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TopicDo you think COVID-19 will make a comeback?
adjl
07/25/21 8:14:26 PM
#63:


Reigning_King posted...
With the mortality rate still being sub 2% and of those dying most having one foot in the grave already or less than a decade of life left in them, not to mention that number being artificial bloated to begin with and the current situation and treatment being better anyways compared to the peak?

Nah.

The question was whether or not it's making a comeback, not whether it was inexplicably more lethal now than before or any other metric. Case numbers very obviously and measurably are surging. You can look at the graph yourself to see. What will the death toll be from this surge? Hard to say. We won't know that for another couple weeks, especially where we don't know where this surge will peak. I can, however, tell you that the slope of this surge looks steeper than the one that happened last summer, and that involved about a month of having over 1000 deaths a day on average. As you say, advances in treatment and whatnot may help keep it from getting that bad, as will vaccines (though it's primarily sporeading among the unvaccinated), but the proliferation of variants may also throw a wrench into the comparison in the other direction.

Reigning_King posted...
@ me when you can add another zero to your numbers and I might glance over.

What is your basis for that threshold? To my knowledge, no disease has ever managed to have over 820,000 new American cases in a day, so unless you're going to suggest that no disease in history has ever been worth worrying about the spread of (which would be utterly ludicrous), I'm really not sure what point you think you're making with that criterion.

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