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TopicIf someone fell out and died at one of your favorite major amusement parks...
adjl
07/28/21 9:50:00 PM
#44:


OhhhJa posted...
It's not really a gamble if something is incredibly rare. If something incredibly rare happens, it's probably safe to assume it won't happen again the next day

That is the precise definition of the gambler's fallacy. A rare event happening one day does not in any way influence the chance of it happening again the next. Without external influences, it is equally likely or unlikely every single time.

It is indeed probably safe to assume that it won't happen the next day, but that assumption was just as likely to be safe on the day that it happened.

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