nine up on Brown in the polls and it is incredibly unlikely that they will be off by enough to even make that competitive, so the Dems 100 percent have the advantage right now. Everything is trending that the Independents showing up now are disproportionately Democratic younger voters or Latino voters who just never bothered to check the box at the DMV. I'm not willing to say Kamala will definitely win because the nightmare scenario for me is Kamala wins like MI and PA, but loses GA, WI, AZ....but, uh, again? Rather be her right now! --- Ring the bells that still can ring/Forget your perfect offering/There is a crack in everything/That's how the light gets in."- RIP, Leonard Cohen ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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