LogFAQs > #979916443

Forceful_Dragon posted...

Exactly, and not only that, but if she scans someone innocent then that creates a 1 in whatever chance that she actually prevents a mislynch on day 2 straight away by happening to have information on an innocent person who starts to get sus.

But hey, you guys do the regular thing and apply pressure on a bunch of different people today and force claims and switch pressure and force more claims and then be surprised pikachu face when multiple important town roles get outed, all to chase the low% chance of the day 1 scum lynch.

We shouldn't lynch scum tomorrow either then either since the %s are low! Wahhh.

Someone explain to me how the %a are lower now than a normal day 1. Seriously.

Let's say it was 4/15. Though I maintain 5/15 remains possible with you know the INFO we have from the scum role message.

But let's say 4/15.

27% chance of hitting scum. He wouldn't have been on board with NL then.

But now we have a dead scum. And we know Corrik and itz are town.

So now it's 3/12. 25%

What is really the statistical difference here. 1.67%?

We are going to entirely change our playstyles over a ducking 1.67% difference in odds.

And you can increase that percentage more by pressuring people and getting info to narrow it down further to even higher percentages. Maybe play mafia to find scum and increase the odds instead of acting like you rng roll your lynches.

We know multiple things. A rolecop existed for scum and it was a doubled role. Thus, likely not low power game. Godfather so cop is likely for town. No claimed miller.

Scum can't use regular kills on odd nights.

We have a lot of info to pressure people going forward. Not withstanding we have a host confirmed gig. And a relatively confirmed inventor claim.

You have the ability to force claims and start figuring out what fits and doesn't.